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Evan Grant on the Ranger 40 man roster situation

Evan Grant has a blog post up about the Rangers' 40 man roster situation, and who could be added and dropped.

John Mayberry, Jr., and Jose Vallejo seem like the slam-dunks.  Evan and Jamey Newberg both seem to think Pedro Strop could be added, but it seems to me that if they were going to do that, they would have either claimed Strop in the first place when the Rockies waived him in September, or else given him a major league deal when they signed him this offseason.  The Rangers could have moved someone to the 60 day d.l. to make room for Strop in September, even if the roster was full then, I believe.

Omar Poveda is a coin flip, and I don't see Michael Schlact or John Bannister being added.  If it is JMJ, Vallejo and Poveda, that leaves the Rangers at 40, although it means that there are probably also guys who will be dropped from the roster later this offseason, such as Wes Littleton and Kam Loe, who Grant discusses as well.

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Poveda, Strop

Think about the reality of carrying those guys on the ML team all year.

Poveda, who has one start above A+ (and was inconsistent there).

And Strop, who apparently won’t pitch until June iirc?

I’ll be surprised if these guys get added, far more surprised if they get taken in Rule V.

Poveda…the ultimate trade sweetener. Dude is like aspartame.

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Nov 12, 2008 2:49 PM CST reply actions  

Poveda is a guy

you could hide in the bullpen for a couple of months of the season before September call-ups. With his potential, there are a good number of teams who would take the chance on adding him to their minor leagues after sacrificing a couple of months of the season by having him as the 25th man.

A team could also add Strop, put him on the DL and stash him there until he is healthy. When he is healthy, he is close to ready enough to be able to go on a team’s 25 man roster. Also around that time, teams will know whether or not they are in the race and can better judge if they can afford trying him out at the ML level.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on Nov 12, 2008 3:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Strop

Yeah, I think that he’s an intriguing guy to draft. I hope they add him to the 40.

Poveda to me is someone you’d love to have in the organization, but I don’t think his upside is such that people will draft him or miss him that much if he is drafted, with the organization’s depth. I could be wrong about that, though. He’s still pretty young. He just has a good deal to do to be a complete starter, and I think he has to have the whole package to be successful, because I don’t think he blows you away with any one thing.

by Brett Perryman on Nov 12, 2008 4:39 PM CST up reply actions  

I just really love

what I’ve read on his change-up. Given his age, I think he’s too good to risk getting away.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on Nov 12, 2008 5:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Strop

I’m 55% confident that he will be added to the 40.

They didn’t “need” to sign him to a ML deal. They probably went the safe route just in case a trade happened between then and the deadline.

by chrisR on Nov 12, 2008 2:51 PM CST reply actions  

Yay, the 40!!

So… Why the hell wouldn’t we just drop Doug Mathis?

He’s terrible.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 12, 2008 3:02 PM CST reply actions  

Options

We would drop Loe or Littleton first because they are out of options and its alot more likely they pass through for that reason alone than a guy like Mathis who, with options remaining, is a guy some team could stash away and see if he harnesses anything. Exactly what happened with Galarraga last year. Detroit knew they could stow him in the minors and see if it “clicks” for him and apparantly it did to some degree.

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Nov 12, 2008 3:07 PM CST up reply actions  

But Mathis isn't good at all.

Galarraga had shown flashes. That’s the real difference here.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 12, 2008 3:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Mathis is decent

Mathis has succeeded at every level so far, and there’s no reason to think he can’t figure out how to get Major League hitters out, too. Guys like Loe who have had chances and still can’t figure it out deserve to be booted first.

by Andy Seiler on Nov 12, 2008 3:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Not gonna argue with that

But Mathis has 2 option years left. Id rather hold on to him and give him another year at least to see if he finds something. Galarraga hadn’t shown anything until around the same age and he only had one option left.

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Nov 12, 2008 3:22 PM CST up reply actions  

i wish people would stop acting

like anyone in the entire world of baseball had any idea Galarraga would break out like he did last year. even in our barren upper levels of our system, he was a nobody.

by clark on Nov 12, 2008 3:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Agree

The only time he was hyped was right after the Soriano trade.

by Andy Seiler on Nov 12, 2008 3:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, to be fair, he didn't REALLY breakout this season.

He had one of the luckiest, flukiest seasons in recent memory. His FIP and tRA paint a much more dire picture than his ERA and W-L.

But I always felt he had the ability to be a decent 4 or 5, or maybe even get converted to the bullpen and be a late inning guy.

I thought it was a mistake to let him go then.

But, yah, no one saw a 3.73 ERA out of the guy.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 12, 2008 3:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Even if he'd had an ERA that matched his peripherals...

