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An idle question

Let's assume Kevin Millwood didn't have a vesting option for 2010.  He either was under contract for 2010, or is a free agent after 2009, either way.

Given that this season is toast, and given that Millwood has been horrible for 2+ months, wouldn't the organization be thinking long and hard about shutting Millwood down for the season anyway, and letting Dustin Nippert -- who is out of options and who the organization needs to make a decision about this offseason -- take Millwood's last few starts?

Wouldn't a rotation for the last couple of weeks of Feldman, Holland, Hunter, McCarthy, and Nippert make a lot more sense from a talent evaluation standpoint than letting Millwood continue to get rolled 3-4 more times?

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It's very conceivable

But I have a hard time seeing it occuring even in this hypothetical, if only for the status Milwood (supposedly) holds within the organization. Upsetting a vet presence might not be the best decision here.

I like steak.

by Conjunction on Sep 17, 2009 1:32 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely...

I was just thinking this morning that Nippert should be in the rotation and Milwood moved to long relief. But common baseball sense will be trumped by politics, methinks.

by rodinuk on Sep 17, 2009 1:33 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I would agree with this wholeheartedly.

Let Millwood try to vest from the pen as an emergency long reliever if Holland or Nippert get shelled.

by Trickman on Sep 17, 2009 1:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed

Larry Parrish Was Da Man!

by TRFAN on Sep 17, 2009 1:34 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Well,

you likely would also be talking about replacing Holland in the rotation if you were really trying to get a competitive team out there. Those 2 have been dreadful.

"I don't condone steroids or any other type of growth hormones or anything else, but I could care less, and, for the most part, I don't think the fans give a (bleep). The people that care about it are the people that probably don't like baseball," - Jim Leyland

by DJCahill on Sep 17, 2009 1:35 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

We're not talking about getting a competitive team out there

We are talking about a situation where we’re playing out the string and making decisions on who is going to be contributing in 2010.

by Adam J. Morris on Sep 17, 2009 1:37 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ideally Moscoso

But realistically, Nippert is probably the reasonable choice.

by LiamP on Sep 17, 2009 1:35 PM CDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

I think

I would like to see Moscoso, too.

"I think I'm going to name my new car Scooter, because it dominates on the road." - mikeyoungfuturehof, 9.10.09
"I’ve been a Rangers fan all my life and I can tell you there’s been plenty of fucking crying in baseball…" - WhipSmart, 6.3.08

by lisa w on Sep 17, 2009 2:01 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If he was under contract for 2010

then you would consider shutting him down.

If he was a free agent, you’d probably keep him in the rotation, considering that the season is toast. Pitching him gives him a chance to increase his value, which is good for him.

Under the season is toast argument, a better argument could be made for shutting Holland down right now (equally ineffective recently, long-term very important for franchise).

I think the argument for benching Millwood is much stronger if the season is not toast. Since it is, I see it as difficult to bench him.

Go Rice Owls!

by JBImaknee on Sep 17, 2009 1:35 PM CDT reply actions   2 recs

So if the

rangers are completely and utterly a ward of the state so to speak and they are ordered to shut down Millwood by MLB wouldnt that allow them to escape all guilt?

08/03/2009 A day that will live in infamy for the rest of the AL West.

by Michael Cave on Sep 17, 2009 1:39 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Makes more sense to me to shut Holland, Feliz and maybe Hunter down

and make Millwood take a beating for the kids….if money was not in the picture.

by jcAustin on Sep 17, 2009 1:47 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Feliz pitched 127 innings last season

100 for him right now isn’t a problem.

And Hunter had around 180 last season.

I don’t think either of those guys have been pushed to the point they need to be shut down.

by Adam J. Morris on Sep 17, 2009 3:05 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see Washington

getting on board with sitting veteranness that much even under those circumstances. Perhaps the organization forces his hand, but he’d probably balk at having Feldman and McCarthy be the elders in the rotation.

