FanPost

2009 Rangers Projections via ZiPS + CHONE

Alright.

I mentioned a while ago I'd be helping Beyond the Boxscore with their community projections on behalf of the Rangers, and I've gotten underway on doing that.

When we do our community projections at LSB, I'll alter them in a way that makes sense (though I'm probably going to want to keep up these numbers, as well), but, for now, I'm imputing a combination that's 50% CHONE and 50% ZiPS to see what it has to say about us.

There's nothing too major yet because I just started, but figured I'd make a Fan Post about it because ya'll can watch as it goes down.

On the bottom there's a list of teams, and you have to scroll over to the TEX tab to see what I've got so far, and you can look at all the other teams, too.

At the writing of this, there is only Chris Davis (and Mark Ellis, who I think the A's person put in on accident). At first, I had him at 5.6 wins above replacement and freaked out.

. . . then I realized I had him under "catcher," and that was with 700 plate appearances. So now he's at 2.4, which is still nothing to sneeze at. And that's with a bad OBP.

Anyway, I'll be working on that, and this thing will be constantly updated. When PECOTA comes out, I might also include that. Then, when we have community projections up, I might split this over to a separate spread sheet for posterity and I'll update this with our community projections.

 

One problem is playing time. For now, I'm putting in the player at each position projected to get the majority of the playing time because, well, CHONE and ZiPS both give players way too many combined plate appearances to be possible. I need to figure out a good way to solve that issue, and I'm opened to suggestions from here and I've also asked for help at BtB.

 

AS THIS WILL EVENTUALLY BE A COMMUNITY THING, imput is welcome.

 

TL;DR: Projections for the Rangers available here.

 

(NOTE: I am not yet sure I'm doing things correctly.)

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