Tuesday morning Rangers things
Well, that was the first Ranger game of the year I got to watch on TV last night, and it could have been better. But hey, it is baseball...
T.R. Sullivan's wrapup of yesterday's game notes that Nelson Cruz has had a strong spring, including his first homer last night...
Jeff Wilson writes that Rich Harden isn't worried about his lack of velocity right now...he says that this is what spring training is for, and when the season starts, he'll be where he wants to be.
The S-T has some notes up, including updates on Josh Hamilton (who left yesterday's game after being hit in the hand), Ian Kinsler and Chris Davis. Richard Durrett also has some notes up from yesterday.
C.J. Wilson and Neftali Feliz both are slated to pitch four innings today, and Sullivan writes that it is a big outing for each of these pitchers.
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Comments
Cruz
’Bout to take his roll right into the season….I can feel it!
There are three things in my life which I really love: God, my family, and baseball. The only problem - once baseball season starts, I change the order around a bit. ~Al Gallagher
by Suicide Prince on Mar 16, 2010 10:08 AM CDT reply actions
If we're to be realistic with Harden
should we expect a 12-6 record with a 3.60 ERA in 145 IPs? And then be happy with that?
Very nice to see the Cruz bomb (very high up on the hill beyond CF) off a LH pitcher but he had another space cadet issue on the bases that we’re not supposed to discuss.
I also liked seeing Max get a couple of knocks. Now hitting .313…keep giving him ab’s, Wash.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Wins by pitchers aren't the absolute
in evaluating a pitcher but wins are not unimportant.
Yes, you can drill down and find other numbers to find out how well he pitched but if he can take the ball 25 times, give us 145 innings with a 3.60 and still have a 9K’s/9 ratio, I trust most of the other numbers will support that he pitched well.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 10:16 AM CDT up reply actions
Actually
They are unimportant. Completely.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions
Wins are unimportant?
I understand that they have little value in projection
But (seemingly needless to say) the more wins that your starting pitchers have, the better chance you have of getting to the playoffs….
unimportant completely!?
I'm going to throw you a bone here
if you add up all your pitchers’ records over the course of a season,
you will get your team’s final record
unimportant completely??
Do me a favor
Don’t throw me any bones, Einstein.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:05 AM CDT up reply actions
ok, let's work through it
Say our SP’s combined records could be (90-40) or (40-90)
Your claim is that you do not care AT ALL what their records are, because wins are meaningless.
So you wouldn’t care which of the above records our SP’s would combine for… is that right?
Ugh.
God, there’s nothing worse than a dumbass trying to condescend.
No, I don’t care what the pitchers’ records are. If the team wins 95 games, those wins can be dispersed in any manner possible—I don’t care.
Wins are worthless in evaluating a pitcher’s performance.
Hit me with the next baby step.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions
I'm not trying to evaluate a pitchers' performance
when have I said that I am?
I am arguing that you if you don’t care how many wins your pitchers end up with at the end of the year, then you are a dumb ass, bc the wins that each of your pitchers end up with directly correlates with the team’s final record.
Feel free to respond to this with some comment that I am using wins to evaluate a pitcher rather than the team’s overall record
OK
So let me see if I’ve got this straight: you’re arguing about something not in contention, something nobody had even brought up, and you’re continuing because you enjoy doing the first two?
OK cool. Now kindly piss off.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:16 AM CDT up reply actions
who peed in your cheerios this morning?
(Wife) "So what do you want to watch on the T.V.? UFC or porn?"
(Husband) "Hmm... well, porn, I guess."
Why not care about the team's wins and be done with that?
What help is it to look at which pitchers are arbitrarily assigned credit for those wins?
This is better than I could have said it.
In the future, I’m just going to call in philkid to close when having a statistical argument.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 3:53 PM CDT up reply actions
ahem
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
Ok
If they went 40-90 with a 2.00 ERA, that means the offense went belly-up and we have no reason to bitch about the pitching.
If they went 90-40 with a 6.00 ERA, that means the offense kicked some serious ass and we should be upset with the pitching.
How does the 90-40 or 40-90 tell you anything about how the pitching itself did?
Yes, the record is good for the team, but you can’t say, “I’d be happy with Harden if he went 12-6”. You’d be happy for the TEAM if Harden went 12-6, but you can’t say you’d be happy with Harden.
When have I once said anything about how the pitcher did?
I’m not saying I would be happy with Harden just bc he went 12-6
I’m saying that I would happy for the team bc Harden went 12-6
if we want to expand it, I’d say Team Record When the Pitcher Pitches would be a better stat than pitching record, but it’s the same point
Why?
Neither are a good stat in evaluating, which is what we’re all talking about.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions
Not good at evaluating an individual pitcher's performance
but very good at evaluating the success of a team….
you say you don't care what Harden's record is
I say that I care very much what Harden and the rest of the staff’s records are
if you want to drop it, I’m down
I don't.
What if the bullpen has all the wins?
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:27 AM CDT up reply actions
I mean
You do realize that you’re arguing something nobody has ever raised because it’s a really really dumb point, right?
I just want to make sure you realize that. Because you jumped into a conversation with an array of condescending quips, and you contributed exactly nothing to it. We were talking about predictive stats of individuals.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:37 AM CDT up reply actions
were we talking about predictive stats?
should we expect a 12-6 record with a 3.60 ERA in 145 IPs? And then be happy with that?
then
Who cares what his record is?
that doesn’t seem like you’re talking about predictive stats to me. Had he said, “Harden won 9 games last year, so yada, yada, yada” then you’d be talking about predictive stats
x
that doesn’t seem like you’re talking about predictive stats to me.
I’m terribly concerned about what you think.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions
I don't agree to that.
The thread didn’t start when you deigned to join in. Josey and I were having a discussion that sort of mirrors ours except he didn’t try to derail it with dumb things.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:49 AM CDT up reply actions
having a discussion?
2 posts, one being “I don’t care what his record is,” is a conversation? I won’t infringe on you and Josey time in the future if you’re going to be so sensitive.
and, you aren’t using the stat for predictive purposes when you’re judging whether or not you’re happy with his record at the end of the year
That wasn't the whole of the discussion
Jesus. Don’t be dense.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:55 AM CDT up reply actions
after 2 posts
was the point where apparently interrupted
and the “I’m right because you’re stupid” underlying argument for all your points is getting old and makes you look silly
No
I’m right because I am, and you’re stupid because you are.
And it’s not my responsibility to keep you informed of the context. That’s on you when you enter a discussion—assuming of course that you don’t want to look stupid.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 12:03 PM CDT up reply actions
do you know how threads work?
I will stop participating in your private discussions on public blogs if it’ll make you feel better
You're still not getting it
I’m not upset that you interrupted, I’m informing you that you didn’t get the context of the discussion as it evolved, and that explains why I answered certain things the way I did.
But please, keep trying to be snarky.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 12:07 PM CDT up reply actions
Why don't we just look at team record
instead of worrying about how Pitcher X did on that day based off wins and losses. If you agree that W/L record is pointless in evaluating a pitcher’s performance, why does it matter who was pitching when his team wins or loses.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
Do what you want
but if Harden goes 12-6 with a 3.60 ERA and 20 Game Scores out of 26 starts, I’ll be happy with his performance.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:28 AM CDT up reply actions
If Harden ends up with a 3.60 ERA or lower I'd be happy
I’d be even happier if that was accompanied by 150+ innings and a similar looking FIP.
And Game Scores are nearly as pointless as W/L record. They are a more fancy way of saying quality starts, but still end up giving you the same distorted view of a pitcher’s start.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
You did see the part where Bill James calls Game Scores a junk stat that's fun and doesn't tell you anything, right?
And yet you still use it?
He's even saind (unprompted) that James never came up with a good method of evaluating pitchers
Look at the comments under Jeff Wilson's blog post on dallasnews.com. What a bunch of rocket scientists.- Keith Law
Curse your sudden but inevitable betrayal!
Me? I don't think so.
Provide context.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Light brought
I’m not sure James figured out a good way to measure how much pitchers contribute.
Look at the comments under Jeff Wilson's blog post on dallasnews.com. What a bunch of rocket scientists.- Keith Law
Curse your sudden but inevitable betrayal!
Pitcehrs & Win Shares. Bill James doesn't give relief pitchers or aces
very much credit with Win Shares. I’m not sure I go there with him.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
to be honest
W/L record is not pointless in evaluating pitcher’s performance, it’s just a much weaker than sabermetric peripherals.
If you take all the 20-game winners in the past decade, I think you’ll find that most are above-average pitchers
That's the correlation-causation fail
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
Tim Lincecum
15-7 with a 2.48 ERA in 225 IPs in 32 starts.
Also had 26 Game Scores of 50+.
He would have won more games on a team that gave him better offensive support but the fact that he was healthy enough to take the hill 32 times and averaged more than 7 IPs/start and gave his team a better chance to win in 26 of his 32 starts makes me think he’s one of the best pitchers in the game despite the fact there were several other pitchers who had more wins.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions
GET OUT OF MY FUCKING HEAD.
And also remind me to make sure you haven’t responded first before I hit “reply.”
lol
I’m just glad its you that keeps agreeing with me. If it was someone like Josey or rangergirl, I might have to turn in my computer.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
So the fact that Lincecum has one of the best ratios
of Game Scores 50+ and the fact that he’s considered one of the best pitchers in the game are completely unrelated?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
The fact that Steve Carlton rolled up 36 starts
(out of 40) with Game Scores of 50+ had nothing to do with him going 27-10 for a team that won 59 games?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
That's not good logic, man.
Why look at a stat that the creator himself called a just-for-fun junk stat, instead of something more useful and telling with a better correlation to success bread out of the things that cause that success?
Again, you’re getting correlation mixed up with causation. Just because most good pitchers have good game scores doesn’t mean they’re the best tool for evaluating the pitcher’s performance, or even a good one. Tangential relations.
Give me a good reason to look at Game Scores instead of his FanGraphs page.
Show me the quote from James
because he used Game Scores a lot in his 2008 Goldmine.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
James
[Games Scores is] a kind of garbage stat that I present not because it helps us understand anything in particular but because it is fun to play around with.
It was in the section where he introduces his annual “fun stat.” Game Scores was never designed as a serious analytical tool, it was designed to be interesting. James does a lot of that stuff, and it is interesting, and that’s part of why he’s awesome, but he will stress understanding the difference.
I'll revisit his 2008 Goldmine
because had a lot of stuff in there about Game Scores.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I'm sure he does.
But he mentions fun stats constantly. Is he using Game Scores as a “why” stat, though, or is he using them as a “this is neat” stat?
I gotta find the book and look at it.
There’s a constant battle in my house about where I can keep my books.
The nicer (from the outside) looking books get to play in the office while the others are somewhere in household steerage.
Full disclosure moment -The BJ 2008 Goldmine has Baseball Prospectus status. It is relatively new and I stashed it somewhere.
The BJ Historical Abstract is like a pet and doesn’t leave my side.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I've yet to purchase a HA.
I’ve checked all of them out of the library multiple times, but that’s it.
I don’t own enough baseball books. I’m cheap.
My over/under on baseball books
under the roof of my house is probably near 100.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Stock up on Halberstam
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
philkid, Got another question for you.
Whenever a pitcher gets two strikes on a hitter, that hitter’s OPS goes down 200-300 points.
The pitcher has made the batter much more defensive and thus less effective.
What, if anything does the defense behind the pitcher have to do with the 200-300 point drop in OPS of the hitter?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
So if a pitcher has a league average
defense but gets two strikes on most of the hitters, his chances for success are going to be higher?
I know there are lots of extenuating circumstances but I’d say his chances for success are going to be higher.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Disconnect.
Did I ever say it was the “best tool for evaluating the pitcher’s performance”?
It is a tool not the best tool.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Its not even a good tool
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
If it's not the best tool why is it the one you cite so much?
It’s certainly not more easily available than better tools.
If I see that a starting pitcher had
a Game Score of 52, I have a good feeling the Rangers won the game.
If that starting pitcher had a Game Score of 75, I know without looking at anything else that there’s probably a 95% chance the Rangers won that game.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I can say the same thing about a number of stats.
The difference is that many of those isolate what is in a pitchers’ control and were not designed with arbitrary weights.
How do you feel about the
pitching triple crown? Worthy indicator of an all-time season? This is assuming you didn’t know any of the peripherals.
Not meant as confrontational, just curious hearing a new-stats guy’s perspective.
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
I feel it's interesting.
And a pitcher who wins the triple crown probably had a great season, but I don’t know that from the triple crown numbers. I know those probably came from a great pitcher, but I don’t know as much as I should. When “this guy was probably a very good pitcher” is all you can accurately say, you’ve accomplished nothing worthwhile for discussion or knowledge.
That said, the triple crown has two good stats. ERA, over one season, is very inferior to more neutralized statistics, but it’s still built on a decent idea and not a bad stat. Ks are extremely important.
There's been 30 since 1900.
One day I’ll look up their peripherals, and see how they relate.
My guess is they probably fall top 3 in most. It would be interesting to me if they didn’t.
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
I'd bet on your side there.
It is unlikely to get a lot of wins without being good. It is very, very unlikely to have a low ERA without being good. And being a great strikeout pitcher means your great at a near-perfectly correlating part of being a great pitcher.
For the heck of it, I checked out the last 5
2007 Peavy WHIP-1 FIP-1
2006 Santana WHIP-1 FIP-1
2002 Johnson WHIP-3 FIP-2
1999 Martinez WHIP-1 FIP-1
1998 Clemens WHIP-3 FIP-1
I should’ve remember not to bother looking up Pedro. Pure domination- Bonds, Ruth like on the rubber.
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
Yes sir.