…that was better than what could reasonably be expected…

by Adam J. Morris on Nov 12, 2008 3:50 PM CST up reply actions  

2008 FIP

Galarraga 4.88
Mendoza 4.93

by octoberty on Nov 12, 2008 6:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Mendoza sucks!

Galarraga is a #2 starter!

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Nov 12, 2008 7:07 PM CST up reply actions  

I usually agree with you

but not here.

Galaragga was not a nobody. He’s always had a plus slider, and it was stupid to give him away.

I don't hate everything. In fact, I think LSB is just groovy.

by tricer on Nov 12, 2008 3:42 PM CST up reply actions  

No one

thinks it was a good idea to give him away.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Nov 12, 2008 3:57 PM CST up reply actions  

apparently JD did at the time

I don't hate everything. In fact, I think LSB is just groovy.

by tricer on Nov 12, 2008 4:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Yep

made the wrong choice, no doubt.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Nov 12, 2008 6:12 PM CST up reply actions  

you are right

“nobody” is strong language. But that one plus pitch had hardly led to notable minor league success. If I recall, he had a strong second half in ’07, but he was old for the league and was a flyball pitcher, so when stacked against Mendoza, who was one year younger, a groundball guy, and who also had a strong second half, the decision was easy. Honestly, if he had not been “the pitcher we got in the Soriano deal,” I think few people would have taken notice.

Most people complained only because we all live with the curse of knowing that any young pitcher that leaves this franchise is somehow destined for major league success.

by clark on Nov 12, 2008 4:04 PM CST up reply actions  

He had too much talent to

let go, considering some of the Metcalfs they hung onto.

by Brett Perryman on Nov 12, 2008 4:41 PM CST up reply actions  

fine.

but the decision was Mendoza vs. Galarraga as I understand it. And I STRONGLY hoped they’d go the other way with it. They didn’t. In retrospect, for 2008, I was right. For whatever reasons. And AJM and co. on here think Galarraga will come back down to earth. Which MAY happen. But honestly, all I cared about at the time was 2008. Now, all I care about is 2009. Then we’ll worry about the rest.

"Calmer than you are... "

by Walter Sobchak on Nov 12, 2008 7:57 PM CST up reply actions  

2008 FIP

Mendoza 4.93
Galarraga 4.88

by octoberty on Nov 12, 2008 7:58 PM CST up reply actions  

are you some sort of broken record?

Galarraga’s better. Deal with it.

"Calmer than you are... "

by Walter Sobchak on Nov 12, 2008 8:03 PM CST up reply actions  

lol

Only time will tell.

by octoberty on Nov 12, 2008 8:04 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't think it was that simple

Mendoza, Galarraga, Tejeda, Cruz, Feldman, Metcalf…

They were all candidates, I think. Mendoza had 3 options remaining, and had teams interested in him (Boston supposedly wanted him back as part of any Coco Crisp deal), so I think it is fair to say that all else being equal, he was going to hang around.

by Adam J. Morris on Nov 12, 2008 8:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah

There were other options, namely Metcalf. And obviously Cruz and Tejeda both went off the roster anyway. It’s amazing to me that out of that list Metcalf was one of the three who kept his spot.

by Brett Perryman on Nov 12, 2008 8:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Well I think we all did,

that’s where the low blow comes in.

The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ

by NYTXFAN on Nov 12, 2008 8:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Hey! Me and Dirkatron agree!

Mathis sucks. He’s much worse than Mendoza, that’s all you need to know.

I don't hate everything. In fact, I think LSB is just groovy.

by tricer on Nov 12, 2008 3:45 PM CST up reply actions  

lol

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 12, 2008 3:45 PM CST up reply actions  

I think Mathis can do well

out of the bullpen; he never profiled as a ML starter. He looked great in that role (all too brief) before he started. He throws strikes and not a lot of folks in the bullpen do save for Frankie. I would keep him on the 40.

by Goyogringo on Nov 12, 2008 5:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Poveda

Was his season really “disappointing”? To me it looked like a classic case of a guy adapting to a new level and overcoming it. We all know the Cal league inflates stats but he showed good control of those. He allowed less than a hit per inning and his K rate increased from his great 2007 season in Clinton. he needs to get his walks back down but it looks like he is working at it. Its a tough call on him.

If you add him to the 40 you are basically conceding a roster spot to a guy who will not see the majors next year and probably not for the next 2 years. If you don’t add him I could see a team select him and stash him in the bullpen all year. It would have to be a team that is either completely rebuilding and is willing to take the lumps of a guy like him whenever he is used or a team that has a short bench and carries extra relievers.

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Nov 12, 2008 3:05 PM CST reply actions  

Sweet Omar

If we lose Poveda in a 40 snaffoo, I will cry. Then I will start trolling the boards save us style and posting about how everything would have been alright if we had just held on to Poveda and that we are reaping what we have sown.

by bushe on Nov 12, 2008 3:42 PM CST reply actions  

fuckyouyousucknohittersonlypitchers

Like that?

