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Around SBN: Gary Carter, Mets All-Time Great Catcher, Has Died

Blake Beavan Interview

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Q: Are you cocky, confident, or a combination of the two? 

 

Beavan: Every professional athlete is cocky in his or her own way. That's what makes you good. Whether it's cocky as far as showing people in body language, or the quiet cocky, I think everybody is some sort of cocky. I'd say I'm more confident than anything. Back in high school I'd tell you that I was definitely cocky, but now I've been through a year and a half of professional baseball, with instructs and stuff, and it brings you back down to earth and humbles you and makes you realize that you aren't the only good athlete out there -- that you are going to have to work just as hard, if not double the effort of the other guys, if you want to be on that stage.

Question: Assume that Beavan's velo is already back in the 92-95 range. Does that have influence on where you would rank him on a prospect list? How much higher would you rank him because of the increased velo?

 

 

 

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Nice interview

Intersting to know that he understands the difference of pitching with and without velocity.

If his velocity come back, but he still understands the art of pitching, look out, hes got closer written all over him. Unless his change develops…

by laxtonto on Dec 1, 2008 8:59 AM CST reply actions  

great interview

really appreciate your work

by blalock84 on Dec 1, 2008 1:02 PM CST reply actions  

I'll re-post this here because I'm actually curious about it

Question: Assume that Beavan’s velo is already back in the 92-95 range. Does that have influence on where you would rank him on a prospect list? How much higher would you rank him because of the increased velo?

by jparks77 on Dec 1, 2008 1:06 PM CST reply actions  

IMO

an increase in velocity would give him a better chance at being an elite closer. I think having that as a fall back is worth more. How much higher does that put him? I don’t really know — maybe a spot or two?

I'm undefeated in fights. Have I been in any? No. Thats because people know my f'ing status. Don't mess with the elite. - Miles

by Dirk Diggler on Dec 1, 2008 1:12 PM CST up reply actions  

why do you say he'd be a closer

if anything, beaven proved to be the most durable of our 07 first rounders (i guess outside of hunter)… He definitely seemed to be able to get hitters out up and down the order twice, and that would only be helped with an increased velo. Id really think that this year at least proved that Beaven is much more of a SP than a reliever. And if his stuff doesnt really come back he’d be more a back end starter, but if it does more of a front end guy.

by blalock84 on Dec 1, 2008 1:24 PM CST up reply actions  

I think he's referring to

Beavan’s lack of a true “out” pitch. Increased velo would make his FB his greatest asset, but his CU and slider are works in progress. It all depends on how all 3 pitches develop.

"Holland didn’t make that kid question his swing, he made him question his career path"

by trident on Dec 1, 2008 2:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Lack of a true out pitch would seem to disqualify him as a closer, not the other way around.

Closers usually have two solid pitches, one of which is a true out pitch.

A big durable dude with three average/above-average pitches screams starter to me.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 1, 2008 2:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Me too

and Dirk clarified below, he was referring to the tendency for the back end of the bullpen to be flamethrowers.

Beavan has never seemed to be a closer in waiting… that role is reserved for Kiker/Feliz types.

"Holland didn’t make that kid question his swing, he made him question his career path"

by trident on Dec 1, 2008 2:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Kiker

having velo issues of his own.

Bring up Matt West '09

by inactive lsb user on Dec 1, 2008 4:53 PM CST up reply actions  

I just meant if he doesn't make it as a starter

having the ability to get that extra velo can be the difference between a marginal closer and an all-star.

I didn’t mean for that to come across as I think it’s likely he ends up as a closer.

I'm undefeated in fights. Have I been in any? No. Thats because people know my f'ing status. Don't mess with the elite. - Miles

by Dirk Diggler on Dec 1, 2008 2:11 PM CST up reply actions  

IMO

a couple spots higher, from ~12 to ~8/9 with Martin Perez. Ahead of Hurley, Beltre, Borbon for me.

"Holland didn’t make that kid question his swing, he made him question his career path"

by trident on Dec 1, 2008 1:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Yup

That’s about where I’d have him too.

