The Age-Old Question: Hitting vs. Pitching
There is no bigger question for Rangers Fans each and every season. If it isn’t one, then it is the other. This season has brought new meaning to the question in the form of Josh Hamilton vs. Edison Volquez. No topic is more discussed in more arenas than this question. Who was or is the better pick? Which team got the better bargain? Did they trade only work with the swap of these two players?
Fans will argue this point for years to come. That it assuming both players spend equal time in the majors and that both players continue to play they way they have thus far.
Who was or is the better pick?
Even Hamilton has recently weighed in on this topic. He recently told Sports Illustrated to consider it a “draw”. Valid point by Hamilton, who is leading all of baseball with 74 runs batted in, has led the AL in homers for much of the season, and is among its best in batting average. On the flip side, Volquez is 9-2, with a major-best 1.64 ERA. So who is better? Both men are having All-Star caliber seasons, a first for both. One player plays every day, one plays every five (or so).
Which team got the better bargain?
Both players make barely above league minimum with Hamilton coming in at $396,830, while Volquez is close behind with a salary of $392,500. Bargain is a relative term here because both players are due for a huge pay day at the end of this season. Both teams will have to compete to keep them, as they both have one-year contracts.
Did they trade only work with the swap of these two players?
Hamilton was out of the question without Volquez. No matter who the Rangers offered, the Reds had one guy in mind: Edison Volquez.
The real question, in my mind, is what did the Rangers need RIGHT NOW?
Today, Rangers fans can agree on one thing that the Rangers need – wins! Currently the Rangers are 6.5 games out of first place in the AL West and 7 games out of the AL Wild Card race. The Rangers continue to teeter at the .500 mark, not yet able to get more than 2 games above .500 all season. So is it the pitcher or the center-fielder that achieves that? The Ranger’s pitching struggles don’t come in the first 100 pitches our starting pitchers throw. It happens somewhere between that point and the 9th inning of every game. Meanwhile, the Rangers offense is at the top or near the top of the leader boards in every major category there is. This is largely due to Josh Hamilton.
So at the end of the day this is my opinion: Congratulations Rangers Organization – you win this one.
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11 comments
Comments
They are not free agents at the end of the season
Both players make barely above league minimum with Hamilton coming in at $396,830, while Volquez is close behind with a salary of $392,500. Bargain is a relative term here because both players are due for a huge pay day at the end of this season. Both teams will have to compete to keep them, as they both have one-year contracts.
They are under team control for 4 more years next year the teams can pay the minimum again and then there is 3 years of arbitration before they are eligible for free agency. Just because their contracts are for only one year does not mean that they are free agents at the end of the year.
by brentash on Jun 20, 2008 1:54 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Hmmmm...
Who was or is the better pick?
Hamilton. AL vs. NL is a HUGE difference. Volquez would have somewhere close to a 5.00 ERA in the AL.
Which team got the better bargain?
Too early to tell, but the hitter plays every day…advantage Rangers.
Did they trade only work with the swap of these two players?
Yep.
The real question, in my mind, is what did the Rangers need RIGHT NOW?
Bullpen help if it’s cheap….otherwise we need prospects and more prospects. Period. We aren’t going to win the division this year…and I think we all know that. Sell of pieces at the deadline and get more help in here…particularly with starting pitching. You can’t EVER have enough starting pitching. Too much starting pitching ends up being extremely valuable trade chips.
I'd love for part of the "new look" to be a return to the red uniforms of the 1990s. - Ian Kinsler
by ortonius on Jun 20, 2008 1:58 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
um...........
Volquez would have somewhere close to a 5.00 ERA in the AL.
Are you refering to the same Volquez who slayed the Yanks last night?
Please forgive any and all typos, mispellings, etc.
