Random poll of the day
You are Jon Daniels.
The phone rings. It is Theo Epstein. He's in talks with the Dodgers on a trade for Russell Martin. They are close to a deal. In fact, a deal is all but done, and he's got Ned Colletti holding on line two waiting for him to say yay or nay on the Martin...but he loves him some Salts McGee, and wants to make one final run at a deal with Texas.
Epstein offers Justin Masterson and Daniel Bard for Jarrod Saltalamacchia and Omar Poveda. Non-negotiable. Either you take the deal, or Epstein makes the trade with the Dodgers for Martin and Boston is no longer an option for any of the Ranger catchers.
What do you do?
Cast your vote below...
Comments
I'm Ron Burgundy?
I guess you heard Fat Joe left Atlantic.
by Haeger Champ on
Dec 3, 2008 11:13 AM CST
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Add Ron Washington
And you’d have one epic press conference.
"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL
by lonestarJon on
Dec 3, 2008 11:16 AM CST
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If we have to include Poveda too?
Nah. I"d like to think we could do that deal with a less valuable throw-in, or Salty alone. Maybe if it was for Salty and Schlact.
"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL
by lonestarJon on
Dec 3, 2008 10:33 AM CST
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Interesting
I’m saying no only because I really like Poveda’s chances. But it’s tempting if you like Masterson that much.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
by t ball on
Dec 3, 2008 10:35 AM CST
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I doubt we get a better offer for Salty, but...
I’d pass. I’m getting very comfortable with the idea of dealing Laird for whatever we can get and going into next year with Salty and Teagarden at catcher.
by cstorm15 on
Dec 3, 2008 10:45 AM CST
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+1
Same here. We need to clear out Laird, but other than that I’m OK with another year of seeing what we have. I just cant see that we are playoff team in 09. There is a ton of money coming off the books after 09 and we can make some big moves for 2010 depending on what our young ’uns do this year
by BEW on
Dec 3, 2008 12:28 PM CST
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I'd want to find out what Boston gave up for Russ Martin
so I call Epstein’s bluff and tell him to kiss my ass.
Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball
by willamos2 on
Dec 3, 2008 10:46 AM CST
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LOL .......you win.
i like baseball too
by bspate on
Dec 3, 2008 11:19 AM CST
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yes!
"Sooner or later, prospects kill you, because you hang onto them." - Greggo, 11/22/2005
by Agreen07 on
Dec 3, 2008 12:18 PM CST
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put theo on hold
Call Colletti, trade for Martin. and then really stick it to theo for being a douche.
by Chow Time on
Dec 3, 2008 12:34 PM CST
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Double yes!
"Sooner or later, prospects kill you, because you hang onto them." - Greggo, 11/22/2005
by Agreen07 on
Dec 3, 2008 3:18 PM CST
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No
I say no because I feel like that is a pretty weak return for a player of Salty’s potential. We do have a surplus at the position but I hate feeling like we absolutely HAVE to trade a catcher.
Masterson has looked pretty good but I feel like Salty > Masterson when playing for Texas. Masterson could have been lucky last year as opposed to good. He didn’t miss a whole lot of bats (6.93 K/9) and walked a fairly decent amount of hitters (4.08 BB/9). With a weak defense behind him this could spell disaster. Boston had, from what I understand, a considerably better defense behind its pitchers than we did in 2008. I don’t want to take a risk on a pitcher like Masterson in return for a guy like Salty. With the pitching depth this team has I’m not concerned about losing Poveda. As far as Bard, he looked lights out as a reliever last year but that was in 1/3 A ball and 2/3 AA ball. A converted starter in his first year in relief pitching doesn’t swing the deal fo rme.
I’d say Salty + Poveda for Bucholz, take it or leave it.
"You taste like a burger. I don't like you anymore."
by Prognosis Negative on
Dec 3, 2008 10:46 AM CST
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bard
i think was a reliever in college at NC
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on
Dec 3, 2008 12:07 PM CST
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Starter
He was a starter with Andrew Miller. 3 years in the rotation.
by Andy Seiler on
Dec 3, 2008 12:10 PM CST
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oops
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on
Dec 3, 2008 2:04 PM CST
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I like Poveda better than Bard
and I’m not optimistic that Masterson can have sustained success as a ML starter, so I’d pass – UNLESS I thought I could flip Masterson + for a guy like Sanchez from the Giants.
In memory of Ulysses Simpson Grant Stoner. RIP Lil Stoner.
by tricer on
Dec 3, 2008 10:47 AM CST
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x
I like Poveda better than Bard
Why?
by Adam J. Morris on
Dec 3, 2008 11:31 AM CST
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starter prospect over reliever prospect
I like Poveda better than most and see him with mid rotation potential, compared to Bard as a setup type.