"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL

by LSJ on Dec 2, 2008 12:48 AM CST up reply actions  

Possibly a spot or two.

I already have him at ten so it’d be hard for him to move up too much just on velocity, but I think he could leapfrog up a bit in my book if he was showing that he could sit at ~92-93 over a full start just cause it would serve to alleviate some of my bat-missing concerns regarding the Wonderful Wun.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 1, 2008 1:13 PM CST up reply actions  

We need to make

a dirkatron callsign list. Anybody that browses but doesn’t frequent this forum would have no idea who you are talking about 2/3 of the time… at least

"Holland didn’t make that kid question his swing, he made him question his career path"

by trident on Dec 1, 2008 1:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Hah!

I do tend to just make shit up and kind of expect people to catch on with things like BORP and LAIE.

I think Eric Thompson’s Ghost needs to post a new LSB user’s guide.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 1, 2008 2:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Results

It would depend heavily on how he controlled it. If his results were good, then he’d definitely be higher.

by Andy Seiler on Dec 1, 2008 1:14 PM CST up reply actions  

JParks - Clarification please

Do you mean working 92-95 or working in the low 90s but being able to ratchet it up to 95? Dont mean to nitpick but there is a huge difference for me.

by Michael Cave on Dec 1, 2008 1:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Working in 92-95 range

Of course the catch is that he might sacrifice some movement for the velo increase.

by jparks77 on Dec 1, 2008 1:19 PM CST up reply actions  

Right,

that is exactly why I asked. Thank you. He would shoot up the list for me provided he keeps his pitching philosophy intact. From what I have heard and seen (only video) during last season he was spotting up very well.

Something in your interview that caught my attention was that Beavan said that he realized he had to pitch like a guy throwing high 80s-low 90s. This means that most of his pitches were likely low in the zone and he did less “challenging” to hitters. I think with this increased velocity he would be able to change his hitters’ eye levels. Instead of working side to side through the zone he could work up and down with less fear. Like I said I above I would hope that he would keep his pitching philosophy intact however with the caveat that now he can be more creative with his FB.

by Michael Cave on Dec 1, 2008 1:28 PM CST up reply actions  

Id probably re-rank him

RIght there with Main. It seems like the only thing seperating the two is the fact that beaven’s velo went down. i know makeup and what not, but if you look at the numbers, the secondary pitches, beaven probably even’s out the makeup worries with the lack of injury concerns and pure performance last year.

by blalock84 on Dec 1, 2008 1:27 PM CST up reply actions  

The real issue to me

as you pointed out before is: what the hell happened to his reportedly plus slider? The reemergence (or the appearance for the first time) of this plus pitch would do wonders for his fastball even if he only sits 89-92…

by Goyogringo on Dec 1, 2008 2:45 PM CST up reply actions  

This.

In memory of Ulysses Simpson Grant Stoner. RIP Lil Stoner.

by tricer on Dec 1, 2008 3:06 PM CST up reply actions  

I would

have him higher on my list if his velo increased. prob 5 notches higher. but only if he’s keeping it down in the zone and stays with his same philosophy. he’s pitching now, not throwing as he did during his prep career. If he’s painting w/ 5mph more on his fb, then he’s missing more bats. Right now he’s pitching to contact which is great and he’s been successful at it, but start humping it up there 93-95..it just makes him more effective (and a little more intimidating to the hitters). Not to mention his secondary stuff would be more effective as the hitters need to prep for a fb w/ more zip. just my pov.

Freddie King rules faces.

by Cecilio's Guante on Dec 1, 2008 9:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Follow-up

Would you favor a pitcher with an upper 80s/low 90s fastball with serious sink or a pitcher that throws in the 92-95 range with less movement? Assume the comps are similar.

It’s obvious what I’m getting at here, but I find the topic very interesting.

