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A Tale of Two Outfielders: Murphy vs. Cruz

Last year, David Murphy emerged as a rising star in the Texas Rangers organization.  The Josh Hamilton, "prodigal son" story overshadowed Murphy's achievements for the majority of the season, but his stats don't lie. Murphy hit .275, with 15 homers, 28 doubles and a .321 on-base percentage in his first full season in the majors. After beginning the 2009 season a woeful 0 for 29, Murphy has rebounded and now leads the team in on-base percentage (.368), is second on the team in batting (.284) and has been the one consistent bat in a very anemic line-up. Murphy continues to be patience and shows extreme discipline at the plate, even as the rest of the roster swings from their heels. He's proven that he has bright future in this league, which makes the manner in which Ron Washington uses Murphy that much more perplexing.

As of this point in the season, Murphy has appeared in only 69 games, while Nelson Cruz, a free swinging slugger with questionible defensive skills, has appeared in 82 games and can do no wrong in the eyes of Washington. Obviously, Murphy does not look like, nor does he play like the typical Rangers' slugger. Over the past few years, well decades, Rangers' fans have grown accustomed to sluggers in the mold of Josh Hamilton--large, hulking figures who can smash the ball 400 feet with consistency. Murphy is tall, lanky, knows how to work a pitcher and makes his living as a contact hitter. Yet since becoming a Ranger, Murphy has had to scrap to get playing time in the outfield.

Cruz, on the other hand, fits the Rangers prototype and has produced the power numbers (23 HR's) that make Rudy Jaramillo smile, yet he fails to show the consistency of Murphy. Since being called up by the Brewers in 2005, Cruz has been a virtual yo-yo, bouncing back and forth in between Triple-A and the big leagues.  Through it all, the Rangers have remained committed and given Cruz every opportunity.

If the Rangers need a baserunner to manfacture runs, I'd rather have Murphy's eye. If the Rangers need a hit in the bottom of the 9th with a runer in scoring postion, I'd rather have Murphy at the plate. If the Rangers need a great defensive stop in the outfield, I'd rather have Murphy's glove.  Even in this modern age, home runs are a luxury, not a necessity, and as such I can think of no point in a baseball game where I would rather have Cruz over Murphy, but this manager seems to disagree on every point. One player puts up impressive numbers, yet can't impress the skipper. One player is terribly inconsistent, but is heralded as the next great Rangers' outfielder. It's just one more reason I continue to question Ron Washington as the manager of this team.


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cruz has

questionable defensive skills?

pay more attention

go here to view my blog: http://dirtfromd.blogspot.com

by studcrackers on Jul 24, 2009 12:37 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

+1

From Joey’s defensive barometer

Nelson Cruz (+10.6 UZR, +11 +/-)
David Murphy (-0.9 UZR, 1 +/)

"After intense analysis, I have come to the conclusion that Neftali Feliz throws fucking hard." - John Sickels

Hello Win Column

by LSJ on Jul 24, 2009 12:45 AM CDT up reply actions  

Not to mention

Murphy: BB% – 10.3
K% – 20.4

Cruz: BB% – 8.2
K% – 20.9

The difference between Cruz and Murphy is that Cruz has a lot more power, plays a lot better defense, and has a BABIP that is .60 less than Murphy despite a higher LD%.

I wish first time posters would do at least a little research before shitting all over themselves for all to see.

I’m a white boy who doesn’t think a black man is good enough to manage my baseball team. - LSJ
"I really think that" - LSJ, on being asked by AirJordan

by FirebatM3 on Jul 24, 2009 12:49 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Where are you getting your numbers from?

Fangraphs shows:

Murphy: BB% – 11.9, K% – 23.8

Cruz: BB% – 8.9, K% – 23.1

by jcir454 on Jul 24, 2009 1:25 AM CDT up reply actions  

Firstinning

it’s probably calculating from PA vs. calculating from ABs.

I’m a white boy who doesn’t think a black man is good enough to manage my baseball team. - LSJ
"I really think that" - LSJ, on being asked by AirJordan

by FirebatM3 on Jul 24, 2009 1:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yes,

I believe firstinning uses PAs.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Jul 24, 2009 10:35 AM CDT up reply actions  

Haha

god you’re off to a great start. Why don’t you just hammer yourself in the balls 10 times and save everyone else the trouble.

LSJ is this guy related to you?

I’m a white boy who doesn’t think a black man is good enough to manage my baseball team. - LSJ
"I really think that" - LSJ, on being asked by AirJordan

by FirebatM3 on Jul 24, 2009 12:38 AM CDT reply actions  

Fun fact

Nelson Cruz currently leads the Rangers in WAR (3.1) and has been worth more than any other Ranger player both offensively (13.3 runs) and defensively (10.6).

The reason to doubt Ron here is why he keeps batting Cruz in the bottom half of the lineup while Jones hits cleanup.

"After intense analysis, I have come to the conclusion that Neftali Feliz throws fucking hard." - John Sickels

Hello Win Column

by LSJ on Jul 24, 2009 12:51 AM CDT reply actions  

AND MARLON FUCKING BYRD

I’m a white boy who doesn’t think a black man is good enough to manage my baseball team. - LSJ
"I really think that" - LSJ, on being asked by AirJordan

by FirebatM3 on Jul 24, 2009 12:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

Dude

I love me some Murph, but you discredit yourself with all of that anti-Cruz shit. You also neglected to mention Murph’s ineptitude against lefties — though I believe he’d do better with more opportunity.

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on Jul 24, 2009 12:59 AM CDT reply actions  

I love Murph too

and really like what he’s done with his game this year. He’s becoming a rather valueable player and could viably fit into our future as a key player depending on who we deal and who we keep going forward. However, as its been stated, Cruz’s value to this team is almost astronimical. He might just be this teams most valueable player when you consider his contract/team control and his production both offensively and defensively. And even at 29, Cruz might even have some upside to his hitting numbers, i could see him increasing his batting average as his BABIP is still rather low this year… He could become a .900 OPS defensive stud RF, a true monster… In fact, he’s pretty much there already.

"The House That Ruth Built, 85 years old, goes out as The House That Hamilton Knocked Down"

by blalock84 on Jul 24, 2009 1:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

Wurd

Cruz is a legit star-in-the-making. I still believe Murph is better than a fourth outfielder. Byrd is the guy I’d like to see on the outside looking in. He’s a great 4th outfielder, but not a starter, let alone a clean-up hitter on a playoff contending team.

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on Jul 24, 2009 1:27 AM CDT up reply actions  

The only good thing about Byrd starting

is solidifying his type B status… not that that should impact coaching decisions

by BuckyB on Jul 24, 2009 9:20 AM CDT up reply actions  

yuck, yuck, yuck

there really needs to be a mandatory lurking period before one can make a fan post

"The House That Ruth Built, 85 years old, goes out as The House That Hamilton Knocked Down"

by blalock84 on Jul 24, 2009 1:07 AM CDT reply actions  

Awful.

The 40 Trumps All!!!

Everyone needs to drive a vehicle, even the very tall. This was the largest auto I could afford. Should I therefore be made the subject of fun?

by thedirkatron on Jul 24, 2009 1:35 AM CDT reply actions  

David Muprhy isn't a good player vs lefties, so he sits vs most lefties

Its not that complicated. Ron Washington LIKES Murphy.

Cruz .ops by month since “figuring it out” in his 08 callup
September: 1.115
April: .888
May: .999
June: .677

August last year and July this year combine to 70 at bats of somewhere in the high 800s.
Even his last month in the disaster 07 was a solid .855 ops.

So.. hes had one bad month in his last 6. Welcome to baseball.

the preceding post was a great success.

by DShep on Jul 24, 2009 2:49 AM CDT reply actions  

1/5

Kanye, you want to be the voice of this generation? Get in line! It goes me, Obamagirl, the Freecreditreport.com guys, then It's a tie between you-and Crocs.
-Stephen Colbert

by Conjunction on Jul 24, 2009 5:35 AM CDT reply actions  

you can always tell when it is a terrible fanpost,

the poster just disappears after the post is made.