Watching Pedro Martinez in 09-00 is the most fun baseball has ever been for me. I never understood how anyone ever got a hit.
Yep
Game scores can only be found in B-Refs game logs or when clicking on a pitcher’s pitching page. In other words, its much easier looking at ERA+ and IP and getting a much better idea of what they did that season. Past that, you can look at their peripherals pretty easily too and get an even better idea. Or you can check out their fangraphs player page instead and get a much more complete idea of what a pitcher did in a particular season.
In other words, I have no idea why anyone would look at a pitcher’s average game score to try and find out how a pitcher did that season rather than look at their actual stats that mean something
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
It's definitely a fast food stat
and I don’t depend on it but I don’t ignore it either.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
You really should
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
philkid...
If a pitcher goes 5 innings, gives up 3 earned runs, 5 hits, 2 walks and strikes out 6 did his team likely win?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I don't feel like doing math.
But I believe no, as I’m going to guess the average bullpen gives up more than two runs over four innings, which would put them on the losing side of the average game.
I got a Game Score of 52 from those numbers
and I’d guess there was a helluva good chance (arund 70%) that starting pitcher’s team won the game even though there are always extenuating circumstances.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I'd be interested.
I’ll be shocked if if a team wins 70% of the time they score three through five and then go to the pen.
Wins are unimportant to pitcher evaluation.
If you have 5 Rick Helling’es (20 win year version) and 5 John Smoltz’es (20 win year version), which do you pick?
Suppose they each had identical win-loss records for a given year: 20-10.
Yes, we should HOPE a pitcher has a good record — but a good record does not then imply that the pitcher did well. Nolan Ryan (Josey example) is a great example for the Astros of a dominant pitcher getting the royal finger from his Win-Loss record.
ok
but a good record does not then imply that the pitcher did well.
I never said that it meant the pitcher did well or will do well in the future
I’m saying that it means the team did well….
Ok, then what is the problem?
We’re talking about what we want from Harden.
From Harden, we want 150+ IP of 3.5 FIP. Wins and losses be damned because he doesn’t have control over the offense.
okay, not to completely side with BuckyB here
but there is a subtlety in your question.
What do we want Harden to do? We want him to pitch a lot of innings and not give up many runs.
What do we want the Rangers to do when Harden starts? We want them to win a lot of games.
Would I prefer the Rangers go 20-13 in Harden starts, with Harden getting knocked around but the offense rockin, as opposed to them going 13-20 despite Harden’s awesomeness? Of course.
The problem with BuckyB’s argument is it ath it is a lot more likely that the Rangers go 20-13 with Harden being awesome statisitcally than to go 20-13 with Harden sucking and getting lucky. So it is more reasonable to hope for good performance from Harden and the rest will likely follow?
Go Rice Owls!
The problem with BuckyB’s argument is it ath it is a lot more likely that the Rangers go 20-13 with Harden being awesome statisitcally than to go 20-13 with Harden sucking and getting lucky.
All I’m saying is that at the end of the day, if you can look back and see that Harden got 20 wins, then that is significant in terms of team success, regardless of whether he lucked his way there.
If his peripherals sucked, I would not argue for him to be Cy Young, I would not want to depend on him next season.
I hear you man.
It’s pretty simple- The majority of the time, a high win total correlates with a good pitcher. Why he’s good isn’t because of the wins, but they tend to go hand in hand.
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
Actually
Wins are the only thing that matters — not when it comes to evaluating Harden’s performance, but at the end of the season.
Josey’s comment was ‘whether the Rangers should be happy with 12-6’ and the answer to that is ‘of course’. Because that means that we’re 6 games up in the win column. Even if Harden has a terrible year and manages to win 15 games because of luck, skewed BABIP, offensive support, etc, the Rangers should be ecstatic, no?
And then not offer him a contract for the coming year, in a similar vein to the way that we handled Millwood last year, because as you say, wins are not that useful in evaluating a pitcher’s performance.
Okay, "Einstein"
predicting determining a offensive performance in the future, but ultimately the only stat that qualifies how well an offense performed the previous year.
Huh?
I literally have no idea what that means. Is English your first language? I’m being serious.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:11 AM CDT up reply actions
Hey 'genius'
Just because someone disagrees with you doesn’t make them an idiot. Yes, English is my first language, although part of my post got eaten and then I went to attend other things before I realized this….
The original point being made has been made well by BuckyB, and I don’t think I need to reiterate it since it seems to be not resonating with you.
The bottom line to me is that it seems that there are essentially two types of stats — qualitative ones that predict performance, and quantitative ones that actually measure how well you did. Wins are a bad example of a predictive/qualitative stat because as you rightly point out, they don’t tell us how well someone pitched. On the other hand, wins are an excellent example of a quantitative stat because they tell us who gets to get into the playoffs.
If the Rangers starting pitchers win 90 games as a group, I don’t really care how well they pitched, because we won 90 games!
i would count my loses
before BG makes you look real stupid
You hear about the "Electric Arms", they're all the rage.
"If the Rangers have marked improvement in 2010, I'm going to need to give JD credit." Josey Wales, Feb. 10, 2010 11:45 AM CST
by sunlegend54 on Mar 16, 2010 11:19 AM CDT up reply actions
it's like a loss
but smarmier
You hear about the "Electric Arms", they're all the rage.
"If the Rangers have marked improvement in 2010, I'm going to need to give JD credit." Josey Wales, Feb. 10, 2010 11:45 AM CST
Funnah!
/Bradshaw
"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"When you have a weapon on your shoulder like he has, you can be cool." RW on Perez
And the little bastard threw it for a swinging strike three in a 3-2 count. He’s blessed. And ballsy.
And also
The answer to your original question is yes, we should be happy.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions
I don't agree that wins are unimportant
but I do believe wins have been overrated. One year snapshots of wins & ERA can be very deceiving but I don’t know of any major league pitchers that won 250 games who lucked into those wins or weren’t damn good for a long time.
It does happen…Ryan went 8-17 one year with the Astros but was one of the best pitchers in the NL. Last year, Feldman was 17-8 but he was probably only the 12th-20th best starter in the AL.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 10:27 AM CDT up reply actions
But what you're saying
Is that if you look at somebody with a lot of wins, that person is generally a good pitcher. Now, you’re trying to saying that the wins prove he was a good pitcher, and I’m saying that wins are a tangential benefit to good pitching.
You can look a million other places to find statistics that show how good the pitcher is, not how good his team is.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 10:30 AM CDT up reply actions
Yes, I agree that wins
can be a tangential benefit to pitching for a good team but then you have pitchers like Steve Carlton who went 27-10 for a team that won 59 games.
Without doing any research, I can guess that Carlton was really good (possibly great) that year but he was also probably a little lucky.
I don’t think wins in one year prove you’re a good pitcher but I do believe wins over a long period of time (use 250 as the foundation) mean you were really good. Nobody lucks into 250 wins.
