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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Ken Rosenthal on trading for Cliff Lee or Victor Martinez

There's been a fair amount of discussion of late about the possibility of trading for Indians lefty Cliff Lee, who is a free agent after 2010.

Ken Rosenthal has a column up today about Lee and Victor Martinez, and what it would take to pry one of them away from Cleveland:

The Indians are not looking to move either player. They would gauge interest only if they fell completely out of contention. And even then, they doubt that any club would offer enough value in return.

* * *

The Indians would want an elite pitching prospect at the level of Braves Class AAA right-hander Tommy Hanson as the centerpiece of a trade for either Lee or Martinez.

If that's true, then you can forget about dealing for Lee without including Holland or Feliz as part of the deal.

 

 

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yeah

They are outright demanding someone who is probably regarded higher than Lee (at least by many) and is going to be controlled about 6 times longer than Lee.

Basically, they are asking for the most coveted commodity in baseball (and in this case, they don’t even have the legit ace or superstar that actually makes the deal likely)

Good luck with that

"I just want to comment on how it’s become like a common thing in the [MLB] for guys to fall in love with [the Rangers’s] sloppy seconds." (thanks cstorm)

by ab03 on May 18, 2009 10:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

pass.

What is this, Horseville? Because I'm surrounded by naysayers.

by clark on May 18, 2009 10:09 AM CDT reply actions  

Fuck Cliff F'n Lee!!!!!

mormons stole me and held me against my will with Oklahoma beer and 12+ hour work days.

by Jayslick on May 18, 2009 11:19 AM CDT up reply actions  

sooooooooo

they wouldn’t take Doug Mathis. He is a AAA prospect…

"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)

by Arlington Stadium Legend on May 18, 2009 10:10 AM CDT reply actions  

Are you crazy!

They would never take MATHIS!

Any deal starts and ends with the Lizard!

by lamron on May 18, 2009 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

Unless the Rangers'

Sp get hit by injuries, I don’t think JD is going to go out and get one at the deadline. His priority is RPs and maybe a bat for the middle of the line up.

I hate the Yankees. Especially when they hit a walkoff.

by RangerMad on May 18, 2009 10:13 AM CDT reply actions  

And AJ

What was I thinking?

I hate the Yankees. Especially when they hit a walkoff.

by RangerMad on May 18, 2009 10:27 AM CDT up reply actions  

I worry

when we talk about trading for bullpen arms. It seems the worst trades always involve giving up way too much for a bullpen guy. Just look at Engel Beltre-Murphy for Gagne. Gagne tanked and the Rangers made off like bandits.

"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)

by Arlington Stadium Legend on May 18, 2009 10:19 AM CDT up reply actions  

they gave up a Low A 17 year old who likely never makes it and a guy they had no use for in Murph and a blown up Lefty

for what they felt was one of the best relievers that season.

i dont even think they feel it was that bad a deal and they hated gagme there

mormons stole me and held me against my will with Oklahoma beer and 12+ hour work days.

by Jayslick on May 18, 2009 11:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

Its tough for me to see

any deal for a SP happening that I’d be on board with. The price for a half year, or a year and a half of control seems fairly steep.

"I'd praised catcher Max Ramirez two weeks ago, but after his continued struggles I'm increasingly convinced he's not going to pan out." - crops.mlblogs.com

by DJCahill on May 18, 2009 10:17 AM CDT reply actions  

Pass.

"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on May 18, 2009 10:20 AM CDT reply actions  

I wouldn't want Lee

even if the price were lower, never have had a good feeling about him.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 10:24 AM CDT reply actions  

I think Lee would be a nice addition to our rotation.

I don’t think anyone thinks that Cliff Lee is the 2008 aberration Cliff Lee, but he still would be solid for us, I have to believe. He would pitch innings, probably have a sub 5.00 ERA, and be positive for the staff. I would certainly like to make a move to get him for 1.5 years, but no way I part with an exceptional arm to do so.

by FuturePants on May 18, 2009 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

He'd be a bad fit here.

