Running a quick projection/regression using 4.8 R/G as the AL average and 8/4/2/1 for Millwood's Rangers performance, I get a value of 2.5 WAR, which would be worth $11.25M on the year. If you consider his age, 2 WAR would not be surprising, meaning that Millwood would not be projected to match his $12M salary using these methods. Still, with that projected total and the values on FanGraphs, Millwood's total contract worth would be estimated at $67.5M, mostly on the back of that 5 WAR season in his first year in Texas, a season in which he posted a 4.55 ERA but a 3.87 FIP. This figure uses WAR/win values from the 2008 offseason, and it is likely that the value of a win was a bit smaller when Millwood signed his contract. However, it seems evident that even including a bit of a decline in production at the back end of his contract, Millwood has more or less paid off exactly as the Rangers expected, which is more than the team can say for their other pitching acquisitions.
over 2 years ago
Adam J. Morris
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Hey
Statheady isn’t a word. Let’s all ridicule Adam and demean the point of his post…
(Sarcasm)
"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)
Hello Win Column!!!
by Arlington Stadium Legend on Sep 24, 2009 10:40 AM CDT reply actions
good usage
You used it properly according to the dictionary.
"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)
Hello Win Column!!!
by Arlington Stadium Legend on Sep 24, 2009 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions
Good point
Well played
"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)
Hello Win Column!!!
by Arlington Stadium Legend on Sep 24, 2009 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions
sorry, I'm too busy getting ready to watch the 'big game'
Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball
If we spent $60M on 5 Kevin Millwoods to fill out our rotation
we still would not have won the division in the last 4 years, me thinks.
Greatest Inventions Ever? 1. TiVO, 2. Boobs, 3. Baseball
I too don't think the Millwood Mule ride is going to take us very far
we're from Texas
CJ says "Relax"
He's a nice #3.
If the team could have hid him in the middle of the rotation, through the years, the team would have been happy with the contract. Forced to call him #1, I think the contract was found lacking. The dollars make sense in that they match performance over the contract, but at the time, the contract’s value resembled top end pitching. Under that premise, I see fail.
Your 2009 Snow Monkey Ambassador
that's my assertion
we paid top dollar to a guy who is just above avg. not a good deal.
this year Millwood was in shape barely enough to get his 180 innings. Next year will he be in shape for a full season since he is in his walk year? I doubt it.
A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.
We didn't pay "top dollar" though
We paid 2/3 type money to a guy who was a #2 type his first year here and regressed into a #3 pitcher.
The fact he was our ace does not mean we paid top dollar it just means he was and has been our best pitcher
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
Is there any way we sign Sheets in the offseason?
our rotation as it looks now, imo, for next season would include
Feldman
Millwood
Hunter
Holland
Feliz
with McCarthy, Harrison, (Hurley is probably done due to his injury)
if we sign Sheets, who gets bumped? I, personally, doubt that we sign him as we have the financial situation that could looma little longer and there will be more competition, especially since no one will lose a draft pick
A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.
Mike Bacsik said
that his baseball guys that know Sheets have told him that Sheets doesn’t even know if he’ll ever pitch again and if he does if he can ever be that effective again.
The 2009 Texas Rangers offense: sigh...
by Kinslerhomer on Sep 24, 2009 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions
wow
Didn’t he have the same injury as Jason Jennings? Sounds like his rehab is not going well.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
Mitch Moreland -Tom Grieve Rangers Minor League Player of the Year
Martin Perez - Nolan Ryan Rangers Minor League Pitcher of the Year
Yeah
He also did say that his rehab is not going well
The 2009 Texas Rangers offense: sigh...
by Kinslerhomer on Sep 24, 2009 11:58 AM CDT up reply actions
Jennings also
had to have surgery twice to fix the problem. Sheets may not pitch in 2010 either.
Elvis Andrus - 2009 AL Rookie of the Year
Mitch Moreland -Tom Grieve Rangers Minor League Player of the Year
Martin Perez - Nolan Ryan Rangers Minor League Pitcher of the Year
or Charlotte's Web
for the younger players…
"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)
Hello Win Column!!!
by Arlington Stadium Legend on Sep 24, 2009 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions
heh
The Texas Rangers have been synonymous with explosive firepower ever since they emptied 130 rounds into Bonnie Parker and Clyde Barrow in 1934. - Alyssa Milano
I just thought
the younger guys might need something to read in the clubhouse. Charlotte’s Web was my suggestion if Brandon Webb can’t be signed.
"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)
Hello Win Column!!!
by Arlington Stadium Legend on Sep 24, 2009 1:18 PM CDT up reply actions
OK, but can we get the popup version for Ian???
bah dum dum chish
The Texas Rangers have been synonymous with explosive firepower ever since they emptied 130 rounds into Bonnie Parker and Clyde Barrow in 1934. - Alyssa Milano
Well done
"calmer than you are dude" Walter (Big Lebowski)
Hello Win Column!!!
by Arlington Stadium Legend on Sep 24, 2009 2:07 PM CDT up reply actions
If you sign Sheets
It probably bumps either Harrison or Holland to AAA to start the season. If we signed Sheets I think we would go with a rotation of Millwood, Sheets, Feldman, McCarthy, Hunter.
McCarthy I think has a leg up on Holland for next years rotation as long as hes healthy. That 5 would have 2 serious injury risks (BMac and Sheets) so starting Holland in AAA, along with Feliz who I highly highly doubt will break camp with the big club, wouldn’t be the death blow so many here make it out to be. It would allow us to monitor and keep Holland innings in check which I still think we will want to do next year and if nobody gets hurt then we can look to trade away someone to bring him up.
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
Fun Times in Cleveland!!
"Nothing we do here has a point" - Czar Morris
by inactive lsb user on Sep 24, 2009 1:06 PM CDT reply actions
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