JD Question

by Coolbean04 on Apr 11, 2008 9:02 AM CDT

I might be close to making a bet with someone on whether JD will lose his job in a year or not. The person says he'll lose his job within a year and I said he won't, especially since he signed an extension. I'm giving him 5 to 1 odds and I'm making the bet $1,000. So if I lose, i'd have to pay $5,000. You think it's a good bet?

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If we were expected to compete

And we fell flat, I could maybe see him getting fired. But everybody knows this is a developing/rebuilding year and we are not expected to contend for anything,

He is not gonna get fired.

by SaltyGoesYard on Apr 11, 2008 9:13 AM CDT 0 recs

I totally agree with you

The only problem is that I don't know what Nolan Ryan is thinking. Yes, JD got an extension but could Ryan actually think about firing him?

by Coolbean04 on Apr 11, 2008 9:17 AM CDT up 0 recs

One thing you didn't cover

Is the guy able to pay you the thousand? Sounds like giving odds is a desperate hedge. Either JD will be fired or not, within the time frame. That should always be an even bet, no matter how certain you are he'll stay.

'At Georgia Southern, we don't cheat. That costs money and we don't have any.' Erk Russell / Georgia Southern

by Ed Coffin on Apr 11, 2008 1:03 PM CDT up 0 recs

No

by Adam J. Morris on Apr 11, 2008 9:14 AM CDT 0 recs

Adam

No as in he won't get fired or No as in I shouldn't make the bet?

by Coolbean04 on Apr 11, 2008 9:16 AM CDT 0 recs

No, I wouldn't make the bet

If it were a straight up bet, I would, but not giving 5-1 odds.

by Adam J. Morris on Apr 11, 2008 9:17 AM CDT up 0 recs

+1

5-1 is just too high, especially when we're dealing with the Rangers.

I would take the bet at 2-1, maybe 5-2.

Right around the time all the young talent is ready to contend is when the organization will realize that Ron Washington is the wrong man for the job.

by Chad Crudup on Apr 11, 2008 9:27 AM CDT up 0 recs

Yeah, I don't like the odds

although I think he is safe in the job.

"Before I leave, I once again condemn the despicable buffoonery of D.J. Cahill." - Huck

by DJCahill on Apr 11, 2008 9:20 AM CDT 0 recs

I tried to change it to 2 to 1.

Don't know if they'd do it for 2 to 1 though. 2 to 1 I can swallow a lot better since now I have some doubts haha. I guess I was too confident before.

by Coolbean04 on Apr 11, 2008 9:25 AM CDT 0 recs

when it comes to tom hicks deceisions

nothing is a safe bet.

"When we're mad we'll use our words. Then the rest of the world will play nice with us. And the only boom-booms will be in our pants." - Ralph Wiggum

by rentz on Apr 11, 2008 9:25 AM CDT 0 recs

Agreed

If I'm not mistaken Showalter was fired before his extension was supposed to hit.

by Taylor on Apr 11, 2008 10:29 AM CDT up 0 recs

Man, why the hell do you give those odds?

If JD were working for a normal owner, I'd consider it. But there is no telling what Hicks will do. And alot can happen in a year.

And considering the hammering Daniels has gotten from the pseudocognoscenti, I really don't think you should have to give your friend any odds.

If I were a Vegas handicapper, I'd call it a pickem (and everybody knows I love JD).

Your buddy is trying to bend you over.

Rex Hudler is in demand as a motivational speaker.

by Brian Thomas on Apr 11, 2008 9:29 AM CDT 0 recs

I disagree

if anything, Hicks has been slow to pull the trigger on guys whose time to leave has come. I can't see Hicks firing JD anytime in the foreseeable future. Everyone will be calling for his head for years before Hicks does anything about it.

That said, 5-1 are big odds for just about anything in sports. I'd actually be worried more about a scenario like the Yankees firing Cashman and Hank Steinbrenner pointing his finger at JD and saying "Here, boy, see what you can do to the Yankees"

Other point, I wish I had enough money lying around to lay $5k on a single bet. Whatever you are doing Coolbean04, you must be doing something right.

by JBImaknee on Apr 11, 2008 10:38 AM CDT up 0 recs

Within a year?!

What would he get fired for by this time next year?

Give the odds, take the bet. Go 6-1 if you have to.

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Apr 11, 2008 9:39 AM CDT 0 recs

the only reason I could think of

is if Volquez wins the NL CY and Danks wins the AL CY. And Hamilton and BMac miss most of the season.

Not saying that he should be fired even under those extremes, but Tommy might cave in to media pressure if 2 of the DVD end up being front rotation types and Rangers have nothing to show for it.

Pedro: "I wasn't cockfighting, I just have a wide stance."

by tricer on Apr 11, 2008 10:09 AM CDT up 0 recs

yeah

if the extremes happen, i see hicks going against his whole, jd's my gm and buckling to pressure from the press and fans

"When we're mad we'll use our words. Then the rest of the world will play nice with us. And the only boom-booms will be in our pants." - Ralph Wiggum

by rentz on Apr 11, 2008 10:13 AM CDT up 0 recs

Mistaken approach

You are looking at this through the eyes of reasoned, logical, patient person with a keen understanding of baseball.

That, sir, is no way to approach it.

Rex Hudler is in demand as a motivational speaker.

by Brian Thomas on Apr 11, 2008 11:58 AM CDT up 0 recs

Betting that much money

on anything is stupid.

A working class hero is something to be.

by t ball on Apr 11, 2008 9:42 AM CDT 0 recs

Agreed

www.mavsmoneyball.com

by Wes Cox on Apr 11, 2008 11:39 AM CDT up 0 recs

+1

Especially when it's something completely out of your control.

And with the 22nd overall selection the Dallas Cowboys select Jonathan Stewart.

by TheBZA on Apr 11, 2008 12:37 PM CDT up 0 recs

Probably a safe bet...

but imagine losing that cashola... sad day in the coolbean household...

by RangerBoy on Apr 11, 2008 10:09 AM CDT 0 recs

those odds are just too much

do 3-1 at the most. but I think otherwise its a safe bet

scap load or die

by ab03 on Apr 11, 2008 11:05 AM CDT 0 recs

tom hicks has 3 teams

and he has fired 2 of the 3 gm's in the last 4 months

.500 or bust!

Bad Vibes Kill Rallies!

"Well, we are one of the cheapest teams in Major League Baseball"
-Tom Hicks 4/8/2008

by Jayslick on Apr 11, 2008 12:41 PM CDT 0 recs

1 yesterday

.500 or bust!

Bad Vibes Kill Rallies!

"Well, we are one of the cheapest teams in Major League Baseball"
-Tom Hicks 4/8/2008

by Jayslick on Apr 11, 2008 12:41 PM CDT up 0 recs

Rick Parry?

Well, Hicks is trying to fire him, but Parry won't leave, and Gillette is in favor of him staying on. Honestly, I think it's one of the few things Hicks has done right since buying the club- Parry is a spineless little ass-kisser who didn't make a peep when ownership tried to undermine Rafa earlier this season.

Parry has screwed up a number of past transfer deals by his indecision (notably Daniel Alves) and from what I hear from our fellow Reds in England, he was at fault for Gerrard nearly leaving for Chelsea a couple years back. That alone should have been a firing offense.

"I dont care to debate with a troll." - Sharky

by RCCook on Apr 11, 2008 8:37 PM CDT up 0 recs