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Rangers announce non-roster invitees, and Mendonca moving to catcher

LAGOS DE MORENO, MEXICO - OCTOBER 25:  Tommy Mendonca (L) of the United States talks with an umpire during the Baseball Gold Medal Match between the United States and Canada during Day 11 of the XVI Pan American Games at the Pan American Baseball Stadium on October 25, 2011 in Lagos de Moreno, Mexico.  (Photo by Dennis Grombkowski/Getty Images)

Richard Durrett has a list of the Rangers' non-roster invitees to spring training, a list highlighted by pitchers Robbie Ross and Tanner Scheppers and third baseman Mike Olt.

However, the most intriguing item in Durrett's story is the news that 2009 second rounder Tommy Mendonca will be getting an invitation to camp as a catcher.

Mendonca, selected out of Fresno State University as a third baseman, has played third base exclusively (other than one game at second base with Bakersfield) as a professional. Mendonca had a disastrous year in 2010, posting a 722 OPS in the hitter-friendly Cal League, and while he had a solid bounce-back campaign in 2011 at AA Frisco, putting up a .278/.335/.492 line, his contact issues (he had 160 Ks in 556 plate appearances last year) make him a fringe prospect, at best, as a third baseman.

Mendonca's defense at third base has garnered praise, however, and if he can make the transition behind the plate, it lowers the offensive threshold he would have to meet in order to keep moving up the ladder. It will be interesting to see how this experiment works this year.

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That's actually not that intriguing at all.

Go Robbie Ross!

"Look if you want a journalist hire a UT grad. If you want a doctor you pick a Baylor grad. If you need a vet you see an Aggie grad. And if you need a pizza you call a Tech grad." -BUBacker
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by Mike E on Jan 10, 2012 5:24 PM CST reply actions  

do we want a guy that has never caught before working with our young prospects?

or does it not matter?

"God dammit TAG I swear to God if you keep this "It was a close play" shit up all night I will send you cookies made from my own shit" -River Fenix 8/26/2011

"this is a big reason I decided not to convert to Islam now if it was 72 skanks? Different story, my friend" Bob Loblaw 9/2/2011

by I am Neftali Feliz on Jan 10, 2012 5:24 PM CST reply actions  

It doesn't matter

Coaches are around most of the time anyway

by MikeEl on Jan 10, 2012 6:48 PM CST up reply actions  

This. Your A and AA ball catchers aren't going to have much of an impact, if any, on the development of your A and AA ball arms. That's a matter for the pitching coach.

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 10, 2012 7:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Tell that to Bull Durham

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 7:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Position switch

usually equals last chance with the org. Interesting to see how this goes.

"Calmer than you are dude"

by Arlington Stadium Legend on Jan 10, 2012 5:27 PM CST reply actions  

Might be the only way they salvage anything of value from Mendonca,

no matter what laundry he’s wearing.

Also, I’d be interested to read how this fits into a “don’t worry about how the bat plays for the position” take on prospects…

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 7:18 PM CST up reply actions  

Wow, if Mendonca does well behind the plate

he might move into my top 50 Rangers prospects.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 10, 2012 6:09 PM CST reply actions  

Look out Villaneuva! He's right on your tails!

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 10, 2012 7:23 PM CST up reply actions  

That's just mean

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 7:23 PM CST up reply actions  

A catcher with .200 ISO

Isn’t a bad thing
No idea if he has what it takes to stick at the position, but …

by CO Ranger on Jan 10, 2012 8:46 PM CST up reply actions  

Struck out 29 percent of the time, walked 6 percent of the time at AA.

What makes you think that .214 ISO will bear out in the majors?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 8:50 PM CST up reply actions  

That "C" by his name on the lineup card instead of "3B"

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 8:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Oh, right!

Because learning to be a catcher will do nothing but help his performance at the plate!

