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Rangers schedule through the All-Star break = Optimism

I knew the rangers schedule was pretty favorable for the month of May but I went ahead and looked all the way through the All-Star break and it turns out there are only a 4 teams (out of 19) that have a winning record and we play 11 of 19 series at home.  If we continue to get good pitching, I see no reason why this team can't be 54 - 33 by the time we hit the break.  Here is a snapshot of the schedule through July 11th: (note xWin and xLoss is only my opinion and not based on any mathematical formula.)

W L % Games xWin xLoss
OAK 17 15 0.531 3 2 1
TOR 19 14 0.576 3 1 2
LAA 14 19 0.424 2 1 1
Bal 9 23 0.281 2 2 0
CHC 14 18 0.438 3 2 1
KC 11 21 0.344 2 2 0
MIN 21 11 0.656   3 1 2
May Total 105 121 0.465 18 11 7
CHW 13 19 0.406 3 2 1
TB 22 9 0.710 3 1 2
SEA 12 19 0.387 4 3 1
MIL 15 16 0.484 3 2 1
FLA 14 17 0.452 3 1 2
HOU 10 21 0.323 3 2 1
PIT 14 17 0.452 3 2 1
HOU 10 21 0.323 3 3 0
LAA 14 19 0.424   2 1 1
June Total 124 158 0.440 27 17 10
CHW 13 19 0.406 3 2 1
CLE 11 18 0.379 3 3 0
BAL 9 23 0.281   4 3 1
July Total 33 60 0.355 10 8 2
Total 262 339 0.436   55 36 19
Home Games Over .500  
May 10th Record     18 14
Projected July 11th record 54 33

I'm an optimist but this seems reasonable to me.  I think this team would really have to play poorly for this not to happen.  What are your thought?

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I think we'll get swept by Minnesota

And split both series with Baltimore (depending on what the matchups look like; Matusz will beat us every single time he faces us). Otherwise, looks good to me.

by JDT217 on May 10, 2010 1:04 PM CDT reply actions  

Houston

You can throw the records out the window when the Rangers and Astros match up

by blue glove dooshy on May 10, 2010 1:32 PM CDT reply actions  

Because it's quite the rivalry, right?

"Jurick Profar is tired of practice!! I wanna play I wanna play….waiting for march 12 to go to spring training! to kill some pichers:D:D I am Jurickson Profar son of judeska and chesmond.. And I was born ready! ready to play baseball!!" - Jurickson Profar

by chrisR on May 10, 2010 2:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

Silver Boot, Bitches!!

"Drinks are on me if Lewis posts >168IP and an era lower than 3.86." by RangerMad on Jan 20, 2010 12:36 PM PST

by jam0152 on May 10, 2010 5:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Agree

Mavs-Spurs games are awesome. I didn’t know they had that silver boot thing.

"Jurick Profar is tired of practice!! I wanna play I wanna play….waiting for march 12 to go to spring training! to kill some pichers:D:D I am Jurickson Profar son of judeska and chesmond.. And I was born ready! ready to play baseball!!" - Jurickson Profar

by chrisR on May 11, 2010 1:37 AM CDT up reply actions  

21 games above .500, hmm?

I hope your right but I’m not going to hold my breath.

by ncrangerfan on May 10, 2010 1:44 PM CDT reply actions  

damn

after the rays series in june that is an extremely favorable sched until the all star break

by Elvis4Prez on May 10, 2010 1:52 PM CDT reply actions  

yea, the Rangers play

literally the worst teams in baseball one right after the other.

I’m optimistic myself, thinking they can start to turn it on before the all star break, and beat the teams that they’re supposed to dominate.

by DevilManHammy on May 10, 2010 2:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

Good stuff.

I was trying to point this out during April as well with all the “another slow start” panic.

We had an April this year that was much more difficult than it’s been in most recent years. Add to that we blew games after the 8th inning at a rate very unlikely to continue and there wasn’t reason for such worry.

by Rangers100 on May 10, 2010 6:26 PM CDT reply actions  

I'm not sure

about 54-33, but I am optimistic that they could wind up in first place. The Rangers always have a weird pitfall team — like Detroit last year — that they just can’t seem to beat. It wouldn’t surprise me if Bal. or Fla beat the shit out of the Rangers. Just ’cause.

That aside, I think the last 20 days have proven that this is the class of the West. Such as it is.

That's why they call them business sox

by egriffey on May 10, 2010 6:29 PM CDT reply actions  

51-36

I think they this is more realistic and I think they will end up with 90 wins and the AL West division crown.

by Tony10 on May 10, 2010 8:38 PM CDT reply actions  

This is just a guess, but

if we play all the teams with losing records before the All-Star break, then I would think that the other teams in the West also play the same ones too.

"Evolution happened, now get over it." Michael Shermer

by rodcarew on May 11, 2010 2:37 PM CDT reply actions  

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