On Jones, Davis, Byrd and Blalock
Evan Grant says Andruw Jones is willing to stick around as a part-time player for the Rangers.
Which is bad news, I think, for Marlon Byrd and Chris Davis. And potentially Nelson Cruz.
Grant explains:
Though the club will not add Jones to its 40-man roster today, he is expected to let a second deadline for his addition pass. The Rangers will spend the next week trying to move DH-OF Frank Catalanotto in order to add Jones as a DH against left-handed pitching and as an extra outfielder. The Rangers still owe Catalanotto $6 million in salary and buyout options, but are willing to “eat” much of that salary in order to find a trade partner for Catalanotto. If the Rangers can’t trade him, they could release him and eat the full salary.
If the Rangers ultimately add Jones to the lineup, it could have an impact on several other players as well. DH Hank Blalock would relinquish the DH spot against left-handed pitching, but would likely get some of the lost time back at first base. That would have an impact on 1B Chris Davis, who might lose some at-bats against left-handers. Also, OF Marlon Byrd, a right-handed hitter like Jones, gets bypassed for an expanded role. He will be the team’s fourth outfielder, substituting for all three outfielders. He’s likely to get the bulk of his playing time replacing OF David Murphy against left-handers. The Rangers need to find a better mix against lefties than last year. They were 21-31 against them, which was the second-worst winning percentage in the AL.
Not coincidentally, the next item is a note about Jon Daniels seeking out Chris Davis to re-assure him about him being in the Rangers' plans, after Davis "said he felt there was some concern about his spring performance."
Davis is no dummy. I'm sure he's read about how the Rangers are trying to keep Jones around, in part, because of their concern about Davis's slow spring.
And I'm sure he can read the writing on the wall...if Jones is going to DH against lefties, then someone is going to have to sit against lefties. And given Ron Washington's history, who do you think is more likely to sit -- Hank Blalock, or Chris Davis? Particularly given how Davis was used last season, and the fact that Washington is going to be under a lot of pressure to get off to a good start...I am guessing he's going to feel a lot more comfortable going with the vets early on.
And of course, Jones is Rudy Jaramillo's new project, and guys that Rudy thinks he can fix get a longer rope (see, e.g., Sideshow Sammy and Phil Nevin).
So I expect that, if Jones makes the team, he'll end up playing about half the time. Davis will probably sit against most lefties and a few righties, and Marlon Byrd -- who has been a hell of a lot more productive than Jones the past couple of years -- will apparently be relegated to a platoon role with David Murphy.
Although, since the Rangers seem committed to rolling with Murphy as a starter, we could well see Jones and Byrd squeezing plate appearances from Nelson Cruz, who I don't think has ever been one of Rudy's favorites anyway.
So...we now have 7 guys who are going to be splitting time at five positions. We know Josh Hamilton will be playing every day. And other than that...who knows? Nelson Cruz and Chris Davis should be starting 145+ games this season, but I suspect that won't happen. And Marlon Byrd, based on his performance the last couple of years, should be at least a semi-regular, but it looks like he's being bumped as well.
I just don't understand all this.
One of the most maddening things about this team the last half-decade, it seems, is its incessant dragging in of once-good righthanded power hitters who are washed up, in the hopes that Rudy can squeeze something out of them so they'll provide the righty middle-of-the-order bat that the team needs. Richard Hidalgo, Brian Jordan, Greg Colbrunn, Sideshow Sammy, Phil Nevin, and now Andruw Jones...
It is tiresome.
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Agreed, Adam.
Cruz, Davis and Byrd are really getting the shaft here.
-- Micah
Baseball Is My Boyfriend
I want to be the next Annie Savoy.
Andruw Jones sucks
If CD loses any time to this has been at all I’m going to put my head in a vice.
I had a paper route when I was a kid. I was supposed to go to 2,000 houses. Or two dumpsters.
go ahead and prep it now
because wash thinks davis is a 7-8-9 hitter, and i bet he hits andruw 4th.
mark it down – andruw jones gets as many/more ABs than blalock
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:12 PM CDT up reply actions
I know there is precident
but i’ll hold judgement until the season actually begins. I just have a hard time believing this will ultimately effect Chris Davis much.
"My mother always taught me that if the only thing you have to say is,
‘(Expletive) Dave Samson,’ then don’t say anything at all.
So I’m not going to say anything at all.
Is my mother the greatest or what?"
- Mariners GM Bill Bavasi, after signing Ichiro to a $90 million contract
ditto
I think Wash would have a very hard time explaining that to the front office, to the fans, and to the media.
well were talking about wash
expecting normal decisions=too much to ask
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:13 PM CDT up reply actions
Yeah I think you are getting way too worked up over this
I think with or without Jones, Cruz was going to be getting bumped about 1/3 of the time. I think Hamilton is going to be played in RF about 60 games and the Rangers will use Byrd in CF on those days and as I have maintained throughout unless I see Cruz or Hammy being played in LF I don’t think its an actual option during the season.
And if Jones continues his previous couple years production then I don’t think we have to worry about anything because he won’t be played much if that happens. As much as Wash wants to win do you really think he’d roll out there with Jones if he is putting up a .220/.270/.350 line. I highly doubt it.
Davis will probably sit against the top lefties in the league which probably isn’t a bad thing anyway.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
A simple question
Who do you think sits more often — Blalock or Davis?
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 7:14 PM CDT up reply actions
About equal
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
So...
…Blalock sits against the easy lefties, and Davis sits against the tough lefties?
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 7:17 PM CDT up reply actions
No
I think Jones is released by mid May at the latest after sucking the first 6 weeks or so.
Let me ask you this. What would your reaction be if the Rangers said that on days Hamilton played RF with Byrd in CF that Cruz would DH, Blalock would play 1B, and Davis would sit?
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
It depends on how often they planned on doing that
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 7:23 PM CDT up reply actions
About 60 games
Thats how many games I think Hammy will play in RF this year.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
agreed
Wash has a proven record of playing washed up players. Even is Jones turns out, half way, OK it still screws up this team.
Cut Cat and keep someone who can play 3rd behind Young.
Wash's proven record
I don’t think you can look at Wash’s record because before he wasn’t choosing a proven veteran over a bright young prospect. Besides the Sosa/Botts situation where it turns out he probably made the right choice, he has never had to choose between a veteran and a young guy. Also hes never had to choose when this organization was in a rebuilding mode. The Sosa example was occuring when this club was still in a “win now” mode directed from ownership.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
how quickly things change
only 48 hours ago it seemed all this had been resolved in the resoundingly negative on the AJ experiment with him sticking around only to see if he could hook up with someone else during the extra three days. What a frack’in headache, a needless one at that. I have to agree with Adam here, based on Wash’s Sosa crush, that AJ’s presence means he’s got at least a 1/2 time job with more productive players riding the pine. Very disappointing but hey there is still 2 weeks left for them to realize their error; if AJ goes into a 30 strikeounts in 15 days binge maybe we just release him after all.
Quite honestly...
…at this point, I’d just as soon see Davis start the season in the minors.
Hank is going to play every day and they are going to want to give Andruw regular playing time to see if his bat gets going, so let Davis go to the minors and play every day rather than play only half the time in the majors.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 7:24 PM CDT up reply actions
Ok..
Now you’re really reaching. I think you need to step away from your heyboard and take a deep breath.
