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A potential 2009 Ranger shortstop?

So, I'm reading Ken Rosenthal's column on the C.C. Sabathia trade, and I come across this item, which piques my interest:

Don't be surprised if the Brewers accelerate their transition this winter by trading shortstop J.J. Hardy and possibly first baseman Prince Fielder for multiple high-end prospects.

The demand for shortstops, in particular, is rising. Hardy, second in OPS only to the Marlins' Hanley Ramirez among NL shortstops, could bring a quality young starting pitcher — think Giants right-hander Matt Cain — if he is packaged with the right youngsters.

The Brewers then could replace Hardy with Class AA shortstop Alcides Escobar, whom they signed at age 16 as an international free agent out of Venezuela. Escobar already is considered a superior defender to Hardy, though he might struggle offensively for a time.

Okay...first of all, let's forget about the trading a quality young starting pitcher for Hardy part.  Let's assume that Milwaukee can't pull that off.

But let's think about the rest of it...the Brew Crew dealing Hardy for multiple high-end prospects...

This could be a fit for Texas, I think.

There's a couple of underlying assumptions to this, of course.  First of all, I think the Rangers are pretty well committed to moving Michael Young to third base this offseason.  And I think they are committed to upgrading their shortstop defense.  And I think they view Elvis Andrus as the shortstop of the future, although he's probably at least a year, and more likely two, away.

So...you've got a good young core of talent here right now.  You've got a team that, at this point, you can think about contending in the next year or two, particularly if some of the young pitchers can come around.  And you've got a lot of surplus minor league talent in certain areas that would allow you to make a move without mortgaging the future.

What this team needs for 2009 (aside from Brandon McCarthy and Eric Hurley stepping up and performing like they are capable of) is to fix the left side of the infield.  Hank Blalock isn't coming back next year, Andrus isn't ready, Joaquin Arias is a cypher, Young isn't getting the job done defensively at shortstop, and Ramon Vazquez and Travis Metcalf aren't realistic solutions.

However...Young, as I've said before, profiles as a pretty solid defensive third baseman, given his skill set.  And Hardy grades out very well defensively at shortstop...he's second in Dewan's +/- system this year, after being 10th last year (Young is 25th, 29th, and 25th the past three years), is middle of the pack in Pinto's PMR, and is above-average in Lichtman's UZR.

Oh...and blasphemous though this may seem, he's also probably a better hitter than Young right now.  And he's under team control through 2010, which means he'll be a free agent about when you figure Andrus would be ready.

How do the teams match up, needs-wise?  Brewers desperately need a solution at catcher.  The Rangers have a lot of catching options that are major league ready.  Would, say, Saltalamacchia or Ramirez, plus one of the A-ball arms -- say Neil Ramirez or Wilmer Font -- get a deal done?  Or Teagarden and Matt Harrison or Tommy Hunter, plus a Zach Phillips or a Kennil Gomez?  Wouldn't that seem to fit both team's needs?

That allows the Rangers to significantly upgrade their infield defense without really taking a hit offensively, and without mortgaging the future.

The more I think about this, the more I like it...

 

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Comments

Display:

Proof?

Of this:

First of all, I think the Rangers are pretty well committed to moving Michael Young to third base this offseason.

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
"If you ain't got no money, ain't nobody calls you honey," Bo Diddley

by Rodney on Jul 7, 2008 10:22 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

No proof, per say

Strong gut feeling, reading the tea leaves, etc.

by Adam J. Morris on Jul 7, 2008 10:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, how does the team

tell the “players’ vote” All-Star SS he is changing positions 3-4 months after the ASG?

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
"If you ain't got no money, ain't nobody calls you honey," Bo Diddley

by Rodney on Jul 7, 2008 10:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The same way the Nationals told Soriano he is moving positions after four straight all-star seasons.

This from Rob Neyer today:
Both of Texas’s middle infielders are All-Star reserves, and both Michael Young and Ian Kinsler probably deserve the honor. Kinsler’s leading the American League in hits and runs, and in a lousy year for American League shortstops, Young’s one of the two or three best of the bad lot. But as Baseball Time in Arlington points out, there are legitimate concerns about both Rangers’ fielding.
http://mvn.com/mlb-rangers/2008/07/04/deconstructing-ian-kinslers-defense-or-lack-thereof/

by gr7070 on Jul 7, 2008 11:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Per se

Counsellor (and I promise to never again be a spelling nazi) : )).

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)

by Ed Coffin on Jul 7, 2008 10:47 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

good

cause isn’t it usually spelled “counselor”

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 10:51 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

"I’ll say something that doesn’t need context: anyone who is a Mariner’s fan is a douchebag." - FuturePants

by Chase Irwin on Jul 7, 2008 10:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nope, look it up.