In memory of Ulysses Simpson Grant Stoner. RIP Lil Stoner.
by tricer on
Dec 3, 2008 11:45 AM CST
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I don't know
In a perfect world, Bard would be a major league closer and Poveda would be a mid-rotation starter. In that case, sure Poveda is worth more. But Poveda is far less likely to reach his potential.
Bard throws 100 mph, and last year he posted a 1.51 ERA and batters hit .158 against him. He had great peripherals (107 K and 30 BB) and he allowed 42 H in 77.2 IP.
I definitely understand the general tendency to rate a starting prospect ahead of a relief prospect. But nonetheless, I would argue that Bard is pretty close to major league ready and has a high probability of being a quality late inning reliever or closer.
I just don’t think Poveda has that good of a chance to be a quality starter. Although it is possible, I have to say that Bard is definitely worth more at this point.
by Stephen Rushin on
Dec 3, 2008 12:10 PM CST
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yeah, but I have some questions about Bard
This is a guy that is one season removed from a >7 ERA with 78 walks and 76 hits allowed in 75 innings (in A ball). That scares me, even though he seemingly put those issues to rest in 08.
In memory of Ulysses Simpson Grant Stoner. RIP Lil Stoner.
by tricer on
Dec 3, 2008 12:15 PM CST
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Yeah that is definitely true.
As much as I want to just attribute that to his move from the rotation to the bullpen, that is a bit worrisome.
by Stephen Rushin on
Dec 3, 2008 12:19 PM CST
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Are you not a fan of Poveda?
Seems like you have included him in most of your trade ideas? Don’t think he will continue developing?
Don't believe the hype about sloppy seconds. They ain't bad.
by tricer on
Dec 3, 2008 3:02 PM CST
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Poveda
I think he gets tossed around in trade talk because he is an encouraging arm with some upside, he hasnt really flashed his potential yet. He would be a good deal sweetener who wouldnt hurt to lose nearly as much as some of the low A arms.
"I'm against picketing, but I don't know how to show it." - Mitch Hedberg
by rentz on
Dec 4, 2008 8:35 AM CST
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I'm guessing that another reason
is that he is one the forty, but probably seen as the farthest away from contributing to the ML team. So I guess these trade proposals that see us adding 2 players that must be on the 40 also need to see us move 2 players on the 40. Though I’d personally just cut Eyre, rather than have to deal Poveda.
Don't believe the hype about sloppy seconds. They ain't bad.
by tricer on
Dec 4, 2008 11:50 AM CST
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pass
I give a big “meh” on that offer. I counter offer Salty and Theo’s choice of Borbon or Beltre for Buchholtz.
"You’re the only here who contributes schtick only." - brettgardner
by trza on
Dec 3, 2008 10:49 AM CST
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Never happen...
Why would you want Salty when you could have Russell Martin?
by Wemedge on
Dec 3, 2008 10:56 AM CST
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Cost
"You taste like a burger. I don't like you anymore."
by Prognosis Negative on
Dec 3, 2008 11:00 AM CST
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what cost would it be?
the difference between salty and martin is a LOT
martin is consistant
martin is better on defense
martin has shown he can play every day (and is durable as shit)
the question is why WOULD the dodgers trade him – and the answer is they wouldnt.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on
Dec 3, 2008 12:08 PM CST
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No...
I meant cost to acquire. Martin would require much more in return than Salty. He is clearly a better player at this point and you know pretty much what you’ve got. You will, however, have to pay up the nose for it.
So…the reason the Red Sox might go for Salty over Martin is cost.
"You taste like a burger. I don't like you anymore."
by Prognosis Negative on
Dec 3, 2008 1:11 PM CST
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Why would you want Salty when you could have Russell Martin?
I’ve missed any recent mention in the mainstream media that Russel Martin is available, where is this talk coming from? I saw some early rumors that the Dodgers didn’t like him so much, but since then all the talk has been about how Colletti will not deal him…
Do you guys have a link for this that I might’ve missed?
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 3, 2008 4:40 PM CST
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No
I was just using Martin to be the young stud catcher the BoSox were acquiring that would eliminate them from any future talk of getting a Ranger catcher.
You could substitute Brian McCann, if you’d like.
by Adam J. Morris on
Dec 3, 2008 4:52 PM CST
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let's just wait until July when the Yankees will be in the market once again
and struggling behind Boston and TB.
Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball
by willamos2 on
Dec 3, 2008 11:02 AM CST
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OK, let's be honest
Who voted in favor of letting John Hart make the decision?
Was it John Hart? Are you there, John?
Nah, you’re probably out playing golf
"Yeah, like I had a chance there" - Lancaster batter, after striking out against Derek Holland
by chrisR on
Dec 3, 2008 11:17 AM CST
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I totally agree....
Adam, find that person who voted for the John Hart choice and delete his account!!!!
I banish you…… you’re banished.
:-)
i like baseball too
by bspate on
Dec 3, 2008 11:21 AM CST
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I'm one
of the two jerks who voted now. I did it because anonymity + a forum = douchebagery.
Really though, I’d pass on that deal. Trade Laird for magic beans to the Tigers (a fringe prospect) and start Salty with Teagarden as your backup and Max Ram serving in AAA until one of our players inevitably gets hurt (Blalock I’m looking at you) and we need his bat in the lineup as a possible DH.
by macromorgan on
Dec 3, 2008 11:46 AM CST
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what about laird for jarod burton?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on
Dec 3, 2008 12:08 PM CST
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Well you could always ask Hart...
and do the opposite of what he says. You know you’ve done the right thing if you do that.
by TRanger on
Dec 3, 2008 12:48 PM CST
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The conversation...

JD: John, need some help
Hart: Yes, come to me
JD: Boston offered me Masterson and a reliever for Salty and Poveda. Whats your advise?
Hart: Choose the dark side. Do it
JD: John, you sound sick right now. Where are you?
Hart: Nowhere important. Drop the reliever and do the deal
JD: John?
Hart: evil laugh
In Smoak We Trust
by Smoak Some on
Dec 3, 2008 1:33 PM CST
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Not with
Poveda in the deal. I think that guy is going to be good for us.
by theotherdierkindallas on
Dec 3, 2008 11:17 AM CST
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I'm saying yes
I know this is counter to CW aroudn here, but I don’t think Salty’s value is as high as everyone thinks. I think another year in Texas will knock him out of the “decent pitching in return” category and down into the “trade for another team’s disappointing player” category. I prefer to make the deal now.
Basically, I would take either Bowden or Masterson for Salty straight up, and Bard for Poveda doesn’t sound bad. I applaud JD for trying to get Theo to make a bigger deal, but I’ll take that offer.
by JBImaknee on
Dec 3, 2008 11:20 AM CST
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No
Hold both catchers and watch their value rise in 2009.
And don’t trade Omar if Masterson’s all that comes back.
Go Strangers.
by hightowersmith on
Dec 3, 2008 11:20 AM CST
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i reply by saying...
man, the Dodgers are gonna be good with Billingsley, Kershaw, Kuroda, Schmidt AND Buchholz. And Mike Lowell will look nice in a LAD uniform too.
I guess you heard Fat Joe left Atlantic.
by Haeger Champ on
Dec 3, 2008 11:21 AM CST
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That's in interesting point
Salt + Poveda for Buchholtz + Lowell
Rangers get rid of Blalock’s contract, the pitcher they want and 1-yr of a quality 3B. Boston gets the catcher they want, a young arm and is in better position both financially and rosterally to sign Teixera.
Would ya?
by robert_d_wilfong on
Dec 3, 2008 11:32 AM CST
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without a doubt
I wasn’t suggesting that deal for the Rangers… I think the price for Martin is significantly higher. Boston would not do that deal – but I, being Jon Daniels, would.
I guess you heard Fat Joe left Atlantic.
by Haeger Champ on
Dec 3, 2008 11:34 AM CST
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I'm thinking if Martin was traded
the odds of the Dodgers signing Varitek shoot up.
Which makes the trade look more like Lowell, Buch, plus whatever else Boston has to give up and ’Tek for Martin and two picks.
by Keynes on
Dec 3, 2008 12:24 PM CST
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I would've voted for
“Pretend you have to go to the can, go find John Hart, and do exactly the mother F’ing opposite of whatever he says to do.”
The 40 Trumps All!!!
There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.
by thedirkatron on
Dec 3, 2008 11:45 AM CST
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Pass.
Double freaking pass.
Such a ridiculous bag of pass.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
There are two kinds of men in this world: Men who make jump throws, and men who wish that they were Derek Jeter so that they could make jump throws.
by thedirkatron on
Dec 3, 2008 11:43 AM CST
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Concur...
I’d rather dump Laird, and his suddenly huge salary that the Rangers can’t afford, for a ’pen arm or a guy like Bailey.
Pass.