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Sep 17, 2009 1:47 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Scheppers

Has signed with Texas

"It's not a good strategy, but it's my strategy." -- Courtney Lucas

by Lucas on Sep 17, 2009 1:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

WoooOoooooOooooOoooo

Good news!

by LiamP on Sep 17, 2009 1:53 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions   0 recs

phew

"You'll meet them again on their long journey to the middle." -Lester Bangs

by BAC on Sep 17, 2009 1:54 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

link?

"Elvis Andrus has just preformed a MIRACLE!"
-Eric Nadel, 5/4/09

by Mizzou12 on Sep 17, 2009 1:55 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

XXXX

The 2009 Texas Rangers offense: sigh...

by Kinslerhomer on Sep 17, 2009 1:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

thanks

"Elvis Andrus has just preformed a MIRACLE!"
-Eric Nadel, 5/4/09

by Mizzou12 on Sep 17, 2009 1:58 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

wow

No ML deal!

Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
Mitch Moreland -Tom Grieve Rangers Minor League Player of the Year
Martin Perez - Nolan Ryan Rangers Minor League Pitcher of the Year

by RangerMad on Sep 17, 2009 2:05 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why not just pick up Millwood's option for 2010

and shut him down? What is the point of letting him go out hter efar another start just so he can reach 180IP?

Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
Mitch Moreland -Tom Grieve Rangers Minor League Player of the Year
Martin Perez - Nolan Ryan Rangers Minor League Pitcher of the Year

by RangerMad on Sep 17, 2009 1:51 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Maybe a LD will hit him in the elbow and take him out right before he reaches that mark

Let him get his option, then play Nippert for the little bit left in the season.

By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.

"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw

by Gdawg on Sep 17, 2009 5:11 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Sosa corollary

When the Rangers last had Sosa, they determined it was a good idea to sit him at the end of the season and let Botts show if he was capable. Sosa was a free agent after the season and playing him for the rest of the year made no sense. The same applies for Millwood.

I didn't know what a mancrush was. Derek Holland showed me.

by DerekSTheRed on Sep 17, 2009 2:00 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Millwood's situation is very different from Sosa's situation

Sosa was a guy at the end of his career on a very low-dollar contract with no option for renewal. Millwood is a guy with a few more seasons, high dollar contract and needs 3+ innings to vest his contract for next year. That said, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Millwood shut down soon after reaching his IP plateau.

by swampdonkey on Sep 17, 2009 2:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

You can't shut down a vetern like that

The other players and FA’s won’t like that. You can maybe skip a start or go to 6 days rest, but you’ve got to pitch the vet in order to maintain credibility among the players.

by mattrpav on Sep 17, 2009 2:07 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

There may be some truth to veteran's being wary to come here.

However, what about the reverse? Millwood doesn’t come back next year, the team using the money signing another FA pitcher and they win the WS. I think the words, “Who the fuck is Millwood?” would be spoken often. The team was chasing a playoff berth, and Millwood had pitched well in the first half leading to a belief he would turn it around. Well, that hasn’t happened. Vamanos Mildew.

Your 2009 Snow Monkey Ambassador

by Parman on Sep 17, 2009 3:42 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That might be true amongst the fans

but no agent is ever going to allow his client to enter into a contract with the rangers that’s tied to IP’d or PA’s in the future. And isn’t that exactly the type of contract that you’d offer to Ben Sheets if you were JD?

by swampdonkey on Sep 17, 2009 4:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

it wouldn't play well "in the room"

the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show the show

"Does this effectively hide my thunder?"

by Bob Loblaw on Sep 18, 2009 1:41 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Then here's my hypothetical as well

Say Millwood’s swoon was from June to July after a hot April and May. Do you bench him starting in August for the rest of the year? I’m guessing no – he was the opening day starter, highly paid and you just hope he figures it out.

To answer AJM’s question, I think he would make his next start and then let others take his last 2-3 starts.

