Wow

by Adam J. Morris on Aug 28, 2008 1:31 PM CDT Comment 49 comments

From BP's front page:

American League		National League
Angels	99.9%	Cubs	99.5%
Rays	98.0%	Brewers	86.3%
Red Sox	93.6%	Diamondbacks	67.2%
White Sox	72.9%	Mets	62.8%
Twins	33.5%	Phillies	38.4%
Yankees	1.4%	Dodgers	29.5%

% chance to make the playoffs
Complete Playoff Odds Report

It boggles the mind (or mine, anyway) that the Yanks, heading into September, are virtually eliminated from playoff contention.

0 recs | Comment 49 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Yep

Yankees have been a freaking dynasty. Streak of what, 13 straight years in the playoffs?…very impressive.

"Popularity is fleeting. Principles are forever."

by Longhorn on Aug 28, 2008 1:35 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Wasn't the Braves streak longer?

Without looking it up – 1991 – 2005 vs 1995 – 2007?

Nonetheless, both are amazing in that they were both mostly home-grown dynasties in a sport where free agency is such a big factor.

Congrats to the Rays for showing that a team not in Boston or NY can compete in the AL East

by JBImaknee on Aug 28, 2008 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

they have money, woooo

I give up

by Steal Home on Aug 28, 2008 3:43 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Linky

no worky.

he’s still hitting better than Saltalasuckia—while playing vastly superior defense...Athos

by Escher on Aug 28, 2008 1:39 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Just change it

to http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/ps_odds.php

itt has sbnation in there accidently.

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)

by Ed Coffin on Aug 28, 2008 2:01 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

wow, seattle is already eliminated

you know you have a horrible season when you spend tons of money and trade your best prospects then get officially eliminated in August

I give up

by Steal Home on Aug 28, 2008 3:45 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

In other news from two months ago...

"One man, five scoops." -- shroomer

by ghtd36 on Aug 28, 2008 4:48 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

they got elimanated 2 days ag, it wasnt 2 months ago you dumbass

I give up

by Steal Home on Aug 28, 2008 6:10 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

I didn't need them to get mathematically eliminated to realize they have a horrible season.

Dumbass.

"One man, five scoops." -- shroomer

by ghtd36 on Aug 28, 2008 8:38 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

ELIMANTED MEANS ELIMINATED! dumbass

I give up

by Steal Home on Aug 28, 2008 9:17 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

ELIMANTED?

Hmm, not familiar with that.

by venturafearsnolan on Aug 28, 2008 11:03 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Wow.

I believe that I am the winner.

"One man, five scoops." -- shroomer

by ghtd36 on Aug 29, 2008 12:24 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

“wow, seattle is already eliminated” i obviously knew they we’rent making the playoffs for a while but they were mathematically eliminated in august…

I give up

by Steal Home on Aug 29, 2008 4:26 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

"...my balls are really like a veiny flesh color" blueballlefty on Jun 4, 2008 7:44 PM EDT
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
"If you ain't got no money, ain't nobody calls you honey," Bo Diddley

by Rodney on Aug 28, 2008 1:41 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

+1

by mc80aea on Aug 28, 2008 2:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

everlasting?

Even if they yank their way in?

by bushe on Aug 28, 2008 2:55 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

big if

by chrisR on Aug 28, 2008 3:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

I'm not shocked ...

… they have been teetering on this for the last few years. Surprising sure, but not mind-boggling. What is a bigger surprise is that it isn’t the Red Sox that are gonna be coming out of the East. Tampa Bay has always been a young, dangerous team but you wondered if they were ever gonna put it all together.

by Melmart1 on Aug 28, 2008 1:41 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Yep

I’m less surprised about the Yankees losing. I never thought it the Drays would be ahead of them. Figured on Toronto, if anybody.

by Black Francis on Aug 28, 2008 2:35 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

You knew

Tampa Bay would breakthrough some year. I was just surpised they broke all the way to first. I figured they’d make noise one year, and then be in the playoffs the next.

"Oh well, McCain is pretty communist anyway,... we can be 70% communist with McCain,"-Sharky

by DJCahill on Aug 28, 2008 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

I'm surprised that people are so surprised by the Rays.

I mean, to this point they’re a few games better than I thought they would probably be, but they’re also, like, 6 games above their pythagorean.

I definitely thought the Rays would be able to contend for a playoff spot at least for most of the season, if not make it thanks to a Yankees collapse. PECOTA had them winning 88 games.

by philkid3 on Aug 28, 2008 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

88 games

Even if you thought they’d win that many it still would be a surprise to have them anywhere near 98% in the chart above.

