Rating Daniels Offseason Thus Far
There seems to be a sentiment that John Daniels is addressing the rebuilding of this team in the wrong way. Some of the common statements here and elsewhere by Rangers fans are:
- "Why would you trade a stud young pitcher for an injury prone centerfielder?"
- "Why would he go out and sign an injury prone headcase to play the corner outfield spots?"
- "This team is most likely the worst that the Rangers have aseembled since 2000."
Only two teams in the AL had a worse OBP as a team, and they were right in the middle of the pack in SLG. Only four teams in the AL had a worse batting average. The Rangers had a below average OPS in comparison to both the AL and all of MLB. Only one team had more strikeouts, and only three teams took fewer walks.
Yeah, the Rangers hit 56 more home runs than the Angels, and surprisingly were able to score a good number of runs (7th overall). but the fact of the matter is that the offense was still rather terrible. So in what areas was the offense worst?
- OBP - Only two teams were worse.
- BA - Only four teams were worse.
- Pitchers with better K/BB ratios
- Team defense (particularly up the middle)
Team OBP
The worst positions in terms of OBP last year were left field, right field, catcher and third base. After Teixeira was traded, the first base position struggled in terms of OBP as well.
How has Daniels addressed this problem?
- He signed Bradley to play one of the corners. He has a career .358 OBP and had a .402 OBP last season. That's a far upgrade over the .323 and .332 OBPs that the corners put up for the Rangers last year.
- Obviously, Daniels didn't need to address third base since Blalock is healthy, and when he played last year he had a .358 OBP. This spot of the lineup is simply fixed by Blalock being healthy. There's not much Daniels can do about this position.
- At catcher, Daniels has committed to having Salty as the regular. Laird had a .278 OBP last year, and Salty had a .310 OBP. So that's a slight upgrade, but as we all know Salty has potential to improve on that immensely. After all, he had a career minor league .370 OBP.
- At centerfield, the Rangers put up a decent .343 OBP, but the .368 that Hamilton put up last season is an upgrade. It's also a huge upgrade in terms of SLG (.554 to .423).
- At first base, which was rather bad after Teixeira left, the Rangers are going from Wilkerson (.319 OBP), Botts (.326) and Cat (.328 as a 1b) to Chris Shelton (.348 career / .340 in 2006) and a slight upgrade in Broussard (.330 last year).
- The trade for Shelton and signing of Broussard also free up Cat to hit DH. He had a .363 OBP in the second half of last season compared to the .311 OBP that the Rangers got from Sosa for much of the year. That is another significant upgrade in my opinion.
Team BA
Team batting average should be improved from the reasons mentioned above, but here are some other things to note.
- Among hitters with at least 300 ABs, the Rangers worst batting averages belonged to Laird, who is now a backup, and to Vazquez (.230), who shouldn't play much next season at all, and then to Wilkerson (.234), Cruz (.235) and Sosa (.252), who are all no longer with the team. The next worst hitter was Cat who hit .260 overall. Cat did hit .288 in the second half though, which bodes well.
- The Rangers have brought in Broussard (.275 last year), Shelton (.273 in 2006), Bradley (.306 last year) and Hamilton (.292 last year).
K/BB ratio
Daniels has done the least in addressing this need. The Rangers still have Millwood who had the best K/BB ratio both last year and in 2006. That's despite leading the team in BB/9 last season. Overall, the Rangers have much of the same rotation and bullpen coming back, and their losses are primarily Volquez, Wright and Otsuka.
Otsuka of course had serious arm problems, but had a 1/1 K/BB ratio before the injury. In 2006, his K/BB ratio was stellar, but there were too many medical issues for the Rangers to give him a contract.
Wright gave up a ton of BBs. He had "electric stuff" according to scouts, but was highly inconsistent last season (as he has been through his whole career).
And then there is Volquez, and this is the one that hurts. Volquez can definitely strike guys out when he's on. But he can also walk a lot of batters. He walked just under 4 batters per 9 IP last year in the minors, despite having an outstanding season. I love Volquez, and think he will end up being a good major leaguer eventually, but also know that losing him does not drastically effect the 2008 Rangers K/BB ratio.
The Rangers brought in Kaz Fukumori, who is a huge question mark, but projects to a mediocre to below average major league reliever and should have little impact on the bullpen.
Like I said before, Daniels has done the least in this area, but ultimately there aren't that many other options. A Colon/Jennings/Silva type is only slightly better than allowing Mendoza, Murray, Gallaraga, etc. time in the majors...especially when considering their cost.
Overall I'd give Daniels a C- in this regard. He didn't improve the team any, but didn't hurt them much either. Still, the loss of Volquez hurts.
Team Defense
People tend to undervalue the impact that team defense has on pitching. The pitchers on this team suffered a great deal from poor defense last season, and particularly in the outfield.
If Bradley is healthy and plays a corner spot, then he is a well above average defender. Hamilton is an above average defensive centerfielder. Those two spots alone should help upgrade the team defense drastically.
Overall I'd give Daniels an A in this regard.
So despite all of the complaining about how Daniels isn't addressing the team's needs this offseason and how he's making stupid decisions, the fact of the matter is that he is addressing needs and he is making this team better. Offensively he has made some very good improvements in key stats (i.e. OBP and OPS), and defensively he has upgraded the corner outfield and centerfield rather drastically, which is a key defensive position.
I'd give him an A so far for the offseason, let me know what you'd give him and tell me why in the comments.
0 recs |
79 comments
Comments
Salty...
by benmor78 on Dec 23, 2007 4:48 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, you're right...
So I guess that "could" mean that Salty starts in OKC and then comes up to the Rangers after a few months. Still, even if that is the case, once he does come up, Salty should be an upgrade over Laird offensively.
by rangeressary on Dec 23, 2007 5:14 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Benji, stick to comedy, please
by tklawless on Dec 23, 2007 7:57 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Compare
Moving in a positive direction with good players under team control for a while. The team has quite a stockpile of athletic, projectible middle infield, CF, and C types who could help the team on the field or via trade.
If the Rangers are going to contend anytime soon, it's going to take more than a couple big trades and blockbuster FA signings. It'll also take many small moves that incrementally improve the club over time, step by step.
The team is better right now both offensively and defensively than it was in October. It would be nice to have strengthened the pitching staff, but if the market is not there for it you can't invent it. You go where the market is and improve in whatever way you can. More runs scored than runs allowed, however you can make that happen.
by t ball on Dec 23, 2007 5:25 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Hear hear
by BudLight on Dec 23, 2007 7:40 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
by slash on Dec 26, 2007 5:42 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
great diary
And I give JD an A- based mainly on the strength of the Benoit resigning, and the OF additions of Bradley and Hamilton.
I'm less than impressed by Broussard, Fukumori, Alfonzo, but they cost so little in terms of assets that I can't complain. The LaTroy Hawkins courtship scared me.
If JD can move Laird out of here for something worthwhile, then the grade gets bumped up.
by tricer on Dec 23, 2007 8:02 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
great article
by dstar442005 on Dec 23, 2007 9:04 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
i give him an A
by sanangelofan on Dec 23, 2007 9:12 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Defense
by cubsfan99 on Dec 23, 2007 9:52 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
My problems with Daniels this offseason
I don't like the Bradley signing. The numbers you posted certainly show that Bradley is an upgrade offensively to anything we had last year. I just have a hard time believing he will play more than 100 games so those numbers while very good end up looking worse. Plus, if he does end up missing lots of time his trade value is negated and the lineup will have to constantly be juggled to deal with his absence.
The Hamilton trade is similar to the Bradley signing. Just looking at his potential numbers is great but what are the chances he plays 150 games? He's one line of cocaine away from being out of baseball for good. That may sound harsh but it's true. How many times have we seen and heard guys like this talk the good talk only to fall off the wagon again and again. If Hamilton had just been a free agent signing that would have been fine but trading away a guy like Volquez for him is a mistake.
The Salty/Laird situation to me is the worst because the decision to make Salty the starting catcher put the Shelton/Broussard moves into motion and weakens the lineup on an everyday basis. I know that Salty looked bad at 1B last year but he needs to be there and in the lineup everyday instead of catching and having to take so many days off. To me, having Salty at first and Laird catching is much better than having Shelton and/or Broussard in the lineup on a regular basis.
Overall, I give Daniels a C. I don't like the moves very much but at least he is trying to do something and none of them are team killers.
by SwiperNoSwiping on Dec 23, 2007 9:57 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Laird / Salty / Broussard / Shelton
by AZranger on Dec 23, 2007 10:16 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
by brettgardner on Dec 23, 2007 11:11 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with this
by slash on Dec 26, 2007 5:46 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Salty in the lineup
by SwiperNoSwiping on Dec 23, 2007 12:32 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
If you
by FirebatM3 on Dec 23, 2007 4:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
That is probably true
by SwiperNoSwiping on Dec 24, 2007 8:34 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Not so fast
by t ball on Dec 24, 2007 10:09 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Why not now?
by SwiperNoSwiping on Dec 24, 2007 12:50 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Why on earth
It is just plain silly to move him now when you have absolutely no idea what Teagarden will be doing later on. You're really putting the cart before the horse.
by t ball on Dec 24, 2007 12:53 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
2 reasons
You supposedly have organizational depth at catcher and none at 1B. Isn't one of the reasons people are fine with trading Volquez because the Rangers have pitching depth now? So if we are relying on this pitching depth to come through and making moves like it is then why not the catching depth?