You are obsessed with bodily wastes A turd being held under my nose, this team being a steaming pile, Jonny Donuts having a stinky diaper, the front office pissing themselves, the team crapping the bed…

I think you should seek counselling.

(AJM to Josey Donuts)

by Michael Cave on Jul 24, 2009 8:40 AM CDT reply actions   2 recs

Wow, you've started off on the wrong foot.

I suggest starting over…read the blog for a while before posting again, once you feel like you’re ready to post again, create a new screen name (you will never be taken seriously as long as you keep this one), and then post something about how Michael Young is not worth his contract or how Ron Washington is an idiot – that will get people to tak you seriously around here. Oh, and if you really want to get everyone’s baseball weenies going crazy, mix in some stats like OPS, UZR, VORP, WAR, etc.

by Anonymous New Guy on Jul 24, 2009 8:41 AM CDT reply actions  

Well

Good morning Rangers fans. I had no idea my post would generate such vitriol.

Where to begin?

First, my criticism is of Cruz is not that harsh. I like Cruz; I like anyone who wears a Rangers uniform. My frustration is with the typer of hitters this team has produced in mass quantities since my childhood—the power hitter. In my opinion, Cruz is just another one of those guys.

I called him “incosistent,” which I think is confirmed when you look at his career. There are stretches where Cruz plays like an all-star, but there are also stretches where he comes very one dimensional. When you look at his career as a whole, this is the first season that he is actually beginning to live up to his potential.

We could sit here all day and find stats to prove anything. If you wanted, you could probably find obscure stats to prove that Vance Law was a better baseball player than Babe Ruth, but I digress.

When I look at stats I look for a few things. How often does a batter get a hit? How often does the batter get on base? Once on base, how often does he score? The other stats, generally speaking, are strictly situational.

When I look at a baseball player, I look to see how he makes use of his talent. I freely admit that Cruz has more talent than Murphy. However, at this point in their careers, I think Murphy has clearly gotten more out of his talent. Additionally, I think that Murphy is more fundamentally sound than Cruz. Again, I realize it can be subjective, but look at Murhpy’s swing compared to Cruz. Which one more closely resembles the swing you’d find in most books or resembles the swing taught by most coaches on the developmental level? Who watches the ball through contact? Who “squashes the bug” on their follow through?

Murphy reminds me a lot of Bill Bates. In keeping with the former Cowboys’ saftey analogy, Cruz would be Roy Williams. I love(d) both players when they had the star on their helment, but Bates disappointed me far less than Williams.

I apologize if I didn’t respond to this post quick enough for some of you guys. Honestly, the morning is young. I’m surprised there were this many responses this early. Normally, I visit this blog maybe 2 or 3 times a week. I guess I need to come back more often to defend my views.

Thanks for the criticism. I’ll take it to heart for my next post on here.

by Geoausch on Jul 24, 2009 9:07 AM CDT reply actions  

x
you could probably find obscure stats to prove that Vance Law was a better baseball player than Babe Ruth, but I digress.

I dare you

by BuckyB on Jul 24, 2009 9:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

you didn't take shit to heart

you called him inconsistent when he’s had one bad month of baseball.

"I just want to comment on how it’s become like a common thing in the [MLB] for guys to fall in love with [the Rangers’s] sloppy seconds." (thanks cstorm)

by ab03 on Jul 24, 2009 9:30 AM CDT up reply actions  

Actually

Cruz’s swing mechanics are much better than you think. Squash the bug? Cruz generates more power from his lower half than the bulk of AL hitters, including murphy. Also, most lefties are going to have swings that look better naturally but if you break down their swing mechanics Cruz has a good swing. WOW…

I agree with BuckyB on your Vance Law comment, prove it.

“When I look at stats I look for a few things. How often does a batter get a hit? How often does the batter get on base? Once on base, how often does he score? The other stats, generally speaking, are strictly situational.” You are definitely in the elementary part of looking at stats. So you look at avg., obp, and runs scored? Interesting….

