FanPost

How much is Millwood really worth?

With the FA market at SP kinda thin after the Yankee's purged the market, and with the announcement today that Peavy is not going to get moved this winter, I was curious on the overall value of Millwood for some of these teams that need a starter.

Contrary to public perception Millwood is no where near as bad as advertised.

Out of the 41 SP that pitched 160 or more innings last year in the AL he was 20th in FIP (4.02),  18th in BB/9, 21st in K/9, 18th in K/BB, 19th in HR/9, and of course 1st in BABIP.  Out of the 89in all of baseball he is 42nd in FIP, 34th in K/BB, 47th in K/9, 37th in K/BB, 44th in HR/9 and of course once agin 1st in BABIP.

Suprisingly to of the most comparable players to Millwood on those perphirals last year are Mark Buherle, Paul Maholm and Matt Garza.  Millwood will not have the same value as those 3, but he is no where as poor statistically as some may think.

I am in no way advocating that he is a stand alone ace of this staff, but if the Ranger's can acquire Sheets at a comparable value, Millwood would not be an impossible albotross to move. Millwood is a very average pitcher that is a #3 on a OK team or a #4 on a great staff.

His 11M due this year and the conditional 12M (upon completion of approx 175 ip next year) are no where the titanic blow that people fret about. In a league where Meche recieves 11.4M this year, even a slight discount 2 to 3M range would make Millwood a vaible option for several teams.

So, more importantly,  what would be an average return and location for Millwood?

 

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