O Freunde, nicht diese Töne!
Sondern laßt uns angenehmere anstimmen,
und freudenvollere.

by t ball on Aug 28, 2008 3:41 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Yes

But to me, that’s partly because the Rays have had a little bit of flukishness and the Yankees and Blue Jays have been surprising. I thought they’d be better.

Not a huge surprise, but the difference between the Yankees/Blue Jays and Rays adds up to a moderate surprise to me.

The 98% surprises me a bit just because I thought there would be more competition in the East.

by philkid3 on Aug 28, 2008 4:02 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

I predicted the Rays as the wild card team

Although I think I also predicted Cleveland as winning the WS, which sort of cancels that out.

by Adam J. Morris on Aug 28, 2008 4:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Yup

I picked Cleveland to win the series. The most wrong I think I’ve ever been about anything in baseball.

by philkid3 on Aug 28, 2008 4:24 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Torre

by robert_d_wilfong on Aug 28, 2008 1:48 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

It makes me happy

they went in the tank after he left.

"Oh well, McCain is pretty communist anyway,... we can be 70% communist with McCain,"-Sharky

by DJCahill on Aug 28, 2008 1:56 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

suck it, big daddy George

and Hank, too.

poor Girardi.

"So you have no frame of reference here, Donny. You're like a child who wanders into the middle of a movie and wants to know... "

by Walter Sobchak on Aug 28, 2008 4:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

girardi

screw him, he’s a lifelong yankee too.

"I’m sure you’ve seen Kiker before but I’ll just reiterate that the kid is mean on the mound. He is only 5’10’’ but he is an intimidator. He looks like he hates hitters. He has the juice for pressure situations."
-Jason Parks on Jul 22, 2008 10:08 PM

by Jayslick on Aug 28, 2008 5:21 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

A-freakin-men.

Good for Joe Torre, who still has a real shot at the playoffs (although virtually no real shot at winning anything). He got a raw deal.

"One man, five scoops." -- shroomer

by ghtd36 on Aug 28, 2008 4:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

99.99%

so you’re telling me theres a chance!

the preceding post is not nearly as negative or insulting as you think it is

by DSheppard on Aug 28, 2008 2:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

.01% = the entire Angels team gets busted for steroids and have to forfeit the season.

by chrisR on Aug 28, 2008 3:05 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

GMJ

is our agent

by FirebatM3 on Aug 28, 2008 3:15 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

by Telegraph on Aug 28, 2008 2:17 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

"bottles the mind"

“what?! did you say bottles?”
“yeah, like your thoughts are all bottled up…”

awesome.

I blame it not on Ron Washington, but on society. Society is to blame. And Ron Washington. ~Ken Tremendous on Ron Washington sac bunting in the 11th vs LAA

by ivysafety39 on Aug 28, 2008 2:40 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Glad someone posted this

I was thinking the same thing, but was just too lazy to look up the quote.

by mc80aea on Aug 28, 2008 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Tampa

is the bigger surprise to me. I thought they might contend for a while this year, then fade away, and look good for 2009. I never thought they’d be a virtual lock at this date.

O Freunde, nicht diese Töne!
Sondern laßt uns angenehmere anstimmen,
und freudenvollere.

by t ball on Aug 28, 2008 2:46 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Only thing better than the Yankees missing the playoffs

Would be the Rangers making the playoffs.

Revenge of the Birds

by cgolden on Aug 28, 2008 3:05 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Prediction

Texas wins its next 24 games
LAA finishes up 13-14 heading into the final series vs. Texas in Anaheim.

Texas wins the first two to stretch its winning steak to 29 games and needs only to beat LAA in the final game of the season to win the West title.

Dustin Nippert, in a spot start for Vicente Padilla who was still ailing from the bruised hands that he suffered while pummeling Evan Grant in late August, gives up 18 runs in the first inning and the Rangers lose 22-3. Despite the 20-hit, 18-run first inning, Ron Washington let Nippert work through his troubles before pulling him mid-batter with two out in the third inning when his pitch count reached 99.

The Rangers only runs of the game came in the ninth inning when Michael Young hit a three-run homer to collect his 200th hit of the season. Following the game, Young said he was very happy with how the season ended.

“It’s a great way to end the year. I wasn’t sure that we’d get it, but we really pulled through there in that final at-bat,” said Young. “I want to thank my teammates, Mr. Hicks, the front office and all my fans for their support this year. I’m ready to go out and get another 200-hit season next year. This is what you dream of when you’re a kid. This is what its all about.”

by robert_d_wilfong on Aug 28, 2008 3:33 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs