Why yesterday was a great day.
I really don't understand all of this gnashing of teeth over how the moves yesterday are saturated with the stench of the Rangers' financial woes. It's very weird. Right now the Rangers have a better #1 than going into last season. They have a better DH than going into last season. They have lowered the payroll while getting better in those two areas. That sounds like win-win-win.
The Ace... The Rangers are now 1.5 Aces behind Yankees/BoSox. They are 0.5 Aces behind Seattle, for the moment, and they are 0.5 Aces ahead of the A's and Angels. Unless you think Ken Hill was an Ace, the Rangers haven't had one since Nolan Ryan.
It wouldn't be better to have Harden-Millwood than Harden alone, IMO. Millwood is league average. Yes, his ERA+ was 127 last year. He relies on the Rangers defense, which isn't a bad thing anymore, but it adds an element of luck to his performance. The Rangers have enough competent young pitchers that league average from a veteran is superfluous at best and blocking the development of more talented pitchers at worst. Even if the Rangers had Harden-Millwood, I would very much hope they would be actively trying to upgrade on Millwood, because Harden isn't enough, and my point is that Harden-Millwood also isn't enough.
The DH... Not excited about losing MaxRam, mostly because I want to believe his inner Edgar Martinez will become a reality sometime before he's 35. However, there is a much, much higher likelihood that Lowell contributes a great deal at DH this year than there is that MaxRam will ever look like Edgar Martinez. Again, Lowell is an upgrade over Hank at DH. Sounds like a step forward to me.
The throw ins.... The Rangers get a once highly promising pitcher, who is still young. And, they improve their chances to pick up another bullpen arm in the Rule V draft. This has expanded the pool of bullpen candidates, which could have the effect of allowing them to move Feliz into the starting rotation. This is what good organizations do with bullpen arms. They stockpile interesting ones and hope a few have big years.
To sum up, the Rangers improved their veteran pitcher while reducing his hit to the payroll by 2.5 M (6.5+3 is 9.5 which is 2.5 less than Millwood's salary). They added an interesting bullpen arm at the cost of his arbitration value. They upgraded their DH without adding a penny. In the end they lost one prospect who's calling card is his hitting but he's had wrist injuries. That's AWESOME... IMO.
What they didn't do... They didn't reduce the uncertainty of the team's performance all that much. You can take it to the Bank that they'll get more out of the DH spot. The sum total of Harden + injury replacements is probably only a little more likely to produce better results over the course of the season than Millwood, because with Millwood's reliance on defense, he could've had ground balls and line drives that happened to be within reach. I really don't see this as much of a reason at all to get all sourpuss on these moves, however.
What else they didn't do.... They didn't overpay for Johnson or Vlad (in years as much as dollars), and they didn't settle for an Andruw Jones (or maybe it's Delgado this year) resurrection; They didn't bring back a clubhouse cancer; They didn't overpay on Lackey.
What they can do next.... They can still upgrade at SP. If Roy F. Halladay would just agree to pitch in Texas, they could improve the rotation in a heartbeat. There are still other options out there. Trading for Harden doesn't make it any less likely that they could trade or sign another top-tier pitcher. Removing Millwood actually makes it more likely they can do that. They can still bring up Smoak. If the Rangers really, truly are convinced by mid-season next year when Smoak is tearing up AAA that he would produce more than either Lowell or CD, the Rangers can bring him up and unleash him. Why? Because they got Lowell for free! Since Lowell would cost another team ZERO dollars, the Rangers likely would be able to flip Lowell for what MaxRam was when the Rangers first acquired him (low-level, defensively challenged, high-upside prospect hitter) or maybe more. Of course, CD has options.
Yesterday was a great day. It would've been a great day even if the Rangers didn't have their financial woes.
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Well said.
JD didn’t create these financial woes, but he’s doing a great job working within them.
He gets extra points for making those deals at a blog-friendly pace, so we didn’t have to endure too much agonizing over what, if any other shoe was going to drop to balance the Millwood trade.
Yesterday was a good day
because Daniels made the best of a terrible situation. But let’s not ignore the golden opportunities being wasted because the team doesn’t have cash to play with. This winter several teams appear to be shedding payroll and the Rangers might have been able to ditch Millwood while offering more cash and get a better prospect from some team.