I appreciate the responses.

by jparks77 on Dec 1, 2008 1:44 PM CST reply actions  

Velo is exciting, but

I’d probably go with the movement guy if everything else was similar.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Dec 1, 2008 2:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Movement

Gimme Webb over Oswalt/Burnett or any of those FB/CB guys any day

"Holland didn’t make that kid question his swing, he made him question his career path"

by trident on Dec 1, 2008 2:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Any of those FB / CB guys?

Like Nolan Ryan and Sandy Koufax?

by mjh on Dec 2, 2008 6:42 AM CST up reply actions  

movement

You can easily get by on a slightly slower fastball with better movement. I’ll take the movement on the fastball over velocity any day.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on Dec 1, 2008 2:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Me, I'll take both.

/sarcasm

" He throws it where he wants it, his breaking ball kept getting better and better and of course God gave him that special arm. He's great." ~ Neftali Feliz on Derek Holland.

by Kinslerhomer on Dec 1, 2008 2:27 PM CST up reply actions  

That word doesn't mean what you think it means

Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.

by Brian Thomas on Dec 1, 2008 2:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Coco "coffee is for closers" Cordero is a good case in point

97-8 with zero movement. When his control is on, he’s effective, but definitely not unhittable. With out control, he’s borderline useless.

I suspect most people would take good movement over 3-4 mph, wouldn’t you?

Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.

by Brian Thomas on Dec 1, 2008 2:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Absolutely

I’m just trying to figure out why Beavan is usually ranked where Beavan is usually ranked. I have my reasons (secondary development), but I was curious to see if the velo dip was enough of a negative to influence his ranking.

It seems that some would prefer a few more ticks on his fastball and downgrade him for that, while others would rather have the current velo with the current movement and downgrade him for something else. Of course, it’s not out of the question to assume he could gain velo while keeping the movement, but that’s another story.

Basically, I’m just trying to find out why people think Beavan is a second tier prospect. It’s intriguing to me.

by jparks77 on Dec 1, 2008 3:21 PM CST up reply actions  

It isn't the lost velocity for me (although that definitely disappointed)

It is the low k rate.

If he was throwing 89 with 10K/9 he’d be right behind Main and Perez.

Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.

by Brian Thomas on Dec 1, 2008 3:27 PM CST up reply actions  

same here

people see the low strikeout rate and hear the reports of diminished velocity. I assume that those two are probably related. If his strikeout rate drastically improves while his velocity stays the same, then that is a great development.

In memory of Ulysses Simpson Grant Stoner. RIP Lil Stoner.

by tricer on Dec 1, 2008 3:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Yes. Although he still is right behind those guys in my book, which is much smarter and has better illustrations than yours.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 1, 2008 4:07 PM CST up reply actions  

You gotta miss bats

There isn’t any way around it in the minors.

Hopefully this is just a speed bump incurred from refining his delivery. Cuz, you be on the money, he’s doing everything else right.

And FYI: Your book may be smarter (I’m sure it has many more pages exhaustively researched), but mine has a foreword by Clint Eastwood.

Have you heard of him? He’s an Academy award winning director.

Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.

by Brian Thomas on Dec 1, 2008 5:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Yah, and he deserved the Oscar he won... for Unforgiven.

It’s so cute that you believe everything the Academy Awards tell you, though.

Why form your own opinions when the a bunch of Hollywood douchebags can tell you what to think?

“Not only was Crash the best film of the year, it was also the best edited film of the year!” -Brian Thomas, Academy Award parrot.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 2, 2008 3:22 AM CST up reply actions  

You see through me like a dirty window

Up late drinking again?

Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.

by Brian Thomas on Dec 2, 2008 8:28 AM CST up reply actions  

Up early.

And it’s not like you’re an opaque dude when it comes to your affinity for various movies/tv shows.

You like what the award givers and aficionados tell you that you should like. I’m sorry I’m not like you and I can decide for myself whether or not a movie is good or horrendously stupid in a way that is insulting to the viewer and really to all of humanity in general.

It must be nice to be Mr. B. Carter Thomas and have the Academy go on television once a year and tell you what movies you should think are good.