Davis is still going to start way may games than he doesn’t.
is he going to hit 7-8-9?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:14 PM CDT up reply actions
oh, and just in case big steve brings it up,
Cruz would make a fine LF…
a few minutes too late
He’s already squeezed that tired line in a few posts above.
Doctor please. Some more of these.
heh, I saw it first
just givin’ him a little grief…
The Blob Who Ate Texas
Andruw Jones was a really good center fielder for a lot of years. He even hit pretty well some of those years. There was a rumor about 1999 or 2000 that Atlanta was willing to give him up for Ruben Mateo. Mateo is the only guy I have ever seen who swung at a pitch (and missed) that hit him square in the chest. Back in 2000, Andruw for Mateo would have been a good deal. Back then the dude could run. Now he looks pudgy, depressed and slow. At bats for Andruw do not make a lot of sense but I am more concerned about the pitching so I doubt that the possibility of cheating Hank Blalock and the other non-all-stars mentioned will be as harmful as say, letting Gallaraga go for less than a farthing. Still aren’t we in rebuild mode?
JW?
gallaraga is not good.
gallaraga is not good.
gallaraga is not good.
repeat after me.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:16 PM CDT up reply actions
do you think he mulls over
these incarnations real carefully over the course of the week, meticulously documenting them in a spreadsheet to avoid duplication, while imbibing a refreshing scotch/soda(twist of lemon, of course) and grinning smugly to himself at the thought of another successful virtual dissociation? I don’t get it.
do you think he is as good this year as last year?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:57 PM CDT up reply actions
prove it.
until he becomes Ryan Drese, I’m a believer
"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"
by Walter Sobchak on Mar 23, 2009 1:25 AM CDT up reply actions
Huh?
I was talking about the sock puppetry that might be wails. But in answer to your query, I don’t think AG has to be as good as last year to be a regarded as a good 4/5 starter . AdMo et al will eat crow on this one. If he puts up better #s than anyone in this rotation in 2009 – say an 4.50ish FIP – would you cede that he is an above average major league starter?
right
but what, other than his rookie year, would make you think he is anywhere near that good of a pitcher?
look at his BABIP, IIRC he was VERY lucky last year on babip which will in turn cause his #’s to go up
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 23, 2009 7:33 AM CDT up reply actions
Is a 4.50 FIP...
…while pitching in Detroit really an above average major league starter?
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 23, 2009 10:01 AM CDT up reply actions
nobody who isn't a buffoon puts a lemon twist in their scotch and soda
Yuk.
I’m guessing you aren’t a scotch drinker.
I'm Matt mutha-effing Bush, bitches, and mutha-eff East County.
"I'm as passionate and knowlegeable as any fan out there." Josey Wales
by Brian Thomas on Mar 23, 2009 5:53 PM CDT up reply actions
And I only barely tolerate
someone putting soda in their scotch.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
I prefer my scotch unmolested as well
Maybe just whisper the word water in the other room…
I'm Matt mutha-effing Bush, bitches, and mutha-eff East County.
"I'm as passionate and knowlegeable as any fan out there." Josey Wales
by Brian Thomas on Mar 24, 2009 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions
Purists.
Chivas not single malt – who can afford to drop +100 on a good single malt? not me…
Hey, there are good alternatives
Oban, Famous Grouse, even Black and White are all pretty good budget substitutes. Springbank, my favorite, is kind of mid-priced as a single malt.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
Any of the Glens will also do.
I'm Matt mutha-effing Bush, bitches, and mutha-eff East County.
"I'm as passionate and knowlegeable as any fan out there." Josey Wales
by Brian Thomas on Mar 24, 2009 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions
Mateo didn't fail because he swung at a pitch at his chest.
He failed because of a freak injury.
If we could go back and do it over I wouldn’t deal 1999-2000 Mateo for 1999-2000 Andruw.
Mateo was one of the most talented young players I’ve ever seen.
You don’t trade players like that unless you’re getting a guy who’s gonna put you over the top as a World Series contender, and I don’t think subbing Andruw into the 2000 Rangers makes them a WS contender. I mean, maybe it would. But Mateo was special.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
I love you, Marcus Lemon.
"I don’t have any respect for anybody on here. Everyone on here is a fucking asshole who thinks they’re god compared to everyone else." -iorange555, throwing one of his patented sandy-vagina'd hissy fits.
by thedirkatron on Mar 22, 2009 11:09 PM CDT up reply actions
I think Jon Daniels...
made Mateo swing at that pitch that hit him in the chest.
"I know you're a bit dense but no, it doesn't. Obviously lying isn't a problem for me."
I don't know about that, but I know for a fact that JD called up the opposing team's GM and offered John Danks for it.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
I love you, Marcus Lemon.
"I don’t have any respect for anybody on here. Everyone on here is a fucking asshole who thinks they’re god compared to everyone else." -iorange555, throwing one of his patented sandy-vagina'd hissy fits.
by thedirkatron on Mar 23, 2009 5:26 AM CDT up reply actions
"If we could go back and do it over I wouldn’t deal 1999-2000 Mateo for 1999-2000 Andruw."
I would. In a heart beat.
just playing devils advocate
but why?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 23, 2009 7:34 AM CDT up reply actions
Because Andruw Jones was a significantly better hitter and a better fielder.
And only one year older and already with more Major League experience.
In 2000, Jones was nearly an 8 WAR player (by Sean Smith), his third straight year above 7, and he was still in his early 20s.
In 2000, Mateo played 53 games.
I loved Ruben, and Dirk is right, he was special and had tons of talent. But Jones at the time was a sure thing (and he continued to be a pretty sure thing), Mateo was a prospect. And even if all that talent panned out, there aren’t many people in baseball who are going to make you regret getting a guy who consistently belongs near the back of the MVP ballot at worst.
yea
its like asking – would you trade derek holland for say, scott kazmir
mateo had the ceiling, but hadnt done it in the majors yet and the age diff btwn him and andruw wasnt significant.
my thoughts exactly
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 23, 2009 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions
It is about what that's like.
Though I think that’s giving Scott Kazmir too much credit (partly because of the health risk). But that’s the idea. It was two guys of the same age but one had already performed multiple seasons at the perfect world projection level of the other.
Freak Injury But When?
I would say that Mateo was not having success for a long enough time (before the broken leg) to not deserve the free pass that you are willing to give him. He was something special in batting practice though.
by el_gigante45 on Mar 23, 2009 12:30 PM CDT up reply actions
I agree with 90% of this
My only contention is that Marlon Byrd is a Washington favorite. I think that he’ll find a way to get Byrd on the field and that a slow start puts Nelson Cruz in great jeopardy of playing time.
My only contention is that Marlon Byrd is a Washington favorite
Why do you say this?
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
just a confident observation from watching the last two years
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 7:50 PM CDT up reply actions
Have you been watching the last couple years?
Don’t get me wrong his performance has warranted alot of what he’s got but he is absolutely a Wash fave
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
Yeah
I’m not saying that he shouldn’t be a Washington favorite, just that he is.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 7:52 PM CDT up reply actions
yes, i have.
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
And you can't see that Byrd is a Wash fave?
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
i don't know
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
Because they're both black guys, duh.
The 40 Trumps All!!!
I love you, Marcus Lemon.
