Chris Young Crytsal Ball

by Wes Cox on Mar 28, 2007 11:52 AM CDT

John Sickel's over at Minor League Ball did one of his "crystal balls" for Chris Young yesterday.

He has last season being his career year. Most of the readers seem to think he was too pessimistic.

Thoughts?

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Looks about right the next 3-4 years

after that all these predictions get pretty dicey. But he is a decent starter and does pitch in a pitcher's park in the NL, that alone will help him be better than major-league average.

by tklawless on Mar 28, 2007 12:07 PM CDT reply actions

Yep

Young's peripherals regressed last year, but his ERA was a lot better...

I think he's a solid #3/#4 starter for the next several years, but not a top-of-the-rotation guy.

by Adam J. Morris on Mar 28, 2007 12:11 PM CDT reply actions

It'd be good,

if we hung onto our solid #3 starters, rather than dumping them and getting the likes of Jamey Wright in our rotation.

"I think that Donald Rumsfeld will go down in history as one of the worst secretaries of defense in history" -- John McCain

by DJCahill on Mar 28, 2007 1:15 PM CDT up reply actions

2008

would actually be the career year.

by hightowersmith on Mar 28, 2007 12:16 PM CDT reply actions

Yep, that (2008) may be a reach, but

overall, he will probably be in those ranges.

by tklawless on Mar 28, 2007 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions

Wow

I must be the only one who still thinks Young could be a well above average pitcher, especially in the NL and a pitchers park. While I don't think he'll be a staff ace, I definitely think he could be a solid number two for the Padres and most teams in this league including the Rangers.

I could of course be way off, I guess we'll know in 5 years or so.

by cgolden on Mar 28, 2007 12:54 PM CDT reply actions

His numbers last year

were greatly helped by outstanding outfield defense. They won't be quite as good out there this year, so it will be interesting to see how that affects Young's results.

by t ball on Mar 28, 2007 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions

oof.

You know BGL, you really aren't making us feel any better about this.

The good times are killing me.

by trza on Mar 28, 2007 10:13 PM CDT up reply actions

BA against

to play devil's advocate, that BA against was helped by their above average defense. Young is an extreme fly ball pitcher. If that defense slips a little, as I expect, some of those flies are going to drop for hits and raise that BAA. I still think Young is going to be quite good this year, but his ERA might rise a bit with his BAA.

by t ball on Mar 28, 2007 11:36 PM CDT up reply actions

a lot of people here

like to point to Batting Average against Balls in Play which is a good indicator of how much your defense helps you out (or possibly how lucky you are sometimes that balls get hit right at defenders). Chris Young's was a little low.

"I want him focused on figuring out a way to beat that lefty's ass." - RW

by ab03 on Mar 29, 2007 10:06 AM CDT up reply actions