LOL

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Nov 12, 2008 3:48 PM CST up reply actions  

to me poveda is way way way down on the depth chart,

there is no real reason to keep him besides luxury. If we had an extra spot I could see it, but really, he doesn’t need to be kept.

The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ

by NYTXFAN on Nov 12, 2008 8:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Mayberry

Why in the world are we going to add Mayberry? In case nobody noticed, he is a corner outfielder that can’t hit. Give his spot to Poveda.

--Brian

by BCanfield on Nov 12, 2008 3:57 PM CST reply actions  

Agreed

Why protect JMJ at all? Especially if the choice is between Strop or Poveda not being protected instead? What has he ever done that made anyone think he can hack it at the major league level.

by Hull Fan on Nov 12, 2008 3:58 PM CST up reply actions  

I'd rather protect Poveda than Mayberry...

…but Mayberry still has some value, at least to clubs who value potential. If it were me, I’m pretty sure I’d protect Mayberry, Vallejo and Poveda.

by jcir454 on Nov 12, 2008 4:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Why give up Mayberry

when you can release the Cat?

by BuckyB on Nov 12, 2008 4:42 PM CST up reply actions  

+1

Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.

"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky

by DJCahill on Nov 12, 2008 4:55 PM CST up reply actions  

Yep

eat that contract and move on.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Nov 12, 2008 6:13 PM CST up reply actions  

+2

The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ

by NYTXFAN on Nov 12, 2008 8:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Hanging onto a player you don't need

just because you can’t bring yourself to eat his salary is a good way to compound your mistake.

by Brett Perryman on Nov 12, 2008 8:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Especially when

with the signing of Blalock, Cat is a completely redundant and inferior piece.

You can only have so many DHs who can only hit righties.

Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.

"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky

by DJCahill on Nov 13, 2008 9:15 AM CST up reply actions  

Catalanotto

I suspect you could give him away if you paid all but say $750,000 of his salary. That may not sound like a ton of money, but it could be dumped into your draft budget to afford someone who slips due to signability concerns or another kid in Latin America.

by Darrell McKown on Nov 13, 2008 10:48 PM CST up reply actions  

I'll believe it

when it happens. If he could field, or wasn’t a platoon hitter, or could hit for average anymore, maybe.

I certainly wouldn’t let anyone else off the 40 on the offchance we could salvage a fraction of his contract.

Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.

"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky

by DJCahill on Nov 14, 2008 12:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Mayberry

Im sorry but you don’t simply give up on a former 1st round pick who has played basically a full season in AAA unless you absolutely have to. Look how long it took Nelson Cruz to “find it”. We have Mayberry for 3 more years at least to see if it “clicks” for him. He gets protected

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Nov 12, 2008 6:32 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree

I agree on the idea that we need to protect him. However, I don’t see why being a first-rounder warrants any consideration once you’re talking about the 40-man roster. A GM needs to be concerned with having the best players available, not worry about covering up things from the past. First-rounders should deserve a spot on the 40-man regardless of their pedigree. Mayberry does.

by Andy Seiler on Nov 12, 2008 6:34 PM CST up reply actions  

What do you mean

We protected Meyer. Mayberry has been better than Meyer was at the upper levels of the minors. Once we realized he wasn’t going to find it then we DFAd him. if in a year or two Mayberry can’t translate his game to ML status then im sure he will be DFAd as well.

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Nov 14, 2008 2:11 PM CST up reply actions  

A SF trade

would solve this whole roster mess.

that team currently has only 33 guys on their 40 and one lefty who would look pretty good in our rotation. as an added plus, they need help almost everywhere. i won’t go on and on because i have previously stated the packages i would offer for sanchez, but this definitely seems like a good time for a deal like that to go down.

by clark on Nov 12, 2008 4:15 PM CST reply actions  

+1

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by inactive lsb user on Nov 12, 2008 4:52 PM CST up reply actions  

If the roster displaces an enigmatic prospect like Poveda it sucks. Especially if someone like JMJ is displacing him (granted the latter’s a definite Rule V loss).

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Nov 12, 2008 8:46 PM CST up reply actions  

But that isn’t necessary. There are players of little value on the 40 man roster.

by Brett Perryman on Nov 12, 2008 10:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Precisely.

There is always crap on the 40 that can be jettisoned if need be.

Who is gonna miss Wes Littleton or Doug Mathis or Travis Metcalf?

Worst case scenario is they go somewhere else and have maybe one halfway decent season, but you can pickup guys like that off the waiver wire and off the back end of other people’s 40’s all the time.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 12, 2008 11:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Wes Littleton

has done the least to deserve a spot.

by octoberty on Nov 12, 2008 11:39 PM CST up reply actions  

Not sure I agree with that

I think he’s done just as much as either of the others. He might be more useful than Mathis.