They could have had their cake and ate it, too. Hicks sucks.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
So, just to clarify, sending Millwood and 9M to Baltimore and getting Tillman in return would've
made yesterday great rather than good.
Pro baseball has always been a dream, so this is pretty freakin’ cool out here. -- Tim Steggall, undrafted Rangers minor leaguer.
Considering a deal like that would've caused the universe to crumble and implode like a Vespa with two naked fat guys sitting on it...
…I’d say that would made it kind of a horrible day.
But T has a point, no?
Just cause yesterday was pretty awesome doesn’t mean a brother can’t still be frustrated as ass fuck about the way Hicks has hamstrung this team at the worst possible time.
Long story short: I hate Tom Hicks and have a strong desire to karate punch him in the anus.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
"Especially stinkbeetles!!!" -God.
by thedirkatron on Dec 10, 2009 8:51 AM CST up reply actions
Where the hell have you been?
Everyone thought you disappeared Dirka Dirka.
The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ
Did you get your email machine, at the jerk store?
Neftali Feliz says sit your 5 dollar ass down before he makes change...
Hi, Keith. Is this the year Edinson Volquez finally wins RoY?
by Brian Thomas on Dec 10, 2009 10:58 AM CST up reply actions
Que?
The 40 Trumps All!!!
"Especially stinkbeetles!!!" -God.
by thedirkatron on Dec 10, 2009 11:04 AM CST up reply actions
I emailed you over a week ago
Neftali Feliz says sit your 5 dollar ass down before he makes change...
Hi, Keith. Is this the year Edinson Volquez finally wins RoY?
by Brian Thomas on Dec 10, 2009 11:41 AM CST up reply actions
Ah, sorry, sauce.
You know I only like to diss you to your ugly as hell face.
I almost never check that account.
Honest native American.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
"Especially stinkbeetles!!!" -God.
by thedirkatron on Dec 10, 2009 9:10 PM CST up reply actions
I have no idea why that comma is there.
Neftali Feliz says sit your 5 dollar ass down before he makes change...
Hi, Keith. Is this the year Edinson Volquez finally wins RoY?
by Brian Thomas on Dec 10, 2009 10:59 AM CST up reply actions
Holy shit, yeah
that would have made yesterday effin’ amazing and sowed up exec of the year for Daniels right then. And the Baltimore front office would have been tarred and feathered.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
now is the time, though
to get players that help your major league roster. we have a good amount of depth among prospects. we need the ML talent that will affect our team this year. Also, we don’t lose any of our top prospects. MaxRam really didn’t have a position and wasn’t going to get the playing time this year.
A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.
"several teams appear to be shedding payroll "
Yeah, they are. There are teams out there in worse shape than the Rangers
And that is one reason why we can be annoyed at Hicks for putting this team in this position, but it is also kind of arrogant for people get all indignant about this team’s situation. We’re in a pretty bad economy, and the Rangers ownership was hit by it worse than other teams’. Some other year, there will be a recession and a couple of other teams will be exposed. If Hicks’ gambles at paid off – his loans coming due in 3 years instead of last year, this team would be doubling it’s payroll in a down market and no one would have been complaining about his leveraging the Rangers.
We’re lucky that the Rangers, given their financial situation, were able to make revenue neutral moves as opposed to salary dumps for the sake of cutting payroll (which isn’t dropping considerably, despite all the horror stories and “they’re probably going to trade Kinsler, Frankie, and Wilson” fear-mongering of people).
Bottom line, it sucks that we’re in the same boat as most of the rest of the league and can’t take advantage of all the other teams desperately trying to free up cash. But there is nothing particularly special about the Rangers situation, other than the fact that our ownership is going to change as a result of it. Which is a good thing.
Go Rice Owls!
I like the moves
Im with rooster. The moves are upgrades and not to mention the moves dont strap us down into multi year nightmares.
Rec’d
The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ
Yeah, I can sort of understand feeling a little angst at not having the wherewithal to cover more of Millwood's salary to get a better prospect.
BUT, even if the Rangers don’t have financial, when your favorite team improves its SP, improves its DH (they may do even better than this deal if something emerges), and reduces payroll, it has to be a great day, because all of those things are desirable with or without financial woes.
Pro baseball has always been a dream, so this is pretty freakin’ cool out here. -- Tim Steggall, undrafted Rangers minor leaguer.
this is a bit, right?
