Let's "get down" - O/U set at 74 1/2

by sam in so cal on Mar 16, 2009 8:57 AM CDT Comment 16 comments

As a follow up to this thread (http://www.lonestarball.com/2009/2/11/756042/wednesday-a-m-stuff) I wanted to provide the LS Ballers with an update.

One of the most recognized gambling websites, Bodog, has the Rangers listed at 74.5 for 2009 wins.

http://sports.bodoglife.com/sports-betting/baseball-futures.jsp

Obviously the significance is that this line is available for public wagering through the website as opposed to previous O/U discussions that were more "hypothetical" in nature. This is an actual line and is the best barometer of sentiment that I can find. The line is created to attract half of the money to one side and half to the other side, and it is adjusted as wagers are placed.

I searched the terms "over under" before posting, so I hope that this does not rehash an existing thread.

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Give me the over

by GoFrogs on Mar 16, 2009 8:59 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Over

Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.

by bigsteve on Mar 16, 2009 9:15 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

a little surprised, but probably right

this makes TEX the third worst team in terms of expected record in the AL ahead of SEA (72’) and BAL (71’). i will again make the argument that if BAL and TEX switched divisions, TEX would be a few games worse than BAL (playing NYY/TB/BOS instead of OAK/SEA/LAA).

by sam in so cal on Mar 16, 2009 9:24 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Over

I say around 80

In reference to how good the Steelers have been in their history: "No one is even close to them."- Steal Home

by hinduplaya on Mar 16, 2009 9:31 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Not a bad number.

The only reason for optimism this year is the overall shittiness of our division.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

I love you, Marcus Lemon.

"I don’t have any respect for anybody on here. Everyone on here is a fucking asshole who thinks they’re god compared to everyone else." -iorange555, throwing one of his patented sandy-vagina'd hissy fits.

by thedirkatron on Mar 16, 2009 10:44 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

The number seems fair

but I think I’d have to take the over if I were betting. A couple of games below that and you’re one of the worst teams in baseball. They could regress a few games from last year and still be over. They could be 5.5 over and still be under .500.

by Brett Perryman on Mar 16, 2009 1:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

84-78

give me the over.

Bobby Jindal '12

by dstar442005 on Mar 16, 2009 9:26 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

Over

by a little. Prognosis uncertain, I still don’t think the 25 is what it will be later in the season (suspect a deal for pitching for “now” but no clue what it will be).

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)

by Ed Coffin on Mar 16, 2009 9:33 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

i would bet against the pitching move

"To be ignorant of one’s ignorance is the malady of the ignorant."

by ab03 on Mar 16, 2009 11:12 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

Yep. However

There may be more than rehab watching with Sheets. Just a hunch.

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912)

by Ed Coffin on Mar 17, 2009 2:37 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

somehow much better than that 72 O/U line

really wish I had taken the over on that.

"To be ignorant of one’s ignorance is the malady of the ignorant."

by ab03 on Mar 16, 2009 11:12 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs

I'd take the over

I’m thinking 80-81 wins, myself.

Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".

by lonestarJon on Mar 17, 2009 12:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs

You know

…a part of me is going to be miserable this year. There is a good chance that this will be the most positive, exciting season in a decade for the organization as a whole, but since the team isn’t going to win 90 games I get the feeling that if I want to read blogs like this (and obviously I’m going to), I’m going to get to read this incessant whining about the past. It’s such an inappropriate, stupid time for negativity, ugh.

by Brett Perryman on Mar 17, 2009 1:26 AM CDT reply actions 5 recs

I can agree with this.

I don’t think we’re much better or worse than a 75 win team, and yet I’m excited about the year. Not just because of upside, but just because I think we could be playing meaningful games later than we have in years with a bright future.

But yeah, I don’t think in the throws of a season 5-10 games below .500 at any point you’ll get many comments with this silver-lining look.

And That Happened: Sports with a Hint of Sarcasm

by philkid3 on Mar 17, 2009 2:17 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs