2011 Community Projections Review: Yorvit Torrealba

by Brad on Nov 21, 2011 2:00 PM CST

ARLINGTON, TX - JULY 26: Yorvit Torrealba #8 of the Texas Rangers runs after hitting a two-run home run against the Minnesota Twins at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington on July 26, 2011 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)

Yorvit Torrealba was one of the first new acquisitions for the Texas Rangers in the off season prior to 2011. In 2010 he had his best offensive season since 2002, posting a slash of .271 / .343 / .378 for a .721 OPS in 363 PA for the Padres. The catcher production for the Rangers had been a black hole in 2010 and Torrealba represented a good chance to get closer to league average production. The projections were very tightly grouped and expected a bit more playing time and power with a regression in AVG and OBP closer to his career numbers.

	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	RMSE
LSB Average	395	.266	.328	.389	.717	4.92%
ZiPS	320	.271	.331	.389	.720	12.57%
Snark (Marcel)	406	.261	.325	.382	.707	4.63%
2011 Results	419	.273	.306	.399	.705	0.00%

Torrealba had a year close to what was expected. The drop off in OBP was more severe than projected, down to .306, but he had a bit more power than what was projected to make his OPS a respectable .705. Torrealba had an absolutely awful May with a .346 OPS... in all other months his OPS was .781, .796, .727, .793 and .729. Solid offensive production to help plug a leak in the lineup.

Using a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) approach [lower is better] the top and bottom individual projections have mathewsherill at the top of the projections and Bats and Balls at the bottom.

Everyone's rankings can be found in this Google Spreadsheet and the top and bottom 5 shake out as:

Top 5	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	RMSE
1. mathewsherill	427	.259	.321	.405	.726	3.75%
2. ForeverRanger	430	.275	.325	.415	.740	3.94%
3. Gay for Feliz	450	.265	.300	.400	.700	4.10%
4. chrisR	400	.255	.309	.390	.699	4.19%
5. Poltergeist	420	.263	.309	.369	.678	4.21%

Bottom 5	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	RMSE
74. Aquaman, Esq.	510	.274	.343	.420	.763	12.71%
75. ruben_sierra#21	319	.241	.295	.372	.667	13.84%
76. Ryin A	320	.280	.350	.380	.730	14.09%
77. slc ranger	307	.254	.315	.354	.669	14.99%
78. Bats and Balls	300	.250	.309	.370	.679	15.26%

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Comments

So awesome at these, you guys.

"Sometimes you just want to sit back and watch somebody throw 100." - Jeff Passan on Neftali Feliz

"Baseball's all that's real" - JB

by Ryin A on Nov 21, 2011 2:04 PM CST via mobile reply actions

You finished the top 80!

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Nov 21, 2011 2:14 PM CST via mobile up reply actions

I remember May

A lot of folks were hitting the panic button. Nappy/Torry was a MONSTROUS upgrade over the hiting blackhole of Treanor/Teagarden.

Baseball's hard, guys. I mean, it really is. You can love it but, believe me, it don't always love you back. It's kind of like dating a German chick, you know?

by Buttermaker on Nov 21, 2011 2:13 PM CST reply actions

Yes, top 5!

Hey, Match, at the end of the projections you should see who had the best average finish.

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Nov 21, 2011 2:16 PM CST via mobile reply actions

Or worst

But I think I get that hands down.

by Mark from OC on Nov 21, 2011 3:38 PM CST up reply actions

You havent done too well, have you?

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Nov 21, 2011 7:02 PM CST via mobile up reply actions

Nope

I might be in the top 5 if you used my numbers to create an OPS.
But I killed myself with PAs in most cases.

by Mark from OC on Nov 21, 2011 9:31 PM CST up reply actions

In most?

I’ll redo them all with the slash line only…

But your Hamilton and Cruz had nothing to do with the PA.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Nov 21, 2011 9:35 PM CST up reply actions

nailed the OPS

"...out of the shadows of unprecedented success, the sun shines down upon this team waiting to thrill anew." - ghostofErikThompson

by jam0152 on Nov 21, 2011 2:18 PM CST reply actions

Nailed it!

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Nov 21, 2011 2:20 PM CST up reply actions

As did I

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Nov 21, 2011 2:41 PM CST via mobile up reply actions

Not as good as me.

"...out of the shadows of unprecedented success, the sun shines down upon this team waiting to thrill anew." - ghostofErikThompson

by jam0152 on Nov 21, 2011 2:43 PM CST up reply actions

As did I

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Nov 21, 2011 2:41 PM CST via mobile up reply actions

Not as good as me?

Expectation is the root of all heartache. — William Shakespeare

by TheDutchOven on Nov 21, 2011 4:50 PM CST up reply actions

What?

Idiot

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Nov 21, 2011 7:02 PM CST via mobile up reply actions

by slc ranger on Nov 21, 2011 3:48 PM CST reply actions

Top 5

I was right in the middle of a fucking reptile zoo! And somebody was giving booze to these god damn things! It wont be long now, before they tear us to shreds.

by Poltergeist on Nov 21, 2011 11:15 PM CST reply actions