Although with two L’s is more commonly British.

Now, get back under your rock!

;)

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
"If you ain't got no money, ain't nobody calls you honey," Bo Diddley

by Rodney on Jul 7, 2008 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

well

“usually spelled counselor,” as in if you’re not British, you usually don’t spell it like that. Recently, I have been made aware of all sorts of spellings that I didn’t realize were technically correct. Damn Websters recognizing anything stupid stuff.

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

'cause

not cause.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 11:18 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

heh

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 11:20 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Heh

Embarrassing. And not really used correctly, either.

by brettgardner on Jul 7, 2008 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

lol

"I’ll say something that doesn’t need context: anyone who is a Mariner’s fan is a douchebag." - FuturePants

by Chase Irwin on Jul 7, 2008 12:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

haha

leave it to Mr. Gardner to get shit straightened out.

July 7 - Arod and Cynthia are headline National news today
Thank god we have Miles who gets us the SPORTS news a week before it becomes headline news.
The power of Miles - catch it!!!

by LAMuscleFag on Jul 7, 2008 2:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

well

if our goal is to start seriously competing for the playoffs is 2010, why not just wait and let Andrus take over then and keep the prospects for something else, like say…starting pitching?

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 10:24 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

agree

don’t trade prospects anymore on anything other than pitching

Rare Gnats Sex

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 10:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

don't be ridiculous

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 10:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree

The Rangers do not lose because they can’t score runs. They lose because they can’t keep the other team from scoring. They need pitchers, not position players.

by Jea103 on Jul 7, 2008 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Having Hardy at SS

would help the Rangers prevent runs.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 10:41 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

having Andrus there next year would do the same

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 10:42 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not as many

as having better pitching.

by Jea103 on Jul 7, 2008 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

"Do they know who I am? Do they know my status? Thats what I thought."
-Miles 6/21/08

.501 or bust!

by Jayslick on Jul 7, 2008 12:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

how many?

10 over the courses of 162 games?

I would take Hardy if we had to give up minimal hitting prospects. Or Laird straight up. Cat. Byrd. Which won’t happen.

Pitching and maybe 3B should be our only targets in package/significant pro player deals we make.

"No, Donny, these men are nihilists, there's nothing to be afraid of."

by Walter Sobchak on Jul 7, 2008 3:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

10 runs saved is about the same as...

...replacing a 5.00 ERA, 200 ip starting pitcher with a 200 ip starting pitcher with a 4.5 ERA. It’s significant, especially considering the type of staff that we have.

Of course, the likely response is that we don’t really even have any good bets to consistently post 200 innings and a 5 ERA.

I’d like to trade our excess for starting pitching, but this idea of using Hardy to slide MY over is kinda intriquing, and I believe it would improve the team more than most of the commenters here seem to think.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 4:27 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll just quote THT here...

Any sufficiently advanced defense is indistinguishable from pitching?

Wouldn’t a major defensive upgrade at short help out with baserunners?

by jwiscarson on Jul 7, 2008 10:42 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

major defensive upgrade

the defensive metrics I look at say mike young is adequate. hardy might be better but not significantly so.

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 10:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

+10000000000000000000000000

hey rangers fans, you know why this team has sucked for 30+ years, b/c their shortstop position didnt have enough range….

oh wait, no its pitching…

"Do they know who I am? Do they know my status? Thats what I thought."
-Miles 6/21/08

.501 or bust!

by Jayslick on Jul 7, 2008 12:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I could not agree with this more.

The Hardy trade doesn’t address the LONG-TERM issues we have, it addresses temporary issues we have while waiting for our future to arrive.

I think if we get the deal done for some lesser known guys without trading away a huge piece like a Salty, Teagarden, Harrison, et al, then we have a reason to make the deal. But if we’re giving up these pieces of trade bait for something that we could really do without, then I think we’re making a huge mistake.

Patience is something that all Rangers (myself still included) need desperately to learn. Michael Young will suffice at SS or 3B with someone else (a 1-year guy or whatever) filling that hole until we can get Andrus here.

Just wait it out people. Wait it out.

Ian Kinsler has finally earned the right to be the third of my co-favorite players.

by utlonghorn24 on Jul 7, 2008 3:02 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

the problem with waiting

is that Hambone and Kinsler aren’t going to stay in the prime of their careers forever. I think the offense has a couple of elite guys at their positions and it would be nice to start putting a competitive team around those 2 while they are still in the wheelhouse of their careers.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 4:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep

our wagon is hitched to those two, currently.

Davis, Smoak, and whoever becomes DH should keep our offense dominant for the next 5-6 years. Better get some damn pitching here in time … this time …

"I’ll say something that doesn’t need context: anyone who is a Mariner’s fan is a douchebag." - FuturePants

by Chase Irwin on Jul 7, 2008 5:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah I understand both points there...

But isn’t the waiting thing what we’ve been promoting the whole time? Kinsler and Hamilton are both going to be very, very good for at least the next five years, barring injury of course, and I think that is plenty of time to get some good pitching in here. I see no reason why we’re not legitimate WS contenders in two years, if not for sure in three. Pitching development/acquisition should be our main focus, not filling a hole with a (in my opinion anyway) stupid trade that serves no end to the focus that we as an organization have right now.

But that’s me.

Ian Kinsler has finally earned the right to be the third of my co-favorite players.

by utlonghorn24 on Jul 7, 2008 6:10 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree completely

time for tunnel vision.

"I’ll say something that doesn’t need context: anyone who is a Mariner’s fan is a douchebag." - FuturePants

by Chase Irwin on Jul 7, 2008 7:25 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

To add more to your post...

I think that adding more competitive guys around those two are where our focus should be in trades with the extra guys we have to deal at some point. Laird/Salty/Teagarden, maybe a Harrison, Beavan/Main/Kiker, whoever we need to trade away as part of a big deal to get a big, big name in here for multiple years. A big name pitcher, not a position player, just to clarify. I feel like if we do that with our trade chips, we’re going to really set ourselves up to be that championship-caliber team like I mentioned below. What are your thoughts?

Ian Kinsler has finally earned the right to be the third of my co-favorite players.

by utlonghorn24 on Jul 7, 2008 6:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Horrible Idea

With as streaky as Hardy is I would rather bring in a one year stop gap guy as a free agent and not trade any of our young pitching. If we really want to have sustained success we need to see the development all the way through, moving young arms for J.J. Hardy is not a solution.

by texrangers31 on Jul 7, 2008 10:27 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

If the Brewers medium of exchange

Is a quality starting pitcher, and the SS-A kids are too far away, what prospects would you assign, if you could? Sure Hardy would fit nicely in the scenario given, but doesn’t that train pull up short at the pitchers only station?

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)

by Ed Coffin on Jul 7, 2008 10:27 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Did I read that right?

Are you suggesting Salty or Max, plus a young arm like Font or NeRa, for J.J. Hardy?

With the ridiculous glut of middle infield prospects in our farm system, I just cannot see the justification of using a bullet as valuable as Salty or Max, PLUS an intriguing young arm, for two years of J.J. Hardy. I read on yesterday’s minor league fanpost that a scout believed Andrus could be major league ready by next year’s all-star break. Granted, he will most likely struggle at first, but still. I think our young catchers have to be leveraged for pitching. I hate to be closed minded, but this team will NEVER SERIOUSLY COMPETE until our pitching is fixed.

by clark on Jul 7, 2008 10:35 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

yep

if you look at the makeup of this team from the players already here and in the minors, we’re pretty well set, once Andrus comes up at 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, C, CF, RF (hopefully Bradley resigned, and even if he isnt…), and we got some OF prospects coming on up as well…

If we can use some of our prospects to strengthen the bullpen and maybe get one young starter in here, this would be a very strong team…

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't like it, but I like it.

I’d rather they just get a stopgap at SS and leverage their catcher situation for an upgrade to the rotation if possible. It could work, though, if they manage to sign a Sabathia or Sheets first. I like it from a standpoint of making the infield better. It makes you better at bat and in the field on the left side.

There are risks though in signing a free agent pitcher, in dollars, the number of years it would take to close the deal, declining skills, and health concerns…

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 10:36 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Seriously

What is the big deal with Young at SS. Is he that terrible? This is stupid, we have an all star SS who can get by there for the next 2-3 years and we have a top prospect who is 2-3 years away.

Hey but I have a GOOD idea, How about put that package together for a PITCHER

by meatbonelefty on Jul 7, 2008 10:38 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

hhmm....

Just because the Rangers want Michael Young to move to 3B, doesn’t mean he will.

Him accepting moving to 3B will mean he is accepting that he is not good enough…....and MY will never admit that.

"GO RANGERS!!!" - bspate

by bspate on Jul 7, 2008 10:38 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Depends

If he moves for an inevitable Andrus promotion to the SS job, he’ll play it out as doing it for the team. Maybe not so gracefully done for an acquisition, but of course I don’t know, you don’t know, and Michael Young doesn’t know until confronted by the situation. He did well PR and esteem wise moving from 2B to allow Soriano’s arrival smoothly, and I’d guess he’ll do likewise gracefully when it’s time to shift to 3B.

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)

by Ed Coffin on Jul 7, 2008 10:45 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah but

the soriano situation was a little different. The Rangers were saying we think that you are a good enough 2B to be a good SS. It was a compliment. The move from SS to 3B can be construed as a slight. Basically, we dont think you are good enough to play SS anymore so please move to 3B.

by booyahcaveman on Jul 7, 2008 10:52 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

with MY's contract

they can tell him to do whatever the hell they want. Not like he’ll refuse. He’ll just have his feelings hurt.

W: "Our enemies are innovative and resourceful, and so are we. They never stop thinking about new ways to harm our country and our people, and neither do we."

by hubcityraider on Jul 7, 2008 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He'll move to 3B

if the Rangers have as much backbone as Washington did with Soriano.

"And I stopped beating my wife just a couple of weeks ago." -John McCain

by DJCahill on Jul 8, 2008 8:37 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not a bad idea

but if they are looking for a Matt Cain, I really think the closest we have is Feliz and no way that trade is getting made. Maybe teagarden, harrison and a low A arm. I would probably do that.

by booyahcaveman on Jul 7, 2008 10:39 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hmn...
That allows the Rangers to significantly upgrade their infield defense without really taking a hit offensively, and without mortgaging the future.

Umm… if you’re trading them one of our top young catchers plus an arm for a guy you don’t plan on having here past 2010… yeah, that is kind of mortgaging your future just a little bit.

This is an intersting idea, but I’m just not willing to give up any high-quality young players for a 2-year rental shortstop. Maybe if they wanted to swap some major league players, like Maybe Millwood + Laird for Hardy though.

What I’m really having trouble with though, is why the Brewers would do this. What exactly are they doing as an organization, anyway? They’re about to trade off their #1 prospect for CC Sabathia, yet they’re willing to give up their starting shortstop? Something doesn’t add up there.

A Lonestar in California

"My keyboard is a Yankees fan" - Whipsmart

by lonestarJon on Jul 7, 2008 10:41 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

don't ever question Doug Melvin!

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 10:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's called, all in

From what I’ve read, they have no intention of re-signing either CC or Sheets. As Adam pointed out, they will also be looking to move Fielder after this season.

Melvin obviously believes he has a 1-year window of opportunity and he’s moving like hell to maximize the potential to win this year, knowing that this off-season they will undergo a Marlins-like fire sale, regardless of this season’s outcome.

by robert_d_wilfong on Jul 7, 2008 10:51 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

how frustrating

that must be for Brewers fans. They finally have a team put together that has plenty of good pitching and even includes a lot of youth. But they just can’t afford to keep em.

W: "Our enemies are innovative and resourceful, and so are we. They never stop thinking about new ways to harm our country and our people, and neither do we."

by hubcityraider on Jul 7, 2008 11:10 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, my heart bleeds for them

I think they have a real legit chance at a World Series berth this year. I’d gladly take that.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 4:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Pass.

I think you sign a stopgap until Andrus is ready. While I understand Hardy’s allure, it just doesn’t make sense to me to trade big pieces of the farm system to fill a position that is essentially already filled. Or, at worst, you keep Young at SS and a Vazquez/Metcalf platoon at 3B. I just don’t think trading for a shortstop is the move.

"Boy, that is a gutless, 6-foot-7, .200-hitting formerly good player. What a joke." -Tom Grieve RE: Richie Sexson

by ghtd36 on Jul 7, 2008 10:47 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Hey Adam

Can you share the source for your defensive metrics? I’ve never found active +/- available online.

by philkid3 on Jul 7, 2008 11:04 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

It is from

http://www.billjamesonline.net

I went ahead and subscribed. $3 per month.

by Adam J. Morris on Jul 7, 2008 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh

Hm, might be worth it. Thanks.

by philkid3 on Jul 7, 2008 1:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hardy's value as he departs in 2010

Unspoken in your stop-gap formula is what can be acquired for Hardy when he exits the season. Are you assuming getting back similar value to Salty/NeRa in a 2010 trade of Hardy?

by shroomer on Jul 7, 2008 11:05 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

If the team is in contention in 2010

do you trade your starting SS and promote a rookie?

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 11:21 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think it depends

Ideally, you figure you keep him for two years, contend those two years, let him walk and collect the draft picks after 2010, and roll with Andrus for 2011.

by Adam J. Morris on Jul 7, 2008 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

young will move to 3b

if he’s approached about it in the right way. Even Ripken moved to 3B for the good of his team. It’s not like Texas is asking him to do something unheard of.

I’ll pass on Hardy…I’d rather sign a similar player as a free agent without giving up any prospects.

Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball

by willamos2 on Jul 7, 2008 11:14 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

a similar player signed as a FA

would probably require a 3-4 year contract, at a minimum. Then that player would be blocking Andrus, if he continues to develop.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 11:16 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

here

David Eckstein – 1 year deal (93 OPS+ in 2007)

Hardy had a 100 OPS+ in 2007.

Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball

by willamos2 on Jul 7, 2008 11:24 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

why even do that?

what’s wrong with vasquez?

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 11:25 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

i agree...

i’m just saying if the organization chooses to bring in a SS from the outside – I’d much rather sign an Eckstein than acquire Hardy at the cost of Salty or Max (plus a low-A pitcher).

Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball

by willamos2 on Jul 7, 2008 11:29 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

so you're going to move MY off SS for David Eckstein?

good luck w/ that.

Any decent SS that can field and hit well enough to displace the FOTF is going to require a multi-year FA deal.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 11:40 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vazquez

He’s not very good.

by Adam J. Morris on Jul 7, 2008 11:31 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

he's not better than hardy

he’s better than eckstein

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

so far this year

he is.

"Hey hows the playoff push coming? How about adding the AL MVP (Milton Bradley) to your lineup, would that help? Oh, your top 3 prospects? Sure, don't mind if I do." -Future Jon Daniels quote (developed by SaltyGoesYard)

by dstar442005 on Jul 7, 2008 12:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And you expect that to continue long term?

He’s .200 points above his career OPS right now. He might somehow keep doing that the rest of this season, but I certainly wouldn’t count on it past that. Seems like an ideal sell high candidate.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 2:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hardy is 26, under team control

until 2010, when he’ll be 28. Eckstein is 33 and hasn’t had an OPS over 93 since 2005.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 11:33 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No.

I don’t even get the thought process, overpaying for something overpriced and underneeded.

In the lunchroom, you’d be trying to acquire stale Twinkies with a bag of raisins, when they’re asking turkey sandwich from Whole Foods.

Our catching is all underperforming anyway, so we should be sitting on it and meditating for positive vibes.

Also, Adam: cipher. (Great word!)

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Jul 7, 2008 11:18 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Not buying at that price.

I think it’s a better option than most, if the goal is to transition MY next year. I’m not sure the Rangers need to do that next year, but it probably wouldn’t hurt. Milwaukee could use a 3B as well. Hardy for Blalock+mid-level prospect?

If CC and Sheets walk after this year, the Brewers have a lot of picks, but need pitching. So, Blalock+Harrison for Hardy? I feel like Harrison might be a little better than a mid-level prospect, though.

Go Rangers!

by rooster on Jul 7, 2008 11:21 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Think about that

If they want to give up Hardy, do you really think they want Blalock?

by robert_d_wilfong on Jul 7, 2008 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Too much

I’m OK with trading away a catcher and maybe a low A pitcher but not a good prospect. To me, if the Rangers can fill a hole and the Brewers can fill a hole, that should be enough especially since the Brewers will have their player longer.

Nothing pithy here. Please move long.

by WyoRanger on Jul 7, 2008 11:24 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Talk about burying the lead

Let’s look at the package to get him.

I’d much rather be in the hunt for him, than JJ Hardy.

"So you think the Celtics will beat Detroit? Hell will freeze over before that happens, mark my words." miles 5/20/08

by badradiorules on Jul 7, 2008 4:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Ian Kinsler has finally earned the right to be the third of my co-favorite players.

by utlonghorn24 on Jul 7, 2008 6:11 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Young to 3B

Why in the wide world of sports would we want to move a guy to 3B who (1) has an OPs of .762, (2) is on a downhill slide offensively, and (3) has never played 3B and might be a poor defensive 3B? Young doesn’t have the stick for 3B and might not have the range/reactions for it either. His only value is as a SS. If the Rangers decide he isn’t good enough to play SS, he should be traded or benched. Putting him at 3B because he has a ridiculous contract is suicide.

I would leave him at SS and pray that one of the dumber GMs in the league decides he needs an All-Star SS. Otherwise, you play him until his bat and/or glove deteriorates to the point that another option is better, at which time you bench him.

I’d rather see us run Blalock or Davis out there at 3B next season than spend prospects on Hardy so that we can move Young to a position for which he is not suited.

Let’s package some prospects together for a stud pitcher or COF bat.

--Brian

by BCanfield on Jul 7, 2008 11:35 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

In a perfect world

maybe this works out. The problem is that Hardy is too good a trade chip for the Brewers to settle on Teagarden+Poveda or something like that. Lots of teams need a good SS (just look at LSJ’s post about the Dodgers possibly offering someone like Kemp for a SS over there), and will trade better players than we’ll put out there. Sure we may match up with the BrewCrew, but someone else will offer to overpay for Hardy, and I don’t think we should try to outbid them.

by JBImaknee on Jul 7, 2008 11:40 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

yeah

beat me to it, but i echo your sentiments

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 11:43 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

my problem

seems like buying high, or paying a high price for a premium player. This is something a team who doesn’t have a future SS in their organization would do. If you think Andrus is anything, than you don’t waste prospects going after essentially a stopgap SS.

also:

Okay…first of all, let’s forget about the trading a quality young starting pitcher for Hardy part.

