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2009 Rangers Outlook (TIC)

That's tongue in cheek, abetted by spiked koolaid, written in the style embellished by Halos Heaven.  Now Rev can't write this, so let's say it's by ...uhh...Deacon.

Here we go.  The American League West in 2009 will feature three contenders, two on the rise, and one incumbent Division champion.  There is another team in the mix, but their strongest assets are a pair of bloggers, so write 'em off, and write 'em often.  The Angels of Los Angeles playing out of Anaheim in the U.S. of North America are the defenders.  They'd better build their walls high and heat up lots of kegs of creosote to dump on invaders, because the barbarians are at the gate.  One group, the Athletics of Oakland and Fremont, California, will travel up and down to coast wreaking havoc on otherwise innocent citizenry.  And they will win about as many games as they lose.  It's the other tribe, the Rangers out of Arlington, Texas, who should evoke fear and loathing (OK, the loathing is already going on) in the West.

The Rangers have had, and will continue to have, the most potent lineup in baseball.  At the top of their lineup will be Ian Kinsler, an American League AllStar, whose power numbers belie his leadoff assignment,  Kinsler should actually increase his isolated power stats in 2009, while near the best in the majors at stealing to caught stealing ratio.  Also up front is Micheal Young, a multiple AllStar who managed to land a Gold Glove while suffering some at the plate in 2008, from playing with a broken finger on each hand.  Back and healthy in 2009, Young will contend for a League batting championship and play a steady if limited shortstop.  Pundits around the league suggest Young is in decliine, but about all he'll decline in 2009 will be stolen bases and triples. These two table setters are followed by Josh Hamilton, a feel-good, be-good, is-good story for the decades.  See Bill James projection for this otherworldly talented outfielder who is a threat to go deep in any ballpark, and can make a bat sound different from any other player out there.  Also in  the outfield is Nelson Cruz, the late blooming blaster from the Dominican.  Cruz is another reason that officialdom in Arlington should close Ballpark Way and Randoll Mill Road during games, lest baseballs damage all sorts of unsuspecting vehicles going by.  And Cruz has a good enough arm that runners just don't try to advance on balls hit his direction. 

Then there is Chris "Crush" Davis, who has an emerging talent for hitting baseballs off the property.  And he isn't terrible as a contact hitter either, and can go deep the opposite direction with the best of them.  Coming back in 2009 is Hank Blalock, another lefty blaster, whose injuries limited his play over the past three seasons, but who returned with a  vengeance in the latter part of the 2008 season.  Hank has also been chosen an AL AllStar, complementing players in that category who fill the Rangers' lineup.  As if power were lacking, which of course it isn't, the Arlington squad also features Max Ramirez, who Bill James projects to produce a .900+ OPS. The rest of the outfield squad includes David Murphy, another lefty bat and decent defender, who can play all three positions.  Then there is Marlon Byrd, who after a slow start in 2008 just generally raked, and has sporadic power as well.  Add to this embarassment of riches one Brandon Boggs, a switch hitter with exceptional plate patience, and is another with what opponents consider a suicide arm, specializing in outs at the plate from left field. 

All of baseball is aware that the Rangers hold a surplus of catchers.  In order of service seniority, they have Jarrod Saltalamacchia, the aforementioned Max Ramirez, and the talented Taylor Teagarden.  They can all go deep.   Saltalamacchia is a high ceiling switch hitter with lots of promise.  And Teagarden is said to have the best receiving game skills of the bunch.   It's expected that one of those three will be in this year's trade mix.  In any case, therer is no lack of talent or depth at the position. 

The Rangers were major league worst in pitching ranking stats in 2008.  Don't count on that being the case going forward.  A new pitching coach, with flexible philosophy to match player attributes, is on board in Mike Maddux.  And team president Nolan Ryan is prescribing a mix of conditioning and game mindset to the team's hurlers.  The Rangers may add one or two arms to their 2009 roster, with a goal of improving the rotation and increasing the effectiveness of the bullpen.  Early workouts include a dozen pitchers, mainly starters, from within the system.  High profile minor leaguers who project top of the rotation ability are among them.

Among the returning starters is a fit and trim Kevin Millwood, who has been a league ERA leader and an AllStar in the past, and is dedicated and focused on more innings, more strikes, and less damage allowed in 2009, and has contractual incentives to do just that.  Also coming back, from the back country of Nicaragua, is Vicente Padilla.  Padilla also has an AllStar selection in his resume, and is going into a contract year.  More importantly, he is figuratively and literally "the enforcer", a tough minded, no nonsense serial killer of hitting streaks, when he is on.  He will be on in 2009, for the myriad reasons outlined.  The rest of the staff, and overall team success, lies in finding game competence and consistency from Matt Harrison, Brandon McCarthy, Eric Hurley, Dustin Nippert, or new arrivals to the staff. 