"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates
by slc ranger on
Dec 3, 2008 6:20 PM CST
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By the way Adam...
good poll. I could go for one of these a day. Different players, teams, scenarios, etc. If you can’t (don’t want to) come up with them daily, perhaps some of us could chip in. I like being Jon Daniels. It’s better than sitting in my office. Maybe I should become a GM?
I guess you heard Fat Joe left Atlantic.
by Haeger Champ on
Dec 3, 2008 11:50 AM CST
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I support this suggestion....
good idea.
i like baseball too
by bspate on
Dec 3, 2008 1:59 PM CST
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the suggestion of me being a GM?
cool. That’s two of us. If I can just convince an MLB owner I’ll be set.
I guess you heard Fat Joe left Atlantic.
by Haeger Champ on
Dec 3, 2008 2:48 PM CST
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I tried to ask John Hart
but I couldn’t find him.
I would do the deal. Let Masterson try to win a rotation spot in ST. If he doesn’t, send him to the pen. Let Bard be the closer in Frisco then OKC. He could be a late inning reliever, possibly a closer.
Mitch Moreland - Rangers 2009 Minor League Player of the Year
by RangerMad on
Dec 3, 2008 11:52 AM CST
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I think that deal
depends on how you view Masterson. If you really believe he will be a decent #3 starter, then you do that deal. A #3 starter and a closer prospect is good value for Saltalamacchia and Poveda. On the other hand, if you view Masterson as a reliever with the upside of Scot Shields, then you don’t do it.
I really like Masterson as a pitcher, but I think he is more likely to become Scot Shields than Derek Lowe.
by Stephen Rushin on
Dec 3, 2008 12:02 PM CST
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Without looking at anything
do the Dodgers have a decent catching option behind Martin? Would they be interested in any of our guys if they dealt him?
For some reason I kind of remember that they do have a good young catcher. but I may be confusing their good young catcher with Martin…
by JBImaknee on
Dec 3, 2008 12:03 PM CST
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martin is their good young catcher
they traded carlos santana to the indians
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on
Dec 3, 2008 12:10 PM CST
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even if they don't trade Martin
they could still be an option for us. They have at list hinted at the idea of moving Martin off C and to a corner infield spot.
by clark on
Dec 3, 2008 12:57 PM CST
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I go behind Theo's back
and ask Bill James what to do.
"Sooner or later, prospects kill you, because you hang onto them." - Greggo, 11/22/2005
by Agreen07 on
Dec 3, 2008 12:19 PM CST
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pretend to go to the can, and do the opposite of whatever John Hart wants to do
by thedudeabides on
Dec 3, 2008 12:31 PM CST
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people are overvaluing poveda
he’s been an interesting name that we’ve been hearing for a long time but i don’t think he’s someone to hold up a trade.
question: are the people that are passing the same people that would pass on a salty for masterson + bard trade? is that better?
""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley
by ab03 on
Dec 3, 2008 12:48 PM CST
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i don't know why i asked if that was better
obviously it is. but just want to know how much poveda is affecting the decision
""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley
by ab03 on
Dec 3, 2008 12:49 PM CST
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yeah
You decide this deal based on Salty and Masterson – Bard and Poveda are nothing to get upset/excited about either way.
Its like the people who said “i think I would have done a Danks for McCarthy deal, but trading nick masset was just too much”
by JBImaknee on
Dec 3, 2008 2:54 PM CST
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I voted no...but I'd like to think if we remove Poveda
and don’t include any other semi-valuable pitcher, then take that deal. If it ends up that we truly can’t acquire Buchholz and no other team will offer something in the same ballpark as Buchholz’ value, then take that deal. And I’m not hung up on Poveda specifically, but I am against trading anymore of our intriguing arms for anything less than a sure-thing young starter.
In the end, and I know this isn’t how you’re supposed to look at it, but in the end Teixeira becomes a top pitching prospect in Feliz, a top relieving prospect in Bard, a very good starting prospect in Masterson that can already work the pen very well, a very decent future lefty pen arm in Beau Jones, our SS of the future in Andrus and our current # 4 starter and the only lefty in the rotation in Harrison. Wow. That deal just keeps looking better and better, especially with Teix traded for much less to the Angels and now leaving the Angels (possibly) with much less in return if he signs elsewhere.
Salty may have been much more valuable to us when we first acquired him, and the centerpiece of the Teixeira trade, but it’s looking more and more likely that he’s the # 3 or maybe even # 4 best prospect we got back in that deal. If we can turn him into two highly regarded arms that both end up in the pen for years or one even works out as a starter, and the other possibly our closer, I just might be convinced. The only thing keeping me from doing this is that we would be giving Boston exactly what they want and not making them give us exactly what we want…Clay freakin’ Buchholz.
