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An Unhealthy Dose of Reality

Sorry, no musical prelude to this one :(

Happy Monday loyal readers! Unfortunately, I must hold by my promise from yesterday- I simply cannot uphold the euphoria of Ranger optimism any longer than I must. Because as badly as I want them to be good, I am a realist at heart. And the truth points at a half-empty glass best served with several jagged pieces.

So as much as I hate to do it, today's presentation will be an analysis of the unmitigated failures that have graced this franchise with their collective presences. And what better (or worse?) place to begin than with the biggest 180 I've ever seen as a Rangers fan. And my peers, you know very well how much that means.

His acquisition was the biggest triumph the JD proponents had to point to. He was a sign of hope, a beacon declaring competency within Ranger talent evaluation. Vicente Padilla went through the majority of last season as the best pitcher in the rotation. He was a legitimate #2 for a large part of the year, and even a second half slump could not hold him back from adequacy. However, as is the case with many of these success stories, Vicente had an agenda. He was going into a contract year, and certainly capitalized. Padilla turned an ERA in the 4.5 area into a deal worth over 10 million a season over three whole revolutions of the 12-month cycle. The mysterious and shady Venezuelan has been a complete and utter unmitigated DEBACLE from the beginning of the season. It has truly been painful to watch Vinny this season, especially when recalling the RANGER pitcher who was so solid in the previous season. I can't think of a single major league player, including Jeff Weaver, who has underperformed to this extent. I shun you, Vicente. Oh wait, that doesn't matter! Because you refuse to talk to the dirty Americans in the first place!

One doesn't have to stray too far to find contestant #2 for the "Juan Gonzalez Ranger Stint #2 Award". Although there is nobody who even approaches Padilla's vast stature in this area, Robby Tejeda gives him a run for his money. Similarities run amok between the two. Both are of Central American birth, both credited as possessing stuff clearly above the average. And both shimmered with promise for a time, but then left us staring stupidly at the rusting piece of scrap metal that had once been so precious. Robinson absolutely wowed fans during the start of the year. If I recall correctly, his first four starts were all sparkling-highlighted by a shutout against the immensely dangerous Bosox of Beantown. Since then however, Tejeda has been... worse than Padilla, if such a thing were possible. An ERA topping seven over a period of several months is a precarious thing to hold. The only thing keeping him from placement in the Padilla category of 'Simply Disgraceful' is the fact that Tejeda did show promise in the aforementioned early portion of the year.

Clearing out the limited list I have due to... time restraints is not a player who has sat out significant portions of the season. I won't deny that Hank Blalock's rib removal didn't disappoint me, but that's not really a performance failure he could have any semblance of control over. And looking at pure statistics, many will advise me to pass on grass after seeing the third entry.

Ian Kinsler, what happened? Your nuclear lumber throughout the first few weeks taunted not only the fans, but apparently yourself. News Flash: You're no Babe, and I certainly hope for the sake of your public profile that you're not Barry Bonds. What happened here seems to be a massive change in strategy, as the already undercutting Kinsler altered his swing to a point where he could dislodge the branches of a California Redwood. Ian, you're a wonderful player. But you're not going to pace the rest of the contestants in a single season homer contest. I was mislead, Ron Washington was misled, but more importanly, Ian, and most lamentably, YOU were misled by your early success. I know, It's easy to fall into the trap. But nobody knows Ian Kinsler better than than.. surprise surprise, Ian Kinsler. And subsequently, adjusting a fine plate approach to facilitate a newfound power at the dish was a mistake. The numbers following the initial burst of lightning are telling; we were treated to little other than mere sparks. Ian, go back to Rudy. Get your swing redone, revert to what you had been doing in all the years prior-the same stance, swing, and discipline that led to so much success throughout your ascent in the minors as well as your fine rookie season.
And not to overdo the cold blanket routine, but I think I Rangers Captain could be just as bad in the field, whilst annoying the other team into submission.
That's all for today. Next to come: Mid-Season Leaguewide Awards!

0 recs | Comment 34 comments

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Funny
May your stream cross an electric fence...

;-)

by Rodney on Jul 9, 2007 11:06 PM CDT   0 recs

eh
Padilla's certainly not the only disaster in the rotation.  He's had some good years before and still isn't old enough to worry about decline in the immediate future.  I like the guy and have liked him even before he was a Ranger...he's just having a rough year.

Juan Gonzalez "shimmered with promise"?  He was one of the best hitters of the 1990's, period.  Comparing him to Tejeda is just weird.  He's a young pitcher and does have good stuff.  Is worth hanging onto.  

