BTB: Can Chris Davis hit 70 homers?
by ghtd36 on Nov 19, 2008 12:27 AM CST
Email
PrintIn a very thought-provoking piece over at Beyond the Boxscore, Peter Bendix wonders if anyone will ever hit 70 home runs in a season again. It's an interesting topic in and of itself (and master SBNation multi-tasker philkid3 has already hit up the comments), but what makes it even more eye-catching is this:
Certainly, hitting 70 homers is quite difficult - only two players have ever done this, and only two players even managed 40 homers in 2008. But one player comes to mind as having perhaps the most reasonable chance to smack 70 homers: Rangers slugger Chris Davis.
Bendix then breaks down what he feels are the three things that absolutely have to happen in order for Davis (or other hitters) to reach the 70 plateau. In short:
1) Get a lot of plate appearances
2) Minimize the strikeouts and the walks
3) Hit lots of fly balls
4) Hit those fly balls a long way
I'm clearly not doing his piece justice, as it goes into far greater detail. It's definitely worth a read, if only because it mentions the Rangers during a time when basically nobody wants to talk about the Rangers except LSBers.
64 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Very interesting read.
He may indeed have the best shot of anyone in the league right now. However, I’d still put the likelihood of him doing it at anytime in his career at about 1%. Maybe less.
Certainly he’s the group of guys with the potential to do it with Howard, Pujols, Fielder, Hambone, Arod, Jeter and probably others I’m forgetting.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
MVP votes are the new OBP.
Didn't he hit 70 in the minors one season?
The 40 Trumps All!!!
MVP votes are the new OBP.
by thedirkatron on Nov 19, 2008 1:13 AM CST up reply actions
David Eckstein!
"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL
You just know he's gonna hit 70 at some point, and he's going to do it the right way.
Because he’s just so dreamy.
This is from the inside of my Algebra notebook:
I left off all the hearts and the sketch of me and Jeter riding a pony through a field next to a little caption saying “TheJeteratron”, but you get the general idea.
Look at those eyes.
You just know he’s the kind of man who’d always do right by you.
You. Just. Know.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
MVP votes are the new OBP.
by thedirkatron on Nov 19, 2008 3:39 AM CST up reply actions
Never doubt Jeter.
When you doubt greatness, that’s when it rises up from the floor and kind of distracts you for a second or two with like a magic trick or something and then sucker punches you in the mouth.
Jeter plays the game the right way.
He’ll get 70 someday.
Trust me.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
MVP votes are the new OBP.
by thedirkatron on Nov 19, 2008 3:38 PM CST up reply actions
what name doesnt belong
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Nov 19, 2008 10:48 AM CST up reply actions
what name doesnt belong?
Howard, Pujols, Fielder, Hambone, Arod,Jeter
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Nov 19, 2008 10:48 AM CST up reply actions
You're crazy.
You know he plays the game the right way, don’t you?
And all those jump throws have left his legs in excellent condition so you know he has the lower body strength to hit 70.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
MVP votes are the new OBP.
by thedirkatron on Nov 19, 2008 3:39 PM CST up reply actions
Yeah, Jeter will hit 70 dingers....
The same year Mendoza has a 2.00 ERA, Arias has more than 10 HRs, Chris Davis realizes singles are more valuable than HRs, David Price becomes a bust, ARod leaves Madonna for a 70 year old, Jose Canseco releases his 20th book, Manny truely realizes what “Manny being Manny” means, and New York moves their fences to softball territory.
That would be a great year…
In Smoak We Trust
Five minute major, Ghtd36 to the
Fire Todd Dodge. Seriously. Back to Suckville with a loss to FLA ATL but whatever, SUCK IT WESTERN KENTUCKY! 1-9 baby!
Fail on my part.
/skates over to the box, looking forlorn
"Please. What the hell do you know about starting a sports-related website and then deciding to leave it to work on other things and then? How dare you, sir." -- Michael Schur, aka FireJoeMorgan's Ken Tremendous, to Will Leitch
So basically,
if everything goes just right he might do it. That’s nice.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
You forgot 'hit flyballs a long way"
By my calculations, that would seem to be somewhat crucial to the equation.
Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.
by Brian Thomas on Nov 20, 2008 11:46 AM CST up reply actions
You know how Chris Berman is "The Swammy"?
I think I’m gonna start calling you “The Smarmy”.
;)
"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008
Sarcasm Fever
Catch a little…
Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.
by Brian Thomas on Nov 20, 2008 6:06 PM CST up reply actions
You can't catch a fever "a little".
You either catch it or you don’t, you idiot!!!
The 40 Trumps All!!!
MVP votes are the new OBP.
by thedirkatron on Nov 21, 2008 4:13 AM CST up reply actions
Obligatory
Dark horse addition to the “could” list. Nelson Cruz. Had 37 dingers in early July in AAA before an injury timeout last year. Not that he will, but he’s got the essential power to hit a lot of HR’s.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)
by Ed Coffin on Nov 19, 2008 12:19 PM CST up reply actions
Gotta love it
There is only one person around who would submit Nellie Cruz’s name for 70 homer potential, and that is Ed Coffin. I’m cheering for you to be even half-way right, Ed.
Heh .. probably true
I’d be delighted with 35+ as well. With ’roids apparently out of the picture, it may be tough for anybody to get 60, much less 70.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)
by Ed Coffin on Nov 19, 2008 2:27 PM CST up reply actions
+1
I think its safe to say that no one free of roids has ever hit more than 61 HRs. I don’t think its likely that we will see 70 without chemical help.
Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.
"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky
If anything though
the hyped up ‘roid numbers from 5-10 years ago will make it easier for someone to legitimately hit 61 in the future. There won’t be the huge pressure on someone like an ARod who gets hot in August and starts closing in on a big number. Before Big Mac and Sosa, anyone who got to 45 by August 1 was under constant surveillance.
What I think goes without saying
Is that Davis and Cruz, or Cruz and Davis, hitting 5-6 or even 4-5 in the lineup present a fair amount of risk to whomever is pitching against them. It’s nice to see Davis picked out of the crowd of hitters to have consistent longball potential.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)
by Ed Coffin on Nov 19, 2008 4:50 PM CST up reply actions
Sure
Sosa did it. McGwire did it. But did they do it while batting 8th or 9th? CD will do it while batting 8 or 9
I kid, I kid
Sure he can do it.
Just takes a few needle full of ‘roids. I’m sure a few current and former Rangers could hook him up.
Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.
"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky
Are we sure
they don’t already have hookups from the day that roids were not tested? FFace gained weight, started hitting, lost weight after the testing started, and hasn’t hit all that much since.
Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.
"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky
maybe
I kind of assume everyone in baseball was on stuff up until testing started. Except Pudge. I refuse to believe Pudge’s career is tainted….
Yeah, the fact that he lost 25 pounds in the '04-'05
offseason, and then his OPS+ dropped 40 points from ’04 to ’05 was completely unconnected. Sheer coincidence.
Honestly, anyone who wasn’t doing steroids wasn’t a good teammate.
Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.
"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky
Ichiro could hit 70 in a season...
…but only if he wanted to.
Physician: Primum non nocere
Batter: First, make no out
by Chad Crudup on Nov 19, 2008 8:56 AM CST reply actions 4 recs
Jose Canseco could hit 70 in a season
if he wasn’t being blackballed by baseball.
Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball
He can't be bothered...
He’s too busy preparing for the Bonaduce fight.
http://completist.wordpress.com/2008/10/21/jose-canseco-vs-danny-bonaduce/
DSheppard Winner of the 2008 Game Day Thread Graphics Award
Gossamer 1st Runner Up
Honorable Mention:
TxStCa, Rodney, LSJ, Baseballs Girlfriend, CMKelly29, Ghtd36, Chase Irwin,
Rangers85
by LAMuscleFag on Nov 19, 2008 10:48 AM CST up reply actions
yep
Jose got knocked out in the first round pretty quickly a few months ago.
DSheppard Winner of the 2008 Game Day Thread Graphics Award
Gossamer 1st Runner Up
Honorable Mention:
TxStCa, Rodney, LSJ, Baseballs Girlfriend, CMKelly29, Ghtd36, Chase Irwin,
Rangers85
After snapping this candid Davis photo, I'm sold on it too
"Relying on the government to protect your privacy is like asking a peeping tom to install your window blinds."
if only they would flash this on the jumbotron with davis up late in the game, rangers down a run or two
the place would go NUTS
mr.morgan…PLEASE make it happen lol
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Nov 19, 2008 4:56 PM CST up reply actions
On the wall?
Who shit on the fucking wall?
Bring up Matt West '09
by inactive lsb user on Nov 20, 2008 9:20 AM CST up reply actions
Yeah
they could have picked any wall to shit on, but the chose the fucking wall.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
multi-purpose walls
not just for fucking, shitting, and selling food.
Bring up Matt West '09
by inactive lsb user on Nov 20, 2008 10:02 AM CST up reply actions
Looks more like chipping paint to me
"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL
70?
Some of you are setting your expectations way too high for this kid. Talking about 70 home runs is extremely premature.
fuck 70
I expect triple digits. And not someday next year. And if he’s not closing in by the all star break I’m going to be extremely disappointed.
We can always dump him
for Carlos Silva at the deadline.
Bring up Matt West '09
by inactive lsb user on Nov 20, 2008 9:21 AM CST up reply actions
You owe me a new keyboard.
This one’s covered in vomit, thanks to you.
"Please. What the hell do you know about starting a sports-related website and then deciding to leave it to work on other things and then? How dare you, sir." -- Michael Schur, aka FireJoeMorgan's Ken Tremendous, to Will Leitch
x
"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL
by LSJ on Nov 20, 2008 9:49 AM CST up reply actions 2 recs
Which sparks another conversation:
Has steal home become his own LSB meme? I mean, think about it: whenever someone flatly demands pitching with precisely no regard for, say, the future of the franchise or, I don’t know, the long-term impact of such moves or, for instance, rational thought, shouldn’t that be called “pulling a steal home”?
Man…this guy has really established himself.
"Please. What the hell do you know about starting a sports-related website and then deciding to leave it to work on other things and then? How dare you, sir." -- Michael Schur, aka FireJoeMorgan's Ken Tremendous, to Will Leitch
Yeah
SH/SU (steal home/save us) has indeed nagged his way into the tapestry of LSB legend. I think the reason for that is in cyberland only the true idiots are forever remembered, because only the true idiots remain forever constant.
"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL
People on here are just idiots
If you ask any person in Texas what the Rangers need. its pitching, getting hitting and no pitching doesnt work. we have already tryed that, does NOT work. In fact, we have tryed not having pitching for 25 years now, and ONE playoff win
So you would trade
Davis for Silva? Got it.
I'm undefeated in fights. Have I been in any? No. Thats because people know my f'ing status. Don't mess with the elite. - Miles
by Dirk Diggler on Nov 20, 2008 5:13 PM CST up reply actions
awesome
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Nov 20, 2008 10:34 AM CST up reply actions
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Certain photos copyright © 2012 by Associated Press or Getty Images. Any commercial use or distribution without the express written consent of Associated Press and Getty Images is strictly prohibited.