"I don’t have any respect for anybody on here. Everyone on here is a fucking asshole who thinks they’re god compared to everyone else." -iorange555, throwing one of his patented sandy-vagina'd hissy fits.
by thedirkatron on Mar 22, 2009 11:33 PM CDT up reply actions
Yes
When Jones’ playing time as a Ranger goes up and Cruz’s goes down, that’s a bad thing
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
Part of what Z said
was involving Cruz. I thought you were talking about that entire thing, not just the Byrd part. My fault.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
might not matter...
because I highly doubt there are takers for cat even if we eat, say 4 million of the 6. Hicks evidently refuses to eat the entirety of the contract. Therefore, Cat will be very difficult to trade IMO.
I think this whole deal may be posturing on the part of the Rangers in an effort to deal Byrd/Blalock/Cruz/Murphy for something of value and then that would allow Jones to actually get normal playing time. I think ppl are overplaying this…
I don't think it'll be that big of deal at all.
I don’t know nothing though.
I don't get it, why would life give me lemons?
I think it's more frustrating than big
We’ve seen so many times, as Adam points out, that the club has tried to force feed a clearly washed up RHB into the lineup. It probably didn’t destroy any of those teams, I mean 2004 is the only contending team they’ve had this decade. But particularly since they’ve developed some players, and particularly since they are building toward something that this particular washed up guy won’t contribute to, it is such a waste of resources and at-bats that could go to developing players who will.
As I’ve said repeatedly regarding Andruw Jones, doing the experiment is fine. But the historical reluctance on the part of Washington and particularly Rudy Jaramillo to cling to that experiment and not move on when it’s not working is the most troubling issue. It did not take 400 ABs for the majority of the planet to see that Sosa shouldn’t have continued through the summer in the role that he played. The same is true of Nevin as far as they went with him.
And again, going back to the repetition, was wasting all of those ABs on Phil Nevin a huge deal? No, probably not. But would installing Adam Melhuse as your starting catcher and giving him 450 ABs while sitting Saltalamacchia and Teagarden on the bench be a huge deal? No.They’ll still have more chances in the future to evaluate those players, and you could argue that it wouldn’t cost them a playoff trip or anything. It’s just so frustrating and so predictable.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 8:03 PM CDT up reply actions
In particular...
…I don’t think Washington and Jaramillo have any confidence that Davis and Cruz will perform, particularly early on, and in Davis’s case, particularly against lefties.
And I think that there are elements in the front office that are terrified about the possibility of getting off to another bad start and souring the entire fan base on the season, as has happened the past two years. And I think Washington is terrified of that, because he knows he’ll get fired.
So I think these folks are freaking out right now about the idea that the Rangers won’t be able to hit against lefties early in the season and that will get them off to a bad start, and so they’d rather roll with Jones and Blalock and that group.
Because I think Washington and Jaramillo, at the end of the day, are a hell of a lot more comfortable trusting guys with a track record of performing, even if they haven’t performed lately, than going with guys like Davis and Cruz.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 8:09 PM CDT up reply actions
What's changed from 3 weeks ago?
Why now, all the sudden? Davis has heated up the last couple of weeks. Was it the Blalock injury scare?
"My mother always taught me that if the only thing you have to say is,
‘(Expletive) Dave Samson,’ then don’t say anything at all.
So I’m not going to say anything at all.
Is my mother the greatest or what?"
- Mariners GM Bill Bavasi, after signing Ichiro to a $90 million contract
I have no idea
That’s why I don’t understand this.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 8:20 PM CDT up reply actions
I was thinking that earlier.
The only reason to string Jones along is if there is a possible trade brewing that would open upa roster spot for him.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
It's that last sentence
that I’ve never understood when it comes to some managers.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 8:33 PM CDT up reply actions
Milton Bradley
was a positive re-build RH Hitter guy.
I think all of our OF’ers have some questionable talents (less Hamilton). It may be hard to tolerate long slumps from Cruz, Murphy, or Byrd. So, I can’t blame the JD for trying something here.
Nevin is an excellent analogy for Andruw Jones though. They have several similarities.
Bradley wasn't a re-build
There was a risk with him due to injuries, but there has never been any doubt in his ability to hit.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
Wow
that surely amounts to a lot of frightened front-office man-childs and wunderkinds huddled in the hallway, apoplectic, with quivering lips and snot bubbles and all. I don’t buy it.
Which part?
You don’t think that there are folks in the office that are quite concerned about what another 9-18 start would do to attendance and revenues this year?
You don’t think Wash knows damn well that another bad start and he’ll be canned?
You don’t think those issues are factors right now?
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 11:07 PM CDT up reply actions
What elements in the front office?
is that like the second gunman? The idea that Ryan/Hicks/JD are advocating behind closed doors for Jones to make the team because he will add about 8 april wins and therefore save the season, washington’s job, and allow Hicks to save-face, well, no, that is a little much, no matter how much I myself enjoy spinning things conspiratorially.
If all that were true, then none of these guys are afraid or anxious or terrified – they are merely think they are right, which is much more disconcerting IMO.
I don't think the FO has no confidence in Davis and Cruz
In fact I think they have too much confidence in Cruz….
I'm Matt mutha-effing Bush, bitches, and mutha-eff East County.
"I'm as passionate and knowlegeable as any fan out there." Josey Wales
by Brian Thomas on Mar 23, 2009 6:03 PM CDT up reply actions
Along these lines, IMO
I think JD clumsily accelerated the MY-to-3B plan because he was terrified about what another year of lousy left-side IF defense would do to his career.
I think that is part of it
but the reason that I think they pulled the trigger in the end was Nolan. I think that he relied on his scouts (and Daniels) for their evaluations, but he said himself that he went to Frisco and watched how Andrus improved over the course of the year, how he could play situational offense, and felt like he could handle the major leagues. I think that he was a driving force, just as he was when Duran and Boggs were called up when they were last year.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 23, 2009 12:13 AM CDT up reply actions
once AJ gets some ABs during the regular season
and doesn’t hit, he won’t play much, if at all…and eventually be cut. I don’t see him starting the season with the Rangers will effect much…
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
Sort of like Sammy
Who got some ABs during hte regular season, didn’t hit, and hung around all year anyway.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 7:58 PM CDT up reply actions
You woudn't take Andruw having Sammy's line vs. LHP?
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
If it comes with his line against righties in 293 AB's...
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
well, Andruw is supposed to be here to face lefties, not righties...
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
I will bet...
…he ends up playing about as much against righties as against lefties.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 8:22 PM CDT up reply actions
It's tBPiA
As an uninformed outsider I’d still be willing to bet an extreme amount of Rudy’s success should be given to tBPiA instead of Rudy.
The world’s greatest batting coach coaches in an amazing hitters stadium. I don’t think that’s a coincidence.
Doesn't Matter
Rudy’s image is set in stone.
MLB can’t get over the OBP hump. Perceptions last for decades in baseball. It’s why Andruw Jones is being considered for a ML role.
"fairly neutral"
Is pushing it.
2008 it was number 1.
2007 neutral, slight negative.
06 and 05 it was still 8%.
While that’s not enormously offensive the myriad years of +20% and a couple 8 percenters mean a lot more than one neutral year and thus calling it fairly neutral are a little misleading. Should the 2008 year been neutral or even 8% I wouldn’t post this, but another year with a double digit offense and ranked #1 fairly neutral seems misleading.
Interesting
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?season=2008
2008 1.14
2007 0.98
2006 1.08
2005 1.08
2004 1.22
So aside from the fact that ESPN blows, what else am I missing in the numbers. Is there method outdated? Or are they good enough and some intelligent sources get to different ends from the same start?