That’s a big part to forget about. I think the only reason they even consider trading someone like Hardy is because they think they can get a quality SP prospect in return. I realize they have Escobar in the pipeline but it seems to me that they would much rather wait and see if their SS prospect pans out before they deal someone like Hardy – unless they got bowled over with SP’s. This assumption that the Brewers would just settle for the Rangers offer seems a bit strange.

""If they'd have told me you can make the team but you've got to shine the shoes, I'd have been there shining shoes." -Bradley

by ab03 on Jul 7, 2008 11:42 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

just wondering

how do Escobar and Andrus compare as prospects?

Is Escobar more advanced? more highly thought of?

Seems strange that the Brewers would trade away a starting SS to clear room for their young stud, while we would trade away assets that would block our young stud – unless Escobar is regarded as a much better, or much more advanced, prospect.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 11:55 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

He is in AA, but 2 years older

He didn’t crack the BA 100, but he has been on their hot sheet a lot this year. 808 OPS, great glove.

Don't knock masturbation, it's sex with someone I love .

by Brian Thomas on Jul 7, 2008 12:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

escobar

Arias before he got hurt?

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 12:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, better.

Don't knock masturbation, it's sex with someone I love .

by Brian Thomas on Jul 7, 2008 3:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, my gut

says he’s better than Arias, too, but not by much. Part of me thinks it’s just my distaste and boredom with Arias, though.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 4:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ideally

I’d like the top prospects that we trade to bring back pitching, especially pitching that we can control long-term, however this isn’t a bad idea either.

by Agreen07 on Jul 7, 2008 11:53 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

10 games ago

Hardy was hitting .259, but he’s gone 22 for his last 43.

That will fall back down soon and I’m sure he’ll end up abobut where he did last year 277/323/463.

I don’t think he’s a better hitter than Young, more power though…

www.mavsmoneyball.com

by Wes Cox on Jul 7, 2008 11:55 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

Elvis

Prediction: he’s the starting shortstop next year. At the beginning of the year.

If he keeps up his pace since coming off the DL, he’ll probably see AAA before year’s end. If nothing else, he’ll have shot down a lot of doubters.

And this guy is ML-ready defensively, so the story goes…

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Jul 7, 2008 11:55 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

This last month or so has been nice for Elvis but lets not get too carried away just yet. Im thinking he will move up to OKC probably in a month which will give him about 6 weeks of playing time in AAA. Next year he will start off in OKC and I think the earliest we will hear rumblings about him getting promoted will be around June 1. realistically probably not until next ASB or trade deadline. Ideally I think the Rangers would like to keep him down until next September but I think he will be knocking on the door sooner than that.

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Jul 7, 2008 12:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rushing the kid

He’s already plenty rushed. Seems nobody minds, least of all the player.

I think the org will continue rushing him.

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Jul 7, 2008 12:07 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not really

he has spent a full year in Low A, a full year in High A, and now this full year in AA. He just started sooooooooo young that he is still young but has had plenty of seasoning in the minors

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Jul 7, 2008 12:44 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it seems like people are vastly underrating Hardy if they think that Salty plus Harrison is overpaying. We have a surplus of catching, and we are trading that to breakdown a defensive liability. Harrison projects to be a 3 at best. This would upgrade the current roster and not hurt the team longterm. I bet it takes more than that to get Hardy. If you made that trade, then added a Sheets/Sabathia, we quickly look like very legitimate contenders with a very strong system to sustain us longterm.

by aggiecurt05 on Jul 7, 2008 12:05 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Why not just leave Young at SS next year?

Hopefully Blalok will grow some balls and man third next year. If that happens then you dont need a stop gap like Hardy and Young won’t have to be moved until Elvis is ready.

Makes sense AJM so get these silly trade thoughts out your head!

The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ

by NYTXFAN on Jul 7, 2008 12:10 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree

if we are going to trade Salty, I want pitching coming back.

by Agreen07 on Jul 7, 2008 12:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Because he's not a good defensive shortstop

Between him and Blalock, they are probably an aggregate 30 to 40 runs below average defensively.

If you are going to have a groundball, pitch-to-contact staff, you need good defensive infielders.

by Adam J. Morris on Jul 7, 2008 1:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

who are you referring to...

...when you say groundball, pitch-to-contact staff?

Harrison? Feldman? Mendoza?

by oc on Jul 7, 2008 1:52 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Everybody not named

Padilla / McCarthy. Those are the only two power arms, in the traditional sense, no?

PLEASE START THAT REHAB, BGR!!

