Defense -- the MSM is getting it, but not getting it
One of the more contentious discussions this past offseason, in regards to the Rangers, centered around what improvement (if any) there would be vis-a-vis run prevention in 2009. There was some discussion of regression to the mean and outlier LOB%s and the rotation not being capable of being any worse and that sort of thing, but for the most part, those of us who expected a significant improvement in run prevention primarily pointed to a defense that we figured would be better in 2009, and that would lead to fewer runs allowed.
And yes, it is still early, and yes, things can certainly change and the pitching and defense can wilt in the summer and this whole thing can turn to crap, but so far, the returns are positive.
Let's compare:
| 2008 | 2009 | |
| ERA | 5.37 | 5.09 |
| ERA+ | 82 | 94 |
| FIP | 4.83 | 5.24 |
| RA | 967 | 872* |
| K/9 | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| BB/9 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| HR/9 | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| DER | .670 | .702 |
The asterisk by 872 denotes "on pace to allow," and a couple of gascan games would, of course, jack that all up. But it is worthwhile to note that the Rangers are on pace to allow almost 100 runs fewer than last season.
And they are doing it despite their pitchers being no better than last season. Look at the FIP -- the Ranger pitching has gotten worse than last year, because, although they are walking batters at the same rate as last year, they are allowing more homers and striking out fewer batters.
But the team ERA has dropped by .28, because the Rangers are playing very good defense. Not very good defense in the "they never make an error" sense -- they are a fraction of a percentage point below the major league average in fielding percentage right now. But very good defense in the sense that balls that are being put into play are being converted into outs at a very good rate.
The offense has been solid, as expected, and the pitching hasn't been good...but the Rangers are in first place right now because their team defense has improved, and is converting balls that would have gone for hits last year into outs.
And I feel like that is getting missed. I started thinking about this after reading this story by T.R. Sullivan on the Rangers website, that correctly credits the defense with a big role in the Rangers' winning record this year, but focuses almost entirely on the reduction in errors. The word "error" appears 10 times in Sullivan's story -- the word "range," not at all. And Sullivan's main point is expressed thusly:
The bottom line on defense is unearned runs. This season, the Rangers have allowed 10 unearned runs to this point, seventh fewest in the AL West and the fewest in the Western Division. Last year they committed 107, 24 more than any other team in baseball.
Look, I'm not minimizing the impact errors had on the team last year. The Rangers made too many errors last year, and it led to too many unearned runs...but part of the reason so many unearned runs were allowed was that pitchers did a poor job recovering from errors. The huge unearned run total last year was an aberration that owed to a lot of factors, including pitchers melting down and plays not being made to end an inning after an error was made, not simply a defense that was booting balls. Any reasonable person would have expected the unearned run total to drop, even if the defense didn't significantly improved.
But the big story isn't that the Rangers have gone from 30th to 13th in fielding percentage, it is that they've got from 30th to 8th in DER. They are converted balls in play into outs at a higher rate. And that results in fewer earned runs, lower ERAs, shorter innings, less pitches being thrown, and all around happierness for the Rangers and their fans.
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Comments
??Typo??
The bottom line on defense is unearned runs. This season, the Rangers have allowed 10 unearned runs to this point, seventh fewest in the AL West and the fewest in the Western Division. Last year they committed 107, 24 more than any other team in baseball.
Good write though, nice to see the defense is improving numerically. Then again, no Davis/Vazquez at 3rd and no Young at SS would definitely lead to an improvement
by laxtonto on May 9, 2009 1:02 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Davis has been a big part of our good defense and 1B.
and the Rangers are still, by far, worst at 3B. link . take that for what you will.
If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base. ~Dave Barry
by NothinG on May 9, 2009 2:45 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Its been improving though
Young was terrible there at first and its going take some time for him to negate that in the stats unless he starts playing like the best 3B in the league immediately.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
by Gdawg on May 9, 2009 2:54 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i agree
Young is improving, and hopefully this back issue will be minor. Of course, Vizquel would help our 3B D
If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base. ~Dave Barry
by NothinG on May 9, 2009 2:59 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Will Vizquel play?
Or will it be Arias? He was called up and Golson optioned.
by FuturePants on May 9, 2009 5:56 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great Write-up
I think the consensus here this off season was that the defense had to improve, and I really like what I’ve seen so far. With the staff essentially the same as before, the defense had to step up and improve in order to get them as much help as possible. If you’ve watched more than a handful of games its quite clear that the defense has significantly improved and the DER numbers support that.
I can’t help but think of the Rays last year, and their focus on improving the defense was a big reason they made such a huge leap forward.
I had a paper route when I was a kid. I was supposed to go to 2,000 houses. Or two dumpsters.
by TheBZA on May 9, 2009 1:06 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
One of the improved positions
Appears to be pitchers fielding their position. Better glove work and better throws. No secret that pitchers were a pretty big chunk of errors last year, and before.
"He uses statistics as a drunken man uses lamp-posts... for support rather than illumination." - Andrew Lang (1844-1912) also -
"Telephone, n. An invention of the devil which abrogates some of the advantages of making a disagreeable person keep his distance."