The bullpen had a rough road in 2008, mainly due to overwork and limited capability to withstand middle inning and second trip to the mound issues.  Getting more good innings from starters will alleviate this drawback, as will being in better condition in 2009 health wise than experienced in 2008.  Among the relievers who have shown shutdown capability are Frank Francisco, C.J. Wilson, Joaquin Benoit, and Warner Madrigal.  The Rangers may add a solid bullpen arm, to replace departed or ineffective relievers.  The club does not have a "name" closer, but both Francisco and Wilson seem able to end games, or to handle setup duty.  Madrigal has also evidenced shutdown capability, and will be in the mid to late innings mix.

One probable loss from the Rangers arsenal may be Milton Bradley, the DH and sometime outfielder who led the majors in OPS and OBP during parts of 2008.  Bradley's plate patience and strike zone judgment cannot be directly replaced, but the Arlington power and lumber company has sufficient pop and sizzle that if Bradley finds a new home in free agency, he will be personally missed by teammates, but the team's offensive output  shouldn't be badly affected. 

So, those in the American League west should take the following precautions.  Pregnant women should not attend Ranger games, their children might be born with seams around their head and birthmarks that look like Louisville Slugger logos.  People with slow reflexes should not sit in nor near the front rows of left and right field, since some batted balls will have frightening trajectory and velocity.  The fountains in the rock garden at Anaheim should be turned off and the spill pond drained when the Rangers visit, else long flies landing in that area could douse spectators in the left center field bleachers.  The trains Burlington Northern runs past the park in Seattle should be held on sidings during games, so shots from Hamilton or Davis don't cause derailment.  And most of all, fans in the California and Washington parks should practice being calm with the umpires, since there will be a lot more strikes called, fewer walks, and many runners thrown out in games against Texas.

The Rangers may not win the West in 2009.  But they are going to be fun, even exhilarating to watch.  They will also be the team nobody really wants to play when they produce bursts of runs.  The trend that showed up in 2008 and will continue for the forseeable future is that no lead will be safe, and no game is over until it is over.

- - yr ob't svt - - Deacon

17 recs  |  Comment 26 comments

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And of course

our starting pitching will pitch us out of contention in the first few months of the season…however they will do well in the last few months of the season (once games are meaningless), giving us hope for next year!

"Sooner or later, prospects kill you, because you hang onto them." - Greggo, 11/22/2005

by Agreen07 on Dec 21, 2008 10:01 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Of Course ... not ?

Pitching will be better. Millwood and Padilla will both be in contract years (hopefully both will pitch well and, if not traded at the deadline, will bring a pair of draft picks each in the ‘10 draft). Harrison took a big step forward in ’08 and will be better. Feldman is a bulldog who doesn’t appear to notice he keeps getting sent out start-after-start-after-start-after-start when he’s supposed to be “hitting a wall” somewhere. Maybe he just didn’t find that wall?

McCarthy has had time to go over the changes (reversions?) he discussed with Nolan last July and could well live up to expectations. And, Nippert may be better than advertised.

All those guys that gave it a “go” and broke down last year (Hurley, Mathis, Hunter) will be giving it another “go” this year after getting healthier and should contribute either in the rotation or in the bullpen. Gabbard and Rupe will make the middle innings hold up, especially if the starters can add an inning per game to their logs.

Pitching in Arlington may not require Sheets or Unit or anyone else from the outside. If we sign either or both, we’ll be just that much stronger. I look for pitching to not be the disaster it was last year – in fact, it could well hold its own – naysayers desist!

Go sTRangers!

If at first you don't succeed, try the outfield! -- Ed

by eglooney on Dec 22, 2008 1:11 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Rangers 09

I hope we can catch a few games together Ed. I’ve never met a better buddy to catch a game with.

Don't believe the hype about sloppy seconds. They ain't bad.

by tricer on Dec 21, 2008 10:10 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

second sentence

what does Warren Newsom have to do with anything?

BTW, thinking of the deacon made me think that Brandon Boggs is somewhat similar to the Deacon in some ways.

Don't believe the hype about sloppy seconds. They ain't bad.

by tricer on Dec 21, 2008 10:12 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Fée Verte Absinthe

I think…perhaps.

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Dec 21, 2008 10:24 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

The Gibbon's classic?

Or the very significant, to me:

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on Dec 21, 2008 10:13 PM CST reply actions   1 recs

Wreck...

For the “Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire” reference. Well done.

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Dec 21, 2008 10:35 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

rec

I really enjoyed that Ed. Well done!

"Was this really necsarry?" - cowpoke/hurler hurley

by trza on Dec 21, 2008 11:07 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

WOW very well done Mr. Coffin...

2009 should be a FUN year indeed.

Maybe not as fun as this ….http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cITXm6QTtYI&feature=related

But a nice mixture of fun and a bigger step forward.