"I’ll say something that doesn’t need context: anyone who is a Mariner’s fan is a douchebag." - FuturePants

by Chase Irwin on Jul 7, 2008 5:19 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

"Because he's not a good defensive shortstop"

That is incorrect. Young is not a shortstop, perod. He just plays there.

A Lonestar in California

"My keyboard is a Yankees fan" - Whipsmart

by lonestarJon on Jul 8, 2008 4:48 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lugo

This was linked in the trade deadline thread.

Telling article, if true. Boston was heavily in on Saltalamacchia before the Teixeira deal.

And they’re sick of Lugo.

If they eat a lot of his salary, do you send them Bradley, Saltalamacchia, and say Lemon and any arm below AA (or Padilla) for Bucholz, Lugo +/- a couple other prospects?

Do they really slam the phone down?

Go Strangers.

by hightowersmith on Jul 7, 2008 12:35 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

whaa?

"I really think JD is probably going to be one of the best things ever to happen to the Rangers." - Longhorn, May 27th, 2007

by Longhorn on Jul 7, 2008 12:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lugo

pass.

Bradley, Salty, and Kiker for Buchholz?

"I’ll say something that doesn’t need context: anyone who is a Mariner’s fan is a douchebag." - FuturePants

by Chase Irwin on Jul 7, 2008 12:47 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Michael

won’t move to third in the middle of the season.

"Hey hows the playoff push coming? How about adding the AL MVP (Milton Bradley) to your lineup, would that help? Oh, your top 3 prospects? Sure, don't mind if I do." -Future Jon Daniels quote (developed by SaltyGoesYard)

by dstar442005 on Jul 7, 2008 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

i dont want lugo

he is a wife beater.

"Do they know who I am? Do they know my status? Thats what I thought."
-Miles 6/21/08

.501 or bust!

by Jayslick on Jul 7, 2008 1:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What makes this team a contender in two years?

It’s a long ways from a 500 team to a contender. The rotation is in a mess, how is it going to be better in two years? If this team is no more then a 500 team in 2010, has Daniels failed? I assume Millwood and Padilla may both be gone, maybe they find some other free agent? That’s a big if for this club?

by SanDiegoKev on Jul 7, 2008 1:16 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

growth

In two years guys like Hurley, Harrison, Feldman, McCarthy, and Hunter will all be just entering the primes of their careers and all will have at least one if not more years of experience in the big leagues. Our lineup of Kinsler, Hammy, Davis, Salty, Max, and Smoak will all be or already in the primes of their careers with experience in the bigs already. Compliment that with veterand like Millwood and Padilla and MY and mix in some promising rookies like Andrus, Kiker, and possibly Feliz and it looks on paper like a potent array of players. Alot can happen between now and then with injuries and player regression but one thing that looks great is most of those guys are under control for at least the next 3 years. That means they aren’t going anywhere unless we decide to move them. We don’t have to look and say “What if” talking about them resigning or leaving. They aren’t going anywhere.

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Jul 7, 2008 1:26 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In two

years, Smoak will be in his prime of his career? wrong.

Feldman entering prime? He is a journeymen at that point if he is lucky.

Mccarthy….. You really counting on this?

Millwood and Padilla… Both are gone in two years.

"I'm thinking of starting Quite Frankly in my garage, would you be my first guest?"

by miles on Jul 7, 2008 3:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

primes

Smoak will be what 24? Alright he will be entering the prime of his career. Feldman will be 27 right in the middle of his prime and with what hes shown this year even if all he is is a #5 starter I will take him as a #5 at 27 years old.

Yeah i am counting on McCarthy. He’ll be 26-27 and in his prime which should be top of the rotation material.

And I think one of Millwood/Padilla will still be around. You can’t win with strictly young guys in the rotation. You need that vet who even if hes your #4 guy can be there for the young guys to look to.

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Jul 7, 2008 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well that

team doesn’t really entice me…

Brandon Mccarthy has yet to show me he can stay healthy. What is he at best? A 3?

Feldman is a 5

Millwood/Padilla will be a 3 at best at that point, closer to a four…

Hurley is a 2.

The point is that rotation isn’t that much better than it has been, and you can’t win without pitching.

If we want to compete, we need a legit number 1.

Sabathia in the off season?

You can’t just assume Feliz will be a number 1, I’m not convinced he is a starter.

"I'm thinking of starting Quite Frankly in my garage, would you be my first guest?"

by miles on Jul 7, 2008 3:17 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

that team

I think that team will be alot like the teams of the late 90s. Pitchers who just kept us in games, nothing special, and an offense that absolutely dominated. I know pitching is what wins and all that crap but if a rotation of mostly mid 20s guys can just contain the other team I am confident that offense will win more games than lose. Like I said originally things can change and we can add guys but a key part is none of those guys will be leaving unless we decide they do. They are all under our control for awhile so unless we decide they go they stay.