I can't swear
the Baseball-reference.com numbers that I am citing are perfect. I’d really have to see the calculations. I do know the B-R numbers used to be consistently higher for TBiA, but have been relatively neutral the last few years.
Get off my lawn.
Yes, but if he puts up Sammy's line against lefties
Logic follows that Wash is going to think he’s hitting well and starting giving him more and more AB’s against righties, too. Wash just doesn’t understand the concept of a roleplayer.
And given how horrible Andruw was against righties last year that’s kind of a scary concept.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
Chris Davis, Blalock, Byrd > Jason Botts
And a .780 ops is bad for a DH, but its not really “didn’t hit”.
the preceding post was a great success.
this would work
if we had a manager that understoodd this
he didnt understand with sosa, why would he now?
ron washington is simply not a manager who should be taking any team into the playoffs.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:18 PM CDT up reply actions
because
he will be fired if he doesn’t this time.
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
Will someone please show management
Davis’s numbers against lefties in AAA and the MLB.
Even blalock has shown improvement vs lefties, but if someone has to lose at bats to jones it needs to be him, with byrd in for murph and Davis just an everyday player.
the preceding post was a great success.
Stats don't mean much
to Washington and Jaramillo, clearly.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 8:04 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm suddenly reminded of Wash's passages in Moneyball.
Let me tell you, when I read that book, it made me weep that this man was in charge of my team.
I think
I agree with some of this, but I really think you’re over reacting in regards to Davis. I still expect him to see time against lefties, with Balock getting most of the time on the bench. And I think JD does as well.
If that doesn’t happen then I think it’s another mistake that will eventually cost Wash his job.
Ultimately it’s the job of management to put the best 25 together (mostly; obviously you have to take development into account, otherwise Boggs would clearly be a better fit on the 25 than Jones). There’s no doubt that this team could use an additional right handed bat that can be inserted into the lineup against lefties. If you can’t trust your manager to use that additional bat properly then you need to get rid of the manager, not leave the additional bat off the roster.
I'd rather have Cat than AJ
He can at least play infield positions, albeit poorly, and he won’t take time away from other players the team needs to look at. Good pinch hitter too.
Free Frank Catalanotto
Yeah
Grant laid out pretty well what seemed to be the plan on the radio the other day. Cat has something like the second best average or on-base of any active PH in MLB, so he comes in to hit for Andrus against RHP late in close games, and Vizquel can then be the defensive sub.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 23, 2009 12:18 AM CDT up reply actions
very frustrating
It is ironic that by trying to improve the club vs LHP by DHing Jones and putting Blalock at 1B, the Rangers are probably worse off at the plate and in the field. Just how good of a firstbaseman is Blalock? Hopefully it won’t take JD long to realize that Jones is toast and he will call up Ramirez to be the RH DH if they are still concerned about facing LHP.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
Well
If you think that the RH DH on this team is going to play about half the time, I’d argue that Brandon Boggs should be that guy, rather than Andruw Jones, anyway.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 9:21 PM CDT up reply actions
Sigh
At times this spring I’ve found myself wishing they had just gone ahead and fired Washington last year.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
Really...
…I think this is more Rudy than Washington.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 9:49 PM CDT up reply actions
As do I
Keith Law on Greg Golson, "He's similiar to Cameron and Hunter in that all three are black."
I agree, but who the hell is in charge?
I understand he’s Rudy Jaramillo™, mr. bad-ass hitting coach, but if we had a manager who understood what players should be in what roles better we wouldn’t be having this angst-ridden discussion. The problem is not Jaramillo’s insistence that Jones has something left (or any of the others) it’s the number of times and under what circumstances Washington writes his name in the lineup.
It’s getting so that I have to cross my fingers that Daniels can construct a roster in such a way that Washington’s choices of playing time are painfully obvious or oddly limited to the right guys. The talent on the roster isn’t going to matter much if Washington can’t figure out that Davis is a bigger part of the future than the old righty of the month.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
I think if Jones takes the field for the Rangers
and plays more than Cat would have on this team (assuming of course that Cat is gone), the overall blame goes on JD, not Wash. I think its a stupid move on Wash’s and Jaramillo’s part to be so confident in Jones, but JD’s the one that could put an end to that in a second.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
I expect Ryan to bust down the meeting-room door
any minute and set these children straight…
this
washington < showalter.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:20 PM CDT up reply actions
Okay, now that's going a bit far
I disagree with that statement
-- Micah
Baseball Is My Boyfriend
I want to be the next Annie Savoy.
by The Best Micah on Mar 22, 2009 10:22 PM CDT up reply actions
Whoa, whoa
I’m in the front seat of the Ron Sucks bandwagon, but even I don’t think Buckles was better than he was. At least Wash interacts well with his players, something Buck never did.
That said, Wash shouldn’t be managing a major league baseball team.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
washington
HORRIBLE game management
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:25 PM CDT up reply actions
Buck was pretty bad, too from what I remember.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
i just dont think he was THIS bad
its like: whose a defensive worse outfielder, nate mcclouth or adam dunn — either way your screwed in the OF
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:27 PM CDT up reply actions
buck
i think he was a pretty good in game manager…it’s the power he had that people didn’t like…i think.
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
I seem to remember there being a big fuss about how Buck never ran or anything
Of course, 2006 is already pretty hazy in my memories.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
He wasn't great with the bullpen
He jumped the gun pulling guys too soon.
-- Micah
Baseball Is My Boyfriend
I want to be the next Annie Savoy.
by The Best Micah on Mar 22, 2009 11:38 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm with you on this one Triple K..
I’d rather have Bucks game management but Wash’s people skills… they both weren’t right for the job but if I had to have one or the other it would be Buck.
What did Wash get ranked last year amongst managers…next to last I believe.. only Hillman was worse but he had yet to manage a game.
I’m curious to see how they rank Wash this year..maybe it’s come out already. But you’re right he’s horrific at game management..esp. using the bullpen.
What's the Nef tally??
LSJ would know...
Jonny who did the manager rankings last years where Wash was ranked only better than Hillman?
What's the Nef tally??
was it sports illustrated?
it seems at the time that it was a credible source.
What's the Nef tally??
All I found offhand
Is this, but Ron wasn’t included in that. I honestly don’t remember anything ranking him second-to-last, to tell you the truth, and that seems like something I would’ve made a point of regurgitating.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
no that's not it..
I’m very certain there was such a ranking and that he finished next to last. I’ll have to do some research when I have some time.
What's the Nef tally??
I might recall seeing something that ranked managers on some non-sports site like GQ.com or something
Maybe that was it. I’m not sure though.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
this isn't it either..
but I thought it was interesting, only includes their top 20
What's the Nef tally??
here's one.
I don’t think this is the one but
http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/1053855/2008_major_league_baseballs_manager.html?cat=14
What's the Nef tally??
What is the point you're trying to make? That some article thought Ron Washington was one of the worst managers in baseball?
I’m rather pleased with the way the Rangers finished last year considering how bad they started and how many injuries their rotation endured.
And considering how many times their manager F'd up the in-game management
Yeah, I was pretty pleased with the way the team finished last year too.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
the point is....
Wash is not a good manager. We all know you love him but most don’t.
What's the Nef tally??
It's funny
How most feel we overachieved, yet Ron obviously had zero to do with that.
"My mother always taught me that if the only thing you have to say is,
‘(Expletive) Dave Samson,’ then don’t say anything at all.