"You shouldn't fuck around with windfalls"

LoneStarJon

by LAMuscleFag on Dec 21, 2008 11:32 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I don't agree

I admire your enthusiasm but I don’t see the pitching being much better if any in 2009, and I really doubt the offense will be quite as productive. Another sub-.500 year but it will be fun to watch the young guys. They should improve as the season goes along, ideally, and be much more competitive the next year.

by Black Francis on Dec 22, 2008 7:11 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Being in contention could be a bad thing

at the trade deadline because you might hold onto padilla when I’d rather trade him to a contender and get a nice return. Of course, that depends on Padilla’s performance in the first half.

Wait 'til the year after next

by NothinG on Dec 22, 2008 9:01 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Enthusiasm clarified

The intro specified “tongue in cheek”. Although I doubt another sub-.500 year.

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)

by Ed Coffin on Dec 22, 2008 10:31 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

well done.

"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"

by Walter Sobchak on Dec 22, 2008 9:04 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

here here

Sign Sheets and the Rangers may be in business. [crosses fingers]

by bioaggie on Dec 22, 2008 9:19 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

It's easy enough to see the negative

But I’m with Ed. As I always do at this time of year, if you look at how things could go juuuust right….

Think about it this way, in 2008 the Rangers only had two losing months out of 6, but those two were serious stinkers (.370 and 379). Move those to .500 and it’s a different season. (Problem is, in 3 of the months they were at .500 or better, the Rangers were still outscored). As always, it comes down to starting pitching and I truly honestly believe that the starters can (and will) only be better next season.

Nothing pithy here. Please move long.

by WyoRanger on Dec 22, 2008 10:27 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

ha... "abetted by spiked koolaid"

please NO spiked eggnog.

maybe the playoffs in 2011.

by cowpoke on Dec 22, 2008 1:35 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I haven't read anything about anyone addressing

the horrific defense of this team. I don’t care how much MMaddux helps the pitchers, if they lead the AL in errors committed once again, they’re not finishing over .500.

"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."

by Josey Wales on Dec 22, 2008 2:12 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

It's possible

they could, but not by more than a couple of games.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Dec 22, 2008 2:31 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

It's the very rare team that leads the AL

in errors committed and finishes above .500.

"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."

by Josey Wales on Dec 22, 2008 2:36 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

i'm as disgusted as you

when it comes to this pathetic managing team we’ve had for the past several years and now going into 2009 with this garbage.

I’ve been bitching about Washington and his leadership as a skipper for this team since he was hired. And, I’ve never been all lovey-dovey on JD. I’ve been raising hell about is sorry ass decisions for awhile now. He’s set this team back till atleast 2011 cause he got rid of CY, Danks, Armando Galarraga, and Volquez. btw.. I’m not still sold on the fact we got rid of Volquez for Hamilton and that was the best for this team

by cowpoke on Dec 22, 2008 2:50 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Tape recording

the two of you on the back porch together would make for some kind of comedy.

"A ~.650 OPS from a COF should get you deported, not traded for."

- The Huntressatron

by Chase Irwin on Dec 23, 2008 12:39 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

I don't know anything about cowpoke.

"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."

by Josey Wales on Dec 23, 2008 9:26 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Same blowhard, same shtick

different handle.

"A ~.650 OPS from a COF should get you deported, not traded for."

- The Huntressatron

by Chase Irwin on Dec 23, 2008 1:12 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

So you're another one of the Mensas

that thinks JD can do no wrong and blames all his early mistakes on “the learning curve”?

Got it.

"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."

by Josey Wales on Dec 23, 2008 1:23 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Heh, good try

You can shoehorn me into whichever category you prefer. It won’t make a bit of difference to me.

I evaluate JD the same way I would evaluate any GM of any team. At the end of the day, I need positive results for the ML team. JD has failed to deliver those results thus far.

However, JD has also made a significant number of positive transactions that outweigh his horrendous mistakes. Due to his net effect, I’m excited to have him as the general manager going forward.

If he fails to deliver a playoff-competitive team by 2010, I would fire him without hesitation.

"A ~.650 OPS from a COF should get you deported, not traded for."

- The Huntressatron

by Chase Irwin on Dec 23, 2008 2:13 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Well, I suppose

that 3B could get better, couldn’t be worse than last year’s crew. If they leave Davis at 1B and stick Metcalf over there at least one position would improve. Other than that they seem to be building for defense in the long term but not willing to shake things up before Andrus is ready otherwise. We’d better hope he’s as good as advertised. Smoak will help, too, he’s supposed to be decent with the glove, and then there’s Borbon.

By 2010 there might be an average or better defensive core in place if it’s Teagarden, Smoak, Kinsler, Andrus, Young around the infield. And some combo of Hamilton, Borbon, Cruz, Byrd, Murphy, Boggs, those are some good legs in the OF, too.

Heading in the right direction, but, as you say, in 2009 mediocre gloves would be a step forward.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Dec 22, 2008 9:58 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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