"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"
by Walter Sobchak on
Dec 3, 2008 12:55 PM CST
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you really shouldn't think twice about making the deal without poveda
this buccholz talk has completely distorted reality.
""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley
by ab03 on
Dec 3, 2008 12:58 PM CST
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I would just think twice based on my limited knowledge and confidence
in what Masterson can become. If we’re getting two decent bullpen arms and nothing else, I definitely don’t pull that trigger. But if the pundits are aware that Masterson can become a very solid # 3, and has a good chance of reaching that level (as good as Hurley, Harrison, etc. have or had), and if they are aware that Bard has a pretty decent chance of adding exactly what we need to make our bullpen a strength moving forward, I am with you – pull the trigger.
"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"
by Walter Sobchak on
Dec 3, 2008 1:08 PM CST
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If it makes you feel any better...
The only thing keeping me from doing this is that we would be giving Boston exactly what they want and not making them give us exactly what we want…Clay freakin’ Buchholz.
What we want is Matt freakin’ Weiters. But it happens that he’s not available, so we’ve had to look elsewhere.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 3, 2008 9:44 PM CST
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http://www.boston.com/sports/columnists/massarotti/2008/12/todays_qa_with_mazz_4.html
btown: Tony, what are the chances Bard, Bowden and Buchholz make the team?
Tony Massarotti: still think buchholz will be traded. i think we’ll see the other two at some point…
Someone on SOSH referred to a prominent media source of theirs who thought the bloom was off the rose on Buchholz within the Boston org.
If the Red Sox are over him, they couldn’t have done a more masterful job concealing it.
Go Strangers.
by hightowersmith on
Dec 3, 2008 12:58 PM CST
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even if that's the case
i’d think they’d want some sort of pitcher or elite major leaguer in return.
""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley
by ab03 on
Dec 3, 2008 1:00 PM CST
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Massorotti has been saying that repeatedly this offseason
that BoSox like Masterson and Bowden more…
45-35
Jindal '12
by Longhorn on
Dec 3, 2008 1:14 PM CST
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nein
Selling very low on Salty, and while I like Masterson’s groundball tendencies and Bard’s heat , I don’t see a future front of the rotation in that package.
If Hart answered the phone, Epstein would have himself a long-named catcher right now.
by Ian Cobb on
Dec 3, 2008 1:03 PM CST
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Same reasoning as me
Just not that big a fan of Masterson….think in the long run he will end up as a solid reliever, but Salty has potential to be an above-average catcher in this league
In Smoak We Trust
by Smoak Some on
Dec 3, 2008 1:36 PM CST
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do you think an above average catcher should yield you a top of the rotation starter?
""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley
by ab03 on
Dec 3, 2008 1:42 PM CST
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No
I think they have the chance to bring in a #3 pitcher with the potential for #2. In this deal, I just don’t think Masterson is that guy. In the long run, I feel he would be a better fit for the bullpen than the rotation
In Smoak We Trust
by Smoak Some on
Dec 3, 2008 3:10 PM CST
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yes
Poveda apparently has some upside but not enough to make the LSB top 15. I know we are deep but by comparison Sickels has Bard as Red Sox #3 on minorleagueball.com. Whether as closer or in a set up role he seems like a guy who should be able to be counted on to pitch quality innings with the game on the line. As a second guy in the deal I have no problem with him and if the first guy was Bowden I wouldn’t have any questions, this would be a no brainer. Masterson is a little trickier as I would like to get a starter and Masterson could and probably should be tried again as a starter but even if he ultimately is better asuited s a reliever also that’s not terrible either as long as he also rates as a plus guy. Good teams have deep bullpens that don’t just fall off a cliff after you get past the closer and maybe the setup man. While I would sure like to get a front of the rotation starting pitcher here, getting, essentially, two of Ramon Ramirez is none too shabby a return for Salty and a guy who has some potential but probably isn’t one of our ten best pitching prospects let alone one of our 10 best prospects.
by Dalman on
Dec 3, 2008 3:45 PM CST
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wouldnt do it
trade laird to the tigers and go with tea and salty at catcher for at least another year. they havent really played enough to know what you have there anyway (at least offensively)
by kumizi on
Dec 3, 2008 4:09 PM CST
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Stole this from Over the Monster
Would you still do the trade?