Remember Red, hope is a good thing. Maybe the best of things. And no good thing ever dies.

by WyoRanger on Sep 17, 2009 2:09 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Millwood will keep his spot because they need starters.

Anyway Nippert’s behind Hunter, Holland, Feliz, Harrison, McCarthy, and Millwood in the pecking order for next year.

He’s a better reliever, but even there his profile is so flawed they may not bring him back.

Not much left to discover with Dustin Nippert, I find.

"[Font} doesn't turn 19 until the end of May and his heater can already hit 99 on the gun. That's baseball porn." - Jason Parks

by hightowersmith on Sep 17, 2009 2:15 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

I know this is hypothetically speaking,

but if you shut down Millwood, this would not go good around the campfire. Potential free agents would look down upon the organization and if there is any hope in signing a Lackey, Sheets or some other premier pitcher this off season (hypothetically speaking if we had the $$ to do so), then that would be eliminated with this decision. We have to give Millwood his 180 innings if we want future FA’s to come to Texas. I don’t want Millwood on this team. I have never liked the guy. I just feel this is something that has to be done.

by kch tx on Sep 17, 2009 2:20 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

You ignored the key point of the hypo...

…which is that we are assuming there is no vesting option, and thus the 180 IP thing is irrelevant.

by Adam J. Morris on Sep 17, 2009 2:29 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I know. But I just couldn't ignore the fact.

If there was no vesting option and Millwood is a free agent after this season, I would use Millwood in the bullpen as a LR type.

by kch tx on Sep 17, 2009 9:22 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

In the situation presented, I sit him if he's under contract, pitch him if he's pitching to get a contract elsewhere.

In the real situation, I send him out for his next start, let him pitch 4 1/3 innings so he gets to 180 and gets his $12 million (or pitch longer if he’s doing well for once) and the sit him after that. I think the players know about his vesting option and sending him out there one last time so he gets his payday would play well enough in the room to cancel out any anger over sitting him after that.

by Inkara1 on Sep 17, 2009 2:42 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The season is toast?

I don’t believe that to be the case. GO RANGERS!!!!

LoneStarBall....You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy.

by DaheelzCM on Sep 17, 2009 2:52 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, well

You also thought Howard Eisley was better than Steve Nash, so you can go to hell.

by Adam J. Morris on Sep 17, 2009 3:06 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

And you thought Cat was better than Young

So I will meet you there.

LoneStarBall....You will never find a more wretched hive of scum and villainy.

by DaheelzCM on Sep 17, 2009 3:21 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What if

someone made yogurt in a tube? Well they did

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on Sep 17, 2009 4:03 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Again?

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Sep 17, 2009 11:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's right, my friend

I’ve got go-gurt fever. I think it’s out of my system now.

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on Sep 18, 2009 12:46 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nippert is a part of thier future plans either way

IMO, if there’s no Milly-vesting, he goes into next season behind Harrison, Feldman, Hunter, Dutch, McSucky, and possibly even Feliz. And that’s before they sign Ben Sheets or any other FA. At best, he’s a seventh or eighth starter, and a viable long-man.

With Milly and a hypothetical FA, he’s 8 or 9 on the depth chart as a starter, and a viable long-man. He’s proven he belongs in the big leagues, and we’d be foolish not to keep him as a long-man/swing starter.

Church.

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on Sep 17, 2009 3:48 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Yes

because I’m sure Millwood is all ready to sign up for a long-man role out of the bullpen. And while he’s been awful since just before the ASB, he did produce 100 quality innings this year, which means he’s well ahead of guys like Harrison and McCarthy on the fucking depth chart.

by JDT217 on Sep 17, 2009 5:12 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think you misread my comment

I was referring to Nippert, not Millwood. The antecedent is NIppert. Read the subject line first, and then the rest of the comment. Then take a nap, and wash that potty-mouth of yours. Dumbass.

