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Comparing Masterson and Bowden

Given that the Rangers and BoSox are apparently talking a catching for pitching trade, and given that the most likely candidates for Boston to part with among its young pitchers are Justin Masterson and Michael Bowden, I thought it would be worthwhile to link this Prospect Smackdown from April of this year, comparing Bowden and Masterson...

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no thanks...

I’ll take Bucholz…

"For those booing me. Take that, beeep." - Ramon Vazquez

by 8legs2fangs on Nov 5, 2008 1:56 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

yep

Go for the big prize. Maybe I would do a Laird for Bowden but not TT.

A bunch of midgets with no arms could pitch better than us. -iorange555

by boomer1 on Nov 5, 2008 1:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, sure

But that’s sort of like someone interested in trading with the Rangers saying, “No thanks, I’ll take Holland.”

by Adam J. Morris on Nov 5, 2008 2:15 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

But we dont already have

Beckett, Dice-K, and Lester.

by tyd3311 on Nov 5, 2008 2:49 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So what if..

in a what comes around goes around scenario, Boston agrees to trade Buccholz for Teagarden but only if we throw in Wilmer Font…

by tyd3311 on Nov 5, 2008 3:26 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Only if...

Teagarden and Font for Buccholz and Bowden.

Go Cubbies and Go Rangers!

by pbpsean on Nov 5, 2008 3:29 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah

Bowden is not in play in this scenario.

by tyd3311 on Nov 5, 2008 4:24 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Fair trade

I would even include a marginal prospect if that’s what it took to get that package.
I hope Bowden is better than Font, that’s why I want him.

Go Cubbies and Go Rangers!

by pbpsean on Nov 5, 2008 4:22 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I do that deal and never look back

A bunch of midgets with no arms could pitch better than us. -iorange555

by boomer1 on Nov 5, 2008 3:32 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

much tougher decision

but yes, I’d do Perez + Teagarden for Buch

I don't hate everything. In fact, I think LSB is just groovy.

by tricer on Nov 5, 2008 4:27 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I think I’d do that too.

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Nov 5, 2008 4:32 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You better know that Buccholz is the real deal.

by tyd3311 on Nov 5, 2008 4:41 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

You should tell that to Evan Grant

He keeps writing that other teams will take that very attitude with the Rangers: “No Holland, no Feliz, no Davis, no Andrus…no thanks.”

I propose a 5-year moratorium on trading any young Ranger pitchers who throw over 90 mph.

by Ajax68 on Nov 5, 2008 5:25 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Masterson

pretty ‘meh’ on either, though.

by SteveP on Nov 5, 2008 1:58 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

That just about sums up my position as well.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 5, 2008 2:01 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Gerald Laird and Wilfredo Boscan

for Masterson.

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by Chase Irwin on Nov 5, 2008 6:40 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

no way

i am very bullish on boscan. i think he will come quick and be very serviceable for us. laird for a bullpen arm seems fair to me, just don’t pick an overhyped one.

by clark on Nov 5, 2008 7:02 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So Laird-Masterson straight up?

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by Chase Irwin on Nov 5, 2008 7:07 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I can't see them doing that.

I’d do Laird for Delcarmen in about half a second, but I have no idea how they view Delcarmen. From some places I hear they view him as a future closer, and from others I hear they don’t trust him and that’s why Masterson all but took over his job as the righty half of their setup platoon with Okajima during the stretch and into the playoffs.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 5, 2008 7:16 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

i think

this is the time to be focused on Delcarman. I might even target a b prospect along with him, even for Laird.

by clark on Nov 5, 2008 8:22 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Right, I can't either

I think that was clark’s pipe dream.

I don’t see any objections to Laird + Boscan for Masterson from you?

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by Chase Irwin on Nov 5, 2008 9:00 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

laird for masterson

is definitely a pipe dream, but that isn’t what i am suggesting. right now masterson is pretty hyped up because of his postseason prowess, but i am still not sure he can be a successful starter in this league. also, i am very bullish on boscan. laird and pimentel, perhaps, but i love boscan.

by clark on Nov 5, 2008 10:14 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Heh.

Sniped me while I was typing! ;)

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 5, 2008 10:15 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno.

I really like Boscan. I hate using him as a low-level sweetener. An 18 year old in A ball posting a 6:1 k/bb ratio deserves some serious love.

But if you’re asking if the basic parameters of the deal (Laird plus a C+/B- prospect for Masterson) would be okay with me, then, yah. Sure.

But Boscan is the shiznit.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 5, 2008 10:15 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well if you're struggling to watch a guy like Boscan go

I can imagine how heartbroken you’ll be when some of these top 10’s are traded …

I just threw out a name that would make sense. I’d rather throw a Boscan in than a Font or Pimentel.

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by Chase Irwin on Nov 6, 2008 8:19 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well to clarify

My problem with said scenario isn’t that we’d be trading Boscan, it’s that we’d be trading Boscan for less than I think he’s worth.

If we trade a Dirkatron approved young player for value tantamount to what I think he’s worth, then sure I might be a little sad to see our hometown boy go, but I certainly wouldn’t be heartbroken.

See: Volquez, Edinson.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 6, 2008 10:40 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

meh

it’s meh if you are comparing them to buccholz. but, they will both probably have solid major league careers as relievers or #4’s. we really don’t need that? we’re sure?

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Nov 5, 2008 2:13 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Bowden

I think the Rangers may like Bowden’s curveball over Masterson’s slider.

Nolan Ryan should be the Rangers president, GM, manager and pitching coach.

by RangerMad on Nov 5, 2008 2:15 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I have a novel idea

How about NO trades? Pick up a couple of discount arms if needed in the next couple of off seasons and go with the #1 minor league system in baseball.

Sorry if that sounded too much like Shark.

"Colt mccoy sucks, mack brown needs to be fired." - Longhorn

by DaheelzCM on Nov 5, 2008 2:16 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Make them 2 catchers

Make 1 the starter
Make 1 the backup
Make 1 a DH
Make 1 a 1st baseman

I only think you worry about a surplus when you know that all of them can actually play at the major league level.

"Colt mccoy sucks, mack brown needs to be fired." - Longhorn

by DaheelzCM on Nov 5, 2008 2:49 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

There are really only 2

Smoak has played 14 games of pro ball. He won’t enter the equation until at least 2010 if that. We can worry about him then. You can always have a DH/1B platoon with Salty, Max, and Davis. Or you could have Davis at 3rd again.

Not trading anyone is not feasible and would cause roster problems. I get that. I just want to give guys we already have every chance to help the Rangers instead of another team.

"Colt mccoy sucks, mack brown needs to be fired." - Longhorn

by DaheelzCM on Nov 5, 2008 3:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Bye Bye Hank

"Colt mccoy sucks, mack brown needs to be fired." - Longhorn

by DaheelzCM on Nov 5, 2008 3:57 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

But if you go for that

and any of them go teets up before or in the majors, you’ve boned yourself. Better to move one or two now than risk positional moves, benching, or DH’ing a young, athletic guy that might still be able to be at least league average in the field.

by Keynes on Nov 6, 2008 8:42 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So so sharky

don’t trade anyone ever.

"Oh well, McCain is pretty communist anyway,... we can be 70% communist with McCain,"-Sharky

by DJCahill on Nov 5, 2008 2:55 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

no trades

I’m all for putting a moratorium on trades, with the exception of catcher. JD built up this catching surplus to improve the pitching. It would be the height of folly to not use it now.

Signature! I don't need no stinking signature!!

by DerekSTheRed on Nov 5, 2008 3:05 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I think I'd much rather have Masterson.

A Laird or maybe even Salty trade for Masterson would have me doing cartwheels. I wouldn’t be upset about a MaxRam trade, either, as Masterson was actually rated quite a bit ahead of him in the last BP list. I would like to think I’m not overvaluing Max, though, and that we could get something else in there.

by philkid3 on Nov 5, 2008 2:21 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Going in to this past season. . .

Masterson was a four star prospect and ranked 3rd in the Red Sox farm system. Bowden was a three star and ranked 6th. Here were the analysis. . .

3. Justin Masterson, RHP
DOB: 3/22/85
Height/Weight: 6-6/250
Bats/Throws: R/R
Draft: 2nd round, 2006, San Diego State
2007 Stats: 4.33 ERA at High-A (95.2-103-22-56); 4.34 ERA at Double-A (58-49-18-59)

Year In Review: The big right-hander held his own in Lancaster, then took off once he arrived in the most realistic baseball environs of the Eastern League, allowing five earned runs over 33 2/3 IP in his first five starts for Portland.
The Good: Masterson’s sinker is not only the best in the system, it’s arguably the best in all of the minor leagues. The pitch comes out of his hand at 88-92 mph, touches 94, and features tremendous downward break. Making the pitch even more effective is his ability to locate it in any four quadrants of the zone. He has an intimidating presence on the mound, and his drop-and-drive style gives him some deception.
The Bad: Masterson’s three-quarters delivery is a bit of a concern, as his causes him to often get around on his slider, taking away any depth from the pitch. He made some progress this year with a circle grip on his changeup, but it remains a below-average pitch. Because of these concerns with his arsenal, some project him to be a reliever down the road.
Fun Fact: Masterson was born in Jamaica while his father was serving as the Dean of Students at Jamaica Theological Seminary.
Perfect World Projection: Pitchers like Chien-Ming Wang, Fausto Carmona and Derek Lowe have proven that sinkerballers can have great success in starting roles. While Masterson is in that mold, he’s a notch below them.
Timetable: Masterson’s development has come along a bit more quickly than expected, and he’ll likely begin 2008 at Triple-A Pawtucket. His long-term role with the Red Sox is still undefined, but he could get a big league look by the end of the season.
6. Michael Bowden, RHP
DOB: 9/9/86
Height/Weight: 6-3/215
Bats/Throws: R/R
Draft: 1st round, 2005, Waubonsie Valley HS (IL)
2007 Stats: 1.37 ERA at High-A (46-35-8-46); 4.28 ERA at Double-A (96.2-105-33-82)

Year In Review: Entering the year as one of the top arms in the system, Bowden gained some early attention by being the only pitcher who could succeed at Lancaster, but his showing at Double-A wasn’t nearly as impressive.
The Good: While Bowden has the command of a control specialist, his stuff is far from pedestrian. His fastball sits in the low-90s, and his curveball is a plus offering. He thrives on competition, and seems to find an extra gear in tight situations. While his numbers at Double-A weren’t overly impressive, he was among the youngest pitchers in the league at the time of his promotion.
The Bad: The biggest knock scouts have with Bowden is his funky mechanics. A term normally reserved for batters, Bowden’s delivery almost has a hitch in it and comes in a lot of parts, so it’s easy for him to get out of synch, costing him velocity, command, and movement. His changeup still needs work to become a usable big league pitch.
Fun Fact: In three California League starts away from Lancaster’s high-octane home stadium, Bowden fired 18 2/3 shutout innings.
Perfect World Projection: A third or fourth starter in the major leagues.
Timetable: The Red Sox were happy to get Bowden out of the California League, but that have no need to rush him. He’ll likely spend all of 2008 back at Double-A unless he can rediscover last April’s magic.

As Masterson graduated, that was really the last time anything was written about him in Future Shock.

Masterson ranked as the 53rd best prospect in the country in the mid-season list (four spots below Eric Hurly, five spots above Elvis Andrus, 24 spots above Taylor Teagarden and MaxRam wasn’t on the list). Bowden ranked 95th.

Finally, here are their Stars and Scrubs charts. These are from before the season, obviously.

Bowden

Masterson

by philkid3 on Nov 5, 2008 2:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

What do they look like...

after a full 2008?

IIUC, the original link and the above are long before the end of the 08 season. So how do the project now after another year of development?

by gr7070 on Nov 5, 2008 4:05 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

2008 is over

Have we not seen all ready?

by gr7070 on Nov 5, 2008 5:14 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Nope.

Projections will come out later in the off-season.

by philkid3 on Nov 5, 2008 5:23 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Understood

I should have used better wording.

I don’t follow the minor leagues much at all, and aside from a reasonable handle on appropriate K:BB ratios, K:IP ratios the stats wouldn’t do me much good either or I’d look them up myself.

So I should have asked how did these guys fair in the full 2008 campaign and does it look like there performance confirmed the previous projections, raised or lowered them?

by gr7070 on Nov 5, 2008 5:42 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

It's hard to say.

They don’t really project their Minor League stats.

I can put up a rough estimation later, though (compare their various peak projections to how they did at the various levels this year).

by philkid3 on Nov 5, 2008 5:56 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Not too excited about either.

I think Masterson. I think I will almost always go for the guy with the better fastball, so long as the secondary pitches of the other guy aren’t off the charts. Bowden is reported to have a nice curveball, but not off the charts. Give me the guy with nasty movement on his fastball.

However, I really am not all that interested in this trade possibility. It might be that Masterson, if his secondary pitches do not develop, is all ready in the Ranger’s fold in the form of Mendoza.

Go Rangers!

by rooster on Nov 5, 2008 3:04 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I have no problem with acquiring these types of guys

While it is obvious the rangers would benefit from a true “Ace” in their rotation, people usually forget that they can’t even develop decent #3 or #4 guys.

The goal (hope?) of the organization should be to develop at least one #1/#2 type from its premier pitching crop (Feliz, Holland, Main), and to get at least two good #3/#4/#5 guys from its secondary group (Hurley, Harrison, Feldman, BMac, Hunter, etc). I think adding to either pile helps you as a team.

Obviously if I don’t get Buchholz from Boston, we get to choose the catcher though…

by JBImaknee on Nov 5, 2008 3:11 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Decent #3 or #4 guys
  1. is pushing it, yes, but one of Hurley and Harrison is going to stick somewhere mid-rotation. I do believe.

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Nov 5, 2008 3:20 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Weird, the formatting just went sideways. I think one of those pitchers will develop to number-four level, even number-three.

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Nov 5, 2008 3:22 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

None?

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 5, 2008 7:13 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

He's still got a ways to go before he convinces me.

But I hope you’re right.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 5, 2008 8:18 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I feel like he still has room

to add a mph or 2 to his fastball.

by tyd3311 on Nov 5, 2008 8:28 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't.

But I hope you’re right.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Rule 5? No…talk to the hand.

by thedirkatron on Nov 5, 2008 10:11 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Let me reword that

His average FB according to fangraphs was, to my suprise, 90.2.. i thought it would be in the 89’s, but I wouldn’t be suprised if that bumped up to the range 90.8 to 91.4.. He is pretty gangly.

by tyd3311 on Nov 6, 2008 9:06 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

How many number 4 guys can you have?

We need to package and go for potential number 1 guys. Too many of the Hunter, Mendoza, Feldman, Masterson type one team is just going to lead to 40-man roster problems in the future. Also, indecision because we are trying to develop 10 pitchers into 3 potential starters will lead to stunted development, as we will be thinning the amount of attention each gets and be less able to evaluate their value (see Armando Galaraga).

Go for Bucholtz. Throw in another player with the catcher if we need to (such as Font, Pimentel, or whoever).

by BuckyB on Nov 5, 2008 4:43 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

On another note

Is Teagarden getting overvalued by our system? I feel like his ridiculous big league hitting as shaped the view that we should have of him (a .275, 10, 60 type catcher).

Unless we really believe fully in his ability to have Jason Varitek receiving and pitch calling abilities throughout his career, there is no way we should even hesitate to ship him off for the likes of Bucholtz or other potential number 1 starters.

by BuckyB on Nov 5, 2008 4:46 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Teagarden was already highly touted before even seeing the Majors.

Kevin Goldstein had him as a four star prospect and moving up as recently as mid-season. Likes him to be a Mickey Tettleton type with better fielding.

by philkid3 on Nov 5, 2008 4:48 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Granted

But when you’re as up and down as he’s been throughout the minor leagues, I can’t imagine that his major league success was the true telling of his hitting abilities. I hope so, I just don’t believe it yet. Not often can someone hit around 215 for a minor league season and then jump to 1205 OPS once he gets to the Bigs.
If you take out his really good showing in a half of a season at Bakersfield, he has been underwhelming at the plate in his career so far.

by BuckyB on Nov 5, 2008 4:53 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

"I can’t imagine that his major league success was the true telling of his hitting abilities."

I don’t, either. Anyone basing much of their opinion on 53 plate appearances is a buffoon.

by philkid3 on Nov 5, 2008 5:24 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Community Rankings

It was interesting to look at the community rankings for all of baseball. They had five Rangers in their top 30 with the order being Feliz, Holland, Smoak, Andrus and Rameriz.

"Purity of heart is to will one thing" - Kierkegaard

by outofnace on Nov 5, 2008 5:42 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

My thoughts:

I think Masterson is the safest.

but Buch and Bowden have higher ceilings…

and I actually think I might like Bowden more than Buchholz.

Mitt Romney 2012!!!!!

by dstar442005 on Nov 5, 2008 7:57 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

why?

bowden over buchholz?

by clark on Nov 5, 2008 8:22 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

He doesn't believe in evolution.

God made Bowden.

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by Chase Irwin on Nov 5, 2008 9:01 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Heh

A Lonestar in California

Just say no to Scott Olsen.

by lonestarJon on Nov 5, 2008 9:19 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Bowden

lower BB/9 consistently

still pitches well even when he doesn’t K people

better adaptation to higher levels

21 years old last year

is there some fundamental thing I should know about Bowden to make me worry?, Because I’m just looking at the stats.

says the bigot.

by dstar442005 on Nov 6, 2008 7:34 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, his actual stuff is

mediocre and KLaw holds a low opinion of it.

"He’s basically told himself unconsciously that he can’t be any good unless he catches 130 games a year. If he played with the baseball smarts of a guy like a David Eckstein, he’d maximize his talent and be an incredible player." - Andy Seiler, Texas Rangers Analyst

by Chase Irwin on Nov 6, 2008 8:20 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Bowden...

isn’t even close to Buchholz.

And I really don’t think Masterson is the “safest”.

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Nov 5, 2008 8:50 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

thank you.

by tyd3311 on Nov 5, 2008 8:53 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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