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 8:51 PM CST up reply actions  

doesn't need to

A bit of pop and a non-zero walk rate would likely put him middle of the pack

by CO Ranger on Jan 10, 2012 8:53 PM CST up reply actions  

What was Teagarden SO rate?

I’m not saying it’s anything but a long shot, but …

by CO Ranger on Jan 10, 2012 9:09 PM CST up reply actions  

33% in AA

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:10 PM CST up reply actions  

Oh indeed.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Teagarden's career minor league K rate

was…29%. 14% BB rate.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 10, 2012 9:12 PM CST up reply actions  

The walk rate is the key

Teagarden walked a lot, struck out a lot.

Mendonca strikes out a lot and doesn’t walk.

by Adam J. Morris on Jan 10, 2012 9:19 PM CST up reply actions  

Plus, Mendonca has to learn how to catch.

And in addition to the challenge that presents in and of itself, there are those who think it has an impact on performance at the plate, right?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:21 PM CST up reply actions  

yep to both of the above posts

this is a long shot, worth a try, I guess.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 10, 2012 9:29 PM CST up reply actions  

sounds like someone else we know...

Go Rice Owls!
Would be a Matt Harrison fan, but I only like superstars

by JBImaknee on Jan 10, 2012 10:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Just like Chris Davis, eh?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 8:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Taylor Teagarden

had ISOs in that range in some of his minor league seasons and a stellar defensive reputation and it wasn’t enough.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 10, 2012 9:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Jorge Posada

was converted to catcher. Posada. Medonca? I could see this working.

"It's incredibly hard." - Ronald Washington

by 3Bagger on Jan 10, 2012 6:43 PM CST reply actions  

So was Carlos Santana!

"If the Saints can reach the Superbowl, the Rangers can reach the World Series." - PhilKid
The Animated Ballpark in Arlington

by FirebatM3 on Jan 10, 2012 7:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Carlos Santana is probably going to be converted back

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 10, 2012 7:41 PM CST up reply actions  

The Chris Davis move that Chris Davis never made.

As good as Prince Fielder would've looked in a 4XL Rangers' uniform, we all know you win with pitching. -- JJT

The truth about MLers from a MLer, Todd Coffey:
"In my heart of hearts, if it's the right contract, I would look to definitely come back to the Nationals."

by rooster on Jan 10, 2012 10:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Actually, Young is demanding a trade now

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 10, 2012 9:07 PM CST up reply actions  

My baseball weenie is so limp.

"If he ain't struck you out, then you ain't nobody." - Ricky Henderson after Nolan Ryan's 5,000 strike out game

by safeman on Jan 10, 2012 7:07 PM CST reply actions  

Play with it

Josh Hamilton: "I just show up, look at the lineup and play where I’m told. If they want me to catch, I’ll catch."
Jon Daniels on relationship with #Rangers Young: "I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." 2/19/11

by boomer1 on Jan 10, 2012 7:23 PM CST up reply actions   1 recs

would be neat if it works

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 10, 2012 7:39 PM CST reply actions  

From T.R.
The Rangers’ need for left-handed relief could open up a spot for top Minor League prospects Robbie Ross and Martin Perez this spring. General manager Jon Daniels acknowledged that it’s something the Rangers could consider in Spring Training.

“Both Ross and Perez are going to work as starters, but you never know,” Daniels said. “We have people who believe they can start long term, but as we’ve seen, we’ve had success with guys getting experience in the bullpen and moving to the rotation. They are going to work as starters, but if that’s where we have the biggest need, we’ll look at it.”

http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20120110&content_id=26305752&notebook_id=26305960&vkey=notebook_tex&c_id=tex&partnerId=rss_tex

If they put MPer in the pen just because we Ron wants a LHP in the pen I’ll murder people.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 7:43 PM CST reply actions  

No need to take the Johan comp that far.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 7:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Our need for a Lefty is really minimal

with the current arms in our ’pen, and especially if Ogando does in fact go to the ’pen. Our lefty would be reserved for what…matchups in the 6th inning and maybe the 7th on days where Adams, Uehara, and Ogando are unavailable.

it is highly unlikely that either of those guys breaks camp with the team. Ross has very few innings above A+, and MP could use some more seasoning as a starter AAA.