Masterson: (233 IP – 53 G/36 GS)) 3.79 ERA 8.3 H/9 2.28 BB/9 7.45 K/9 1.18 WHIP
Bowden: (405.2 IP – 82 G/79 GS) 3.15 ERA 7.91 H/9 2.35 BB/9 8.64 K/9 1.14 WHIP
Buchholz: (344.1 IP – 74 G/73 GS) 2.43 ERA 6.59 H/9 2.48 BB/9 10.91 K/9 1.01 WHIP
In Smoak We Trust
by Smoak Some on
Dec 3, 2008 4:32 PM CST
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Yes
I believe in Tea and Max. While I believe in Salty very much as well, and think him moving to the Sox would make him a perennial all-star, we simply can’t have all of them be major league impact players at the same time.
I’m all for bringing in Masterson and Bard (who isn’t on your comparison list), even if they are both bullpen guys. Having a solid bullpen is underrated, and I know many around here have talked up the idea as a result of the lack of innings we’ve been accumulating from starters in the past ~100 years. Bard throwing high heat in the late innings, mixed with Masterson bringing some heavy sink for situations with guys on first and less than 2 outs and other middle relief roles sounds pretty good right now.
"Holland didn’t make that kid question his swing, he made him question his career path"
by trident on
Dec 3, 2008 4:38 PM CST
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See 2004
playoff push for proof of your theorum.
Having a solid bullpen is underrated
"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008
by Rodney on
Dec 3, 2008 5:04 PM CST
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In light of this, a question:
Masterson: (233 IP – 53 G/36 GS)) 3.79 ERA 8.3 H/9 2.28 BB/9 7.45 K/9 1.18 WHIP
Bowden: (405.2 IP – 82 G/79 GS) 3.15 ERA 7.91 H/9 2.35 BB/9 8.64 K/9 1.14 WHIP
Buchholz: (344.1 IP – 74 G/73 GS) 2.43 ERA 6.59 H/9 2.48 BB/9 10.91 K/9 1.01 WHIP
As I’ve been trying to figure out what Texas fans think of the Sox pitching prospects, the comparison of interest between Bowden and Masterson kind of confuses me. In another thread I gave what I think about both of them, so I’ll try to reconcile that with what I think is the prevelant view here:
I think that both have the ceiling of being #2 starters. If they don’t reach these ceilings, I think both could be #3 starters. I also think that if he’s shifted to relief Masterson could be a dominate set up man (I also think he could close, but that’s more a matter of me thinking that the job of ‘closer’ is overrated, but let’s stick with the setup man label as I think it’s a more common usage). The difference I see is their relative chances of reaching these various levels, and in light of that I don’t get the non-interest in Bowden.
I think Bowden has a much better chance of reaching his ceiling; he has plus command of 4 pitches, all of which are at least average – plus and give him a much better chance to get through a MLB lineup several times. Furthermore he’s been pretty young for each league he’s played in (IIRC he was the youngest player in AA last year), and has done pretty well in each league. That bodes really well for his adjustment to the majors and ability to maintain his performance. I can see where Masterson’s sinker would play well in Arlington, but it surprises me that Texas doesn’t like a guy who dominated Lancaster (and extreme hitters park) at age 20. I think that his chances of turning into a #3 are practically guaranteed.
Masterson looks a lot farther away from reaching an equal ceiling. I think his stuff plays up in the pen, but if he doesn’t develop a change up to keep LHH honest, he’ll have a lot more trouble reaching that ceiling. Really I think Masterson belongs in the ‘pen, and that’s probably not as valuable, although he’s pretty much guaranteed to do that seeing as how he came close to doing just that as a rookie. What is it about Bowden that leave Texas cold?
Also, I ran the last poll here by the Sox prospects crew, and the concensus was that the Sox wouldn’t trade Buchholz for Salty + Main. I don’t think they’re willing to deal Buchholz for much of anything.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 3, 2008 7:43 PM CST
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Buchholz for Salty and Main...
Yeah just one of those deals that I don’t think fans of either team would like. Most of us are really high on Main, but he’s a ways away, which is something BoSox fans probably don’t want in return for Buchholz. As I’ve said many times I just don’t see Boston dealing Buchholz.
Now Salty for Masterson or Bowden I think could happen. However, I’m just not sure if either of those guys are enough of an improvement over some of the young arms that we already have (Hurley, Harrison) to make it worth giving up Salty. I think they are good young arms, but I’m not sure I’d deal Salty for either of them.
"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates
by slc ranger on
Dec 3, 2008 8:34 PM CST
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Which of Texas's young arms...
have made it to the majors yet? Which ones do you think will make it next season?
