Friday a.m. stuff
Some Rangers stuff today...
Nolan Ryan says he's interested in the team president job, and that he's going to talk to Hicks about the position soon...
Kevin Sherrington, meanwhile, claims that this is just a sop to placate the fans, and goes on to say, in essence, the team sucks and Tom Hicks is cheap because they didn't get Johan Santana:
Only the Mets, Yankees and Red Sox were considered players in the Santana sweepstakes. When the Yankees pulled out, so did the Red Sox. The Mets got him this week for four prospects, pending a new contract.
As it turns out, the Rangers did, indeed, pester Minnesota this winter. But the Twins worried that the Rangers couldn't finalize the deal by signing him, which, as the Mets are learning, won't be easy.
Still, Santana is worth it. He'd have been worth whatever the Rangers had to give up, too. No pitching prospect in the Rangers' system will rise to his level. Tom Hicks' payroll, one of the game's tightest, could have accommodated his asking price.
So, Sherrington says that the Twins didn't really get serious with the Rangers, despite the Rangers efforts. They had a guy with a no-trade clause who would only accept a deal to the right team, and who wanted an extension as part of the deal. Santana apparently wasn't interested in coming to Texas and being part of a rebuilding project, when he could go to the Mets or BoSox or Yankees.
That said...Santana would have really "been worth whatever the Rangers to give up" to get him?
If the cost is Saltalamacchia, Kinsler, Hurley, Andrus, and Feliz, is that worth it? Even if Santana would want, say, an 8 year $200 million extension, with opt out clauses after 3 and 5 years?
Look, I have been critical of Tom Hicks on spending. I think this team should have a payroll in the $80-90 million range, given its revenues. But I have a hard time with the idea that Santana would have been worth whatever it cost to bring him here, and that him ending up with the Mets is the result of penny-pinching or short-sightedness. Sherrington is usually better than this.
And T.R. Sullivan has his bloggy Friday notes up...
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Sherrington, Ryan
I don't see, however, any real point in Ryan becoming team president. It does seem like a PR move, and I can only think the Ryan is mostly interested in adding to his aura/legacy by latching on to a team that appears to be heading in the right direction. Any coincidence he'd be ditching the Astros about now given the shape that organization is in?
And, speaking of the Astros: If Ryan helped make any of the decisions they've made lately, keep him far away from Arlington please.
Santana contract talks
http://tinyurl.com/3aqef7
Sherrington
by VEGASbB on Feb 1, 2008 11:40 AM CST reply actions
We swapped email
(KS reply, my short note is below it)
I've got no problem with people disagreeing. But lazy? How's that? I did my due diligence on this column, and the word the Rangers got was that Santana would have, indeed, waived his no trade clause for Texas. But they still had to sign him. And the Twins didn't think the Rangers could pull it off.
I like everything Jon Daniels did with trades last year and re-stocking the farm system. That's certainly the way to build a team. But let's not get carried away. One of the reasons you build up prospects is to make good deals. There is no better pitcher than Santana, and none in the system capable of it. He's not a mistake, and the asking price had already come down from what it was before Christmas.
Once again, I'd always be wary about trading prospects. But you can't fall in love with them, either. I believe it was Mr. Newberg who championed the infamous DVD trio. How's that working for you?
Thanks for writing.
Kevin Sherrington
--------------------------------------------------
From: Ed Coffin
Sent: Thursday, January 31, 2008 10:40 PM
To: Sherrington, Kevin
Subject: Column -Johan Santana
http://lonestarball.com/story/2008/1/31/225255/679
Pretty much says it all. In addition, of course, to Jamey Newberg's take via his newsletter
(repeated at http://newbergreport.com/ )
by Ed Coffin on Feb 1, 2008 12:02 PM CST up reply actions
I find it funny
I love it when local writers get their feelings hurt and resort to cheap and acutely ignorant statements in order to save face.
Good point
The odds of any 3 pitching prospects panning out are pretty damn slim. If you end up with Hamilton, McCarthy, and Diamond all contributing in any way you've beaten the odds.
Correction
by TheRupeIsOnFire on Feb 1, 2008 1:35 PM CST up reply actions
write him back
seriously, don't let him get away with that DVD comment. it doesn't even make sense. management didn't fall in love with their prospects, they traded them for major league value. clearly, they owuld be willing to do that in the right situation.
in certain situations i would be willing to let it go, but he needs to understand he can't just pander to the masses by championing a trade that by all accounts would have been terrible.