The only thing JD spewed there was politician talk. “yadda, yadda, yadda”

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 7:51 PM CST up reply actions  

I disagree

I think you need one, and preferably two, lefties in the pen.

That said, I think it is extremely unlikely Perez or Ross is that guy.

by Adam J. Morris on Jan 10, 2012 7:52 PM CST up reply actions  

why?

with the way Ogando, Uehara and Adams can get lefties out, why would you need two lefties in the ‘pen? I’d rather have the best arms I can get than force a 2nd lefty in the ’pen.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:00 PM CST up reply actions  

this is also assuming Nathan is the closer

and the other 3 handle the 7th and 8th.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Where are you getting this idea that Ogando is a guy who can get lefties out?

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 10, 2012 8:01 PM CST up reply actions  

sure lefties hit a bit better

but when you can throw 97, you can get lefties out, and Ogando can do that out of the ‘pen. As a reliever, he can be dominant. I don’t see the issue there

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:03 PM CST up reply actions  

x

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 10, 2012 8:04 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not saying he is a lefty specialist

so you are going to use Ogando to pitch solely to righties? I don’t think so, and he can get lefties out. He’s not as lights out as he is against righties, but he isn’t as bad as you want to make him sound. He faced lefties for 99.1 innings of his 169 innings last year. He BB less lefties than he did rightes but did give up a .253 avg (.278 BABIP) vs a .199 (.251 BABIP) for righties. He Ks a bit less, but his K/BB was not that far off. His 4.12 FIP vs lefties as a starter isn’t great, but that is as a starter, and where most of the sample comes from.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:18 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't understand why...

…if you have, say, Prince Fielder coming to the plate to lead off an inning, and its the 8th inning of a one run game, you’d go with Ogando rather than a lefthanded reliever (assuming the lefty is a decent lefty reliever).

by Adam J. Morris on Jan 10, 2012 8:52 PM CST up reply actions  

And that's what we're talking about.

The place where we absolutely have to get that 1 lefty out. That’s what we don’t have at this moment.

Ever been in a boardroom, or a gang fight? Ever save a life? Ever won a court case against the odds? Ever held a dying buddy in your arms?.- jackanape on "perspective," 11/8/2010.

"do you a jet ski rental place would work here" - Mike E, 5/10/2011.

by Aqua on Jan 10, 2012 8:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Kirkman.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 8:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Adams and Uehara are wondering what happened to them

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:59 PM CST up reply actions  

No, they're not.

One of them is pitching in high-leverage innings. The other is hoping he winds up back in Baltimore, somehow.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Do you really believe that?

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Which?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Uehara wants to go back to Baltimore.

Only a report from what I understand to be the Orioles version of Gina Miller saying that’s what she heard from friends.

Don’t know how much stock to put in that. Was curious if you had more information or were just participating in the echo chamber.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:04 PM CST up reply actions  

I was being sarcastic.

It was shorthand for “Uehara probably hasn’t given the Rangers confidence in his abilities in high-leverage moments against LHB.”

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:10 PM CST up reply actions  

I figured that was possible.

But since A) You can read a bit of Japanese and B) Used to live in Baltimore, I wasn’t sure if you actually had heard something or read a Koji blog or something more definitive than the rumor mill.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:12 PM CST up reply actions  

Based on the little I read of Uehara's blog,

he wasn’t especially thrilled with Texas, and he was very happy in Baltimore.

But a lot of that could’ve been circumstantial; he’s got time to adjust, now.

My guess is it wouldn’t hurt his feelings if he was traded back to the Orioles, but I doubt he’s going to mail it in if he’s still a Ranger come Opening Day 2012.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Super OT but I'm curious right now

How hard was it to learn Japanese? Did you take a class or self-taught?

