Project Prospect top 200

by laxtonto on Mar 17, 2009 11:37 PM CDT

I thought you guys might like this...

Here is the top 20

1 Matt Wieters C Much better power, contact, and walk rates than Longoria in AA; good defensive catcher 22.8 BAL AA

2 David Price LHP From 2007's No. 1 pick to MLB in 15 months; 7.2% BB, 24.3% K in '08, lots of GBs (appx. 54%) 23.5 TB MLB

3 Cameron Maybin CF Nearly replicated A+ (.406 wOBA) numbers in AA (.381); still K'd a ton (26.9%); .179 IsoP 21.9 FLA MLB

4 Colby Rasmus CF After posting .397 wOBA in AA in '07, fell to .324 in AAA in '08; missed time w/ sprained knee 22.5 STL AAA

5 Dexter Fowler CF Olympian had breakout year: career-best .401 wOBA; lots of BBs (12.9%), K's down (17.6%) 22.9 COL MLB

6 Madison Bumgarner LHP Nearly flawless pro debut (29.4% K, 4.0% BB, 2.14 FIP) as the 4th-youngest SP in Low-A 19.6 SF A

7 Brett Anderson LHP Dominated A+/AA last year (6.2% BB, 26.3% K, 57+% GB); Ks rose by 4.7% from A+ to AA 21.1 OAK AA

8 Travis Snider LF/DH .361 wOBA across 4 levels in '08; lots of power, BB's, K's; could see regular time in bigs in '09 21.1 TOR MLB

9 Jason Heyward RF 6-foot-4, 220-pounder had .377 wOBA, 9.7% BB, not too many K's (14.7%) last year in Low-A 19.5 ATL A+

10 Pedro Alvarez 3B High upside hitter w/ power + patience; missed time in '08 (contract disputes/broken hamate) 22.0 PIT NCAA

11 Mike Moustakas 3B Tale of two havles in '08; pre all-star: .228/.285/.386, post all-star: .321/.392/.557; .343 wOBA 20.4 KC A

12 Derek Holland LHP One of biggest breakout arms in '08; 27.6% K, 6.8% BB (A/A+/AA); Juco signee in '06 ($100 K) 22.4 TEX AA

13 Tommy Hanson RHP Power arm who had mediocre '08 walk/ground ball rates (27.8% K, 10.0% BB in AA; 410 TBF) 22.5 ATL AA

14 Matt LaPorta RF/LF Went .279/.386/.539 ('08); plenty of power (.260 IsoP), 11.3% BB; slowed once traded to Tribe 24.1 CLE AA

15 Neftali Feliz RHP Posted awesome 32.7% K in A (25.4 in AA), but BB% rose from 8.6 to 12.4 (324 TBF vs. 185) 20.8 TEX AA

16 Justin Smoak 1B No. 11 overall pick had .372 wOBA (62 PA) in Low-A; .450 wOBA, 40% XBH in 48 AFL PA 21.9 TEX A

17 Rick Porcello RHP Top paid '07 prep arm managed 6.3% BB, 13.7% K, and 65% GB as 5th-youngest player in A+ 19.8 DET A+

18 Lars Anderson 1B All he did was follow .398 wOBA showing in Cal League with .415 wOBA in Eastern League 21.1 BOS AA

19 Jarrod Parker RHP K% doesn't wow you? Notice that Ks rose steadily from 19.4% in April to 30.6% in August 19.9 ARI A

20 Trevor Cahill RHP Stellar strikeout/ground-ball pitcher; command will determine if he peaks as a No. 1 or No. 3-4 21.0 OAK AA

Link

I count 14 in the top 200..

12.Holland

15 Feliz

16 Smoak

58. Elvis

59 Main

61 Max Ram

83 Teagarden

84 Martin Perez.... They have him down as Atlanta

87 Kiker

103 Beavan

104 Boscan

111 Borbon

166 Beltre

183 Lemon !!!!

Just for you Dirk

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Comments

Holland ahead of Feliz?

Can’t buy it…yet at least.

by Agreen07 on Mar 17, 2009 11:41 PM CDT reply actions

Although some say Holland has a lower ceiling, he is close to major league ready, has better control, and is seen as a safer bet to develop into a top-flight major league pitcher. It depends on how you weigh risk against upside. I’m not sure the difference in ceilings is that great and Holland is more refined.

Personally, if I was offered either Holland or Feliz, I’d probably take Holland. But then again, I’m risk averse. I think you can make a strong argument either way.

by Stephen Rushin on Mar 18, 2009 12:21 AM CDT up reply actions

Well, based on what we've been hearing about Feliz's curveball this spring

I think you have to put him ahead of Holland just based on ceiling. I’ve had Dutch in front of Feliz on the last two prospect polls Dirkatron did, but if Feliz’s curve is as good as or better than Hollands like we’ve been hearing, he’s going to be the better pitcher.

Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".

by LSJ on Mar 18, 2009 12:27 AM CDT up reply actions

This Spring

has changed my opinion of Feliz and Holland a bit. I still love Holland, but the things we’ve been hearing about Feliz recently make him the clear number 1 prospect for me. I can’t really blame the Project Prospect guys as I’m sure they were working on this earlier than just a week or two ago.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on Mar 18, 2009 1:24 AM CDT up reply actions