That said, I’m not exactly sure how to weight the number of wins a pitcher gets in a given year in terms of importance. The number of wins is information so it shouldn’t be discarded but you need other numbers (K/9, WHIP, FIPS etc.) to complete the puzzle.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions
The question is whether
wins carry some information that is independent of peripherals or more advanced metrics. And, if they do carry some independent information, whether it is too noisy to be useful, or if it is possible to extract value out of it.
Frankly, I agree with you Josey. Wins likely have some independent value, but they are heavily flawed. Therefore, it requires a) common sense and b) an open mind when looking at them. Heck, we sit here and look at flawed statistics every day of our lives in other disciplines (national unemployment rate, GDP growth, box office revenue for movies). Most people with a brain can look at these numbers and extract the relevant information and not be completely led astray by them.
The overzealous drive for optimal purity in baseball statistics is silly, and is breading a bunch of people who know formulas for tRA and SIERA, but can’t extract any value from easy to obtain numbers like wins and RBIs, other than to simply dismiss them.
Go Rice Owls!
True
but brettgardner’s claim that he doesn’t care what Harden’s record is is simply ridiculous
if you don’t care about your pitchers’ records, you must not care about the team’s record
Um no
Really? I didn’t realize you were stupid. The point is that pitchers don’t control wins nearly as much as you’d like to believe.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:00 AM CDT up reply actions
I'm not asserting anything about what a pitcher can control... at all
What I’m disputing is your claim that the records are meaningless and/or your claim that you don’t care what our pitchers’ records are
wins are important
No they aren't.
You’re not making any claim that they are except as they relate to team wins. Make the connection for me without telling me that pitchers control wins to a great degree.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:03 AM CDT up reply actions
Collectively wins are important, individually they are not
The number of wins a team gets is whatever the pitchers are credited with. And “credit” is exactly that. It has nothing to do with how well an individual pitched. Someone can pitch great and not get a win or pitch horrible and get one.
To say “if you add up all the pitchers’ wins you find out how many wins the team had and that’s why wins are important” doesn’t make any sense. Why add those numbers up since the W/L for the team will tell you that. And that’s the point – it’s a “team” win loss record. 3 of Harden’s wins might very well belong to Hamilton.
If Harden goes 12-6 with a 6.00 FIP I’m not going to be happy. That’s because if he had pitched better his record would likely have been better than 12-6. If he goes 6-12 with a 2.50 FIP I’m cool with him but pissed at the team.
"You promised me, Eckstein, that if I followed you, you would walk with me always. But I noticed that during the most trying periods of my life, there have only been one set of prints in the sand. Why, when I have needed you most, have you not been there for me?" David Eckstein replied, "Because my little legs had gotten tired, and you were carrying me." And I looked down and saw that I was still carrying David Eckstein.
Then he grounded out weakly to second.
We care about the pitcher's record
But not as an indicator of whether he pitched well, but whether the team played well.
If Harden went 5-10 and we won the division, I’d be happy with the team but I wouldn’t be able to use that to say whether Harden was good or bad.
If Harden went 15-3 and we lost the division, I’d be unhappy with the team and I still wouldn’t be able to use that to say whether Harden was good or bad.
In a nutshell, his W-L record doesn’t tell us much other than whether Harden left with a lead or not and whether the game ended without the lead changing hands.
Put it this way
without knowing the end result, if Harden could go 15-7 or 7-15, which would bode whether on the team’s chances for success?
Wow.
You really aren’t that bright.
You truly don’t understand correlation/causation? I mean, I learned that concept in like 5th grade.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:04 AM CDT up reply actions
You are.
That’s the claim you’re making. Now, if you can’t figure out what claim you’re making, you’re in a bad spot.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions
I think it depends...
If Harden goes 15-7 in 130 IPs with a 4.60 ERA he may help the team more if he goes 7-15 in 185 IPs with a 3.50 ERA by saving wear and tear on the bully.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:04 AM CDT up reply actions
You boys rag on the stat but that's why I like using Game Scores
for my blender of information.
I think a starting pitcher’s most important job is to pitch well enough (especially early in games) to give his team a chance to win. Whether or not that pitcher earns or falls into the win is not important.
If Harden has 20 Game Scores of 50+ in 26 starts but only goes 9-11, I’ll be very happy with his individual season and pissed at the rest of the team for not taking advantage of the opportunities to win one of their pitchers gave them.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions
Somewhere. Not sure where.
What’s up?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I read his 2008 book.
He mentioned that the Rangers won something like 72% of the games where they received a Game Score of 50+ from their starters. As the Game Score moved up, the winning % moved up as well.
The fact that they won only 28% of their games when they didn’t receive a Game Score of 50+ made me pay attention to the stat.
Don’t mistake “pay attention” for most important.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Who knows
And that’s the point. You can’t tell if Harden went 7-15 because the team couldn’t score more than 2 runs for him each time out, the bullpen screwed things up for him when he would get pulled, or because he was flat out not good. On the other hand, he could go 15-7 and end up with a 5.00 ERA thank to a magnificent offense or just getting lucky that the team bailed him out on bad days.
W/L record is useless to look at past the old baseball nostalgia of W-L record mattering.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
It's not useless but it tends to be overrated
especially in one year snapshots.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:18 AM CDT up reply actions
not useless, but overrated
to say its useless is simple minded, brett, and trying too hard to make the point you want to make
It is useless
Because you could imagine a scenario where a really good offensive team has mediocre starters and the bullpen gets tons of wins. So the stat has zero benefit in evaluating anything, except for the fact that the team won, and if you’re looking for predictors of team success, you can look a lot of other places first.
So this gets back to the correlation/causation issue I noted above: you’re saying that you can look at the pitchers’ collective wins at the end of the year and say “Wow! Lots of wins!”
I’m saying if it’s a team with good individual pitchers, of course they’re going to have a lot of wins. But they got the wins because they’re good, they weren’t good because they won.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:26 AM CDT up reply actions
I am not saying “they got the wins because they’re good” although, there is some merit to that statement
I am saying “it is good that they got wins” as in, I care what the records are
Again
Nobody was arguing that. And why would they? It’s the kind of idea a 3rd grader could come up.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions
which is why I'm confused by your initial argument
that you don’t care what records your pitchers end up with, I’m not claiming to say anything profound here
Think harder.
The reason I would say that is because it was in the context of talking about predictive statistics.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions
Its useless if you want to have any idea of what a pitcher did
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
Exactly.
Harden could win well over 12 games and I wouldn’t be happy with him. If our offense explodes and manages to save his ass in the worst season of his career 20 times, I will be upset we wasted money on him.
Still can’t find a reason to care about Harden’s record. Only the team’s record.
Their general point is...
Wins aren’t valuable enough to waste time with if you have access to K%, BB%, and FIP (or even ERA).
Johan Santana went 15-13 in 2007 with a 2.53 ERA, 235K, 52BB in 219 IP.
If you saw just 15-13, you might say, “well — he wins just over 50% of his games or so, so he must be just barely an above average pitcher”.
If you saw the 2.53 ERA, 219 IP, 235 K, and 52 BB then you’d go — oh damn, that guy rocks, hook me up some of that — and the wins losses become completely meaningless.
If Harden went 8-15 with a 3.00 ERA over 200 innings, you should be happy with what Harden gave us even if the team sucked balls behind him; while if he went 14-3 with a 7.50 ERA over 100 innings, I think you would say, “F that guy, DFA him, we can get that kind of production from Mendoza” — even though he got lucky as hell and won 14 games, that doesn’t mean Harden was any good
I'm not arguing that they aren't flawed
and given that it is flawed, obviously there are going to be a bunch of examples where the better pitcher has far fewer wins than the worse pitcher.
And I’ll agree with you that if you are doing a thorough analysis and had access to the internet, it is pretty silly to make an argument that a guy was better simply based on win totals.
But wins are there, it is one of two stats that gets reported for every pitcher everywhere. It is simply intellectually dishonest to say that if I tell you pitcher X had 17 wins with a 3.30 ERA that you don’t have SOME IDEA about how good he was without having to ask for his FIP. If I say he had 5 wins and a 3.20 ERA, you will have a different perspective of the pitcher (was he injured? was he a reliever? Just really unlucky?). Obviously neither is a complete picture. But there is something of value there.
Go Rice Owls!
But you don't have any idea of him from the wins.
Only the ERA. What are the wins telling you that you don’t know, about the pitcher’s performance not the team, without them?
And, as has been said, there are plenty of more useful stats available at exactly the places wins are.
So what’s the point of bothering with them?
given W and ERA
W’s give you a correlate of innings pitched, which has some value as well.
Look, I’m not saying that W’s are good. Or that they’re even useful when given other information. I’m saying that in the absence of other information, the two statistics you are likely to hear about a pitcher are W-L and ERA. If you have nothing else, you have at least a ballpark estimate of what that pitcher brings to the table. Note that I said ESTIMATE and BALLPARK. I know that estimates are not en vogue these days, what with highly overfit regressions being the fashion du jour.
Anyway, I don’t know why I’m arguing this. I’m not an all-or-none person, and I am loath to dismiss anything somewhat quantitative completely. I’m pretty sure most people around here are more all-or-none and/or perfectionist than me, at which point it probably makes sense to just ignore wins, since they’re also ignoring almost every other simple stat out there.
Go Rice Owls!
Okay.
I’m saying that in the absence of other information, the two statistics you are likely to hear about a pitcher are W-L and ERA. If you have nothing else, you have at least a ballpark estimate of what that pitcher brings to the table.
But this is the point: why would you not have anything else? Where are you going to look at how pitchers did and see only wins and ERA?
And pretending they tell you something useful is exactly the attitude that will continue to have Joe Morgan telling you wins and losses when he’s on TV instead of having someone tell you something informative.
see, this is what I disagree with
the attitude that will continue to have Joe Morgan telling you wins and losses when he’s on TV instead of having someone tell you something informative.
I don’t like Joe Morgan, and I wish he said useful things too. But on the spectrum of inane useless Joe Morgan commentary, wins are pretty mild. Ultimately, I don’t see some sort of higher purpose or we need to change the world cause in all of this. Most fans don’t care to the extent that we do. They know what a win and ERA is, and I’m happy they understand ERA. Slow evolution to include OBP has been good. But sportscasters will never throw up a guys FIP when he enters a game, unless they are trying to prove some random point. So when a pitcher I have never heard of comes in, and they give me his W-L and ERA on tv, I quickly estimate his value, knowing that it is simply an estimate, and accept that unless I feel like walking to my computer, I will just have to live with that.
Go Rice Owls!
If they know what a win is. . .
. . . why can’t wins be presented to them in a less arbitrary manner?
Or why can’t we just present things they understand that are also going to tell them something? Wins don’t tell them anything, and then we get some dumbass coming to Lone Star ball talking about wins and losses because Joe Morgan said so on TV.
We throw up QB Rating when players enter games. I don’t see why a better statistic that intends to do the same thing would “never” be presented in baseball. But, as the Braves broadcaster who intends to use FIP in games said, it’s less about adding new stats and more about eliminating stats that create wrong-headedness. Wins is such a stat, and getting rid of them is far more important to me than adding something like FIP.
Fair enough
Like I said, I think I just care less about how sophisticated the average fan’s knowledge is. As long as my team’s GM knows what’s up, and there are sources where I can read people who know what’s up; I’m good.
Go Rice Owls!
Rich Harden would probably care about his record a little, don't you think?
"Jurick Profar is tired of practice!! I wanna play I wanna play….waiting for march 12 to go to spring training! to kill some pichers:D:D I am Jurickson Profar son of judeska and chesmond.. And I was born ready! ready to play baseball!!" - Jurickson Profar
What does this have to do with anything?
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 8:04 PM CDT up reply actions
You asked a cynical question
I answered accordingly.
"Jurick Profar is tired of practice!! I wanna play I wanna play….waiting for march 12 to go to spring training! to kill some pichers:D:D I am Jurickson Profar son of judeska and chesmond.. And I was born ready! ready to play baseball!!" - Jurickson Profar
And I don’t think wins are an important stat. I just think it’s stupid to reply to one of Josey’s trap comments.
"Jurick Profar is tired of practice!! I wanna play I wanna play….waiting for march 12 to go to spring training! to kill some pichers:D:D I am Jurickson Profar son of judeska and chesmond.. And I was born ready! ready to play baseball!!" - Jurickson Profar
You know you are in the head of some people
when they accuse you of “trap comments” when it was nothing more than baseball stream of conscious.
I’m truly not expecting any more from Harden than a 12-6 record, 3.60 ERA and I’ll be ecstatic with 160 IPs.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Most of your comments lead to hijacked threads.
The comments don’t really bug me (eco-friendly bit-recycling). It’s the people replying to them that try really hard to change your opinion. Although, lately, I’ve seen some very well-informed exchanges. Maybe this is a sign from the baseball gods about good things coming our way this year. haha.
"Jurick Profar is tired of practice!! I wanna play I wanna play….waiting for march 12 to go to spring training! to kill some pichers:D:D I am Jurickson Profar son of judeska and chesmond.. And I was born ready! ready to play baseball!!" - Jurickson Profar
So long as Harden is the opening starter for a playoff series, I'm happy with 150 IP.
Pro baseball has always been a dream, so this is pretty freakin’ cool out here. -- Tim Steggall, undrafted Rangers minor leaguer.
um
so long as Harden any Rangers starter is the opening starter for a playoff series, I’m happy with 150 IP anything
Nice clarification
There are three things in my life which I really love: God, my family, and baseball. The only problem - once baseball season starts, I change the order around a bit. ~Al Gallagher
by Suicide Prince on Mar 16, 2010 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions
Cruz
Anyone else think he took a bad route on the triple in the second inning?