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by inactive lsb user on Nov 13, 2008 1:33 AM CST up reply actions  

I peed all over a minty scented urinal cake tonight that might be more useful than Mathis.

It made the bathroom smell like mint!!!

All Mathis does is be horrible at baseball… At least as far as I know.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 13, 2008 1:44 AM CST up reply actions   1 recs

I guess I feel that way because

Littleton has stretched his suck out over three season’s now, where as Mathis’ suck has only been spotted a few times.

by octoberty on Nov 13, 2008 7:49 AM CST up reply actions  

Dunno

Littleton threw a 4.17 FIP in ’06 over 36 IP, tanked in ’07, then threw a 4.13 FIP over 18 IP in ’08.

If you look at the numbers and his stuff, I think he could stick in an ML pen. He’s very effective when he keeps the ball on the ground. His GB% was 70 in ’06, if he can get that back to 60% as opposed to 52-54%, I think his results will be good.

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by inactive lsb user on Nov 13, 2008 8:33 AM CST up reply actions  

I vividly remember

Littleton love by the bushel here a couple of years ago, to the point where other pitchers were being overlooked.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Nov 13, 2008 10:06 AM CST up reply actions  

I've always liked him

but I don’t recall what you’re referencing. I do recall people saying he should be DFA’d, with Adam being one of few who defended him. I have and will continue to defend him so long as his performance warrants. Sure he’s not a stud, but he can be the 6th or 7th guy in a pen, easily.

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by inactive lsb user on Nov 13, 2008 10:55 AM CST up reply actions  

He had a really good stretch

in 2006, I think it was, midseason. Here’s a diary I posted about Wilson, since he wasn’t getting much attention at the time, and Littleton was. Aug. 13, 2006.
http://www.lonestarball.com/2006/8/13/235622/861

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Nov 13, 2008 12:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Bannister

Gave up 5 runs in 1.0 IP of relief in the AZFL today.

by shroomer on Nov 12, 2008 4:28 PM CST reply actions  

-40!

Zing…

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Nov 12, 2008 4:37 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

whaa?

who is this guy?

The Rangers seem to be hot on the trail of Blake and might be the leader in the clubhouse for his services with free agency a few days away. If they don’t sign him, they’ll probably wind up with Joe Crede, who is a bit younger and in the same mold as Blake except he has trouble staying healthy.

Jindal '12

by Longhorn on Nov 12, 2008 5:12 PM CST reply actions  

That place is reputable?

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Nov 12, 2008 5:24 PM CST up reply actions  

not a bad offseason preview all things considered

I’ve been on the Blake bandwagon for years because of his ability to hit lefties and his positional flexibility. Even if they signed him to a 3 year deal, Blake can play 3B for a year or two before moving to the outfield or DH for the inevitable Young/Andrus shuffle. His bat would mitigate the loss of Bradley IMO.

Signature! I don't need no stinking signature!!

by DerekSTheRed on Nov 12, 2008 5:38 PM CST up reply actions  

average?

maybe slightly above average

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Nov 12, 2008 6:53 PM CST up reply actions  

so i should specify

hardball times had him as average

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Nov 12, 2008 6:56 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't get it

Is he really that big of an upgrade over Metcalf considering both defensive and offensive production?

by hiafex on Nov 12, 2008 7:37 PM CST up reply actions  

not very good

not terrible, but def not avg

don’t have a subscription to the +/- system, but I read earlier somewhere that he was like -8 this year, and that was while the year was still going on

At this rate, he’ll be throwing 107-110 by 2012

by trident on Nov 12, 2008 6:54 PM CST up reply actions  

His bat would mitigate the loss of Bradley?

With the season Bradley had last year the only three guys on the FA market who could come close to replacing his production are Tex, Manny and maybe Bonds.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 12, 2008 7:05 PM CST up reply actions  

And of those 3

only 2 aren’t due in court March 2.

by octoberty on Nov 12, 2008 7:09 PM CST up reply actions  

mitigate not replace

No he’s not going to replace Bradley. But because he can hit lefties, he can balance the lineup a bit and not get mowed down by another team’s loogy.

Signature! I don't need no stinking signature!!

by DerekSTheRed on Nov 12, 2008 7:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Okay, in that sense I guess a little.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

MVP votes are the new OBP.

by thedirkatron on Nov 12, 2008 7:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Blake doubles MB’s beard production.

by LiamP on Nov 12, 2008 7:26 PM CST up reply actions  

Best

damn beard in baseball right now.

At this rate, he’ll be throwing 107-110 by 2012

by trident on Nov 12, 2008 7:37 PM CST up reply actions  

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