Blalock has sucked long enough.  It's too bad he's been injured because he's young enough that a good few weeks could've made him at least a luke-warm commodity on the trade market.

Kinsler.  I didn't expect him to hit all that well this year, but I certainly didn't expect him to be this bad, either.  Perhaps it's only a sophomore slump.

You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 9, 2007 11:48 PM CDT   0 recs

Blalock
He was putting together a very solid year after rededicating himself following two subpar years. Also, he's only 26 - younger than Botts and Cruz. I'd put him down as our 3b for the next few years.

by Randy Richardson on Jul 9, 2007 11:53 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

He's a bust.
You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 9, 2007 11:54 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

are you serious?
look up his numbers prior to being hurt this year. And, did I mention that he's 26yo?

by Randy Richardson on Jul 9, 2007 11:59 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I know how old he is
144 at-bats isn't enough to convince me that the last two full seasons were an aberration.
You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 10, 2007 12:04 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

but
you're willing to overlook it and declare him a bust? Seems impatient to me.

by Randy Richardson on Jul 10, 2007 12:18 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

What
The guy sucked ass for two full years.  When he should have been getting better, he was getting worse.  Now he has 144 good at-bats to start a season and you're convinced he's all better now?  Gullible.
You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 10, 2007 12:30 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

dont be a dick
he was off to a good start, be optimistic. he was hitting lefties better and even when he got off to good starts in the past he never hit lefties. give the guy a break

by weslyenkid01 on Jul 10, 2007 12:38 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

well
I think he pretty much admitted that he wasn't commited 100% over the previous two years and he took responsibility for that. He rededicated himself this offseason - he worked with Jaramillo and his start was promising. 144 ABs is a quarter of the season - a decent sampling size.

by Randy Richardson on Jul 10, 2007 12:39 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

thats true
ive heard of blalock coming in before a game drunk, from somebody within the rangers staff

by weslyenkid01 on Jul 10, 2007 1:05 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Great for him
...if he matures, but the guy was paid way too much to do be doing that kind of shit.  
You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 10, 2007 1:09 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Too Little, Too Late
You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 10, 2007 1:07 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

hopefully not
maaybe he can be the player he was his first couple seasons, but maybe not

by weslyenkid01 on Jul 10, 2007 1:15 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Well so what
He's staying on the team anyway.

Notice I cut right to your heart, because that's all you really care about.

by Sharky on Jul 10, 2007 6:02 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

huh?
What is "all I really care about?"
You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 10, 2007 9:15 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

but
the first two full season were the aberration?

by willamos2 on Jul 10, 2007 12:51 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

No they were not
That's the whole point.  He coulda been a contenda.  But instead he was a bum.

When I see another season like his first two, I'll embrace him.  Otherwise, "once a moron, always a moron".  I'm concerned he'll revert.

You're just a very misguided individual, Dustin. -- Sharky

by Dustin on Jul 10, 2007 3:49 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Absolutely !!
Hank is a stud .. keep him for the long haul..
and he can actually play defense too which will only get better with Wash doing some of that Chavez style magic ...
" The Sosa signing was a spectacular success" - Evan Grant - July 2, 2007

by NYCMuscleFag on Jul 10, 2007 3:23 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Dustin
I wasn't referring to Juando when I made the 'shimmering with promise' reference. It was part of the comparison between Padilla's 06 and Tejeda's first month.
sportsdeals.blogspot.com

by BudLight on Jul 9, 2007 11:57 PM CDT   0 recs

Nicaraguan
Padilla's Nicaraguan, not Venezuelan.

Not that his nationality contributes any more or less to his craptacular-ness this season.

by patrickindenton on Jul 10, 2007 8:46 AM CDT   0 recs

Padilla
Might also be mildly offended by being characterized as "shady".  He has done more for his city, their hospitals, and children's programs than Nicaragua's national parliament.  
Time does funny things. The worst of which is, it keeps moving when you don't.

by Ed Coffin on Jul 10, 2007 2:46 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Right on
I think Padilla gets really bad press for someone who seems like a caring and charitable person outside of the ballpark.

by t ball on Jul 10, 2007 2:58 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Hank
keep the guy - he's never had instruction like he has now.  Jaramillo is great but he never took much instruction from him in the past, and he's excited to start over.  Same with Ronnie Dub, looks like he's finally having a small sample of success with our defense.  If Hank becomes a .285 hitter with mid-twenties homers and 90-100 runs and RBI, and improves his fielding every year, why the hell WOULDN'T you keep this guy?  and I think he's proved he can accomplish all of that at the very least...
"No, Donny, these men are nihilists, there's nothing to be afraid of."

by Walter Sobchak on Jul 10, 2007 9:51 AM CDT   0 recs

Yeah
I don't get all the Hank hate.  He has had his struggles, but he is young and therefore definitely more susceptible to mental slumps.  There is no reason to think that he definitely won't have a solid career.  Put another way - there are a lot more pressing concerns on this team than 3b right now...