Also, I think the Roy Williams vs. Bill Bates comparison is terrible. What? One is black and one is white? I would think that Cruz’s career is the exact opposite of Williams’. Williams started out as a pro bowler and world beater. Cruz is just getting close to his potential at 29 while Williams has faded to nothing.

You are obsessed with bodily wastes A turd being held under my nose, this team being a steaming pile, Jonny Donuts having a stinky diaper, the front office pissing themselves, the team crapping the bed…

I think you should seek counselling.

(AJM to Josey Donuts)

by Michael Cave on Jul 24, 2009 9:54 AM CDT up reply actions  

the Bates/Williams analogy

I apologize if I wasn’t clear in my analogy.

Bill Bates was a safety who always played above and beyond his ability. The Cowboys have very little expectations for Bates, yet he turned into a Pro Bowl player and helped lead the Cowboys to the ultimate prize.

Roy Williams was a safety who was a first round draft pick with a ton of expectations. In spite of a couple of “good years”, he never lived up to his expectations and never won a single playoff game in a Cowboys’ uniform.

My point was that Murphy and Cruz both play the same position, like Bates & Williams, but one plays beyond their expectations and the other has yet to meet his expectations.

by Geoausch on Jul 24, 2009 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

Wow ..

Just … stop.

"Guys are visual creatures, that’s how we’ve been wired, for millennia…only fat and or ugly chicks use that word you just typed." - Rodney

by inactive lsb user on Jul 24, 2009 1:07 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Once again

the comparison does not hold. I know who Bates and Williams are.

Bates – Undrafted FA i believe. This is more like Cruz who was a LA signing by the Mets, traded for Jorge Velandia later and then traded to the Rangers.

Williams – 8th pick overall. Murhpy was the 17th pick overall. If you are picking 17th overall you are looking to ideally get a starter that isnt a platoon player. As much as I love Murphy he is a platoon player.

Murphy as a 1st round pick is not playing beyond his expectations, it can be argued he is playing below them. Also, Bates made it as a special teams player not as a safety. There is no comparison in baseball. This is simply a bad analogy, sorry.

You are obsessed with bodily wastes A turd being held under my nose, this team being a steaming pile, Jonny Donuts having a stinky diaper, the front office pissing themselves, the team crapping the bed…

I think you should seek counselling.

(AJM to Josey Donuts)

by Michael Cave on Jul 24, 2009 1:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Bates

Geoausch conveniently forget to mention that Bates was a special team’s Pro Bowler, not a pro bowler as a safety as he sorta implied. Bates never started a single game at safety. He was strictly a special teams player (ala Keith Davis today). Great special teamer who has no business playing with the real defense.

Horrible comparison and he also forgot to mention that Bates’ one PB was trumped by Williams’ five PB’s.

The mention of playoff games wins is pathetic. I’m sure Bates won all those playoff games, instead of Troy, Emmitt and Irvin.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Jul 24, 2009 3:47 PM CDT up reply actions  

This blog is not a Cowboys blog, it isnt a mavericks blog, we arent half-hearted followers of a good team

most of us spend way too much time following baseball, keeping a pulse on every tiny bit of information that we can grab about the Texas Rangers. You need to realize that before you try to get into an argument with the entire community over who’s better and which stats matter.

My advice, just take a seat for a little while. Read some of the main page threads, actually read them and try to understand what we are talking about. Get to know what we actually use when we talk about player valuation, cuz you are not gonna get anywhere trying to say one player is better because he has more runs scored or a better batting average. We arent all jackasses to everyone, just the ones that come on here thinking they have a salient point when they really have no idea what they are talking about.

"The House That Ruth Built, 85 years old, goes out as The House That Hamilton Knocked Down"

by blalock84 on Jul 24, 2009 10:11 AM CDT up reply actions  

Nothing like a horrible poster

who does not realize how dumb his posts are. Go back to the horrible mavs blog or that mediocre cowboys blog. This Rangers blog is usually for informed fans.

And hurlerhurley.