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 9:15 PM CST up reply actions  

To speak, or to read?

I lived in Japan for a couple years. I spoke basically zero Japanese when I arrived. I used a bunch of visual and audio materials from various services to learn to speak, but I really picked up most of what I learned the most time-honored way of all: dating women who spoke the language natively.

Hiragana and katakana (the phonetic scripts) are relatively easy to pick up, but of limited value. Kanji is an absolute bear to learn, and I remember very, very little of the characters I memorized. A lot of the baseball ones have stuck with me, though… go figure.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:18 PM CST up reply actions  

*Kanji are, I should say.

Those are the Chinese-derived characters. They basically have to be memorized, and there are all sorts of funky things that go on with them,

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:19 PM CST up reply actions  

I can't read or write Chinese.

I’m a disgrace.

i tell the truth; i lie a lot

by jonthefon on Jan 11, 2012 1:24 AM CST up reply actions  

we are also assuming that Uehara and Adams

aren’t available either then, correct? they are pretty good against lefties. It really depends on the lefty and how ‘decent’ he is, but I would likely guarantee I would rather Ogando face him than a 2nd lefty that you would like.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Ogando?

Ogando has a career 706 OPS allowed against lefties.

Darren Oliver, as an example, had a 587 OPS against lefties last year.

Ogando doesn’t have an out pitch against lefties.

by Adam J. Morris on Jan 10, 2012 8:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Ogando in 2010 held lefties to a .678 OPS

mostly a result of the .345 OBP they had against him. He was worse last year as a starter, mostly a result of a .400 SLG lefties had against him. He’s far from a lefty specialist, but at worst lefties hit him a bit better than average. I think he’s most likely going to be average-slightly better than average against lefties if he’s back in the bullpen. That shouldn’t be that huge of an issue for maybe 1 batter per game since Wash likely isn’t going to Ogando when there are 2 lefties coming up in an inning.

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 8:24 PM CST up reply actions  

I think Ross might be that guy

if they determine that he doesn’t have much of a future as a starter. More likely than not though, they’ll leave both guys in the minors as starters.

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 7:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Congrats on your successful 2011 campaign

We’ve now re-labeled you as a reliever. Positive reinforcement!

by Heebs on Jan 10, 2012 7:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Congrats on your successful 2011 campaign

You’ll now be making $300,000+ more than you made last year!

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 8:25 PM CST up reply actions  

His future as a starter is far from guaranteed

even if he stays in the minors.

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 8:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Sure

But do you think most minor leaguers of Ross’ potential/performance would give up starting to become a reliever with the big league club? I’d think they’d need to be promised that they will have a chance to start again in the future.

by Heebs on Jan 10, 2012 8:38 PM CST up reply actions  

What exactly do you think his potential is?

His performance has been damn good so far, but he’s not exactly lighting up the prospect rankings. If he’s getting a big head from doing well in A ball, then there’s a problem.

Most Major League players always say that they hate going back to the minors, even on rehab assignments. My guess is that most minor leaguers who aren’t elite prospects or big bonus babies would do whatever it takes to get to the Majors and try to work their way up the food chain from there.

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 8:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Ogando isn't going to be a guy we want facing lefties coming out of the bullpen. Or, really, at all.

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 10, 2012 8:00 PM CST up reply actions  

Ogando isn't a righty specialist

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:19 PM CST up reply actions  

He's not good against lefties at all.

JDT is saying that if you can avoid it, which you probably can in the situation of basically middle relief, you do it.

Having Ogando is not a good reason to not get a lefty. Saying he is doesn’t make sense.

Ever been in a boardroom, or a gang fight? Ever save a life? Ever won a court case against the odds? Ever held a dying buddy in your arms?.- jackanape on "perspective," 11/8/2010.

