Baseball Prospectus: American League Playoff Odds
- Blue Jays 73.2%
- Royals 62.5%
- Rangers 50.1%
- Tigers 37.4%
- Red Sox 30.7%
almost 3 years ago
philkid3
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Figured after that game, something positive would be nice.
Just don’t click on the PECOTA adjusted odds.
Also, as mentioned in the post game thread, 1/6 of the way through the season, our second-order record (15-12) is almost as close to second place in the division as it is to the best record in the AL, and exactly in line with our actual record.
I enjoy your selective sampling of the odds reports between here and the BtB post ; )
Beyond the Boxscore // Calling BJ Upton lazy is lazy.
Josey is so proud of his
“Lil Hillmans”!
"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008
I glossed them the
“Feisty Hillmans’” today, thank you.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
I hate asking this
…but this isn’t taking into account all the Angels injuries is it?
This assumes that...
…performance to date will continue going forward.
by Adam J. Morris on May 7, 2009 8:08 PM CDT up reply actions
how bad is it?
"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"
by Walter Sobchak on May 7, 2009 10:46 PM CDT up reply actions
so you're saying there's a chance......
"Does this effectively hide my thunder?"
by Bob Loblaw on May 7, 2009 8:09 PM CDT reply actions 2 recs
I soooo
wanted to post that. Nice call.
I had a secret meeting in the basement of my brain.
by red shoe ranger on May 7, 2009 9:07 PM CDT up reply actions
That's freaky to look at
even if I don’t believe it. I’d put the odds closer to 15-20% right now.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
MINIMIZE THIS POST IF YOU DON'T WANT TO BE SAD
The adjusted odds are at 17%, so you’re probably pretty realistic.
Just remembered
weren’t they something awful like 7% preseason? 17% is a big improvement.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
if we keep improving by 10% every 25 games
I’ll take it
"Hang-Dai, Wu...Hang-Fu$&ing-Dai"
by Walter Sobchak on May 7, 2009 10:47 PM CDT up reply actions
STFU!>!>>>??
"The House That Ruth Built, 85 years old, goes out as The House That Hamilton Knocked Down"
I try to keep my expectations as tempered as possible...
But did Josey steal your UID password or something? I think every team in this division has a better chance of going to the postseason than 2 to 5%.
"That start was like somebody on a deathbed suddenly jumping up and doing the Lindy Hop, then speeding away on a pogo stick while playing the fiddle." - Telegraph
by LSJ on May 8, 2009 1:46 AM CDT up reply actions
I was one of the most down people on the Rangers at this blog in the pre-season.
And I definitely would have called 2% laughable without some sort of historically reliable evidence behind it. And my “confidence” has definitely gone up since that point.
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