And hey, if he turns out to be a butcher at 1B and Teagarden is a bust then put him back behind the plate. His knees will be thankful for the rest.
by SwiperNoSwiping on Dec 24, 2007 1:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Chris Davis
by AZranger on Dec 24, 2007 3:42 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
works both ways
by slash on Dec 26, 2007 5:48 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
For whatever reason...
Catcher: .876 ops (157 at bats)
1st: .582 ops (133 at bats)
I'll take my chances with him behind the plate.
by slimshadty12 on Dec 24, 2007 3:02 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
i think it has to do
by slash on Dec 26, 2007 5:49 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Question.....................
When did Cruz leave the team?
" The pitchers on this team suffered a great deal from poor defense last season, and particularly in the outfield."
I agree. Defense was terrible but not just from the outfield. It was bad all aroung. Kinsler's no error streak was probably hands down the best shown from the defense all year.
by NYTXFAN on Dec 23, 2007 10:16 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
Cruz
by rangeressary on Dec 23, 2007 5:58 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
cruz
by rentz on Dec 23, 2007 6:23 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Cruz
by FuturePants on Dec 26, 2007 12:52 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
My Grade
When he took over 2 years ago he talked about OBP and Pitching. Both those categories have stunk under his reign.
All he is doing now is padding Daddy's wallet with his potpouri of crappy moves and signings this off-season.
However, in his next press conference he'll blow smoke up all the Ranger sheep's ass about the future.
by LBrooks on Dec 23, 2007 11:30 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
I'm shocked
by DJCahill on Dec 24, 2007 6:24 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
For The Record
era - 4.96
runs - 865
wins - 79
OBP% - .329
------------------------
Juniors reign:
2006:
era - 4.60
runs - 835
wins - 80
OBP% - .338
2007:
era - 4.75
runs - 816
wins - 75
OBP% - .328
-----------------------
2 years and pretty much the same old stuff.
Someone please (besides Newberg) spin Juniors 2 year reign as making progress.
by LBrooks on Dec 24, 2007 3:46 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This kind of stuff
I can see disagreeing strongly with some of the decisions Daniels has made certainly. But to just make blanket statements is wrongheaded and only looks at the surface. Do you not agree that the level of talent in the system is much better than a year ago?
If you are going to blame Daniels for the bad decisions he made, you must also give him credit for the good ones.
by t ball on Dec 24, 2007 6:47 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Ridiculous
How is JD dealing with residue? This boy has made numerous changes and turned this roster over quite dramatically in each of his first 2 years.
by LBrooks on Dec 26, 2007 1:19 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Cupboard was bare
I'm not saying Daniels didn't make any mistakes, but I'll take where they are right now, with the young players they have, over where they were when he took over as GM.
by t ball on Dec 26, 2007 3:07 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What Makes You Think......
by LBrooks on Dec 27, 2007 2:22 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Huh?
by t ball on Dec 27, 2007 2:45 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
February 16, 2007.
And here's a quote from the article:
"The most important caveat about these rankings is that they aren't particularly forward-looking. The whole system uses only 2006 stats. That means that prospects who have been traded (including in mid-season) are partially counted toward their old team's score, and the rankings include players who have graduated to the big leagues."
Let's wait until the equivalent article this year.
by a bebop a rebop on Dec 28, 2007 6:39 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Brooksie Boy
and clueless. LOL
by mrpman on Dec 29, 2007 7:48 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
For Every......
Such lame arguments.
by LBrooks on Dec 29, 2007 11:50 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You are a joke
by t ball on Dec 29, 2007 8:16 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
B
I'm trying to remember what I thought of his last offseason. I liked the BMac move. Wasn't sure about Wash. Wished they could've gotten more than Padilla in the SP FA market. Not a fan of the Sosa signing. I'd have to say I probably thought last offseason was B or B-, though I somewhat understand his willingness to wait on finding an impact OF bat last offseason until the Rangers had a read on Cruz and Wilkerson.
Since the draft and trade deadline, JD's been on a tear. He's brought a clear focus to the organization.
by rooster on Dec 23, 2007 12:37 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
people talk about winning
While rebuilding you have to address every position. I think Daniels has done an AMAZING job this offseason on focusing on every position. We have an abundance of young pitchers on their way up and our outfield is weak. He fixed that.
I am not a big Padilla fan, but i think for the money SP are getting this year he is not a bad guy to have around. He pitches with passion and I like that. I look forward to watching he and Millwood rebounding this year.
How can you not like the Bradley signing? We did not give up anything for him. We have a low payroll. Why not go out and get a guy like this with a low risk high reward.
I have never been more excited to be a Rangers fan.
Daniels- A
by Blev2 on Dec 23, 2007 4:14 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
That does it, Rangeressary
You have officially dethroned Zywica as my favorite baseball poster.