So I’m not going to say anything at all.
Is my mother the greatest or what?"
- Mariners GM Bill Bavasi, after signing Ichiro to a $90 million contract
It was Washington's fault McCarthy, Padilla and Millwood were decimated with injuries?
That he had an old man chasing ropes at shortstop?
That he has a revolving door of catchers and first baseman to play?
Are you fucking kidding me?
I think the revolving door was his fault
He brought in Broussard. And he came up with the catching rotation. But the rest of what you mention was not his fault.
by NorCalRangersFan on Mar 23, 2009 12:35 AM CDT up reply actions
You don't think those count for anything?
He FUBAR’d the bullpen management last year. He didn’t use his bench properly. Some of his lineups decisions where more than questionable.
Basically, the guy didn’t do the managing part of his job well at all last year. But apparently you’re going to tell me that doesn’t count for anything.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
This is pure idiocy
the “in game management” portion of managing has very little to do with team performance. That article that Adam linked by Joe Pos pretty much explained my thought process. Essentially, in game strat maybe has 3-5 win impact on the team, what’s much more important is how the manager manages the clubhouse, which Wash does pretty well.
Right, because who could use an extra 3-5 wins from a manager who knows how to use his troops?
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
I hope the next time you're rolling on the floor laughing your ass off that you get eaten by a pack of wolves.
Had to beat firebat to the punch of telling me to die in a fire, eh?
:)
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
No
what’s truly damaging are people like Showalter or LaRussa who alienate players and causes teams to do stupid shit like trade Scott Rolen. Washington has a lot of faults with small sample sizes, but i agree with his general baseball philiosophy (which despite your constant bitching, is a take a pitch, play good defense style), which means a whole hell of a lot more than decisions that didn’t work out.
While I agree that you can't have a guy who alienates his players
At the same time I don’t think being an atrocious game manager can be excused by being popular with your clubhouse.
I also don’t see any “philosophy” with what Ron does at all. If he has a managing style it’s been about making “gut decisions” that are often based more on favoritism than any kind of actual logic. And every manager presses “fundamentals” by the way. That’s their freaking job.
Basically I think 3-5 wins gained by a better manager could help us greatly now and in the future considering A) we’re in a weak division, and B), right now our pitching still sucks, which makes the correct utilization of them all the more paramount. There has to be some middle ground between the loveable but blockheaded Ron and the LaRussa’s and Buckles of the world, and I think it’s very important the Rangers try and find it.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
That
like a lot of your posts are over simplistic and borderline retarded. How anyone can miss the obvious undercurrents to Washington’s general philosophy is amazing. Look at how much he talks about working the count, sometimes even contrary to “the Great” Rudy Jaramillio. He obvious focuses on defense, though it’s obviously different being a manager vs. being a coach.
Does he over rely on a few guys in the pen and on the bench? Absolutely. But I contend that every single manager falls prey to the same problems. If you ask A’s fans, Angels fans and so forth, they’ll say the same thing. Does he fall prey to small sample sizes? Of course, but i contend that we all do – managers, GMs, fans and all. What i’m saying is that Washington is no worse than the average manager, which is a lot better than what this team had before him, and he’s a heck of a lot better than some of the suggestions (Hillman, Valentine, Torre, Girardi) that’s been suggested before.
by FirebatM3 on Mar 23, 2009 12:26 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
I feel like I'm more in your corner than LSJ's.
But I find it hard to believe one could read Moneyball and be thrilled with Wash’s overall baseball philosophy.
Dont you know
if the team loses it is the managers fault and if they win the team only overcomes the manager.
You cant win if someone has made up their mind on someone.
Im in the middle on the Ron Washington issue…but this AJ bs is starting to sway me
I know the Hardball Times has some manager ranking in their book
I think Bill James does too. Not sure if that’s what you are talking about.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
even worse than madden in TB
which is difficult to do
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:57 PM CDT up reply actions
Very frustrating
Adam and Z have said the same things I would say, so no need to repeat them, just very frustrating
Well, if Washington elects to play Jones ahead of Cruz or Davis, he's hanging himself with
his own rope.
Well, this is very different from Nevin/Sosa in that Jones isn’t being given a starting job. The role is very well defined as a part time role.
Actually, I think this mostly has to do with Cat. If Cat were right handed with a decent track record against lefties, Jones would be gone, and, instead, it would be the right-handed Cat taking a few ABs away from Davis. Either way, any type of a slow start by Davis puts him on the bench, and he may be there against top-tier lefties even with a hot start, given his relative inexperience as a MLer. Sitting a lefty against tough LHP is just the way managers have always managed, unfortunately.
JD: Adamant about 78 wins in 2009. Go Rangers!
Okay, overreaction time
When this topic was talked about when Andruw first signed, there were several possible outcomes
- Andruw doesn’t make team (nobody cares)
- Andruw makes team as starting CF, takes AB away from Murphy/Byrd/Cruz (tolerable if he played good defense in CF)
- Andruw doesn’t make team, but accepts minor league assignment (not good, takes AB away from Golson/Borbon/Boggs)
- Andruw makes team as a back-up OF/DH, taking AB away from a combination of Murphy/Byrd/Cruz/Blalock/Davis (STAB STAB STAB)
The worst possible role for Andruw is the DH, since whatever value he has left derives mostly from the possibility of being able to play above average defense in CF, so DH him is just minimizing his strength and maximizing his weakness (like pitching Gobble against RH bats). Hitting only against lefties is not going rejuvenate him back to a .850 OPS guy. Yet, it looks this just might be happening. Everything is proceeding to the worst possible outcome.
eff you jeter
pos.
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
bet rollins would have made the trhow
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:21 PM CDT up reply actions
hell
bet FOTF would have made the throw
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:21 PM CDT up reply actions
why hit Longoria too
when Victorino is a better contact guy.
Another one bites the dust! And another one, and another one, and another one bites the dust!
Frustrating
Not that my opinion weighs anything, but like posteriors, everybody has one including me. I’m not against a RH DH, and I think Rudy is astute at diagnosing batters’ capabilities. But I can’t understand any rational attempt to explain why Andruw Jones should be kept. To me, the two OF positions that are a lock are Hamilton and Cruz. Any of the remaining pack have value (Murphy, Boggs, or the two good fielders in AAA Borbon and Golson). Andruw? Won’t hit, and no longer a premium fielder. End of assessment.
This (forgive me for even bringing it up) smells like a John Hart “advisory”, again pushing for a veteran (oh yeah, tried and true) reincarnation. Of course Rudy takes any such assignment, it’s his stock in trade. If the Rangers blow this by keeping AJ around, I have less passion for the team than the game in general. I love baseball. I don’t love manuvering the player assets just to try to be right.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912) also -
"Telephone, n. An invention of the devil which abrogates some of the advantages of making a disagreeable person keep his distance."
~Ambrose Bierce
by Ed Coffin on Mar 22, 2009 10:06 PM CDT reply actions
fielding
I could accept Jones if people like Jamey, Lucas, Jason Parks, Hindman, etc. were regaling us with tales of Jones’ wonderful defense and he was only hitting at a mediocre clip. That’s always been where a big part of his value lie. But why would you keep on an aging CFer who no longer has the glove/legs to field at an acceptable level, and also can’t hit at even an average rate for CFers, defense or no? There is just no justification for this unless Boras has incriminating pictures of Daniels.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
yeah
I admit to being curious, but completely indifferent, about his is bat. It was the potential to get an upgrade in CF that intrigued me, allowing Hambone to move to RF, amounting to another position upgrade. Once it was established very early in camp that his D was not as good as any of those currently on the 40, he shouldve been let go.