~Ambrose Bierce
by Ed Coffin on May 9, 2009 1:07 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
And the catchers too
Lots of pointless mistakes between the catchers and pitchers.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
by Gdawg on May 9, 2009 2:27 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Salty's defensive improvement is going a little underreported
He looks great to me.
the preceding post was a great success.
by DSheppard on May 9, 2009 1:08 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
i agree, its really been amazing the turn around, we hear about it, but honestly
im gushing about it, he’s been so much better
"The House That Ruth Built, 85 years old, goes out as The House That Hamilton Knocked Down"
by blalock84 on May 9, 2009 2:34 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
msm never gets it
"if my kid said 'uhh' that much, i would say, Hey! ... stop saying 'uhh' that much..." - dennis miller
by Longhorn on May 9, 2009 1:28 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
relievers and IS%
One area where they must improve is their allowing Inherited Runners to score (IS%). They are currently at 49% (lg avg is 39%) and last year they were at 40%. Improvement is this area will have a direct effect on RA and ERA. Probably wins also.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
by RangerMad on May 9, 2009 1:29 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Credit to Wash?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LXWLfIgc0nA
by mchang4 on May 9, 2009 1:29 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Fair question.
What’s good for the goose, be good for the gander.
"I saw your act, just didn't make it for me. Just a lot of fluff."
by scoop16 on May 9, 2009 1:51 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Some of it, yes.
Even though I don’t like him I have to give him some credit for the team playing good D. It’s obviously something they emphasized in camp and the training has paid off.
However, I don’t think it was his decision alone to move Young to 3rd and call up Andrus to play short.
And Kinsler has only made one error in recent memory. With stuff like that I think some of it is coaching but the player has to get some credit for working at it, too.
I’d call this an organizational success.
by Black Francis on May 9, 2009 2:02 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
We're up to 9th in BP's power rankings.
Cinco de Mayo: With five straight wins, the Rangers claim first place in the AL West, and they continue to reap the benefits of Elvis Andrus’ promotion. While the young shortstop’s hitting (.259/.286/.407) isn’t much to write home about, the team ranks third in the league in Defensive Efficiency, an MLB-high 31 points better than last year. That’s particularly helped the shaky rotation, which ranks seventh in SNLVAR after bringing up the rear by a wide margin a year ago.
by philkid3 on May 9, 2009 1:33 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
4th best record in the AL right now
and only 4 teams with more P wins. I don’t think that’s of huge significance right now, but I certainly didn’t expect to be saying that at this point in the season.
G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....
by t ball on May 9, 2009 6:04 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
i can take the errors
IK will make a few, too many, but he gets to a lot of balls at 2b and combine that with the balls The King gets to at SS that MY never could dream of getting to, we are seeing the medium hot shots that used to go through the middle and all be singles for these pitchers, and help run up their IP’s and Pitch Counts and ER’s are turning into outs.
I think its no coincidence that our pitchers are giving up less hits up the middle and pitching deeper into games and that our Defense up the middle is rangier and getting to more balls.
the game is all connected and i think thats what had some here so frustrated.
the rangier rangers, it wasnt our pitching, it was our defense….
heh
mormons stole me and held me against my will with Oklahoma beer and 12+ hour work days.
by Jayslick on May 9, 2009 1:38 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Good write up.
Now imagine what good defense plus good pitching would do if the Rangers can put that together for a full year. Hopefully we’ll see that soon. At least four serviceable starters and a bullpen that’s capable of shutting down teams in the late innings. A defense that’s so good it gets outs that it shouldn’t. An offense with the talent that this group has, but with the discipline that they showed in 2008.
That’s a championship caliber team.
by Black Francis on May 9, 2009 1:49 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
How big of an impact can Omar have?
I don’t know if Face would have made the play at 3rd last night.
Jay Zygmunt, now that you have fired yourself, please have yourself hired by Seattle. Thanks.
by 3k on May 9, 2009 2:30 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
he would improve our 3B defense
but MY will continue to improve there, and I really don’t want MY’s bat out of the lineup.
If a woman has to choose between catching a fly ball and saving an infant's life, she will choose to save the infant's life without even considering if there are men on base. ~Dave Barry
by NothinG on May 9, 2009 2:49 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good write up on the defense
I’ve felt that the defense hasn’t been getting enough credit for how great the pitching has been recently. It really shows I think in the BABIP. This year, our pitchers have a BABIP of .292. That’s tied for 6th best in the league. Last year, the Rangers were dead last in the league with a BABIP of .322. When your pitchers aren’t going to strike many people out, you need a defense behind them that will make the plays. Last year’s team didn’t have that while this year’s does.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
-The Outlaw
by Gdawg on May 9, 2009 2:51 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
These things just happened in the Rays-Red Sox game:
1) David Ortiz accidentally made contact on a check swing and it went in to shallow left field, beating the shift.
2) Going to third, Dustin Pedroia ran in to Jason Bartlett and fell over.
3) Carl Crawford — and this is the weirdest part — double clutched and STILL sailed the ball over Iwamura’s head. I’m talking soft lob that went miles past second base, like it was on purpose or something. So instead of getting out, Pedroia gets to third.
4) Meanwhile, David Ortiz goes to second.
So bizarre.
by philkid3 on May 9, 2009 3:05 PM CDT reply actions 0 recs
Saw that.
Crawford’s still my favorite non-Ranger, but that was like watching Little League.
P.S. Longoria is still a bad ass. Dude just reached out and drove that pitch over center.
"I saw your act, just didn't make it for me. Just a lot of fluff."
by scoop16 on May 9, 2009 3:16 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
That ball was crazy.
I thought it was a shallow base hit at best off the bat.
by philkid3 on May 9, 2009 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can't control what the ball do...
Bake me!
"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"you gonna lose your horse. seriously." FX2
Yes we can! November 04, 2008
by Rodney on May 9, 2009 5:09 PM CDT up reply actions 0 recs

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