And I do think Feliz will be a 1. A downright dominant 1

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Jul 7, 2008 3:31 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hope

that Feliz’ secondary pitches come along…

There is no such thing as "untouchable".

by miles on Jul 7, 2008 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

We've already had reports

that they are, but I agree with many of your points above. We cannot count on McCarthy, he’s a bonus if he gets healthy. Feldman may be a #4, but it’s not safe to count on it.

But with Feliz we can’t assume that he’ll be an ace the day he steps into the rotation. He’ll have to grow into that role even if he pans out like we hope. In two years Feliz may be part of the rotation, but not as the #1 starter.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 4:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

McCarthy as top of the rotation material

Dustin Nippert has a better chance to top a ML rotation.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 7, 2008 4:34 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, come on.

That’s ridiculous.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 4:51 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In my opinion

Dustin Nippert has a much better chance to become a dependable ML starter than Brandon McCarthy. He also has a much better chance to become someone that pitches towards the top of a good rotation. His stuff is easily better than McCarthy.

Call me crazy.

Warner Madrigal makes Ezequiel Astacio look downright handsome.

by tricer on Jul 8, 2008 7:42 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, crazy.

Nippert>McCarthy, ok.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 8, 2008 10:38 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

smoak

may be in his physical prime by then, but i dont know if its reasonable to project he’ll be in his baseball prime that soon. unless they get to the bigs at a late age (like hamilton or ryan howard for instance), most guys hit their peak after around 3-4 years of major league service time. I think smoak could be in the majors 2 years from now but not quite in his prime. even teixera, a reasonable approximate model for how smoak might develop didnt reach his full potential till his third year, though ill gladly take tex’s 04 numbers any year for smoak!

by Smoakin in the Boys Room on Jul 7, 2008 5:39 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe I am wrong here...

But why is everyone jumping the gun on Ramon Vasquez? He is hiiting well at the big leage level, and has played very well and made good throws from 3B. He was even mentioned in an article i read this morning (either espn or mlb.com, can’t remember) about being deserving of the All-Star Game.

by Ryan1700 on Jul 7, 2008 3:41 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I think that was tongue in cheek

It was actually degrading the selection of Crede and although Vasquez has played well this year he is what he is. A 30 year old journeyman who has found a niche here and is playing consistantly and producing. If you want to start writing his name into the lineup card for next year go ahead but I don’t think that would be a wise thing to do

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Jul 7, 2008 3:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Vasquez

is not going to keep that up. This is a fluke, career year from a player who’s career OPS is well below .700. He’s hitting .200 points above his career OPS. He didn’t suddenly figure it all out at 31.

Time you enjoy wasting was not wasted.

by t ball on Jul 7, 2008 4:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Meh...

I don’t trade any of our major prospects for a temporary fill in at SS for a year or two.

If the Brewers want a C that’s fine. I’d say OMFT plus a couple of other low end prospects would be as high as I go here. I wouldn’t deal Salty, MaxRam, TT, or any pitching prospects for a SS right now. I know MY sucks defensively, but I still don’t see it as a huge position of need with Andrus coming up. I’d rather leave MY there ‘til 2010 and just suffer through another year.

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Jul 7, 2008 4:31 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

Absolutely correct.

Ian Kinsler has finally earned the right to be the third of my co-favorite players.

by utlonghorn24 on Jul 7, 2008 6:15 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

FWIW

MY:
2008 Win Shares – Offensive 6.7, Defensive 3.5, WSAB 4

Hardy:
2008 Win Shares – Offensive 2.8, Defensive 3.0, WSAB 1

"So you think the Celtics will beat Detroit? Hell will freeze over before that happens, mark my words." miles 5/20/08

by badradiorules on Jul 7, 2008 5:52 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Adam,

....this was a bit of a reach. First of all, who do you propose us giving if we get Hardy? If its Max/Hurley/Davis, I’ll press my luck. @nd, Throwing out some BS Trade proposal???? Lets leave that to mlbtraderumors and Fanposts….

by corbsclinton on Jul 7, 2008 6:06 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Stupid.

First off, it’s not a ridiculous proposal. Second, he doesn’t need to satisfy “corbsclinton”’s strict journalistic standards. You obviously come here in large part because you like what he contributes.

by brettgardner on Jul 7, 2008 6:14 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

i don't come here because i like what he contributes.

i come here because i like what i contribute.

by oc on Jul 7, 2008 11:50 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

oc

too bad you couldnt have contributed a few more fake emails, then instead of wasting a little bit of time, I could have wasted a little more time and gotten kinsler elected. Penalty box for you… now read the sig, read it.

I'm sorry my parents never had me sarcamsized.

by rchawk12 on Jul 8, 2008 1:57 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

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