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Around SBN: NFL Roundtable: Which Draft Pick Is Most Likely To Bust?

The hobgoblin of small minds

Richard Justice, today:

Hopefully, Draton McLane understands this by now. The amount of his spending isn't an issue. It's his priorities. He wants an immediate return, and it simply doesn't work that way.

So he'll throw $100 million at Carlos Lee, but veto the signing of a $900,000 draft pick to save money. Last summer, the Astros signed all but one of their high draft picks. If they made good decisions, they're on their way to replinishing the farm system.

But they have to stack one good class on top of another. This World Series a reminder of why it's important.

Richard Justice, four days ago:

Imagine a rotation anchored by Roy Oswalt and Jake Peavy for the next four years. They could be the cornerstone of a championship team, and that's why Ed Wade surely is exploring the possibility. I'm guessing Drayton McLane would approve such a deal in a heartbeat even if it meant bumping the payroll to the $100 million range.

Oswalt is signed for four more years at $18.5 million a year. Peavy is under contract for five more seasons at an average of $15.6 million.

Only three National League teams got fewer innings from their starters than the Astros in 2008. That number would change dramatically with a healthy Peavy.

The Astros are on the list of teams he'd accept a trade to, in part, because he and Oswalt and close friends.

Now about making that trade happen. That's the tough one. The Padres will want young talent, and the Astros have perhaps the worst farm system in baseball.

It comes down to what Padres GM Kevin Towers thinks of the talent at Corpus Christi. The Astros sent eight players to the Arizona Fall League, so the Padres could get a close look at some of the organization's best: OF Brian Bogusevic, 2B Drew Sutton, 1B Mark Ori, 3B Chris Johnson, LHP Chris Blazek and RHPs Bud Norris, Sergio Perez and Brad James.

Minor league player evaluations are subjective, so it's impossible to know what chance Ed Wade has of making the deal happen.

Some of you will argue that the Astros shouldn't gut the farm system for a veteran. I say go for it.

* * *

Fans don't buy into two- or three-year plans. Owners don't buy in either. Look at the Marlins and Twins. Both got rid of big-money talent and kept winning. Peavy represents a chance to win, and with revenues approaching $200 million, the Astros have the money to take on another big contract.

So, yeah...you two let me know when you decide which way to go...

 

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Uh...
Fans don’t buy into two- or three-year plans. Owners don’t buy in either.

Isn’t this what we’re doing?

by Andy Seiler on Oct 21, 2008 7:30 PM CDT reply actions  

of fish and barrels

That was too easy. Funny, though!

"You’re the only here who contributes schtick only." - brettgardner

by trza on Oct 21, 2008 7:30 PM CDT reply actions  

"The organization's best"

Holy crap does that list of names suck. What “system” is there left to gut?

by LiamP on Oct 21, 2008 7:35 PM CDT reply actions  

Seems to me

like Hunter Pence would have to be involved.

by octoberty on Oct 21, 2008 7:41 PM CDT reply actions  

Pence and Wandy would definitely be involved.

If the Braves are seriously in this thing, I don’t think the Astros have much of a chance. Especially if the package involving Escobar and Hanson is true.

by LiamP on Oct 21, 2008 7:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

Amen

The stros system is a joke. If San Diego were willing to take an offer that didn’t involve Pence and Wandy Houston would be dumb to not jump all over it. A package of Paulino, Norris, Einerston, Bogusevic and Castro as a PTBNL is about the best they could do and I don’t think that is near enough to get it done.

This is the Texas Rangers, professional destroyers of hope, we're talking about. - BAC

by nikpin on Oct 21, 2008 7:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Castro

For Castro to be a PTBNL the deal would have to wait until after the new year. That gives alot of time to other teams to step in and top the offer. The Astros have about a 2% chance of landing Peavy

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Oct 21, 2008 9:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

Castro

You can’t trade a draft pick until a full year has elapsed since their signing. That rules out any deal this offseason.

by Andy Seiler on Oct 21, 2008 9:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

My post was sarcastic in nature.

The deal could be completed now but Castro obviously couldn’t be sent until a year after he signed his first contract. I was more throwing that out there as a best case prospect package that Houston could even conceivably offer.

This is the Texas Rangers, professional destroyers of hope, we're talking about. - BAC

by nikpin on Oct 21, 2008 9:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

Only way the Astros get Peavy

is a Peavy for a PTBNL and then send Peavy right back. And even then I’m asking for Pence if I’m SD.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Oct 21, 2008 8:01 PM CDT reply actions  

Richard Justice is an idiot

Drayton McLane is an idiot too.

There’s no way on earth we get Peavy.

If Drayton wants the Astros to be successful, he’s going to have to shell out another $20-30 million at the big league level and at least another $10 million for prospects — otherwise our franchise will go the way of yours.