I really want the bedard trade to happen for people to see how much one of the games best pitchers can impact a team. maybe i'm wrong, but its not going to help as much as he thinks
by all accounts would have been terrible
dumb
I did reply
by Ed Coffin on Feb 1, 2008 2:55 PM CST up reply actions
Good to know...
He still never addressed why exactly Santana would sign off on a deal to Texas, even if the Rangers had managed to bowl over the Twins with an amazing package of prospects.
Sherrington
by Jamey Newberg on Feb 4, 2008 7:04 AM CST up reply actions
I don't know
I just don't think Santana had much desire to sign a long term contract with a weak franchise.
Spend money just to spend money
Ok Adam, tell us who Hicks should have spent the money on. The current payroll of rhis tream will allow Hicks to spend on FAs when the time is right.
x
by 1man5tools @ Lone Star Ball on Feb 1, 2008 12:17 PM CST up reply actions
Hicks has shown in the past
It's just that in the past, he had bad advice in when and who to spend that money on.
I don't think Hicks potentially being cheap is the issue, the main concerns are:
- Will it ever be the right time to spend for this team?
- Are the people working for him, like JD, giving him good advice.
Dunno
I'm not advocating spending money for the sake of spending money on a rebuilding team.
I do think, though, that the idea that this team should be at $65 million in payroll a couple of years of now is flawed.
by Adam J. Morris on Feb 1, 2008 12:24 PM CST up reply actions
My email
His Reply:
Actually, more than just thought went into it. I called around. He would have come, according to the Rangers. The problem, as I wrote, was that the Twins didn't think the Rangers could have gotten a contract done. The Mets are having enough problems as it is. And Johan Santana is not available every day. He'll be 29 in March. He'd still be an elite pitcher in 2009, when the Rangers should be much further along in their development.
Thanks for writing.
Kevin Sherrington
Dang... Is he smug or what?
Why would Satana say no????
Show me the Santana!
These pro-writers hate no-name teams for obvious reasons. It's very hard to write great stories about players few people know much about. Elvis may be the second coming of ELVIS, but who can really see that value on February 1, 2008? LSB Bloggers that's who!
This story is silly.
You exaggerate the story though. The deal is closer to 6 years and 150M and not 8 years 200M. That's a BIG DIFFERENCE.
Also, it would not take Salty, Kinsler, Hurley, Andrus and Feliz.
The Mets didn't trade one player in the majors. Gomez and Humber are close but they haven't had any significant time. So a deal could've been done without Kinsler in it.
Salty is more valuable than any of their players. I think a similar trade would be
Salty > Gomez
Harrison < Humber Not by much
Gabbard > Mulvey
Feliz = Guerra
Don't get me wrong, I wouldn't trade Salty, Harrison, Gabbard and Feliz for Santana but that's a lot closer to the Mets deal than Salty, Kinsler, Hurley, Andrus, and Feliz.
He didn't day that is what it would actually take,
Really?
I'd do that in about a second, maybe less.
think about that
Tex/Mahay/Gagne for Santana/Andrus/Beltre/Beau Jones/David Murphy
good gravy
but
I know this is getting incredibly speculative
Or maybe they wouldn't.
But I think Salty is more valuable than Gomez.
My reasoning
by blue glove dooshy on Feb 1, 2008 2:56 PM CST up reply actions
you are close
This discussion probably needs to stick to Adam's
Santana seems likely to get 6 or 7 years guaranteed, at about $20-22M per year. Plus you'd have given up several of the players you'd really like to have around him to have a competitive team. No, he's not quite worth any price.
I think Daniels might actually balk even at signing a FA that didn't cost anything more than a draft pick if it meant a guarantee of 7 years. That is damn risky for a pitcher, and much more of a problem than any dollar amount. If you throw in the cost of the prospects, it doesn't make sense to a team that A. isn't in win-now mode, B. can't afford nearly as many payroll risks for that many years as the Mets.
Good Point
However if he was a freeagent, i'd fully expect the team to go hard after signing him. But 7yrs at 20-22per is a pretty scary contract to give any pitcher
Site Changes
What happened to the humor at LSB? Oh, right, Ben stopped contributing after 3 posts.
The dead line has passed
22-25 mil over 6 yrs...
Signed
by Ed Coffin on Feb 1, 2008 6:06 PM CST up reply actions
Law
http://www.meadowparty.com/blog/?p=160

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