Your kindess in this matter is appreciated.
by red shoe ranger on Jun 21, 2008 6:16 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rangers
At the time of the trade it was a perfect trade to make. We had a glut of back of the rotation pitchers and they had a glut of outfielders. I challenge anybody to say they thought Edinson would turn out to be this good this year. We had Volquez, Mendoza, Galarraga, Hurley, Harrison, BMac, Gabbard, and Jennings all for the 3-5 spots in the rotation. Cincy had Freel, Hammy, Griffey, Dunn, and Bruce all for their OF positions. It was a perfect scenario.
Now could we use Volquez now…of course. But at the time he looked like a back of the rotation guy who wasn’t even guaranteed a spot in the rotation. Our offense without Hamilton is without question nowhere near as explosive. And our outfield defense would probably be way worse as well.
The thing that makes this trade a no brainer win for us is that based on what Hammy did last year you could kinda predict somewhat close to what he is doing this year. But you couldn’t say that about Volquez.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
by bigsteve on Jun 20, 2008 2:36 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Pitching > Hitting
...most of the time.
But the Volquez-Hamilton trade is hard to denounce.
It’s worked out well for both teams…but a dangerous precedent for future trades.
I agree with you on this one, bigsteve.
"I'm extremely complex. I'm not easy to understand." - a) Charles Manson, b) Madonna, c) Milton Bradley.
by Clueless on Jun 20, 2008 3:01 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Do you believe hitting and pitching (if we ignore defense for a moment) are each worth 50% of the game?
If not, how would you split up the percentages?
by Telegraph on Jun 20, 2008 6:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scientifically and mathematically devoid opinion:
Regular season games: Pitching 55% Hitting 45% Goes to 60-40 as season progresses.
Playoff games: Pitching 65% Hitting 35%
Playoff series: Pitching 80% Hitting 20%
A very good pitcher can neutralize/beat a very good hitter often. The reverse isn’t true.
A very good pitching staff can neutralize/beat a good hitting team consistently.
I’m assuming you have the actual math answer, and that my guesstimates are completely wrong. Shred me. It won’t be the first time.
"I'm extremely complex. I'm not easy to understand." - a) Charles Manson, b) Madonna, c) Milton Bradley.
by Clueless on Jun 21, 2008 2:18 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
P.S.
I think the fluctuations (deviations) in the performances of good hitters vs. good pitchers is a significant variable. Good pitchers are good more consistently…it seems.
Of course, you have to distinguish between individuals pitchers and the staff, as one influence only evry fifth game, while the other affects all games.
"I'm extremely complex. I'm not easy to understand." - a) Charles Manson, b) Madonna, c) Milton Bradley.
by Clueless on Jun 21, 2008 2:28 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Volquez
Just because he is having great success for the red’s doesn’t automatically mean he would do the same for the rangers. I know he mentioned he went back to the arm slot he was comfortable with that the rangers tried to change.
which brings the question of, do the rangers need new pitching coaches?
But to answer the question , i do the deal over and over the same way. The rangers needed both pitching and outfield defense, and arguably needed a power bat with a good glove in the outfield far more than a potential ace. If they can now find that potential ace or even a solid 2/3 guy, and combine that with the good outfield D they have, then they are much better off.
"I'm against picketing, but I don't know how to show it." - Mitch Hedberg
by rentz on Jun 21, 2008 6:42 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Nothing to add
Sometimes you can claim an advantage from a trade by comparing win shares over a season, or similar matchups. I don’t think there is an absolute template for making decisions when the results of the trade haven’t had time to play out, and how long that takes is pretty subjective.
About the only template I trust is the very old, never proven one about balance. That it takes six guys hitting and three starters winning solidly and two relievers excelling to expect to win out. And even that isn’t an everyday thing, baseball matchups and situational play tend to disrupt any real consistency in W – L effectiveness.
That said, I enjoy and appreciate Pythagorean W- L constructs, and year over year goodness of either hitters or pitchers. The challenge for the Rangers is, and has been, to maintain pitching goodness no matter what else is going on. And as rentz cited, a good enough defense to prevent unearned or situational decision runs.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)
by Ed Coffin on Jun 21, 2008 1:26 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

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