My worry about Hank is his injuries.  I think that his shoulder contributed to his poor year last year, and now he is out with that weird rib thing.  

by JBImaknee on Jul 10, 2007 11:30 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

injury
and it kept us from finding out if he is for real.  He started well, but he's done that before.  I was hoping he would finally be consistent, but now he won't have enough playing time to really know if he can keep that up for a whole season or not.  

by t ball on Jul 10, 2007 11:53 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

well
at least this all happened in the same lost season.

I'll take a full year of health from Hank, Kinsler, Wilkerson, our pitchers and hopefully some new outfield life to plug in for a run next year...even though we are "rebuilding"

"No, Donny, these men are nihilists, there's nothing to be afraid of."

by Walter Sobchak on Jul 10, 2007 12:16 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

not that I'm giving up
on this recent hot streak, but to be honest, I did give up on this season a few months ago.  so it's not fair for me to jump back on the bandwagon - and 15 games is a LOT to make up, even if we catch fire like we have
"No, Donny, these men are nihilists, there's nothing to be afraid of."

by Walter Sobchak on Jul 10, 2007 12:17 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

lost year
but that is my point, this is the perfect time to make a long-term decision on Blalock and how valuable he is.  But his injury robs the team of that chance and now they have to take a chance that he'll be more valuable next year than he has been in the past 2 seasons.

by t ball on Jul 10, 2007 12:21 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

agreeable.
but we should take some comfort in knowing that we've got capabilities in Duran and Metcalf that can at least fill in at 3B/2B, and at best succeed there...we wouldn't have known that in a successful year or a non-injury situation...Metcalf is getting valuable experience, and Duran's showing very good promise
"No, Donny, these men are nihilists, there's nothing to be afraid of."

by Walter Sobchak on Jul 11, 2007 2:02 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Dual Falloffs
Mike Young and Vicente Padilla.  If either were up to their own standards, some betterment would have been certain in the first two months of the season.  Both are way better than the results they have provided thus far in 2007, and that leads to examination of the details. At least the contributing details IMHO.

(Padilla)
Has recurring forearm aches.  Very bad sign, since MRI and CTS examination shows no bone, connective tissue, or soft tissue injury.  Usually means neural (nerve) irritation or inflammation.  Not usually correctible by surgery, and rest is not a sure cure either.  Exacerbated by what seems to be a zone problem. Umpires this season are giving more latitude down and away, and Vicente's repertoire is easily keyed to the up and in stuff.  So if he's unable to effectively throw his slider, and has command issues and zone issues with his fastball and change, it's a hard day's work every time out.

(Young)
I've bitched and moaned about his retreat to the back of the box, with the obvious result that both down and in and down and away are near impossible from where he now sets up.  I don't have a clue what effect his beaning may have had on his inner ear (balance during reaction time). Consider this: a baseball less than 3" in usable diameter, moving at over 85 mph, is sinking at a rate roughly 1.3" per two feet traveled by the time it reaches the plate. If you are centered 5" behind the plate, you can't effectivly center the ball (leading to tons of grounders and K's on low and outside).  Again, 2007 umpiring is granting strike calls outside more than I've ever seen. Mike has become vulnerable to balls that are called strikes if he doesn't connect with them at the plate latitude, and near unhittable once past the plate. If some recession is also in order due to normalized age, and some probably is, the available energy from bat contacting ball happens above the equator of the ball.  GO-6, GO-4, GIDP etc.  And noticeable loss of gap and fence power.

He'll still cram a few mistake pitches and make sharp contact with many pitches, but a 10 to 12 percent reduction in balls you can "square" plays havoc with both power and OBP.

Just some details within the observed effect.

Time does funny things. The worst of which is, it keeps moving when you don't.

by Ed Coffin on Jul 10, 2007 3:24 PM CDT   0 recs

wow.
I'll never question Ed Coffin again.
"No, Donny, these men are nihilists, there's nothing to be afraid of."

by Walter Sobchak on Jul 11, 2007 2:05 PM CDT   0 recs

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