I’m a white boy who doesn’t think a black man is good enough to manage my baseball team. - LSJ
"I really think that" - LSJ, on being asked by AirJordan

by FirebatM3 on Jul 24, 2009 10:28 AM CDT up reply actions  

LOL
My frustration is with the typer of hitters this team has produced in mass quantities since my childhood—the power hitter. In my opinion, Cruz is just another one of those guys.

So?

We could sit here all day and find stats to prove anything.

And you don’t want to bother using any useful stats because it would hurt your argument, yes?

If you wanted, you could probably find obscure stats to prove that Vance Law was a better baseball player than Babe Ruth, but I digress.

Cool. Go try and find me a credible stat that says this. I’ll wait.

Once on base, how often does he score? The other stats, generally speaking, are strictly situational.

AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!

by philkid3 on Jul 24, 2009 10:49 AM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Man screw guys who hit homers

we need more singles!

"He will not coddle them. Nolan Ryan doesn’t coddle." - Jeff Passan

by Dirk Diggler on Jul 24, 2009 10:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

All those power hitters have scored plenty of runs for the rangers.

Thats not the problem.

the preceding post was a great success.

by DShep on Jul 24, 2009 11:18 AM CDT up reply actions  

what a stupid post

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.

"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on Jul 24, 2009 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions  

Palm face.

"Guys are visual creatures, that’s how we’ve been wired, for millennia…only fat and or ugly chicks use that word you just typed." - Rodney

by inactive lsb user on Jul 24, 2009 11:47 AM CDT reply actions  

Again, I’m not trying to bad mouth Cruz. He wears a Rangers uniform, so I support him.

My original point was more of comparison of the way the two players are viewed. I think we all agree that Cruz’s potential is much, much higher than Murphy’s. It’s what each player gets out of their potential that matters. When I see Murphy, I see a player who gets the most out of the talent he has and then some. I don’t see that with Cruz. I don’t see that with a lot of players in a lot of sports. It’s nothing unique. Murphy is the anomaly.

Also, please understand, my posts aren’t meant to be read at face value. I do sprinkle in some hyperbole (i.e. being able to find stats to prove Vane Law a better baseball player than Babe Ruth). Baseball, like any other sport, is a game and as such nothing about it should be taken too seriously.

Again, thanks for all the great criticism. I appreciate it all and look forward to using it to my advantage in future posts.

by Geoausch on Jul 24, 2009 12:10 PM CDT reply actions  

You just keep digging that hole

and have no idea that you’re doing it

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on Jul 24, 2009 12:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

Listen

“It’s what each player gets out of their potential that matters.”

This statement is absolutely absurd.

It may be irritating if a player isn’t living up to his potential, but from the standpoint of who plays over who it doesn’t mean ANYTHING. The better player players.

And Cruz shouldn’t even be a factor, Murphy should be in the lineup by playing over either Byrd or Jones vs righthanders, and vs left he doesn’t particularly need to be in the lineup because hes not good against lefties, rather hes living up to his potential against htem or not.

the preceding post was a great success.

by DShep on Jul 24, 2009 1:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

player plays*

And yes, if Murphy’s 100% was better than Cruz’s 80% he would theoretically play over him, but it hasn’t been this year.

the preceding post was a great success.

by DShep on Jul 24, 2009 1:04 PM CDT up reply actions  

Dude

they are giving you a little more shit than you deserve, but dont let them run you off. I suggest inserting this into an “AM things” post when the thread steers to Cruz and Blalock. 20+ HRs at the break seems to me That Cruz is applying himself and using his potential.

Also, I’m with Bucky. I liked the title.

by corbsclinton on Jul 24, 2009 1:05 PM CDT up reply actions  

where do you get the idea that Murphy has no expectations?

You paint him as if he’s a blind one legged crippled who snuck into the major leagues on the bottom of someone’s shoes. The guy was drafted 17th overall in 2003. He’s not a blind begger. Plenty of people had very high hopes for him. You might could say that he’s finally living up to potential but the idea that he’s all heart and no talent is absurd.

Be careful....to a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

by Bezekira on Jul 24, 2009 3:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

Player A has more potention than Player B.

Player B uses all of his potential, Player A does not.