RIght now they have a world of potential, but it’s interesting how many “top pitching prospects” are in the lower minors. As they get older and some of the warts start to show they’re not so easy to dream on. I would’ve thought Texas fans would be pretty sensitive to the attrition rates and developmental problems of minor league pitchers after the DVD experience…
Either Bowden or Masterson can pitch in the majors now; are you really counting on all of your pitching prospects to make it the majors? The Texas rotation is full up?
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 3, 2008 9:33 PM CST
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Hurley and Harrison...
are ready now.
Then come the two big guns. Holland will probably be ready after the ASB or by Sept. and Feliz by the start of 2010. Yes I’m putting all my eggs in one baskett here, and leave my baskett the fuck alone.
That’s 4 young pitchers that I would say can be as good as, or better than (in the case of Holland and Feliz), Bowden or Masterson. The Rangers do have young pitching depth that is ready or will be shortly.
You can’t expect JD to settle for Bowden or Masterson when Buchholz is there. He is trying to max out his value for one of Teagarden or Salty. I also don’t expect Theo to give in though.
As for your “DVD” comment. Danks and Volquez did rather well last year thank you, just not for the Rangers. Please don’t get people here started on that issue either. Diamond has been hurt, but this year will be a big year for him.
The Rangers rotation will never be “full up”. They can always use quality pitching. My problem is that I don’t believe that Bowden or Masterson is enough of an upgarde over what we already have to justify giving up Salty. Now perhaps JD will eventually think otherwise, I don’t. As I said I like Masterson and Bowden, I just like Salty a little more.
"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates
by slc ranger on
Dec 4, 2008 12:07 AM CST
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Hurley and Harrison.
Here are their minor league careers, compared to Bowden’s:
Bowden: (405.2 IP – 82 G/79 GS) 3.15 ERA 7.91 H/9 2.35 BB/9 8.64 K/9 1.14 WHIP
Hurley (580.2 IP – 108G/101 GS) 3.97 ERA 8.14 H/9 3.06 BB/9 8.28 K9 1.24 WHIP
Harrison (631.1 IP – 112G/105GS) 3.45 ERA 9.00 H/9 2.05BB/9 6.37K/9 1.23 WHIP
And Bowden is a year younger than either of them …
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 7:51 PM CST
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What development problems of DVD?
Danks and Volquez developed just fine. Diamond was hurt but is coming back.
Why again should we be cautious because of the DVD kids?
The only thing we need to learn from that is to recognize the talent we have and not drool over other teams’ prospects.
I'm undefeated in fights. Have I been in any? No. Thats because people know my f'ing status. Don't mess with the elite. - Miles
by Dirk Diggler on
Dec 4, 2008 7:53 AM CST
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Why again should we be cautious because of the DVD kids?
No, I’m just saying that the DVD combo shows that you can’t assume that that prospects will have a straight and trouble free trip to major league productivity. I’m arguing against the idea that Texas has no use for Bowden because by 2010 Texas will have a rotation of 4 homegrown young starters.
The chances of Hurley, Harrison, Holland, and Feliz all being ready and productive on the time table slc ranger suggests is pretty low.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 9:21 AM CST
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OK...
“The chances of Hurley, Harrison, Holland, and Feliz all being ready and productive on the time table slc ranger suggests is pretty low.”
But suddenly adding Masterson or Bowden to that group at the expense of Salty makes the roatation that much better? Sorry, but I don’t believe that to be the case, and obviously neither does JD or the move would have already been made.
"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates
by slc ranger on
Dec 4, 2008 10:01 AM CST
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It does
in the sense that it’s a numbers game and the more pitchers you have, the more chances you have (and both Bowden and Salty are better bets to make the majors since they did pitch there last season). Whether or not that’s worth Salty is a matter of opinion, but I don’t think the fact that JD hasn’t made that deal rules it out; at this point there’s no reason for him not to at least aim high.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 10:35 AM CST
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I don't think the DVD trio
shows that you can’t assume that prospects will have a straight and trouble free trip to major league productivity.
I agree with you in theory — however I think the DVD group is a poor example. 2 of the 3 are among the best young prospects in baseball. Of course one had TJ surgery — so if that’s what you’re talking about, then fine. But, he’s still got a chance to be good too.
I'm undefeated in fights. Have I been in any? No. Thats because people know my f'ing status. Don't mess with the elite. - Miles
by Dirk Diggler on
Dec 4, 2008 12:57 PM CST
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Regarding Bowden
and how he’s viewed here, I think some folks took Keith Law’s comments too much to heart. I like Bowden, but I wouldn’t really prefer him or Masterson over the other.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
by t ball on
Dec 3, 2008 9:05 PM CST
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Keith Law is also the guy who predicted that Dustin Pedroia would be a fringe major league player who’d be lucky to be a utility IFer.