"He will not coddle them. Nolan Ryan doesn’t coddle." - Jeff Passan
by Dirk Diggler on Dec 10, 2009 9:25 AM CST up reply actions
Has to be.
"Stats are like a woman in a fine little bikini. You can see a lot, but you can't see everything." -Dirk A. Tron
unless Mike E has some Rooster blood....that's a possiblity
So who's todays mistress? They're coming out of the Woodswork!
You stole my line, which I've never used, because I don't want to be the silly guy.
Pro baseball has always been a dream, so this is pretty freakin’ cool out here. -- Tim Steggall, undrafted Rangers minor leaguer.
Not that there is anything wrong with silly. I just suck at it.
Pro baseball has always been a dream, so this is pretty freakin’ cool out here. -- Tim Steggall, undrafted Rangers minor leaguer.
Solid decision on your part
Neftali Feliz says sit your 5 dollar ass down before he makes change...
Hi, Keith. Is this the year Edinson Volquez finally wins RoY?
by Brian Thomas on Dec 10, 2009 11:38 AM CST up reply actions
Not enough positivity around here...
I like it rooster. Well spoken, sir.
"Either we need to re-calibrate our rectangle, or Alfonzo Marquez is not having a good night." - Josh Lewin
We had an ace during the offseason
when we signed Chan Ho… he quickly dropped his ace-status, though
yeh he went from an ace to a HO in relatively short order
So who's todays mistress? They're coming out of the Woodswork!
I disagree.
I think the variance in Millwood’s projection going into next season will be higher than it has been in the past, but I also don’t think that anyone would project the Rangers to have 5 starters next year that will be better than Millwood. So that’s the complaint. In a more normal year, the Millwood to Harden upgrade would still be good, but the idea of just dumping a league average pitcher (especially considering the Rangers history here) for money would be a depressingly bad trade. The only thing that makes this a good trade (from the perspective of evaluating the front office) is that it showed great creativity in working around the financial constraints.
A complaint about not being able to roll out Harden-Feldman-Millwood instead of Harden-Feldman is a complaint about the current payroll structure of this team. And while I understand that almost every team is going through it right now, what makes it particularly frustrating (and different from teams like Detroit) is that the Rangers have been cutting payroll for the past few years now. This is not a bloated payroll that could use some trimming, this is a borderline starved payroll that’s having to choose which days to eat. The only players who’s WAR valuation of their salary (just for convenience here) were players who sucked so bad as to have a negative valuation (Chris Davis (-0.7 WAR), Brandon Boggs (-0.4WAR)) and technically Millwood ($10.9 valuation, paid $11 million). Or, put another way, the only players for the 2010 Rangers who are going to get paid more than $2 million from the Rangers are Michael Young ($16 M), Rich Harden ($6.5 M+incentives), and Ian Kinsler ($4.2 M). THREE players above $2 million.
If Brad Pitt is playing Beane who do you want playing you?
JD: Eddie Guardado.
Agree GhettoBear on this
A complaint about not being able to roll out Harden-Feldman-Millwood instead of Harden-Feldman is a complaint about the current payroll structure of this team.
I would have liked this move with Millwood being here, but if JD is saying he wants another pitcher Im hoping for another signing to offset that feeling. Ben Sheets Please!
Harden-Sheets-Scooter?
The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ
I fully agree the optimism of yesterday completely hinges on one's perspective on Millwood.
Pro baseball has always been a dream, so this is pretty freakin’ cool out here. -- Tim Steggall, undrafted Rangers minor leaguer.
Millwood variance
I think that this is a key point. There is a decent chance that Millwood ends up as the 4th or 5th starter on the club next year if Harden is signed anyway. Yeah, he could have been #1 or #2, but it wouldn’t have surprised me if Feldman, Hunter, and Holland all took steps forward and Millwood a step back.
The questino is, do you want to be paying that $9 million they’d have spent on Millwood on a guy who’ll give 180 innings of league average +/- 0.5 ERA? No, not really.
Again, I bring up my point from yesterday. If Millwood’s contract was a team option for 2010 for $12 million with a $3 million buyout, not a single person here would advocate taking it. That is what the Rangers did yesterday. Harden’s signing is irrelevant good news.
Go Rice Owls!
good way of looking at it
RE: Millwood’s team option
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