“Honestly, do you squids grok just how superb the sound mixing was in the Bourne Ultimatium!?” -Brian Thomas, Academy Award parrot.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 2, 2008 8:49 AM CST up reply actions  

I enjoy

Clint Eastwood’s subtle touches in all his movies.

Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.

"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky

by DJCahill on Dec 2, 2008 9:28 AM CST up reply actions  

I love that avatar

Those who would sacrifice liberty for safety deserve neither.

by Brian Thomas on Dec 2, 2008 9:30 AM CST up reply actions  

I just love

blatently stealing others schtick :)

Nolan Ryan is the Greatest Pitcher ever, because Google says so.

"BTW I’m officially welching ab03. Yeah I planned too all along, but I figured I’d try to get off the hook with double or nothing first."- Sharky

by DJCahill on Dec 2, 2008 10:58 AM CST up reply actions  

he doesn't look so much angry or vengeful

as he does constipated. do you think that’s how he came up with that famous scowl? is that also how the Cower scour came about…?

"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"

by Walter Sobchak on Dec 3, 2008 11:06 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes, finally.

Rec.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 2, 2008 9:59 AM CST up reply actions  

Ha, ha, ha! It got greened!

Take that, Thomas!!!

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 2, 2008 11:08 AM CST up reply actions  

This.

Green it.

Bring up Matt West '09

by inactive lsb user on Dec 2, 2008 9:15 PM CST up reply actions  

Wha happen?

Where did his plus slider get away to?

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Dec 1, 2008 3:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Slider

The problem with his slider is that it was never really a plus pitch to begin with. It might have had plus potential, he could definitely spin it in high school and it certainly had its moments in ’08, but I strongly doubt it was ever a legit plus pitch.

I think people (fans, prospectors, writers, etc.) have a tendency to misinterpret/misrepresent scouting grades. “Plus potential” can easily turn into straight up “plus” when the situation calls for it. Before you know it plus-plus grades are all over place and some 17 year old in short season ball has three plus pitches attached to his resume.

All that said, Beavan’s slider could still develop into a monster of a pitch. It currently has monster potential or even monster-monster potential if the situation happens to call for that.

by jparks77 on Dec 1, 2008 4:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Ah-ha!

Thanks for the clarification. Perhaps all us prospectophiles add to this dilemma, huh?

I’ll be pulling for monster-monster on the slider ;)

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Dec 1, 2008 4:09 PM CST up reply actions  

Slider

He just seems to get around it too much. I think this could be solved with more focus on his fingers as opposed to trying to spin it with his wrist.

by Michael Cave on Dec 1, 2008 7:34 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree

when you’re a manchild throwing 96 with all the hitters “gearing up” for the fastball, then you throw something up there 10 mph slower, you’re going to get some dumb looks. Dumb looks make some think he’s got a slider Jesus would dig. I can totally see how the slider got overhyped. But it could also be that since he’s learned a new delivery / arm action his slider has suffered. I’m giving this kid’s loss of velo and loss of slider (supposed out pitch)) til end of next year, if they’re both still lacking then there’s maybe something to worry about…until then, just something to keep your eye on.

Freddie King rules faces.

by Cecilio's Guante on Dec 1, 2008 9:01 PM CST up reply actions  

do we have anybody with

a “monster-monster” pitch currently in our system? does Feliz have movement on that 100 mph comet???

"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"

by Walter Sobchak on Dec 3, 2008 11:08 AM CST up reply actions  

Yep

Feliz has the best pitch in our system. It has both velo and movement (which is rare) and he can command it. I’ve seen it mentioned as being an 80 on the 20-80 scale. That’s beyond monster-monster.

by jparks77 on Dec 3, 2008 11:21 AM CST up reply actions  

There's something beyond moster-monster?

I figured monster-monster meant 80.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 3, 2008 12:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Grades

Plus-plus is 70. 80 is its own beast.

by jparks77 on Dec 3, 2008 1:03 PM CST up reply actions  

I learn new stuff every single day thanks to LSB.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.

by thedirkatron on Dec 3, 2008 1:15 PM CST up reply actions  

+1

"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL

by LSJ on Dec 3, 2008 9:40 PM CST up reply actions  

Holland's fastball.