But Player A is still better, so it doesn’t matter.

/argument

by philkid3 on Jul 24, 2009 11:01 PM CDT up reply actions  

I had no idea that Cruz had such a loyal band of followers.

I’m sorry if my rhetoric offended you . You guys seem to be super sensitive about the whole issue. I don’t claim to be an expert. I don’t believe experts exist in any sport.

I believe that this blog is a place for fans to gather and share their thoughts. I shared mine, and will continue to share my thoughts, but I guess I need to put the word out to refrain from being critical of Nelson Cruz. It’s like criticizing Che in Cuba.

I still say that I was forced to choose between the two, for this current roster, I would take Murphy any day of the week.

by Geoausch on Jul 24, 2009 2:17 PM CDT reply actions  

Let me ask you something

Who do you think has helped the rangers more this year?

the preceding post was a great success.

by DShep on Jul 24, 2009 2:34 PM CDT up reply actions  

cruz has not exactly been deified here. going back even to last season when he was tearing it up in the minors there has been plenty of skepticism over what he could accomplish in the majors. some thought he would be DFA’d by June or that we should have traded him in the winter.

but the statistics don’t lie. cruz has been solid in all facets of the game over the first three+ months. he has the potential to be a true slugger in the middle of a dangerous lineup, and he has been very adept in the outfield. He’s also affordable and has several more years of team control.

the reactions you are getting are not meant as a knock against murphy. they are trying to get you to acknowledge the reality that murphy’s production is just not going to approximate cruz’s. we like murphy here, too, and if you made this same fanpost and replaced cruz’s name with murphy’s and muprhy’s name with i dont know…..jason botts or somebody, youd be getting this same response. don’t worry about it too much, just keep reading other people’s posts and be aware that any strong claim you make here will be challenged, and if you’re SABR-literacy is not up to speed, you may have trouble fending off those challenges.

by Smoakin in the Boys Room on Jul 24, 2009 2:48 PM CDT up reply actions  

Keep your retardation centralized

use the reply function

I’m a white boy who doesn’t think a black man is good enough to manage my baseball team. - LSJ
"I really think that" - LSJ, on being asked by AirJordan

by FirebatM3 on Jul 24, 2009 3:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Here's the issue.

You mention taking into account how frequently a batter gets a hit (AVG), how frequently the batter reaches base (OBP).
Those are valid ways to judge a players value.

Then, you mention that how frequently a player scores is also important.
However, the only way that a player can absolutely be 100% in control of himself scoring is through the HR. All other methods rely upon a combination of that player’s speed and the batters following him.

For better or (more likely) for worse, Cruz has been stuck batting 6th or lower, with Davis, Salty, Andrus, and other generally poor hitters following him while Murph has had the luck of batting second a number of times, and generally 5th or 6th otherwise with Cruz typically behind him.

OPS is a flawed stat (because OBP is better), but Cruz in pure numbers outpaces Murphy here 886 v 832.
Based on OBP being more valuable than SLG, you could make the simple argument that offensively, they have provided approximately equal value; however, then you need to take into account that Cruz does it against righties and lefties more effectively than Murphy does, since he is gaining the advantage of a platoon split.

Now, that is entirely ignoring defense.

Murph has had a few highlight reel plays (I guess?) which make him look far better than he really is.
Murph’s arm is nowhere near Cruz, his range is far weaker, and he has been as error prone (if not more-so) than Cruz.

UZR and +/- back this up.

Stats are there for a reason. They have been designed to compare players and how much they have offered their team for valuation purposes. Ignoring them and going by “eyesight” alone will always be a poor method of player evaluation and should be done to either confirm or support the stats.

by Trickman on Jul 25, 2009 3:29 PM CDT up reply actions  

Do. Some. Research. Next. Time.

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Jul 24, 2009 6:44 PM CDT reply actions  

I was hoping Taylor could reach base.

Things would have been different tonight had Murphy had the chance to bat.

I’ll refrain from commenting on Cruz’s performance tonight.

by Geoausch on Jul 25, 2009 9:12 PM CDT reply actions  

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