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on Sep 17, 2009 7:28 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't really understand the point of this exercise.

"Was this really necsarry?" - cowpoke/hurler hurley

by trza on Sep 17, 2009 3:57 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

But, we do it anyway .. why?

"Nothing we do here has a point" - Czar Morris

by Chase Irwin on Sep 17, 2009 6:06 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

What's your point?

G G G E-flat_______ F F F D__________....

by t ball on Sep 17, 2009 11:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly.

"Nothing we do here has a point" - Czar Morris

by Chase Irwin on Sep 18, 2009 1:13 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

the point is that everybody has been fretting the Players Association, and how they would have their way with the Rangers in filing a grievance and sticking it to the team

Adam, like myself, seems to feel that there is plenty of reasons to sit Millwood on his ass for the rest of the season. I think that the burden of proof would be on the players association, and the statistical evidence would seem to back the Rangers, if they chose to sit him down.

Frankly, based purely on performance, I think Padilla probably has a better case for a grievance than Millwood. He’s been our worst, and oldest pitcher for a couple months – that is all the reason a team needs to sit his ass down if they so decide.

"You can probably stick a fork in the Rangers' playoff chances for 2009." - AJM on 7/26 with the team 4.5 games out

by tricer on Sep 17, 2009 4:16 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The difference is Padilla still gets his guaranteed money from us even if no other team had signed him.

Millwood if 4.1 innings — one start — away from 180 innings, which is the difference between getting a $12 million payday and not getting it. The union ass-raping the Rangers would receive would be purely, 100 percent because of money. Millwood is physically capable of taking the mound and getting to the 180-inning threshold but would be sitting anyway, and the union would beat the “they sat him one start short of his option to avoid paying him $12 million” drum all day and all of the night.

If the Rangers had tried to void Padilla’s contract or something, there would have been a grievance, but they didn’t and he’s still getting his money (and thus the union is likely getting its cut).

by Inkara1 on Sep 17, 2009 4:43 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

the union could beat that drum till the cows come home, but beating a drum isn't considered proof

Hell, if all it took was beating a drum to win an argument, Josey Wales would have a lifetime winning streak going.

The Rangers, on the other hand, can make a reasoned argument that the reason he was bumped from the rotation was because he has sucked for the last couple of months and they didn’t feel he gave the team a chance to win, and that argument could be easily supplemented with statistics to serve as proof.

I think in most arbitration type settings, statistical proof is going to win out over drum beating. And as powerful as the union is, they can’t tell teams what position the players get to play, and they don’t get to tell the teams who is in the lineup.

"You can probably stick a fork in the Rangers' playoff chances for 2009." - AJM on 7/26 with the team 4.5 games out

by tricer on Sep 17, 2009 4:49 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm pretty sure in union matters, it's more like a civil case and less like a criminal one.

In that case, using emotional appeals and stuff of that nature works well because there doesn’t have to be proof beyond a shadow of a doubt.

Plus, with Padilla, the Rangers didn’t even try to pretend they dropped him because of his performance on the field (other than the headhunting). Also, the union wouldn’t really give a shit why they dropped Padilla as long as they still paid him.

by Inkara1 on Sep 17, 2009 5:30 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The Players Union would likely prevail in any grievance

against the Rangers if Millwood is denied an opportunity to vest his contract for next year. If the “statistical defense” was going to have any merit, it should have been applied 2 or 3 starts ago, not with 4 innings to go. Additionally, for the Rangers to shut Millwood down now, they would have to make a pretty solid case that they have better options, and with Holland’s struggles, i think it’s hard to justify shutting Millwood down and not Holland. The Union would clearly point to the $12 million as the reason for choosing Millwood over Holland to take a seat.

by swampdonkey on Sep 17, 2009 7:36 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

whether or not the union would have a case is debatable

i think the rangers could quite possibly win in a narrow legal case. but they would clearly take a PR hit. The national media would frame it as yet another instance of hicks’ cheapness and general mismanagement. Agents would use it as a reason to be wary of doing that kind of deal with us in the future. And it could hurt the overall credibility of nolan, jd, and wash.

