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Derek Holland's First Start in pitch f/x

The Dutch Revolution has begun.

A simple look at how Holland faced up against the righty-heavy Astros lineup in his major league debut.

Star-divide

Yesterday's first major league start for Holland went very well other than one mistake to Lance Berkman, who makes a living destroying mistakes as we saw. Right around 75 pitches, almost all of them fastballs and almost all of them to right handed hitters. His only lefty faced was Michael Bourn 3 times, who grounded out in 5 pitches, singled on 3 pitches, and singled on 2 pitches. That last one was the bunt single towards Jones though, and the other was deflected.

I went ahead and ignored the 3 Bourn at bats since it's such a small sample size and instead focused on the righties. He only threw 15 offspeed pitches to righties, a mixture of changes and sliders. 2 of those 15 were hits, one a single by Matsui, the other...well, I'll get to that later.

So, that leaves the fastball to right handers. To begin with, here's a plot of Holland's fastball velocity by event, i.e. the farther right on the graph, the more pitches he's thrown.

6pawpl_jpg_medium

via i39.tinypic.com

He's average fastball velocity was 93.4mph, which is very good, and he peaked just below 96. Also very good, there are no signs of fatigue on that plot, his velocity didn't decrease over time.

Next is a very simple of fastball movement to right handers.

33dujnt_jpg_medium

via i42.tinypic.com

A varying degree of movement away from righties and a pretty steady amount of backspin. Not much to notice here. How about fastball location?

2lkcs9f_jpg_medium

via i39.tinypic.com

This plot shows that Holland really wasn't working down and away to righties as much as everyone thinks he was. If anything it appears he was working up and in for the most part. But how does this graph look when the result of the pitch is factored in:

Qzf9dk_jpg_medium

via i39.tinypic.com

You'll notice right away that only one fastball was put in play as a hit, Carlos Lee's single in the 2nd. I made that point, the purple triangle, a bit larger as a point of emphasis. All four of Holland's swinging strikes (orange circles) were in the upper portion of the strike zone, or out of it. He wasn't screwed any fastballs called balls and even got a little help from the umpire or Astros hitters for stuff outside the zone. All in all, his fastball had good life, velocity and movement wise, and he apparently hit all the right spots. I'd like to see pitches a little further down in the zone, but when you're facing the Astros fairly anemic lineup you can get away it.

Unless you make a mistake pitch to Lance Berkman.

Holland threw 12 pitches to Berkman over 3 ABs, 4 sliders and 8 fastballs. The first 2 pitch at bat, a pop out to Kinsler, was 2 fastballs. The second at bat, a 5 pitch strikeout, was 3 fastballs 2 sliders. The 3rd at bat, a 5 pitch 3-run homerun, was 3 fastballs and 2 sliders again. Here's what those at bats looked like to Berkman.

X4lk_jpg_medium

via i39.tinypic.com

The four sliders I've made much larger than the fastballs. He got very lucky with the red slider in the 2nd at-bat, as it was pretty much in the wheelhouse. The 2nd slider, which Berkman struck out on, was a thing of beauty, down and in. The 1st slider of the homerun at bat was acceptable, an 0-1 pitch in the dirt. That 4th one though, was just... hanging. It was the first slider but about 7 inches higher and Berkman did not miss.

That's ok though. One mistake pitch to a great hitter will hurt you, but if that's your only problem as a 22 year old rookie who throws absolute gas left-handed, I think we are all more than ok with that. Great first start by Dutch and I honestly can't wait to see the next one.

If there's anything else you'd like to see graphed, let me know.

 

 

 

 

 

9 recs  |  Comment 18 comments |

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that should be the new tag for lonsterball!

“The Dutch Revolution has begun.”

The bloggerformelyknownasBigBaddBubbaJ

by NYTXFAN on May 23, 2009 1:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Agree.

Aikman and Bradshaw?

Please. They are in the same league as Trent Dilfer and Jim McMahon as QBs who were taken to the SB by great Defenses and great Running Games.
-DJCahill

by SarasotaRanger on May 23, 2009 1:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

but it is going

to be put down next week by the Nicaraguans

Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year

by RangerMad on May 23, 2009 1:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

good stuff, thx

Sigh ... we are sooo gonna suck again next season.
Rangers Farm Probables
Rangers Video Highlights

by shroomer on May 23, 2009 1:12 PM CDT reply actions  

If you squint at the velocity chart

it spells A-W-E-S-O-M-E.

Good summary, thanks. I don’t remember the last time I was that psyched about a debut start from a Rangers prospect, and I definitely can’t remember the results fulfilling my hopes to such a degree.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 23, 2009 1:19 PM CDT reply actions  

Can we coin the name of Derek's fastball as

The Dutch Oven?

Aikman and Bradshaw?

Please. They are in the same league as Trent Dilfer and Jim McMahon as QBs who were taken to the SB by great Defenses and great Running Games.
-DJCahill

by SarasotaRanger on May 23, 2009 1:21 PM CDT reply actions  

Dutch Cheese

"I'm against picketing, but I don't know how to show it." - Mitch Hedberg

by rentz on May 23, 2009 1:22 PM CDT up reply actions  

Nah

Eatem is a better name (Edam).

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on May 23, 2009 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Call the fastball

THE HAVARTI

Your 2009 Snow Monkey Ambassador

by Parman on May 25, 2009 7:37 AM CDT up reply actions  

And when he mixes in an offspeed K

Hollandaise Sauce

"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912) also -

"Telephone, n. An invention of the devil which abrogates some of the advantages of making a disagreeable person keep his distance."
~Ambrose Bierce

by Ed Coffin on May 23, 2009 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

nice!

Aikman and Bradshaw?

Please. They are in the same league as Trent Dilfer and Jim McMahon as QBs who were taken to the SB by great Defenses and great Running Games.
-DJCahill

by SarasotaRanger on May 23, 2009 1:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

can you show a graph of the movement on his slider and CU?

Also curious on the average velocities of those pitches.

"He's old school in that he give up his groin like that. It hurt me when he do that" -- Worsh on Chris Davis' stretch at first base to end the game vs. the Angels on 5/16

by tricer on May 23, 2009 7:21 PM CDT reply actions  

fangraphs

Holland Astros start

Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year

by RangerMad on May 23, 2009 8:02 PM CDT up reply actions  

whoa, thanks

I frequent that site but never knew you could do that.

"He's old school in that he give up his groin like that. It hurt me when he do that" -- Worsh on Chris Davis' stretch at first base to end the game vs. the Angels on 5/16

by tricer on May 23, 2009 8:09 PM CDT up reply actions  

See how the Pitch Velocity chart goes to 105?

Yep, they are expecting Happy Happy to be called up soon, too.

"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008

by Rodney on May 24, 2009 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

Also pitch paths at brooksbaseball.net.

Holland v. Astros

Wonderboy, what is the secret of your power? Wonderboy, won't you take me far away from the mucky-muck now. -- Tenacious D

by rooster on May 24, 2009 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions  

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