Fill in the Blank: 2009 Ranger Projections
by rooster on Mar 31, 2009 7:37 AM CDT
15 comments
2007: 75-87
2008: 79-83
2009: _____
April Record
2007: 10-15
2008: 10-17
Runs Allowed
2007: 844
2008: 967
2009: ____
Runs Scored
2007: 816
2008: 901
2009: ____
ERA, FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching)
2007: 4.76, 4.83
2008: 5.37, 4.83
2009: ____, ____
Starter's ERA, Starter's FIP
2007: 5.50, 5.25
2008: 5.51, 5.02
2009: ____, ____
Reliever's ERA, Reliever's FIP
2007: 3.71, 4.24
2008: 5.15, 4.55
Now that the roster is basically set and the start of the season is less than a week away, I'm interested to hear in what ways everyone thinks the team will improve, if at all. Fill in the blanks if you feel like it; if you're not a numbers type, just leave your opinion.
My guesses:
Overall Record: 83-79
April Record: 12-10
Runs Allowed: 858
Runs Scored: 879
ERA, FIP: 4.81, 4.98
Starter ERA, Starter FIP: 4.91, 5.13
Reliever's ERA, Reliever's FIP: 4.63, 4.82
Basically, I see modest improvements in both the pitching and in the defense supporting, but nothing to cause a 300 runs allowed swing like the Rays had. The area that could really go bananas is the bullpen. I'm pessimistic that the stars will align for the bullpen, but if it does their numbers could return to close to the 2007 numbers. That would probably add 3-5 wins.
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some guesses
record: 81-81
April record: 12-10
team era: 4.78
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
by RangerMad on Mar 31, 2009 10:51 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
My best guesses...
Record : 77 – 85
April Record : 13 – 9
Runs Allowed : 870
Runs Scored : 865
Team ERA : 5.04
Added bonus : Wash will last the entire season, but is not brought back next year.
"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates
by slc ranger on Mar 31, 2009 11:10 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
...
Record : 84 – 78
April Record : 14 – 8
Runs Allowed : 850
Runs Scored : 923
Team ERA : 4.75
Starter ERA: 5.25
Reliever ERA: 4.25
Ya....That's Real Mature.
by SMITTY on Mar 31, 2009 11:20 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Guesses
My guesses:
Overall Record: 78-84
April Record: 9-13
Runs Allowed: 900
Runs Scored: 860
ERA, FIP: 4.81, 4.98
Starter ERA, Starter FIP: 5.2, 4.8
Reliever’s ERA, Reliever’s FIP: 4.6, 4
"The idea that the Rangers are going to be a solid contender for a number of years is a fantasy." - Adam J. Morris
by DJCahill on Mar 31, 2009 11:31 AM CDT reply actions 0 recs
um
something is not right about your ERA, FIP given you starter/reliver ERA FIP’s
Ceterum censeo Cat esse delendam - Cahill the Elder
by ab03 on Mar 31, 2009 11:32 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
The ERA, FIP
should be 4.81, 4.48 no idea why I made the typo.
"The idea that the Rangers are going to be a solid contender for a number of years is a fantasy." - Adam J. Morris
by DJCahill on Mar 31, 2009 11:39 AM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
you’re projecting that the rangers give up
109 less runs and score only 22 runs less (which would still make them the best offense in baseball again).
87 run improvement from last year. Is that worth only 4 wins? Somewhere these numbers don’t match up.
Bring on April 6th!
by NothinG on Mar 31, 2009 12:06 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Not really.
My projected record is the pythagorean projection.
Last year the Ranger’s pythagorean record was 76-86, while their actual record was 79-83. So, compared to the pythagorean record from last year, I’m projecting 7 more wins.
Usually teams are within 5 wins of their pythagorean record. Maybe the “Warsh” factor will allow the Rangers to play above this year, as they did last year.
JD: Adamant about 78 wins in 2009. Go Rangers!
by rooster on Mar 31, 2009 12:58 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's mine
Record : 76 – 86
April Record : 10 – 12
Runs Allowed : 950
Runs Scored : 850
ERA, FIP: 5.40, 4.65
Starter ERA, Starter FIP: 5.52, 4.75
Reliever’s ERA, Reliever’s FIP: 5.3, 4.75
I'd love for part of the "new look" to be a return to the red uniforms of the 1990s. - Ian Kinsler
by ortonius on Mar 31, 2009 12:21 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Does Rw get fired
if he goes 10-12 in April? What is your May W-L projection?
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
by RangerMad on Mar 31, 2009 2:11 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm
I dont know why…but im optimistic this season
W/L-85-77
Runs Scored-875
Runs Allowed-860
April W/L-13-9
by Horns130 on Mar 31, 2009 2:49 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
My guesses! - Duh!
Overall Record : 84-78
April Record: 14-7 (one rain-out)
Runs Allowed: 884
Runs Scored: 885
by oc on Mar 31, 2009 5:33 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
x
Record : 81-81
April Record : 13-9
Runs Allowed : 880
Runs Scored : 880
Starter ERA, Starter FIP: 5.20, 5.10
Reliever’s ERA, Reliever’s FIP: 4.75, 4.85
And no, I’m not going to do the math on combing the starter and reliever ERA/FIP for an overall total.
She was a grand old lady...
by lonestarJon on Mar 31, 2009 6:44 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
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