even if there are logical arguments that should outweigh the emotional impact of the story, that is not often how it works in extralegal settings. when people get a whiff of this, their gut reaction will be that a heartless, wealthy sports conglomerate cheated a loyal employee out of the money he was due.

by Smoakin in the Boys Room on Sep 17, 2009 9:53 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The reason that the Union would win is because

there position would be that if you sat Millwood because he was burned out, it was the Rangers use of him that burned him out and then sat him 4 innings short of having to pay him. When it comes to defensible positions, those available to the Rangers are all negative.

by swampdonkey on Sep 17, 2009 10:18 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

The reason the union wins is because it doesn't matter if the union wins..

They go to bat for a player getting screwed, it helps their standing with the players. They scream “he’s getting screwed”, true or not, and FA’s and agents listen.

The Texas Rangers have been synonymous with explosive firepower ever since they emptied 130 rounds into Bonnie Parker and Clyde Barrow in 1934. - Alyssa Milano

by bking on Sep 18, 2009 11:45 AM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Know what's interesting about all of this?

Before the season, the general consensus was that if Millwood pitched well enough to make it to 180 innings, we’d want him back anyway and $12 million would be about the going rate. I think Millwood found the only way I can think of for him to get to 180 innings but still make us cringe at the thought of the option vesting, by pitching great for the first 139 innings and pitching like crap for the next 41.

by Inkara1 on Sep 17, 2009 4:48 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

180 Millwood Innings

Very true. $12 million for him going into next season seems despicable. But he may give us another 130 innings next season.

by 3Bagger on Sep 17, 2009 5:46 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

If there wasn't an option, then "yes" I would sit him.....

Since there is an option….

I would let Millwood get his start in a home game and as soon as he gets is 4 1/3, I would have Ron walk out there and tell his ass to get off the mound. Basically letting Millwood know that he is only pitching because we HAVE to let him get his 180, not because we WANT to. Let the fans boo his ass, let the media write about him, let the whole team see him being pulled at exactly his 180 innings so that Millwood can completely KNOW that he is not wanted.

Again….embarrass his ass in front of everyone so he can fully understand the situation. Let him know it’s because we have to, not because we want to!!

As a matter of fact, I would pick one of the Tampa Bay games and then announce it to everyone that this is the game that Millwood will get his unfortunate 180. Let it build up in the talk shows, in the papers, among the fans…….for a whole week!! It could end up being some hyped up event and then he would understand!!

Wash is an idiot!!

by bspate on Sep 17, 2009 4:56 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Thats kind of ridiculous

Even though he hasn’t been doing the job we expect of him lately is no reason to publicly humiliate him. He has been a loyal vet who has battled for us and given us a number of quality innings over his tenure here. It’s disappointing for everyone that he’s faded down the stretch, but it doesn’t merit treating him that way.

by Smoakin in the Boys Room on Sep 17, 2009 9:56 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think we need to run through a mock grievance hearing

Have Adam serve as the arbitrator, and appoint someone to present Kevin Millwood’s case put forth by the player’s association, appoint someone else to present the team’s defense against the alleged grievous actions (I volunteer for this role), have a little back and forth, and then Adam will decide which argument would win.

"You can probably stick a fork in the Rangers' playoff chances for 2009." - AJM on 7/26 with the team 4.5 games out

by tricer on Sep 17, 2009 4:57 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

The Radar Gun

Using those 80-plus fastballs as evidence. we skip his next start. Then we give him one final start. He’ll be pitching for dollars. If he fails there, we could win any case on the matter.

by 3Bagger on Sep 17, 2009 5:49 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Damn do I wish...

the 2010 option would only vest at 200 IP and not 180 IP.

"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates

by slc ranger on Sep 18, 2009 2:40 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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