There has been a bit of recent discussion of when we'll finally get to see Profar in action, and I thought it'd be interesting to compare him to Elvis Andrus and his path to the majors as planned by JD and company. I will share:
2005 - 16 yrs - unranked - .293/.380/.391 - Rookie League
2006 - 17 yrs - #61 - .265/.324/.362 - A
2007 - 18 yrs - #65 - .257/.338/.343 - A+
2008 - 19 yrs - #19 - .295/.350/.367 - AA
2009 - 20 yrs* - #37 - .267/.329/.373 - Opening Day SS of the Rangers
* Wow, it had completely slipped my mind that Elvis was only 22 right now. I love that guy.
2010 - 17 yrs - unranked - .250/.323./.373 in Short Season (A-)
2011 - 18 yrs - #74* - .270/.380/.488 - in Hickory (A)
While Profar is currently behind Elvis, I believe he'll be promoted to Myrtle Beach before the end of the month. That puts him on pace to start next season (2012) in AA, barring setbacks. Additionally, scouts and ranking sites are hinting that Profar is a top 15 or better prospect at the start of next season. If JD treats Profar just like Elvis, we should expect to see him start for the Rangers on Opening Day 2013.
With his offensive ceiling suddenly much higher than Elvis's, and every scout beaming about how polished he is at such a young age (much like Elvis), I'm not sure that we should be surprised to see Profar, the Texas Ranger, by the end of 2012. The one thing stopping him is our All-Stars in Ian and Elvis and the issue of starting the clock on his 6 years of control.
In 2013, Kinsler has a $10m club option that will be picked up. Whereas, Elvis's last year of arbitration is 2014.
Will Kinsler or Elvis be traded?
Or, will Profar be made to wait until 2014 when we certainly lose at least one of them to free agency?
I know I'm getting ahead of myself because Profar is, after all, still a minor leaguer, but I'm a believer.