Looked to me like he did and possibly could have kept that to a double which would have kept the run from scoring a couple batters later
Bryan Smith (12:17:17 PM PT): Justin Smoak and Josh Hamilton. The AL West might just have found their Bash Brothers, v. 2.0.
140+ IP and under about 4.5 runs allowed a game (indepentent of fielding). . .
. . . is all it should take to justify the contract, and thus anything better than that we should be happy with.
So, yes, a 3.60 ERA, assuming it’s deserved, and the same innings totals he’s put up the last couple years would be good.
Borbon looked bad in CF
hopefully he would have dove for that ball in the regular season (or caught it without diving, as it didn’t land that far in front of him)
and his arm is just weaker than I imagined and weaker than I remember last year
I’m optimistic about this season for him, but he looked bad yesterday
I didn't think he looked bad
His arm looked poor, but he flashed some impressive range on that inning-ending fly ball he ran down in, I think, the 4th.
by Adam J. Morris on Mar 16, 2010 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions
That was my first thought
If he can get to balls like that then they’ll be fine for a CF. I’m more concerned about the lackluster performances of just about all of our utility candidates. You’d think one of these guys would step up.
German has been up and down
but he had a nice play in the hole and Lemon almost turned the DP. I think if Wash keeps working with him he’ll be serviceable enough at SS.
by Whiskey in my Whiskey on Mar 16, 2010 10:48 AM CDT up reply actions
I hope so.
Didn’t German also have an error on the first ball hit to him at SS?
Sounds right
but I’m not sure it was the first. That was the “down” part.
by Whiskey in my Whiskey on Mar 16, 2010 10:56 AM CDT up reply actions
The arm is weak
but he had a great jump on a rocket to right center and made a terrific catch. I don’t remember what inning but it was a great play.
by Whiskey in my Whiskey on Mar 16, 2010 10:18 AM CDT up reply actions
I don't worry as much about the every day players (vets) performance
in these games nearly as much as I do the players like Boggs, Max, Smoak (he knocked the living tar out of the gapper).
I’m not really worried about Borbon either. A .376 OBP at that age makes me purr about his future. He’s just not going to have a strong throwing arm but he’s also flanked by two of the best arms in the game.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 10:21 AM CDT up reply actions
Smoak
From the two games I’ve seen so far, I’ve been very impressed.
"He's not coming back. That chick was like, the Pele of anal."
-- Sterling Archer
A patient switch-hitter who commands the strike-zone that hits with power that
we can stick in the middle of this line-up not named Milton Bradley makes my baseball heart flutter.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 10:46 AM CDT up reply actions
Although I'm hopeful
I think a .376 OBP is a little too optimistic for Borbon for this season. That would indicate a very patient hitter and he doesn’t have that type of track record in the minors. I think if he’s above .350 in his first full MLB season we should all be very pleased.
by Whiskey in my Whiskey on Mar 16, 2010 11:19 AM CDT up reply actions
162 games
or 140 (whatever amount Borbon plays this year) will give us a clearer picture but that’s a very nice indicator that he can play in The Show and contribute.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:22 AM CDT up reply actions
No question.
I’m looking forward to seeing him contribute this year. His plate discipline has really improved.
by Whiskey in my Whiskey on Mar 16, 2010 11:25 AM CDT up reply actions
i personally couldnt give a shit about players performance
its spring training. who cares.
thats like saying you want pitchers to have a good era in ST. doesnt. freaking. matter.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:35 AM CDT up reply actions
Sometimes it matters.
We kept hearing stories about how bad Chris Davis was last year in ST and upon further review, seemed to be rather important.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:40 AM CDT up reply actions
no
it doesnt matter, thats just it.
if doug mathis goes 6-0, 0.00 era, 10 k/9, 2 bb/9 should he be the opening day starter? no
STUFF matters. hence, im not worried about sheets (10 battrs, 0 outs yesterday) or harden after his first start of sub 90 mph and dont put much stock in the fact that davis has been a ST beasticon.
if davis looks good in BP, in the cage and in games, good. if harden looks good in side sessions, bullpens, etc but sucks in the games BUT has good stuff im happy.
spring training does not matter.
what about how bad FOTF was at 3b last year in ST, was that “important”? lol
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions
Michael Young's play at 3B last spring wasn't particularly good
and it took him about 100 games to start looking comfortable which was to be expected. I only saw him for a week in March but I would imagine he became better the more he played the position.
You still pissed The Face treated JD like dog crap on his cleats in public?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions
oh no, i dont care if he asks for a trade
i only wish that JD had said what the cardinals said to edge james a few yrs ago when he demanded a trade so he could get more rushing attempts: we are happy to let you go somewhere else and get the playing time you want, just sign your release papers and you will be free to negotiate a contract with whoever will give you that playing time
but he didnt
the underlying point still is there, that Spring Training stats do. not. matter.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:52 AM CDT up reply actions
JD didn't have the stones to do that, kok.
Hell, he had to bring The Mensa with him to ask The Face to move in the first place.
Think Billy Beane ever brought Art Howe or Geren into a meeting like that?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:54 AM CDT up reply actions
i love how you use beane as your example
you think theo went and told nomar he was trading him face to face?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:56 AM CDT up reply actions
Dunno about Theo/Nomar
but apparently JD was afraid to tell Young by himself.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:58 AM CDT up reply actions
and it all worked out ok
because mike young went all child like and pouted and demanded a trade.
had he actually been a very good player, that would be one thing. but hes not.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 12:00 PM CDT up reply actions
Still can't quite turn the page, can you?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 12:03 PM CDT up reply actions
We talked about this yesterday.
Young did one thing (in the eyes of Lewinskys) wrong while JD has screwed the pooch on yearly basis.
There’s a difference and hopefully JD was much better this off-season than he’s ever been in the past.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 12:08 PM CDT up reply actions
what was his screw the pooch last year?
moving FOTF to 3b? lol
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 12:10 PM CDT up reply actions
The "screw the pooch" moments
came in not addressing the OBP problem after Milton Bradley left.
He picked up Blalock’s option and the Angels signed Abreu for $ 1 million less.
Then he let CDavis drown for a full month more in The Show than he should have.
When Hank F started swerving in late July, he should have picked up somebody at the trade deadline.
Bringing Davis back up and burying Hank F at the most important time of year and seeing the team go from a one game out to 8 games out in 3 weeks didn’t work out very well either.
Big Screw The Pooch Moments and the main reason we stayed home in October.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 12:21 PM CDT up reply actions
remind me who makes the day to day
lineup decisions?
…JD?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 12:22 PM CDT up reply actions
When JD disagrees with Wash
(see Kinsler/Borbon) he tells him what to do with the line-up.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 12:25 PM CDT up reply actions
When Kinsler returned to the line-up
from injury last August, he was told by Wash that he was told that Kinsler would be hitting down in the order and that Borbon would be hitting lead-off.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 12:39 PM CDT up reply actions
kind of like
when he told the manager to play botts?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 12:39 PM CDT up reply actions
I don't think JD worried too much
about Botts.
I was told by a veteran major league player in 2007 (who played against him) that Botts was “just a big guy and not good enough to play in the big leagues.”
I didn’t really believe it at the time and still don’t think he was given enough of an opportunity but that may have been the prevailing thought by those in the game (including JD).
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 12:47 PM CDT up reply actions
Josey
Remember, we had this conversation last year about Young & JD?
You’ve said that Nolan was running the show at the time, and had taken away JD’s power. You’ve also said that the players didn’t respect JD.
So if we accept those things to be true, then doesn’t it follow that Nolan was the one who made the decision to move Young to third, along with the decision to have JD be the one to deliver the message?
Surely, Nolan had a pretty good idea of what would happen, and yet he sent JD to try and talk Young into moving to third anyway.
So, following all that, doesn’t Nolan come off looking like a complete dumbass for entrusting such an important matter to someone who he knew Young would react badly to?
I’m really curious why you’ve let Nolan off the hook for this, and continually blamed JD. That’s the kind of thing a Lewinsky would do.
"He's not coming back. That chick was like, the Pele of anal."
-- Sterling Archer
Nolan took away JD's
power to spend money on free agents or make trades without his approval.
JD was still the GM of the team and had some duties (including telling Young what the organization wanted to do).
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Ah, OK
And you know this how? Did Nolan tell you himself?
Or is this just more speculation on your part? Sorry, but when I don’t see assertions backed up with sources, I tend to call “bullshit.”
Opinions are a great thing to have, but in the absence of actual evidence, that’s all they are.
"He's not coming back. That chick was like, the Pele of anal."
-- Sterling Archer
So what do think were the
dynamics of the situation?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Honestly?
I do think Nolan and JD don’t always see eye-to-eye, but I also think they’re capable of working together.
If Nolan really didn’t trust JD with the keys, he’s had ample opportunities to get rid of him, and instead, came out this past winter and praised him for the work he’s done. A number of JD’s people were also promoted into important positions in the front office this past off-season, which I don’t see happening unless Nolan is confident that JD can do the job.
Has there been conflict? Absolutely. I think Hicks muddied up the chain of command, and it caused some problems (hence the reports of various factions within the front office) the first two seasons that Nolan was here.
But I also think that’s largely a thing of the past, and neither man seems like the type to hold grudges and let previous differences of opinion poison their current relationship.
"He's not coming back. That chick was like, the Pele of anal."
-- Sterling Archer
So, much like real life
There is some give-and-take in a situation? Nah, couldn’t be…
"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"When you have a weapon on your shoulder like he has, you can be cool." RW on Perez
And the little bastard threw it for a swinging strike three in a 3-2 count. He’s blessed. And ballsy.
Today, I think I'll have the apple pie
"What ... 92 miles per hour?" Feldman scoffed. "That's not gas. Feliz throws gas."
by NorCalRangersFan on Mar 16, 2010 12:24 PM CDT up reply actions
Apple sucks
Give me the cherry pie!
wakka, wakka, wakka
"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"When you have a weapon on your shoulder like he has, you can be cool." RW on Perez
And the little bastard threw it for a swinging strike three in a 3-2 count. He’s blessed. And ballsy.
Dude, you still will bring up the same points on Blalock/Davis
9 months later
you cannot call someone out for not turning the page 1 DAY later
Hank's gone
and my concerns are with Davis. I think he’s the most important player on the Rangers in regards to the offense improving in 2010.
Somebody may bring up Hank in an attempt to draw me offsides but I try to limit my discussions on him because he’s no longer a Ranger.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 12:15 PM CDT up reply actions
also, i though the "douchebaggery"
ended the day nolan came into the org?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 12:10 PM CDT up reply actions
cant turn the page?
lol me?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 12:05 PM CDT up reply actions
Tuesday, March 16 @ Cubs 3:05 PM
Webcast on MLB.com
Ahh, solace for the soul.
"Back on the scene, with a gangsta lean" RW
"When you have a weapon on your shoulder like he has, you can be cool." RW on Perez
And the little bastard threw it for a swinging strike three in a 3-2 count. He’s blessed. And ballsy.
thanks for everyones help with the stream last night
I have some kinks to work out, well get there.
Try to do a webcast of the radio broadcast today.
PM Productions - My Work - Song of the Week - Clip of the Week
"Heres the thing... I made that tape special for today, my special Monday morning tape for you, SPECIAL!
Well it's fucking Monday afternoon you should get out of bed earlier!"
John Cusack and Jack Black, High Fidelity
by PM Productions on Mar 16, 2010 10:26 AM CDT via mobile reply actions
Summary of CJ's recent appearance on B&S is up on the DMN Blog
http://rangersblog.dallasnews.com/archives/2010/03/cj-wilson-on-how-to-get-rid-of.html
On showing more value for the Rangers as a starter than as the successful reliever he is:
“(General Manager Jon Daniels and Assistant G.M. Thad Levine) framed it like a challenge. ‘Look, we know how good you are as a reliever . . . and we need that, we need somebody down there that’s really good, and we believe in Feliz and we believe in (Darren) O’Day, and we believe in Oliver.’ That’s why they signed him, right? ‘So, if you’re not able to be head-and-shoulders above the competition in spring training as a starter, then it’s not worth that risk of kinda rolling the dice, in a way’. Because it is a little bit of a dice roll, and I agree with that. . .I would never really make any sort of demands in terms of saying ‘Hey, I deserve this or that’ . . . Then, they made some pushes this year to align the team a certain way, and there happens to be a small tiny little nook for me to possibly to slide into there.”
"He will not coddle them. Nolan Ryan doesn’t coddle." - Jeff Passan
It sounds like...
everyone in the organization is on the same page with Ceej about all this starter stuff.
Today will be very interesting. Seeing how both BGL and Feliz do over 4 innings should be fun.
"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates
I think that quote I pasted
should kind of calm all the haters down that he’s just looking for attention by demanding he be given a shot at the rotation.
"He will not coddle them. Nolan Ryan doesn’t coddle." - Jeff Passan
by Dirk Diggler on Mar 16, 2010 11:09 AM CDT up reply actions
wishful thinking I know
"He will not coddle them. Nolan Ryan doesn’t coddle." - Jeff Passan
by Dirk Diggler on Mar 16, 2010 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions
yep
Unfortunately, one positive quote from CJ doesn’t outweigh the 1 potentially negative quote that people have turned into a month long bitch fest
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
I can get behind that.
I think he overrates himself, but I would think everyone would in the same position. Nothing he said is unreasonable for once.
Don't tou mean you "would never AGAIN make any sort of demands saying "Hey I deserve this or that", CJ?
Morality you can fake. Fun you either have or you don't.
if you’re not able to be head-and-shoulders above the competition in spring training as a starter
He hasn’t been so far and I doubt that he will be.