Between 2006-08, he sported a 7.23 ERA at TBIA. This season, it’s 12.60. He doesn’t fare well at the Launching Pad.

by Athos on May 18, 2009 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions  

That's terrible logic.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

when was the last time the guy was successful against us? or better yet

when was the last time he pitched as well as feldman or matty has this week?

mormons stole me and held me against my will with Oklahoma beer and 12+ hour work days.

by Jayslick on May 18, 2009 11:23 AM CDT up reply actions  

I would.

He’s really good.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

Not good enough

to warrant the cost.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 11:16 AM CDT up reply actions  

The reported cost, I agree.

If we could get him at a reasonable price, I’d like him here.

by FuturePants on May 18, 2009 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

Not that cost, no.

But you said at a lower cost.

I suppose it depends greatly on what a “lower cost” would be.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

I didn't say my feelings were rational

he’s just not a guy I’ve ever wanted. I don’t think Cleveland is a good match in trade for people I’d be ok with giving up, and I think that colors my view quite a bit.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 11:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

That's perfectly fine.

I can actually agree with this logic. They don’t need C’s, 1b or really CF’ers or MIF’ers, so we’d have to deal them pitching, pitching and more pitching in any deal, which is a serious downer for sure.

Still, the O’s Nose, look how he’s done in his starts versus us in Arlington! crew makes my brain sad, though.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 1:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yep

Unless he’d had something like 40 starts in the ballpark I don’t see why you’d look at that. If he’s a righty extreme fly ball pitcher who had never been to the ballpark you’d have a better argument than any pitcher who’s been there just a handful of times.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 2:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

Its the whole

year and a half of control versus six (actually probably 18 or 24 years of control) thing that kind of kills it for me.

Unless the six years doesn’t include a top arm from the franchise, I just think its a big price to pay for a marginal increase to the teams chances of advancing in the playoffs in ‘09-’10. If the headliner becomes Smoak/Davis instead of an arm, its more doable, but honestly I can’t see it getting done for a price I’d want to pay.

I’d love to have Lee, just not enough to pay the price.

"I'd praised catcher Max Ramirez two weeks ago, but after his continued struggles I'm increasingly convinced he's not going to pan out." - crops.mlblogs.com

by DJCahill on May 18, 2009 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

Lee

I mentioned this in the “Bigger Question” thread last night, but I can’t think of a team that would have less use for one of Smoak or Davis than Cleveland.

They have LaPorta, Mills, and Michael Brantley, who all project as 1B/DH types, among their top 10 prospects, per Baseball America.

"I dont care to debate with a troll." - Sharky

by RCCook on May 18, 2009 11:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

True, although they apparently still feel that Laporta is a LF, and Smoak and Davis are better than all those guys.

But, yah, you’re right.

They don’t need 1b (you mentioned all those other guys, but there’s also Garko and V-Mart needing time there) or a catcher, which makes them a tough match for us if we’re trying to pull off a big deal.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah,

thats why I can’t see it getting done. If we headline a trade, its either Smoak or one of our top arms, and Smoak isn’t going to tempt them, and I don’t want to trade 6 years of pitching for 1.5 years.

I really think that a 5 or so year window is opening, and making a big trade now just reduces the odd of getting the Ace for that window.

"I'd praised catcher Max Ramirez two weeks ago, but after his continued struggles I'm increasingly convinced he's not going to pan out." - crops.mlblogs.com

by DJCahill on May 18, 2009 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

Fair enough.
honestly I can’t see it getting done for a price I’d want to pay.

I doubt it, too.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

No thanks

In 6 games at RBiA Lee has a career ERA 9.19. Especially for just a year and a half rental that price is way too steep.

Now if Peavy comes available that’s a different story.

Excuse me stewardess, I speak Jive.

by Escher on May 18, 2009 10:30 AM CDT reply actions  

To me

Peavy is worth it. Giving up quite a few top prospects for a proven start of the rotation major league pitcher is not out of the question.

Of course it’s all moot if he won’t waive his no trade clause.