Sorry Z, but we'll always have The Wire and Venezuelan teenage summer league message boards.
by Brian Thomas on Dec 23, 2007 6:25 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Just joking.
by brettgardner on Dec 23, 2007 6:46 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Have a good Christmas
by Brian Thomas on Dec 23, 2007 6:56 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
After checking out those stats.....
by tklawless on Dec 23, 2007 8:07 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
JD Gets a Solid D
That's a solid D. Right? The major problem between the lines with this team last year was their starting pitching (worst in the AL) and exactly how has that been improved?
Hamilton is a mega-talent but so was Roy Tarpley. If he is healthy and drug-free, the Rangers kill in this trade because this kid is beyond his years but...
...Even if Hamilton overachieves and throws down a 1000+ OPS over the next 5 years, you still have to go to bed every single night worrying about that phone call at 3:00am ... and that phone call is probably coming which is why a talent like this was available for somebody like Eddy V.
by Josey Wales on Dec 23, 2007 10:55 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
x
or maybe they have Jay Bruce who can replace Josh Hamilton.
by coolaid on Dec 23, 2007 11:00 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe
Now, I'm not suggesting everything's perfect--far from it--but the team is in a position to be competitive next year and it hardly gave up anything to get in that position. Good short-term and long. I like it.
by brettgardner on Dec 23, 2007 11:07 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This is pretty close
by t ball on Dec 24, 2007 7:13 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
What were your expectations?
by AZranger on Dec 23, 2007 11:12 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
But...
Why wouldn't the Reds (a low payroll team) cut Dunn loose and move Hamilton over to LF?
That way, they'd save $ 13 million and have a younger, more talented and inexpensive player.
by Josey Wales on Dec 23, 2007 11:09 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Welcome to the board
And from what I heard, his injury history is a lot more of a concern then his drug addiction since they seem to think he has that under control and he seems to be a devote Christian now so despite how you feel about that, it can't be a bad thing.
This is a trade you can't possibly pass up in our position. Our talent in the outfield in the majors and the minors was horrendous. Besides filling need, I think you make this trade even if you have depth in the outfield. He's just that good.
by slimshadty12 on Dec 24, 2007 3:11 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
We can all
If I were in his position, I would not have the balls to do some of the moves he has done...
he's not even 30, and he is puting his GM job on the line. Thats brave.
by miles on Dec 23, 2007 11:15 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Anyone
by miles on Dec 23, 2007 11:30 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
Internship
by LBrooks on Dec 24, 2007 3:51 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Did Jon Daniels
by B_Black on Dec 24, 2007 4:24 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
better question
by a bebop a rebop on Dec 24, 2007 5:02 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
LBrooks wrote
As far as I know, Daniels spent his time in Colorado in a basement. That pretty much explains his performance as the Rangers GM. lol
Different forum..........same old shit.
by mrpman on Dec 26, 2007 1:44 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
One thing I find funny
by a bebop a rebop on Dec 24, 2007 5:03 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
One of the best posts in a long time
The biggest concern is always Pitching and in that area we have actually gone backwards IMO. AO was well thought of and his release for medical reasons will hurt. The pen also had the advantage of a very good Gagne for half the season who also needs to be replaced. I just do not see Fuki and FA TBD making the pen as solid as last season. The rotation is much better today than a year ago, but Volquez was pitching nicely and he is now a Red. In general I am firmly in the side of never trading pitching away for posiitonal players. In this case I do see why JD made this deal and hope the best for both teams and players.
What confuses me is the management of the 40 man roster and the stockpiling of marginal options in the OF and 1B. Specifically neither the Bradley nor the Hamilton moves were negatives on their own. But when combined it looks to me that Cruz will not be on the team. Ditto with the Broussard and Shelton moves eliminating Botts.
In my ideal world I would like to see Cat traded and make room for more AB's for both Cruz and Botts in 08.
by Bigfan16 on Dec 26, 2007 5:29 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
2008 Offense
Blalock and Young.
Highs being 114 runs and 110 rbi.
Most HR's for a player on next years roster? Hank at 32.
Look for yet another decline in the offense.
by LBrooks on Dec 27, 2007 2:33 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
2BAD
by mrpman on Dec 27, 2007 3:15 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Quoting runs scored and rbi's
by Brian Thomas on Dec 27, 2007 4:49 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
2008 Lineup
Kinsler
Blalock
Young
Hamilton
Bradley
Salty
Broussard
Byrd
I see 5 guys that could get injured. I see 1 guy with a headcase. I see 1 guy who could relapse.
Potential? Of course. But, then again, everyone has potential.
Sorry, I can't get excited about this group. I can only cross my fingers. Kinda like how JD makes all his moves. lol
by LBrooks on Dec 28, 2007 2:46 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Nothing
by mrpman on Dec 29, 2007 7:51 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
LBrooks
You still see dead people too?
by mrpman on Dec 29, 2007 5:36 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

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