Vladimir Guererro - 2010 AL MVP
x
@harrypav THT: Will Kasey Kiker make it? http://bit.ly/d9OOR7 Looks like mid/late inning relief to me.
"I was going to say, 'You’re gay for Elvis.' But then I realized that I, too, am gay for Elvis." ~Adam J. Morris.
Sigh ... that was quick.
It’s not even noon and reading this thread is already a friggin’ beat down. Off hand, does anybody know what the record is for the shortest amount of time it has taken a daily update thread to blow up?
"Ok, post your favorite moment of the Tom Hicks era
Mine is today when he sold the team." - t ball
Lick the sweat off my nutsack.
Go.
"Ok, post your favorite moment of the Tom Hicks era
Mine is today when he sold the team." - t ball
Well
Come on down from the sticks and let’s go.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:13 AM CDT up reply actions
down from the sticks?
north texas = the sticks?
…really?
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:36 AM CDT up reply actions
Sherman is the sticks
You of all people should realize that.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions
no
deep east texas is the sticks (im from there) west texas is the sticks (you know that). north texas does not = the sticks in comparison.
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:38 AM CDT up reply actions
I lived in Paris for a couple of years.
Trust me it’s the sticks.
by brettgardner on Mar 16, 2010 11:39 AM CDT up reply actions
paris does suck.
but then again i consider paris east texas lol (well northeast texas)
paris-sulphur springs-tyler-carthage
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:41 AM CDT up reply actions
east texas
the sticks.
lol
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
by knockoutking on Mar 16, 2010 11:44 AM CDT up reply actions
I think Dixie starts in Greenville
and goes all the way to the Atlantic Ocean.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:47 AM CDT up reply actions
Bring something to the table to advance the discussion
instead of bitching about other people not entertaining you.
Grab the microphone and start singing, Sinatra.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions
See above, you and brett can take turns.
"Ok, post your favorite moment of the Tom Hicks era
Mine is today when he sold the team." - t ball
So we're inside three weeks of Opening Day and your feeble brain
can’t move the discussion forward with anything better than “Lick the sweat off my nutsack” ?
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:16 AM CDT up reply actions
This is my favorite bit...
The “then bring something else to the table” schtick or else I’m going to continue to post the same 10 things I always do to rile up the masses.
Fantastic advice Ass Antlers.
"The only good is knowledge and the only evil is ignorance."-Socrates
OT Kendra Wilkerson on with Norm
Unintentional comedy meter about to blow up.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
She. Is. A. Beating.
and a buttaface
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
and still a Playboy model
You could do much worse
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
Hef lost his mind w/ that one.
Of course after the great Barbi Benton, he started eating corn flakes for breakfast every day.
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
Barbi Benton
A Hey now!!! from back in the day.
Still looks okay….gotta be in her 60s by now.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:29 AM CDT up reply actions
Yessir, magnetic eyes

'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
I've heard the name bandied about
but know nothing about her other than being in Playboy and being married to Baskett.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
by Josey Wales on Mar 16, 2010 11:23 AM CDT up reply actions
Imagine the most annoying laugh you've ever heard.
Then start scraping chalkboard with fingernails…
That’s still more pleasant than Kendra’s ridiculous laugh.
My wife loved “Girls Next Door” — if only she could enjoy it on mute, it’d be tolerable.
She gave the Soup so much unintentional humor
and for that (plus her lack of clothing most of the time), I am thankful
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
Yeah, great for the Soup.
You get my point exactly here.
Josh now has a root canal problem / The Ticket
It never ends.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
and they called him Mister Glass
She say she are the manager.
by rockin_rangers on Mar 16, 2010 11:51 AM CDT up reply actions
side note
but dude, gary vaynerchuk is funny as hell. also its an interesting video to watch (linked form TED to youtube
do what you love (no excuses!)
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
also
CBS Sports NCAA March Madness on Demand iphone app is available for $9.99.
Watch live video of All 63 NCAA March Madness games ANYWHERE on EDGE/3G/Wi-Fi with your official NCAA March Madness companion. (via techbargains)
since i know its coming up and a ton of ppl have iphones on here…
Scout: He was a first-round pick right? Got a huge bonus?
KG: Oh yeah.
Scout: Well, he spent a lot of it on milkshakes.
Nelson's taking a step forward this year.
He’s going to lead the league in home runs, he’s going to steal 30 bases, and he’s going to deserve to win the Gold Glove (AS A RIGHT FIELDER) and to be on MVP ballots.
Good times.
I think Nelson Cruz is what he is.
If he was 24-25 years old and coming off last year I might agree with you.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
No, I thought you were serious.
Forgive if incorrect but most in here think more highly of Cruz than me and I thought you were a part of that ilk.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I'll bet I think more highly of him, too.
But I thought that was thinly veiled homerism for the sake of excitement.
Do you think Cruz "is what he is"
because of his age?
I think he’ll hit 35 HR’s with a .850 OPS and do a lot of very stupid shit this year.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Late '70s Ellis Valentine
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
I've come around on Cruz
and late 70s EValentine was a usable player until he started playing harder off the field.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
Yeah, I meant it as a compliment
Big bat, arm, and speed. Just not superstar.
'Waiting for a girl and she gets me into fights
Waiting for a girl we get drunk on Friday night'
"is what he is" comes from Parcells although I think the derivative came from his description about what the standings say your team is a la "You are what you are."
Do you see Cruz improving on last year or is the 2009 version what we are likely to see in 2010?
I say, more of the same.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I expect roughly the same.
I certainly think he can improve. He can also get worse.
CHONE, btw, is more accurate than either of us. It’s got him improving by about 1/10th of a win on offense but regressing by more than half a win on defense.
Even if that's true
and a 29 year old who only started playing baseball at age 18 won’t make any sort of improvements at this point in his career, I’ll still gladly take it.
By 2028, Mark Teixeira will be in the HOF.
"I am one of the biggest Texas Ranger fans out there but I'm also one of the smartest. Deal with it."
-The Outlaw
I'm wondering how Kinsler plans to be back
within the next week with a high ankle sprain? It would seem he’ll damn near be out for the rest of ST.
Not real excited to hear about Hamilton already, within the first 2 weeks he’s hurt his wrist and shoulder and now a damn root canal issue. I need to prepare myself that Hamilton may not even get 350 abs this year, which frustrates the shit out of me.
"Big whoop, wanna fight about it?"
My community projection for plate appearances with Josh
was 380. I think I had one of the lowest totals but 380 may have been wishful thinking.
My gosh, I thought he was gonna get hurt on that little pop fly to LF that he staggered under.
"Dying ain't hard. It's living that's hard."
"Ranger players, especially veterans, weren’t surprised that Daniels couldn’t find a deal"
"The Influence continues." Josey Wales (1/18/10)
I'm trying to stay optimistic with Josh,
but I’m starting to get an eery feeling this will become the norm to assume lingering injuries are his worst enemy.
"Big whoop, wanna fight about it?"
by lost in space on Mar 16, 2010 2:24 PM CDT up reply actions

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