Excuse me stewardess, I speak Jive.

by Escher on May 18, 2009 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions  

Seriously?

Excuse me stewardess, I speak Jive.

by Escher on May 18, 2009 3:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Guys

TINSTAAPP…Feliz has done nothing in the majors yet. There’s no guarantee that when he gets here he won’t flame out.

Peavy is a proven Ace, that’s been a 2 time all-star, led the NL in ERA twice, and K’s twice (which he’s also currently leading the NL in this year) and a Cy Young winner. Arguably he could have been a two time CY winner.

Excuse me stewardess, I speak Jive.

by Escher on May 18, 2009 4:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

Im sure the braves said the same thing

thankfully we now have 4 guys that will be MLB players for years

furthermore, we have 4 guys who could be ASs

you want to do the same thing for SD

say we trade them Feliz, Max, Main, Vallejo and whatever and they all start looking really good

the issue that many have is mortgaging the future

when some of us learn about these young prospects we eventually start to really like them and we hate the concept of never getting to see them play in a rangers jersey

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 5:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

Sigh...

Really, ballpark ERA?

Does no one see the flaws in this sort of argument?

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

Please

enlighten us.

Excuse me stewardess, I speak Jive.

by Escher on May 18, 2009 11:08 AM CDT up reply actions  

Seriously?

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions  

Simple.

He pitched against the Rangers at TBIA.

Think about how bad the Rangers pitching would have looked at TBIA last year if they faced the Rangers lineup every night instead of some other team that wasn’t #1 in runs scored. Their FIP/ERA/whatever would be another half-run or run higher.

by Trickman on May 18, 2009 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

Small sample

against only the Rangers lineup.

"I'd praised catcher Max Ramirez two weeks ago, but after his continued struggles I'm increasingly convinced he's not going to pan out." - crops.mlblogs.com

by DJCahill on May 18, 2009 11:11 AM CDT up reply actions  

6 games.

6.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 11:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

Okay

Take small sample size out of the picture.

Lee’s career ERA is a run higher away from Progressive field which is an extreme pitcher friendly park. There’s no way I give up Holland or Feliz for a year and half of Lee.

Excuse me stewardess, I speak Jive.

by Escher on May 18, 2009 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

you can ignore small sample size all you want

but the fact remains he has yet to prove he can pitch effectively in this ballpark, which HAS to be a concern, doesn’t it?

"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"

by Walter Sobchak on May 18, 2009 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

No.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 1:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

The Fuck 'Em

I’m not getting rid of Holland or Feliz ever.

Ever.

Ever.

She say she are the manager.

by rockin_rangers on May 18, 2009 10:34 AM CDT reply actions  

Pass

I don’t see JD doing anything other than sign Ben Sheets, or make a minor move for a middle of the road reliever. This team is playing really solid, but does not have a lot of pitching depth. An injury to a significant pitcher could render any trade pointless.

by mattrpav on May 18, 2009 10:49 AM CDT reply actions  

If the Indians

are looking to trade Cliff Lee, they better be prepared to get something much less than Tommy Hanson in return. There is no way in hell they get one of the top pitching prospects in baseball for Cliff Lee.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on May 18, 2009 10:59 AM CDT reply actions  

Yah, I don't see them getting a Hanson/Feliz "ace" AAA pitching prospect for him.

This strikes me as either posturing, or them letting people know that he’s not really for sale unless someone wants to absolutely bowl them over for him.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 11:11 AM CDT up reply actions  

He's a really good pitcher, but, no, not a true ace I don't think.

But I’m one of those guys who thinks there are very few true aces in the league.

Lee would instantly become our best starting pitcher by quite a bit, though.

There’s something to that.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 1:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

I agree

But as has been stated…you have to ask how much he actually improves the staff and how much he costs

cost v. reward

i simply see no applicable scenario unless the deal is significantly less than what most would guess

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 5:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

He'd instantly be our best pitcher and would be our game one starter if the unthinkable happened and we end up playoff bound.

But that’s just my opinion and a lot of people tend to disagree.

AJM said no, but would you do Martin Perez and Kasey Kiker + some C/C+ filler for Cliff Lee right now?

I love, love, love Martin Perez… but I’d have to think really hard about saying yes to that offer.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 5:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

I couldn't do it

I might think too highly of our own prospects, but Perez is just too tough to give up. 18 year old doing great in A ball with an ace ceiling and amazing scouting reports, I don’t see how you can give that up for any type of rental player.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on May 18, 2009 5:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

I know. I heart Mar-Teen super duper hard.

He’s the shit.

An A/A- prospect right now, imo, who’s only real flaw is how far away he is.

I go back and forth on whether I’d trade him for C-Lee, and I love Lee.

He’s an awesome, awesome prospect.

But how many chances like this does a team get? Giving up a great prospect who won’t help us for 3 or 4 years at the earliest for a guy who gives us a chance to win NOW is intriguing, no matter how hard I heart Martin.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 7:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

The biggest problem for me in that deal:

I just don’t see this team needing another starter that badly. We have yet to see a rotation spot open up for Derek Holland and we still have Neftali Feliz looking to be a bit behind him. The biggest weakness on this team right now is the bullpen and an impatient offense (not much we can do about that right now). If someone starts struggling in the rotation or gets hurt, you have some replacements here. And as nice as it is to have 5 solid members of the rotation, I really can’t see any reason to complain with only 3 or 4 good guys vs. 4 or 5.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on May 18, 2009 7:37 PM CDT up reply actions  

Umm

I don’t care how good the rotation looks at the moment, we could probably squeeze someone the caliber of Lee in there. And certainly by the trade deadline, if McCarthy isn’t doing any better, bye bye Brandon.

That said, I think the most likely trade this summer is for an 8th inning type right handed reliever.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 8:49 PM CDT up reply actions  

We could squeeze Lee in there

But is the gain in pitching worth the package it would require to get him? I would like Lee here, but the price tag is going to be high and the Rangers just don’t need the SP help that much right now.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on May 18, 2009 10:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

I don't think it is worth it

as I said above. I’d rather pay more to get a total stud or do nothing.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 19, 2009 12:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

Im with Gdawg

Nope…cant trade perez for Lee

Maybe if you replace him w/Main ill consider it, even then im not sure how id feel

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 7:44 PM CDT up reply actions  

we havent met have we?

i said i might make the deal…but im still not sure Lee is enough of an improvement over the current starters to make the deal viable

one thing i havent mentioned is an extension with Lee…if we change the parameters to where an extension is something that we hypothetically include then id be more inclined to do something

for 1 1/2 years though…no thx

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 11:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yes they are trying to set there standards at the top...

However if they do decide to deal him, the best they will probably get is something like 2 or 3 above average prospects.

maybe something like Max and Beaven

by death of the cool on May 18, 2009 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

Certainly not Hanson specifically

After the way the Teixeira trade has worked out, I can’t imagine the Braves are eager to trade another highly touted pitching prospect.

"Was this really necsarry?" - cowpoke/hurler hurley

by trza on May 18, 2009 11:29 AM CDT up reply actions  

So...

I wonder who made the phone call, Rosenthal or Shapiro?

Much posturing here.

"[Font} doesn't turn 19 until the end of May and his heater can already hit 99 on the gun. That's baseball porn." - Jason Parks

by hightowersmith on May 18, 2009 11:39 AM CDT reply actions  

Question for Adam

I see you wrote something about pulling both Padilla and Feldman the last few days. I am not saying you are right or wrong, but that gives me the inclination you tend to like the style of baseball where you get to the 7th, 8th, 9th inning guys. Am I correct? I was just curious as to your views on that.

I have never liked that approach, as I feel that someone is bound to not have their best stuff on the staff and the more guys you run out there on a given day the higher likelihood of finding that pitcher. I like them going with the guy in there until they really need to yank him.