The other drawback in keeping him of course is that there would be no room for any of Boggs/Golson/Borbon when they are deemed “ready” to stick with the club. I would much rather have them playing the last 21/2 months in prep for 2010 than have Jones taking up space on the active roster.
was it clearly established
that his defense is not as good as any CF currently on the 40? I know I read that he looked a little slow on some reads, but I didn’t ever read he looked like a bum. Is he really currently worse than Hamilton in CF. I doubt that, seeing as his most recent defensive measurements still placed him among the better defensive CFs.
I didn't say he was a bum merely that he is not an upgrade
over what we have. I’ve read nothing that suggested he was better than any of our current options in CF based on his performance this year not last year. The main problem is not reads but the fact that his first step aint what is used to be apparently. In addition, by all accounts, Hamilton looks improved in CF, so his measurements last year should be weighed along with these reports.
ESPN guys blasting Davey Johnson
and deservedly so. Pathetic.
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
Agreed 100%
Keith Law on Greg Golson, "He's similiar to Cameron and Hunter in that all three are black."
oh my
this is embarrassing, from the coaches to some of these players…
How are we suppose to get into the WBC when the coaches and players treat this as an exhibition game?
Stability is key, and JD is a Beast.
Jindal - 2012
"AMMIITAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABHH!!!"
he needs to be replaced.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:22 PM CDT up reply actions
fucking replace him with bobby V
at least he understands how to beat the fucking japanese
this is redic.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 22, 2009 10:26 PM CDT up reply actions
Think we're jumping the gun a little here.
Let’s wait and see what the 25/40 is at the end of ST. A lot can happen in 2 weeks. I still think there’s some sort of trade brewing that we don’t know about that makes all this make more sense.
Tons of projecting going on, no question
but events very similar to these have played out before, with the same principles involved (and then some with Buck rather than RW and Hart with JD as his asst) making decisions. And for me, all of this is based on events that have taken steps to confirm fears that I had going in. Hopefully things will work out.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 10:33 PM CDT up reply actions
nice cut david wright.
goes down on a fucking check swing strike 3.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
dont deserve to win
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
So, is all of this "concern" more about Jones or more about complaining about the past?
JD: Adamant about 78 wins in 2009. Go Rangers!
by rooster on Mar 22, 2009 10:32 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Since I've expressed concerin, I'll answer for myself
It’s concern that the past mistakes will play out again with this player. Hopefully he’ll do well, and hopefully if he doesn’t they won’t ignore it and overplay him anyway. But history presents an unfortunate precedent.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 10:35 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm more optimistic in this case, since the role has clearly been defined as a backup role, and
it’s already been made public that Cruz beat out Jones.
I think this has much more to do with Cat than Cruz/Davis.
JD: Adamant about 78 wins in 2009. Go Rangers!
Until the pattern changes
This collection of front office, manager, etc. has made the same stupid, go for the old has been, choices as the previous management, so why should we assume it will be any different? They kept Sosa around too long and didn’t keep him in an appropriate role, I have no reason to feel confident they’ll use Jones appropriately.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
I hope that
the other 29 teams force JD to keep Cat making this whole thread worthless.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
I place this squarely on Wash
I think he (and Rudy) are lobbying hard for Andruw. JD is giving in on this one, trusting that Wash will use him only against righties. Unfortunately, Wash cannot be trusted to use him correctly. As a “player’s manager”, he has repeatedly given preference to veterans over young guys. Wash will never let a vet languish on the bench. Jones will get ABs against righties if we have a long stretch without any lefties.
And assuming Visquel makes the opening day roster, too. You can expect him to be used more than the typical utility infielder.
by NorCalRangersFan on Mar 22, 2009 10:51 PM CDT reply actions
I think this it's probably more Rudy than Wash doing the lobbying, myself
Just based on the way Rudy’s basically been driving this Andruw thing all spring (hell, he’s basically the reason we let Andruw come here).
Wash is just the reason this thing is doomed to end in playing-time tragedy.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
I don't know, but even if JD is just giving in, he must also shoulder the blame
His job is to do the best thing to make the team better, both in the present and in the future. Having Andruw DH half the time accomplishes neither.
Part of doing the right thing
is having a good relationship with your manager. He needs to show Wash he trusts him and the other coaches. All the way up until the point that he fires them.
by NorCalRangersFan on Mar 22, 2009 11:05 PM CDT up reply actions
He's the one who inked the fucker
If you want to keep Washington on a leash, quit giving him toys to play with.
by oc on Mar 22, 2009 11:23 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
And this, I agree with.
I’m not going JW and throwing Johnny Donuts under the bus, but if AJ gets too much playing time. I’m definitely pointing my finger at him.
it is still March 22nd
two weeks ago, Guardardo was considered a lock for the bullpen. now his name is listed as a candidate like everyone else. we still have a full two weeks of preseason to let this play itself out.
I will say that I thought bringing Jones in was a good idea at the onset. I still think it is worth figuring out if he has anything left. Having even 80% of the old Andruw Jones in CF and sliding Hamilton over to right (where his bat played up, albeit in a small sample size) could be very beneficial to this team. Even 80% remains a huge if today, but he does seem genuinely humbled and ready to work. I am okay with extending the experiment.
On that note, people must remember that Hamilton shouldn’t play every day, so we shouldn’t say he is a lock to do so. All of the worries that people expressed last year at this time regarding what his body has been through physically didn’t evaporate because of one solid year at the plate. If anything, we should be more cautious. Hamilton is this org’s greatest asset.
Hamilton
I think last year proved alot. It was his first taste of a 162 game season and before last season he was still working on getting back into playing shape. This offseason he was able to work on conditioning and maintaining rather than building which should help him. I also believe if we play him in RF at least 1/3 of the time he will be fine. If he plays less than 150 games this year, assuming he is healthy all year, I will be disappointed.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
numbers
Using espn.com’s team depth chart as the source…
The Rangers could face 10 lefthanded SPs in thier first 22 games(April). I would only classify one (Lee) as elite. Of the 15 division oponents SPs, 6 may be LHP.
And like clark just posted, there is still 2 weeks left in ST. Maybe Jones will get some ABs vs LHP and show that he can’t handle it.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
and when we say
that things have to play out, it may not all be on the field. the club may say they are actively shopping Cat (and I’m sure they are) but I have a feeling they are shopping guys like Byrd and Blalock just as much.
And I know I have harped on this before, but right now the Braves have an apparent pitching surplus that they are willing to move, and a short term need for a versatile OF while Schafer and Jones develop. I still think there’s a match there, and with Jones basically saying today that he is willing to handle a role much like the one Byrd has had, I think the org may be more willing to swap him in for Byrd. Of course that all depends on what we can get for him…
Jones<Byrd
I think if they trade Byrd they had better get back a SP that will end up in the rotation this year. It would also mean more playing time for Murphy which may overexpose him to lefties. I wouldn’t mind trading Byrd, trading/releasing Cat, let Boggs be the 4th OFer and Jones takes Cats roster spot.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
Question
Why do people in this thread keep acting like Joe Maddon is a terrible manager?
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 11:13 PM CDT reply actions
Mr. Tron started it.