If it stays at 94-96, his fastball isn’t far from “monster-monster” status.

Neftali Feliz is not a swimmer.

by NoNameOnCard on Dec 3, 2008 5:43 PM CST up reply actions  

does it have the movement?

I know he has the control…

"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"

by Walter Sobchak on Dec 4, 2008 9:59 AM CST up reply actions  

With his massive # of swing-and-misses

it’s gotta.

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Dec 4, 2008 11:19 AM CST up reply actions  

Absolutely.

Movement + command + velocity = great fastball.

Neftali Feliz is not a swimmer.

by NoNameOnCard on Dec 5, 2008 12:50 AM CST up reply actions  

it really is nasty

just watching it in short clips it looks sick. THat thing has some sick tailing action to it, going that fast, i can understand how no one can hit it.

by blalock84 on Dec 3, 2008 6:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Monster-monster-monster

Feliz’s fastball looks like a 90 on the 20-80 scale. But I tend to exaggerate…

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Dec 3, 2008 2:25 PM CST up reply actions  

how about this...

if he never had that velocity, it wouldn’t have been a great reason to knock him down a few pegs…but then again, he probably wouldn’t have been up as high as he originally was. and to the naked eye, that loss in velocity hurts somebody that was throwing pretty hard to start out. but if you take his peripherals, and how much success he had, which I think was quite considerable, and take the fact that he actually learned how to “pitch” instead of just “throw” this past year while not being able to use a dominant fastball, I would actually rank him much higher than most do right now…right on the heels of Main, especially if he regains a few mph on the heater. sacrifice movement for 3-4 mph? can he dial it down to 89-91 still and use that movement, or does adding 3-4 mph completely take away the movement from here on out? if not, I think he’s a very good prospect.

"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"

by Walter Sobchak on Dec 3, 2008 10:59 AM CST up reply actions  

Movement

Especially in this ballpark, a sink pitch is prefect for groundballs and not flyballs

In Smoak We Trust

by Smoak Some on Dec 1, 2008 3:00 PM CST up reply actions  

I'll take the one that comes with command

and not the “pound the strike zone” type of command, but the paint the black in and out kind of command.

Luis Mendoza and Ryan Drese threw some sickly sinkers, but leave them over the plate and it’ll still get hit hard.

by SteveP on Dec 1, 2008 5:56 PM CST up reply actions  

I know ERA isn't everything, but...

…his 2.37 era was lower than Holland’s while in Clinton (2.40), lower than Feliz’s while in Clinton (2.58), lower than Main’s, Kiker (‘07), Poveda (’07), etc. I know there’s a huge fuss being made about his lack of velocity, but as long as he can keep the walk rate down, I think he’ll be just fine.

If that velocity does come back, he could be scary good.

by Schrute Farms on Dec 1, 2008 2:28 PM CST reply actions  

FIP

you too, ya’ bahstahd!

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Dec 1, 2008 6:43 PM CST up reply actions  

If

we start hearing that he’s pitching regularly in the 92-95 range and see that his K/BB rate is the same and that people aren’t hitting him any harder even after a jump from a pitching oriented Low A league to a hitting oriented High A league, I’d be pretty excited.

While it’s not bad, his HR rate wasn’t great for his league, and though he had a GB tendency, I wouldn’t think from his stats that the sink (not movement, but specifically sink) on his FB was a huge player this year.

You want the best combination of velocity, movement and command on the FB, but the perception that I had from his draft year was that he didn’t lack movement or command despite his high velocity. Maybe he just can’t throw as hard with clean mechanics (wouldn’t be a surprise), but that’s a little different question from yours.

by Brett Perryman on Dec 1, 2008 4:18 PM CST reply actions  

World Peace and The Perfect Pitch?

I want the answers BEFORE I buy more nachos!

Smile when you call me Beat Weed!

by Clueless on Dec 2, 2008 12:57 AM CST reply actions  

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