Like I said I would probably tend to agree with you on these two situations, but was curious as to your viewpoint on using the pen.

by Mike Simonek on May 18, 2009 12:44 PM CDT reply actions  

Not necessarily

I think it depends on the individual. With Feldman, in particular, given his history, I’m more likely to pull him early. And in this particularly situation, with a tie game, and a fully rested pen, and an off-day today, I’d have him on a shorter leash.

If we are up 4-0 I’d probably have been more willing to let him start the 6th and see how he did than with a tie game.

by Adam J. Morris on May 18, 2009 4:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

i think

the Angels might trade for Lee and Martinez. they apparently have the prospects., and they will be getting desperate at some point.

by SanDiegoKev on May 18, 2009 1:42 PM CDT reply actions  

The Angles have a butt ass terrible farm system.

They’d have to prett much empty the whole thing out, and even then I don’t know if they’d have enough to get both Lee and Martinez.

They were ranked 25th by BA before the season, and that was with Adenhart (RIP).

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 1:59 PM CDT up reply actions  

Whats funny

is that 4 or 5 years ago, everyone was dreading their farm system.

"I'd praised catcher Max Ramirez two weeks ago, but after his continued struggles I'm increasingly convinced he's not going to pan out." - crops.mlblogs.com

by DJCahill on May 18, 2009 2:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

They did have a good system then

and they kept way too many prospects instead of leveraging some of them to win. I’m ok with Daniels trading some guys away if it’s for a difference maker in a playoff run. I’d much rather do that than be the Angels redux on that issue. There are a bunch of prospects we talk about a lot here that will never amount to much. It’s always risky, but I think it’s gotten to the point that prospects are actually overvalued right now. The pendulum has swung.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 2:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

yeah

but sometimes you do what atlanta did

that is why some of us dont want to make trades

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 5:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yup.

But they’re likely to make a pretty good leap with all those juicy comp picks coming to them this year.

Very similar to our ’07 haul.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 4:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

And when I first started reading the NMLR boards...

…everyone was dreading having to go up against the M’s for the next 5-6 years because of their collection of young arms — Garcia, Meche, Pineiro, Soriano, Anderson, Tomko, Halama, Nageotte, Blackley…

by Adam J. Morris on May 18, 2009 4:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

Heh, Ryan Anderson... the Space Needle... now there's a nice blast from the past.

Although it’s worth noting that the first four of those guys (plus my brother from another mother, Matt Thornton) all turned out to be succesful to one degree or another.

Plus Tomko was good for one season, wan’t he?

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 5:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

Pass.....

my sig is better than yours

by MayurP on May 18, 2009 3:05 PM CDT reply actions  

The Indians are out of their fucking minds.

Would anyone really be dumb enough to trade a Tommy Hanson-level talent for a year and a half Cliff Lee, who up until last year was nothing more than a league-average lefty?

"Hi, I’m a fucking horsefaced moron." - John Lackey to Ian Kinsler, 5/16/09

"That start was like somebody on a deathbed suddenly jumping up and doing the Lindy Hop, then speeding away on a pogo stick while playing the fiddle." - Telegraph

Hello Win Column

by LSJ on May 18, 2009 4:51 PM CDT reply actions  

Cliff Lee is much better than you seem to be making him out to be.

The fact that he completely went to shit and had to be rebuilt in the minors is a little scary, but it also kind of makes looking at his production before that a little misleading, imo.

He’s really good. I know FIP has taken quite a beating around here lately, but his was 2.83 last year and, despite his struggles getting the ball down in his first few starts, it stands at 3.17 so far this year. I don’t know why people on here are so down on Lee.

1.5 years of a really good starter on the trade market is gonna cost you.

I doubt they’ll get the Hanson/Holland type they’re yelping about here, but they’ll get a haul.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 5:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

I'm not in love with Lee

but he’s better than a league average lefty. He’d easily be the best Rangers starter.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 18, 2009 8:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

Cliff Lee sucks...