"My mother always taught me that if the only thing you have to say is,
‘(Expletive) Dave Samson,’ then don’t say anything at all.
So I’m not going to say anything at all.
Is my mother the greatest or what?"
- Mariners GM Bill Bavasi, after signing Ichiro to a $90 million contract
I think people are still remembering his postseason performance last year
Which wasn’t very good.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
Really?
I mean, are you talking about the entire postseason?
Or are you talking about just the World Series?
Because IIRC, coming into the World Series, he was getting a lot of praise for the way he’d managed in the ALDS and ALCS.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 11:17 PM CDT up reply actions
WS, of course
I’m just saying thats what people here are probably remembering, since that’s really the only time they’ve had the opportunity to critique his managing.
Now blogging again (temporarily) at "Hello Win Column".
i know guys like rob neyer
certainly questioned his decisions
go here to view my blog: http://dirtfromd.blogspot.com
by studcrackers on Mar 23, 2009 7:24 AM CDT up reply actions
It's partly because I spend a bit of time at DRays Bay.
But I only got the Maddon praise from the dumber parts of the media. I’ve never thought he was a good manager, seen much evidence that he is or seen many people who really follow the Rays and have a baseball opinion I tend to respect who think he’s a good manager.
As some said, in the post season, he was just exposed to the greater public for what he was, it was nothing new. I was pretty critical of him in the ALCS, too. I’m not sure where the praise come from other than ESPN’s talking heads.
PoO
I don’t, however, think he’s the end of the world or that managers in baseball are that big a deal, anyway.
Which is similar to my outlook on Wash.
im talking abotu the world series
just stuck in my head
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 23, 2009 7:39 AM CDT up reply actions
On Jones, Davis, Byrd and Blalock
Adam, Speaking of side shows. How Andrew afftects Davis, et al is so insignificant to the real story of the spring, no, forever and the spring shows no signs of change. Starters and bullpen alike throw too many GD pitches. Either they aren’t listening to Maddux or have no control. Poor Mike. What has he gotten himself into? #of pitches thrown should be a stat.
My recollection is that...
…thusfar this spring, the starters, at least, have been pretty efficient in their number of pitches.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 22, 2009 11:24 PM CDT up reply actions
Here is what our closer and 3 relievers (or is mendoza slated as teh 5th starter?) did today and I believe Millwood has been pretty uneven
LA TX
1 wolf 11 mendoza 7
2 wolf 11 mendoza 28
3 wolf 11 mendoza 16
4 wolf 17 rupe 26
5 wolf 16 francisco 10
6 wolf 13 francisco 29
7 mota 7 gobble 12
8 kuo 22 madrigal 28
by Ugot Carlymox on Mar 22, 2009 11:33 PM CDT up reply actions
So one game?
You signed up today, followed the inning by inning results from a very lopsided game – one where they played most of their best players and started a key starting pitcher, while we started about #15 on our SP depth chart – and conclude that the entire spring has gone that way?
by Brett Perryman on Mar 22, 2009 11:38 PM CDT up reply actions
Would you agree that we more often than not did not go deep enough last year? Do you see that a lot has changed so far this spring?
by Ugot Carlymox on Mar 22, 2009 11:48 PM CDT up reply actions
I would agree
that small sample sizes should be regarded and your three posts have been pretty retarded so far.
Do you think he is feigning being
Turkish or something? " don’t think team compete not well prior spring…" Please…
Yes, no in terms of personnel
I wouldn’t disagree with your central point. I wonder if there is anything to back it up from spring performances, though. McCarthy has been extremely economical of late. Millwood went six in his last start against a pretty strict pitch count. It’s certainly not going to turn around overnight, though, I agree in that context.
by Brett Perryman on Mar 23, 2009 12:21 AM CDT up reply actions
definitely hope for mccarthy, harrison and feldman. but millwood will be key and i guess i just dont expect him to be a lot diff this year. i hope i am just being too pessimistic. once through the rotation, how many of them will it be reasonalbe to expect 7 innings of?
by Ugot Carlymox on Mar 23, 2009 12:36 AM CDT up reply actions
This is a new level of sadness...even for LSB
Although, I have to admit, I was waiting for the day that someone would use dyslexia as their schtick.
Whose alternate
do you think it is? It has to be someone pulling LSB’s collective chain right? Anyone seen Miles around?
I wish I'd of thought of it
I'm Matt mutha-effing Bush, bitches, and mutha-eff East County.
"I'm as passionate and knowlegeable as any fan out there." Josey Wales
by Brian Thomas on Mar 23, 2009 6:21 PM CDT up reply actions
just so that we can get you to not post for awhile
why don’t you go back and chart all the pitches for all of the ST games thus far. It might take you awhile to dig up the B game states and, now, the minor league games. I’m sure you’ll do fine, and we’ll wait up for ya…
We had the same problem last year and Millwood has not shown that he is any diff so far. I hope I’m wrong.
by Ugot Carlymox on Mar 22, 2009 11:45 PM CDT up reply actions
Click me
all of your questions will be answered, all your your anxieties assuaged:
Question
What makes Jones a better option against righties than Cat is right now?
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
cat>>jones for
this team this year. im not quite sure why people kill cat all the time. i realize he doesnt play very good defense. but as sporadic as his playing time would be anyways, his defense isn’t likely to hurt you in much in 1 game a week.
furthermore, cat appears like a good clubhouse guy and doesnt bitch about his role on the team and he also is still one of the best pinch hitters in the game
so who would you rather have as your 25th man?
cat who can play the outfield as well as first and does not expect to play much but can also offer solid pinch hitting
or
andruw jones who will likely take more at bats than needed away from blalock, davis, byrd, and others. offers little to no value defensively anymore. and most likely not be much of an upgrade, if at all, over what cat would provide. all while potentially being a hindrance to the clubhouse by complaining about playing time and setting a bad example to the younger players
or
would you rather have a guy like brandon boggs. who is most likely the best player of the 3 at this point. boggs’s playing time would be so sporadic though that it could hurt his development as well.
by dustinvandeman on Mar 22, 2009 11:57 PM CDT reply actions
Clearly Boggs
In a developmental year anyway, targeting 2010, giving him more AB’s in AAA doesn’t do much for me in terms of development. He isn’t a 21 year old rook, he’s at the point where he could (and should) be integrated and educated into his fit with the MLB team.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912) also -
"Telephone, n. An invention of the devil which abrogates some of the advantages of making a disagreeable person keep his distance."
~Ambrose Bierce
by Ed Coffin on Mar 23, 2009 12:13 AM CDT up reply actions
Boggs
Boggs got pretty consistent playing time last year and showed he wasn’t ready. Not necessarily his fault mind you because he was rushed. But how would playing once a week and getting probably half a dozen ABs a week help him develop? I would think playing 6 days a week down in OKC would help him more. When he gets called up it should be due to injury and he can continue to play on a consistent basis up here. But I would hate to see a young guy like Boggs who could help us out down the road sit the bench this year when he could be playing everyday in the minors.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
He's 26
And one of the better defensive LF’ers in all of baseball. Has plate patience, works walks, shows a touch of LD power, and nobody in the game throws more accurately. If you are talking about his work on contact and bringing up his OPS (OPS+), maybe you have a point. However, he was also one of the unluckiest hitters going in 2008, despite small sample size. Starting him in LF might be a similar endorsement to what Cruz got – knowing it’s your job and you are turned loose to do it, etc. I’d play him ahead of Murphy 999 times out of 1000. Just my take. The key for me, is that although Murphy is adeequate in the OF, I want the best defense available playing most of the innings, particularly for the Rangers’ starters. Defense orientation, for sure.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912) also -
"Telephone, n. An invention of the devil which abrogates some of the advantages of making a disagreeable person keep his distance."