I just find it interesting that when presented with 2 major league pitchers, most people seem to prefer the guy 2 years older with worse stats. I can see how the Jeff Suppan comp can be off-putting, but look at his age 24-30 seasons. Of 6 yrs of control, you get 5 yrs with an ERA+ over 100 and 200 IP (and everybody should be allowed one bad year). That’s incredibly valuable production, even if it’s not very flashy.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 3, 2008 9:41 PM CST
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Bowden
Yeah, I’d rather have him than Masterson, but for whatever reason, our front office obviously doesn’t like something about him. They chose Kason “I can’t break a pane of glass” Gabbard over Bowden to be included in the Gagne deal.
Don't believe the hype about sloppy seconds. They ain't bad.
by tricer on
Dec 4, 2008 6:08 AM CST
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Really?
I didn’t know that. Although I wonder if the inclusion of Bowden might have precluded the inclusion of Beltre or something. I find it hard to believe the Rangers would have picked Gabbard over Bowden – although Gabbard had thrown a shutout against us earlier that year I belive, and JD does kind of have a recent history of trading for guys who have pitched well against us (McCarthy would be another example).
"Somewhere out there, between 14-32 BBWAA NL MVP voters are trying to get cheaper winter heating by drilling a hole in the microwave." - Jeff at LoL
by lonestarJon on
Dec 4, 2008 6:24 AM CST
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one of the guys on SoSH works for the Sox FO as a consultant, and he found the blog post somebody sent me last week a bit incredulous. He doubts that the deal was even Bowden for Gagne straight up, he thinks it may have been bigger, with the Sox possibly trying to land TT.
Frankly it will be hard to ever get a pure read on that other than that we know which final package the Rangers prefer.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 6:53 AM CST
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Choosing Gabbard over Bowden
I think that’s a myth. We go through this every couple of months, is there proof that choice was really available?
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
by t ball on
Dec 4, 2008 10:05 AM CST
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Well, that's my point...
Callis reported that the Rangers turned down Bowden right after the Gagne deal, but no one has reported the context. All the other stuff came from links here…
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 10:25 AM CST
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Yes, I've posted it several times
On last years Red Sox top 10 list Callis clearly states that the Rangers chose Gabbard over Bowden. I don’t have time hunt down the link right now.
Don't believe the hype about sloppy seconds. They ain't bad.
by tricer on
Dec 4, 2008 11:54 AM CST
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scroll down to the Bowden scouting report here. (subscribers only)
The Rangers could have taken him in the Eric Gagne trade last July, but chose Kason Gabbard instead.
Don't believe the hype about sloppy seconds. They ain't bad.
by tricer on
Dec 4, 2008 12:01 PM CST
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No a subscriber
but if I remember our past discussions here about that, the part that is not clear is if the other pieces of the trade remained the same if they chose Bowden over Gabbard.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
by t ball on
Dec 4, 2008 12:38 PM CST
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That's what I was talking about above.
I’m almost certain that the Sox were not offering either Beltre, Bowden, and Murphy: the Rangers didn’t necessarily dislike Bowden, but they liked the package they got better, and we don’t know what the other package was.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 12:43 PM CST
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absolutely ridiculous premise
if ned colletti was already on the phone with theo he would be on line one – not like two
by sam in so cal on
Dec 3, 2008 5:04 PM CST
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I'd Pass
And tell theo good luck getting Martin without giving up buchcolz
"I'm against picketing, but I don't know how to show it." - Mitch Hedberg
by rentz on
Dec 4, 2008 8:38 AM CST
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A look at the market
Here’s a look at who’s looking for catching by a SoSH poster. The last post has an update that concludes that catching is a buyer’s market…
This is a probably the best explanation I can give as to why the Sox are unwilling to overpay with Buchholz to get Salty.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 10:24 AM CST
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At least we can have civil, rational discourse about the situation.
But don’t you fuckin’ dare bring up DVD again!
:)
"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008
by Rodney on
Dec 4, 2008 10:48 AM CST
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Fair enough.
"I'd like to f*ck Sandra Bullock." - Pedro Martinez, explaining his secret ambition to Sports Illustrated for Kids.
by OCD SS on
Dec 4, 2008 11:21 AM CST
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You forgot the necessary choice:
First, ask for Nolan Ryan’s permission to answer the phone.
Smile when you call me Beat Weed!
by Clueless on
Dec 4, 2008 10:56 PM CST
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