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by Stephen Higdon on Oct 21, 2008 8:56 PM CDT reply actions  

That's not very nice.

But whos got the silver boot? Burn

This is the Texas Rangers, professional destroyers of hope, we're talking about. - BAC

by nikpin on Oct 21, 2008 9:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

I would say that the Rangers will make the World Series

before the Astros make it again, but I forgot the Astros play in the NL……

by TxStCa on Oct 21, 2008 9:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Probably

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by Stephen Higdon on Oct 21, 2008 10:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

Heh.

Except we’re set up for a nice long run of success and y’all are a joke below Berkman and Oswalt.

But nice try at a burn.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

by thedirkatron on Oct 21, 2008 10:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

It wasn't intended as a burn

It was me just stating that we’re making the same mistakes you guys did for awhile. I agree, you’re set up for a nice little run for many years to come.

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by Stephen Higdon on Oct 21, 2008 10:19 PM CDT up reply actions  

Gotcha.

I understand.

Sorry for the counter burn.

My first instinct when encountering an Astros fan is to assume mutual hatred and immediately respond with a burn ;)

The 40 Trumps All!!!

by thedirkatron on Oct 22, 2008 1:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

Mutual hatred

is reserved for GABE GROSS.

Meaning of life? The aggregate collection of moments that you allow to enter into your consciousness, imo, fwiw, etc. (etc.)

by inactive lsb user on Oct 22, 2008 9:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

I hope your right about the nice run of success.

If we can keep JD from trading away the better prospects for magical beans.

"Oh well, McCain is pretty communist anyway,... we can be 70% communist with McCain,"-Sharky

by DJCahill on Oct 22, 2008 7:04 AM CDT up reply actions  

If you were to name the Triumvirate of bad sportswriters...

I think it’s Plashcke flanked by the two Richards, Justice and Griffin. Everything they write is complete bile.

by John Fountain on Oct 21, 2008 9:05 PM CDT reply actions  

plashcke isnt that bad

better than randy galloway.

heh on second thought thats not saying very much

"I don’t know of a single thing Obama’s done except talk and write." - Newt Gingrich
"I'm more happy to be a Dallas Cowboy than when I got my first bike" - Roy Williams (WR)

by knockoutking on Oct 22, 2008 7:52 AM CDT up reply actions  

No list would be complete without the Fraleymeister

And, of course, Stephen “fairly unique yet a dime a dozen” Smith.

Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.

by Brian Thomas on Oct 22, 2008 12:26 PM CDT up reply actions  

Buzz Up

Click here to buy a dime bag?

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Oct 21, 2008 9:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

you can also digg it

"I'm against picketing, but I don't know how to show it." - Mitch Hedberg

by rentz on Oct 22, 2008 7:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

Dickie Justice

is the biggest flip-flopper of opinions that I have ever seen; Adam should know since he lives in Houston. I take everything he says with a grain of salt, and so should everyone else (this is coming from a diehard Astros and Texans fan, btw, though I still enjoy the Rangers as I live in Dallas). Hope this helps.

by Triple347 on Oct 21, 2008 10:03 PM CDT reply actions  

Oh, it helped.

Meaning of life? The aggregate collection of moments that you allow to enter into your consciousness, imo, fwiw, etc. (etc.)

by inactive lsb user on Oct 21, 2008 10:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

Hah.

Fire Todd Dodge. Seriously. 35-23 to ULM? Come on. Well, at least we were competitive for once. Baby steps.

by sprite on Oct 21, 2008 10:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

Amusing

Houston had ONE player above short-season ball ranked in BA’s league prospect rankings: 3B Chris Johnson, ranked 20th in the Texas League. (Not a precise comparison, but imagine if Jose Vallejo was Texas’s best prospect — pitcher or hitter — above Spokane.) If no quality MLB players are involved, there is no package Houston could put together to land Peavy, unless the Pads want to roll the dice on some much younger players. Why would they?

Justice named all eight of Houston’s AFL contingent as part of “the organization’s best.”. Guess what? They’ll all be 24 or older by next spring.

What the bailout does is help those who are concerned about the health care reform that is needed to help shore up our economy. Um, helping, oh, it's got to be about job creation, too. Shoring up our economy, and getting it back on the right track. So health care reform and reducing taxes and reining in spending has got to accompany tax reductions, and tax relief for Americans, and trade. -- Sarah Palin

by Lucas on Oct 21, 2008 11:54 PM CDT reply actions  

By the way

It’s “little” minds.

by brettgardner on Oct 22, 2008 7:24 AM CDT reply actions  

Heh

I was thinking the same thing.

Meaning of life? The aggregate collection of moments that you allow to enter into your consciousness, imo, fwiw, etc. (etc.)

by inactive lsb user on Oct 22, 2008 9:23 AM CDT up reply actions  

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