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Around SBN: On Hazards And Hulks And Tigers, Oh My!

Some Minor League Reference Data

Yesterday there was an interesting subthread on the drop in offense the last couple of years in the major leagues.  To avoid a really long, irrelevant series of posts in between that discussion, I've linked my comment.  Click the "up" button to see the original post in the thread.

Spurred partly by that discussion, I wanted to post some basic 2011 numbers for the different minor leagues for reference.  When looking at our prospects' stats I like to be at least vaguely aware of their league environments and park factors.  Below are some figures for the 4 full season leagues relevant to the Rangers.  Resources used include Baseball Reference's minor league pages, StatCorner, and Firstinning.com. 

 

 

 

Pacific Coast League - AAA  Round Rock Express

  • Park Factors:  With 100 as a league average, StatCorner lists Round Rock's wOBA figures as 102 for LHB and 98 for RHB.  (OKC is 101/99)  It is, however, a HR depressor for lefties, at a park factor of 88/99.
  • League slash lines:  .282/.358/.440.  The PCL has trended up overall the last couple seasons, bucking the major league trend over that time. 
  • Runs per game/BB rate/K rate:  5.56/9.8%/17.9%
  • Average age - 26.9

Texas League - AA Frisco Roughriders

  • Park Factors:  98/100 for wOBA; 89/114 for HR.  
  • League slash lines:  .262/.338/.418. 
  • RPG/BB/K:  4.96/9.4%/19.1%
  • Average age - 24.0

Carolina League - A+ Myrtle Beach Pelicans

  • Park Factors:  96/98 wOBA; 95/102
  • League slash lines:  .244/.315/.374
  • RPG/BB/K:  4.11/8.3%/20.6%
  • Average age - 22.8

South Atlantic League - A Hickory Crawdads

  • Park Factors:  106/100 wOBA; 148/113 HR     Lefty hitters get a real boost here. 
  • League slash lines:  .264/.337/.404
  • RPG/BB/K:  4.93/8.5%/20.4%
  • Average age - 21.4

American League numbers, for comparison:

League slash - .250/.320/.389, wow that looks odd seeing the AL barely clear the .700 OPS mark. 

Runs per game/BB rate/K rate - 4.22/8.7%/17.6%

Arlington park factors - 103/106 wOBA; 120/109 HR

As players move up through the system they'll face some changing run and park environments.  It's a bit easier to draw a walk in the TX league than in the Carolina League, and you're quite a bit less likely to strike out in the PCL this year. 

To choose just one example of how this helps me put stats in context (or confirm my biases if you prefer) this kind of stuff makes me a tiny bit more impressed with Mike Olt and less so with Mendonca.  Olt's high walk-high strikeout line compares better with his league than Mendonca's miniscule walk rate and sky high K rate.  Also, it takes, on average, nearly 56 plate appearances to see a HR in Olt's league, but just 39 in the TX League.  That also makes Erlin's HR rate a tad bit more alarming. 

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League FIPs

Does anyone know how to calculate the current FIP constant? The standard is to add 3.20 to the results of the adding, subtracting, dividing, but I would like to be current if possible. I’m getting different results than firstinning.com.

Nelson Cruz - 2011 MVP

by t ball on May 21, 2011 12:10 AM CDT reply actions  

Ok, I think I have the right FIPs

based on some research on constants on Tom Tango’s blog:

AAA PCL – 4.96 (league ERA currently 5.06)
AA TX – 4.46 (4.53)
A+ Carolina – 3.62
A SAL – 4.01

The constant formula is (I think) 9*ER+2*K-3*(BB-IBB+HBP)-13*HR/IP.

The FIP formula is ((HR*13+BB*3)-(K*2)/IP)+constant.

Nelson Cruz - 2011 MVP

by t ball on May 21, 2011 12:37 AM CDT up reply actions  

forgot to include

the league ERAs for the last two. Carolina is 3.77 and SAL is 4.30.

Nelson Cruz - 2011 MVP

by t ball on May 21, 2011 12:42 AM CDT up reply actions  

Some key prospects' FIP numbers

I’m still getting different FIPs than the listed numbers at firstinning.com, so these may be off. Of course, I’ve had a couple of drinks, so I’m probably messing up something easy and stupid…Maybe firstinning is using the constant from 2010? Yes, if I do that the numbers are closer but still different, aargh.

Anyway here are a few numbers for top arms listing both my calculation/firstinning.com’s figure.
AAA
Neil Ramirez 3.24/3.29 Oh, that’s sweet
Michael Kirkman 4.48/4.62
Tateyama 2.71/3.12 why did Ryan Tucker get called up ahead of this guy?

AA
Marteeeen 3.12/3.13 pwning TX league at 20.
Jacob Brigham 3.94/3.95
MDLS 4.42/4.47

A+
Erlin 3.21/3.36
Wieland 2.11/2.22 Yeah, damn. Erlin without the HRs, basically.
Loux 2.03/2.29
Ross 2.55/2.76

A
Thompson 3.78/3.99
Mendez 3.77/3.96
Grimm 3.89/4.06

Nelson Cruz - 2011 MVP

by t ball on May 21, 2011 1:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

Lucas used to do avg ages relative to their lg for the Texas affiliates

Was it Hindman that compared prospects to lg avgs?

I know you're still struggling to find your way in LSB but you'd probably feel more comfortable in one of the other threads that talks about
weather, fashion, video games, uniform colors, etc. . - Josey Wales 5/18/11

by RangerMad on May 21, 2011 12:21 AM CDT reply actions  

Lucas starts each minors season

with a post about the vagaries of minor league numbers, in general, by league, etc. Here is this year’s post, from April 7. Good stuff.

Nelson Cruz - 2011 MVP

by t ball on May 21, 2011 12:39 AM CDT up reply actions  

thanks, tball!

very informative

"...out of the shadows of unprecedented success, the sun shines down upon this team waiting to thrill anew." - ghostofErikThompson

by jam0152 on May 21, 2011 10:07 AM CDT reply actions  

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