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Forecast the Rangers after the Winter Meeting





Since I'm in the business of forecasting, I find the what-if's of the winter meetings much more fun than the trades that actually happen. And so, what does everyone think the Rangers roster will look like by Friday?

I believe there is 0% chance the Rangers go into the season with their current rotation. It doesn't have enough at the top. I believe Olney's reports; they make too much sense in light of the payroll:

Olney speculates that an offer from another team of $75 million or more to Wilson "may take the Rangers out of play."
Olney continues to maintain that the Rangers "are considered to be the favorites to land" Darvish.
I'm not convinced Darvish wants to land anywhere but the east coast, and it's got to be a near certainty that the Nationals and Marlins push the bidding for CJ to $90M. I think the Rangers get something solid at the Winter Meetings via trade; then let the chips fall where they may with Darvish down the road.

I feel like the safe forecast is Oswalt on a 1yr deal and a trade for Matt Thornton, say Robbie Ross and a low-level relief prospect for Thornton. My real forecast, though, is the blockbuster that I feel just makes too much sense and requires only that both teams see their chances finally dwindle to nil on signing their homegrown FA:
Greinke for Hamilton.

By next Friday, the Rangers will have Greinke, and they are going to get a reliever, and I'm going to guess that it will be Joel Hanrahan.

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