~Ambrose Bierce
by Ed Coffin on Mar 23, 2009 12:56 PM CDT up reply actions
But the rangers aren't going to start him ahead of Murphy
Ideally he would be a perfect platoon partner with Murph but with Byrd still here along with Cruz, Boggs is not going to get alot of playing time. So instead of having him sitting on the bench most days i’d rather him play everyday in AAA and get his batting back to pre 2008 levels and then come up later in the seaosn or in 2010 and be fine. Based on his offensive showing last year the difference in defense between he and Murph is not enough to outweigh the difference in offense Murphy provides.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
One issue
I see what you’re saying wrt Boggs and this being the time to prove himself.
OTOH, BABIP is definitely more controllable by hitters than pitchers on the major league level.
So, you’ll see players with a BABIP of .350+. You’ll also see players with a BABIP of .280-. And that’s even before figuring out the BABIP for AAAA hitters.
I guess what I’m trying to say is that it’s not a given that Boggs was really unlucky last year. He just might be that bad at making contact or it might be a combination of bad contact and bad luck.
BTW, checking on the BABIP, I find a different number than the article claiming that Boggs was one of the unluckiest hitters. They claim he had a BABIP of .296 while I calculated (and confirmed with fangraphs) a BABIP of .308.
Anyone else find other discrepancies?
R
Hmmm
Just checked up on Brandon Inge and Corey Patterson and they give BABIP of .229 and .210 while fangraphs give BABIP of .248 and .217.
Something is seriously wrong with how they calculate BABIP in that article.
R
Ah
Just found the explanation:
There seem to be a few calculations for BABIP floating around out there… I think the main difference is that we used PA – BB rather than AB’s, which doesn’t capture IBB or sacrifices.
I think it might be worth changing in the next iteration of the analysis – although I doubt it would change our regression estimates much.
So, I’m not sure but it turns out that these hitters might not be as unlucky as the article points out….
R
I think perhaps
THT and Fangraphs calculate their stats slightly differently.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
As said in the post below, it's not just looking at his BABIP.
But the fact that his xBABIP was .342.
And had the highest expected batting average on balls in play last year of anyone to qualify.
And also had one of the highest differentials (negative) between that and his actual BABIP.
That’s pretty good evidence of very bad luck affecting his slash stats.
This has Rudy's fingerprints all over it, IMO.
There’s no reason to keep DruwJo around except that Rudy believes that he can “fix” him. The question now is, at what point will Rudy swallow his pride and say, “Alright, forget it, let’s move on to worthwhile human beings”?
/going to Surprise on Friday
/giddy
My 2009 New Years Resolution: Quit feeding the trolls.
Alright I've looked over this all.
I mean this is like adding a tomato in a salad why make something that’s already healthy even more healthy? If i’m eating a salad I don’t want to add more healthy stuff to it. The rangers are the Salad and Jones is the tomato that needs to be ate before it goes bad. I say pass on the thousand island dressing, you know? Drop the soap then pick it back up cause how the heck would you get clean? You’ve gotta be a spare tire before you can take the lead, and of course you gotta see the ball to hit it.
I don't get it, why would life give me lemons?
Oh my
I think it is time to retire for the evening; this (210th) post hurts my brain.
Try harder
There you are far from.
I'm Matt mutha-effing Bush, bitches, and mutha-eff East County.
"I'm as passionate and knowlegeable as any fan out there." Josey Wales
by Brian Thomas on Mar 23, 2009 6:27 PM CDT up reply actions
I'm not worried
and won’t be until I see a pattern emerge. Sure, the blueprints are there, but we’ve also seen JD turn from a repeated trade loser into a winner the past year and a half. Anything can happen.
"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"
The real tiresome thing in all of this
is that you can’t, apparently swap on player who may well be useless (but might have something left) for a player that is definitely useless (Cat), because of the fear that your manager is an idiot. The even more tiresome thing is that apparently your GM is also too much of an idiot to fire the manager.
On the face of it, swapping Jones for Cat isn’t a bad move because Cat brings so little and has no trade value down the line.
Get off my lawn.
Cat is more useful
as a pinch-hitter than Andruw, and Cat at least knows he is a bench role player and won’t get playing time.
If all this is true, and Jones ends up taking playing time away from Cruz, Davis, Byrd and Murphy then I think that is a huge mistake and Wash would need to be fired.
Another one bites the dust! And another one, and another one, and another one bites the dust!
If Jones takes playing time
and doesn’t produce, thats on Washington and JD for not firing Washington.
Cat isn’t that useful as a PH, because the roster is swimming in lefties and switch hitters.
Get off my lawn.
I would agree
I think AJM mentioned this before, but there is only 1 person you might pinch-hit for – Andrus, other than that there is no use for either player IMO.
Another one bites the dust! And another one, and another one, and another one bites the dust!
I HATE
reclamation projects
Another one bites the dust! And another one, and another one, and another one bites the dust!
It will wo
First off, Chris Davis is going to hit, and continue to hit, so he’ll be in the 7th spot in the order for the first half, then probably hit 5th for the rest of the year. (after Blalok’s kneee gets sprained.
Secondly Jones will eiather hit alot and replace Byrd, who still get traded, or he won’t in which case he’ll be riding pine.
I'm not sure
how I feel about the Jones situation yet. I do believe the Rangers’ lefthandedness is a problem that needs to be addressed.
But, for those that have come out with their usual Wash is a dummie schtick, at least have the intellectual integrity to assign the responsibility to the correct person – JD. If you think that this is a disaster in the making and that Wash and Jaramillo are morons that love past-their-prime veterans, than JD is the biggest moron of all because he is the decision maker here.
"A good start would be not giving up 900 runs again." -Jon Daniels
by Randy Richardson on Mar 23, 2009 10:49 AM CDT reply actions
JD and Wash
When I think of it, I’m reminded of what Torre said about Don Zimmer (when Zim was his bench coach/Pedro’s biatch).
Essentially, Torre said that he had to go with Zim’s suggestions some of the time, whether he agreed with him or not, cuz, otherwise, he’d undermine any confidence Zimmer had.
That’s the predicament JD is in, sort of. He may be convinced Worsh is wrong about a certain issue, but every once in a while, Jonny Donuts has to defer to Ron’s 35 yrs of baseball experience.
I'm Matt mutha-effing Bush, bitches, and mutha-eff East County.
"I'm as passionate and knowlegeable as any fan out there." Josey Wales
by Brian Thomas on Mar 23, 2009 6:36 PM CDT up reply actions
We should really use LSB's undeniable clout
to start the “LSB Anti-reclamation” petition to send to the FOt, show them who is really in charge…
Heyman weighs in
Not much new.
Universally respected Rangers’ hitting guru Rudy Jaramillo is said to have told some folks at Rangers camp in Surprise, Ariz., this week: "Andruw Jones is back.‘’
Thanks to that bold and meaningful declaration, plus the all-important support of team president Nolan Ryan, the Hall of Fame pitcher who’s now heavily involved in the team’s day-to-day operations
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/writers/jon_heyman/03/23/andruw.jones/index.html
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year

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