(I just want to see ’Tron reply to this as well)

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on May 18, 2009 5:48 PM CDT reply actions  

Nuh-uh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 6:53 PM CDT up reply actions  

he just scares the shit out of me

mormons stole me and held me against my will with Oklahoma beer and 12+ hour work days.

by Jayslick on May 18, 2009 6:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

That's fine. We all have our own phobias.

 Jake Peavy, for example, scares the shit out of me.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 7:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

I just dont understand that

how can Peavy scare anyone?

i wouldnt trade for him for a plethora of reasons…but im not sure how his awesomeness can be debated

we mentioned the lack of true aces in baseball and Lee not being one; well, Peavy is one

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 7:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

I believe part of his reasoning is Peavy's mechanics

Read up on the issues with his mechanics here. Peavy scares me a bit too. He’s had some injury issues in the past which doesn’t make me feel better about him when he is reaching 30 and has a lot of mileage already on that arm. I also don’t like that he has pitched in Petco in the NL West all these years. He has a pretty noticeable home/road split that doesn’t help me think he won’t see a big drop in his numbers if we brought him here.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on May 18, 2009 8:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

Im pretty cool with us avoiding both peavy and lee

hell id be happy if we offloaded our Hank’s et al this season and not looking to make any major acquisitions unless it was a bullpen arm for Arias and Hank or something like that.

Let the kids figure out if they suck or not. Who the real men are, if they take us to the promise land, so be it, if we fade because we are a season off, so be it.

just soak this shit like a sponge while you can

mormons stole me and held me against my will with Oklahoma beer and 12+ hour work days.

by Jayslick on May 18, 2009 9:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ive said that all along as well

Id prefer we do nothing this season (unless its trading hank/padilla like you said) unless it is for a cheap setup man that doesnt cost us a big time prospect

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 9:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

Ultimately I'd be fine with that, too.

I think Neffy Perez can be our Joba/K-Rod/M-Riv/D-Pri down the stretch if we need another setup guy who can blow people away.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 10:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

who is this neffy perez you speak of...?

are you a national writer now since you cant get his name right?

i agree though that i expect FELIZ to be up in august in that role…i just dont see him as a starter yet this season unless a rash of injuries hits us

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 11:10 PM CDT up reply actions  

I know his real name.

I get so tired of correcting people when they get the names wrong on our prospects that I sometimes just join them (in an utterly lame attempt) to be ironic.

See also: Bourbon and Beaven.

You don’t have to say it, I already know I’m the hilariousestest guy on the board.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 19, 2009 1:04 AM CDT up reply actions  

im aware of that

and ill accept that as a reason

i guess i was more targeting his actual pitching ability

i think you can only worry about pitchers and injuries so much though

pitchers are just on thin ice with their arms and injuries can happen at any moment it seems for the most part

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 9:45 PM CDT up reply actions  

Well when a guy has scary mechanics and has had some pretty scary arm issues flare up in the past, that ups it a little, no?

It certainly does for me.

And, no, I’m not debating his beastliness. He’s perhaps a bit overrated due to Petco and the NL West, but he’s still really, really good. If you’re asking me straight up who I’d rather have starting game 7 of the World Series for the Rangers, I’m going with Peavy.

The reasons he scares me are a) the arm issues, b) the cost in terms of prospects, which I think would be astronomical even compared to C-Lee, and c) that contract gets really big really fast in the coming years.

Unless we’re getting 200 elite level innings for that amount of money, that’s the kind of contract that could cripple a mid-major like us.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 10:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

Fangraphs agress with Dirkatron.

Cliff Lee is good.

Link.


    Well, eight starts into the season, Lee’s line looks like this: 8 GS, 54 IP, 3.00 ERA, 3.17 FIP, 7.0 K/9, 2.2 BB/9. His 1.41 WHIP is not likely to stay as high nor is the 81% strand rate that has virtually canceled out the walks and hits ratio. Lee has already produced +1.7 wins in spite of two poor outings to start the season.
    Since his second start, Lee has gone 44 innings while surrendering just seven earned runs. He has a tidy 4.0 K/BB thanks to 32 punchouts and eight free passes. Even though Lee got off to a rough start, he has rebounded very nicely to the tune of a 1.43 ERA and 2.78 FIP over his last six starts. With the dominating season turned in last year and his stellar performance so far, ZiPS sees Lee finishing this campaign with a 3.43 FIP in 208 innings. Numbers like that resemble John Danks‘ line from 2008, which produced +5.2 wins.
    Cliff Lee might never again surpass the +7 win plateau but his current pace will still likely merit some award votes and a spot on the all star team. He does not have the pedigree or reputation of a Halladay that would instill supreme confidence into the minds of fans, but Lee has, through eight starts, done plenty to show that last season was not a fluke.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 18, 2009 10:41 PM CDT reply actions  

Asshole...

but he sucks in tBiA (kidding)

i dont doubt he is good, and anyone logical would agree, he is a legit #2 and very solid

i think the ultimate question is how much you think he is worth in terms of the upgrade over what we currently have and the subsequent cost to obtain him

in other words…what is the opportunity cost involved

by Horns130 on May 18, 2009 11:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Until Brandon Morrow can mix up pitches

and not rely so heavily on his fastball, he’s going to continue teh suck.

by cmkelly29 on May 18, 2009 11:37 PM CDT reply actions  

Stories like this are why I'm not a fan of breaking guys in through the bullpen.

You’ve got to admit, even as impressive as Dutch has been so far his secondary pitches haven’t really come into play yet. Between the fact that it’s allowed him to live off his fastball and the extremely limited innings he’s seen so far, I really not sure I see what kind of edge bringing him up through the ‘pen is actually giving him for that jump into the major league roto, other than getting the off-field culture shock of being in the major league clubhouse out of the way. But as far as development of his stuff goes, I can’t say that I’ve really seen that.

"Hi, I’m a fucking horsefaced moron." - John Lackey to Ian Kinsler, 5/16/09

"That start was like somebody on a deathbed suddenly jumping up and doing the Lindy Hop, then speeding away on a pogo stick while playing the fiddle." - Telegraph

Hello Win Column

by LSJ on May 19, 2009 1:05 AM CDT up reply actions  

Mmmm... confirmation bias...

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 19, 2009 1:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

Bias?

Well, maybe. I just think that if you let a power pitcher rely on his fastball in limited exposure, he’s going to start neglecting his secondary stuff. Just my concern. I can see how it can help with the mental side of things, so it’s a bit of a tradeoff, I suppose.

"Hi, I’m a fucking horsefaced moron." - John Lackey to Ian Kinsler, 5/16/09

"That start was like somebody on a deathbed suddenly jumping up and doing the Lindy Hop, then speeding away on a pogo stick while playing the fiddle." - Telegraph

Hello Win Column

by LSJ on May 19, 2009 1:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yah, textbook confirmation bias.

Confirmation bias is a tendency to search for or interpret new information in a way that confirms one’s preconceptions and to avoid information and interpretations which contradict prior beliefs.

I’m not really ripping you.

We all suffer from it to some degree.

You think breaking guys in via the ’pen is a wretched idea doomed to ruin a guy as a starter, and so everytime something like this happens you jump on it as confirming your theory.

But yet where are you when Phil Hughes or Homer Bailey (those two being broken in strictly via of the rotation) get sex crimed in the face super hard outing after outing, their careers seemingly stalled before they could ever get off the ground?

The 40 Trumps All!!!

You want the mustache on or off? ... ... ... Too bad.

by thedirkatron on May 19, 2009 2:26 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, good point

Although Homer’s a giant headcase (though I suppose you could argue that’s why he could’ve benefited from the bullpen approach, however) and Phil Hughes kind of got dragged down by injuries his first two years.

But good point.

"Hi, I’m a fucking horsefaced moron." - John Lackey to Ian Kinsler, 5/16/09

"That start was like somebody on a deathbed suddenly jumping up and doing the Lindy Hop, then speeding away on a pogo stick while playing the fiddle." - Telegraph

Hello Win Column

by LSJ on May 19, 2009 8:17 AM CDT up reply actions  

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