"do you a jet ski rental place would work here" - Mike E, 5/10/2011.

by Aqua on Jan 10, 2012 8:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Saying he is not good at all doesn't make any sense

where do you see that he was bad?

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:49 PM CST up reply actions  

the only thing I see looking through his numbers

is the fact that he Ks less, but his K/BB was very similar, and he gave up more HRs to lefties by a 12 to 4 margin. On the road, he gave up 3 HRs to lefties, 2 of those at the joke of Yankee stadium to Cano and Granderson, but otherwise only ONE HR allowed to a lefty outside of the one game at Yankee stadium. (2 HRs allowed to RH on the road. 1 at Yankee stadium (same game)). I think his HRs to lefties are a bit inflated by our ballpark. 12 of his 16 Homers Allowed were at home. 9 of those 12, yes were lefties, but that can be partly a product of the environment that favors lefties. Even so, 4 of those came in the same game against Boston. so 5 HRs to lefties at home outside of 1 game. You think that is bad? and looking through the numbers that is the main knock. I think he would play up as a reliever. I don’t see the issue with thinking he can get lefties out consistently. He’s already proven it.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 8:56 PM CST up reply actions  

You can't just subtract out...

…games that you feel don’t help your cause, and then say, ignore those and he looks great.

by Adam J. Morris on Jan 10, 2012 8:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Well. He *can*...

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 8:59 PM CST up reply actions  

average HR/FB% for starters is like 10% right

Ogando has a 9.6 HR/FB% vs lefties

doesn’t seem too inflated

seems like the lack of a changeup lets them square fastballs

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 10, 2012 9:02 PM CST up reply actions  

I think you're talking very small sample sizes.

His BABIP against LHB in 2011 was .274 — do you think he’ll keep that up, over time?

Do you think that if his true contact rates against LHB are 24% LD, 36% GB, and 40% FB, that he’s going to be able to maintain the same stats?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:06 PM CST up reply actions  

24% LD rate is ridiculous.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:07 PM CST up reply actions  

I agree. So is a .265 BABIP.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:08 PM CST up reply actions  

And, more to the point,

how is a league-average HR rate against LHB a good argument for not having a guy who’s better than league average face lefties, when given the opportunity?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:07 PM CST up reply actions  

i replied to the wrong person

i was wondering how he was rationalizing away such a vast difference in home runs to a specific handedness

i agree with you and matchy

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 10, 2012 9:09 PM CST up reply actions  

do you think our ballpark favors lefties?

do you think Yankee stadium favors lefties?

that is where 11 of his 12 HRs allowed against lefties were given up. He only gave up 1 HR to a lefty outside of our ballpark and yankee stadium. I think that does tell you something, or you aren’t paying attention. Also, your point that he was a bit better than league avg vs lefties as a negative doesn’t make sense. I would say that he would play up out of the ’pen. and is that park adjusted?

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:17 PM CST up reply actions  

are you concerned about his rates with RH batters

22% LD, 36% GB, and 41% FB. Using those numbers doesn’t really say anything about how he is vs LH or RH batters when they are virtually the same numbers vs both

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:20 PM CST up reply actions  

.
Those numbers doesn’t really say anything about how he is vs LH or RH batters when they are virtually the same numbers vs both.

That’s not true. If we were drawing on a large sample size, and those numbers were consistent, it would tell us much more about how he is versus LHB and RHB.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:22 PM CST up reply actions  

then it would tell you that he is pretty much the same

vs both LH and RH hitters, so it doesn’t tell you much in this argument

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:25 PM CST up reply actions  

Sure it does.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:26 PM CST up reply actions  

how does

a 24% LD, 36% GB, and 40% FB vs LHs and
a 22% LD, 36% GB, and 41% FB vs RHs tell you anything

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:29 PM CST up reply actions  

Well, if it was over a large sample size as a starter,

and the numbers were consistent, they would tell me not to expect very much out of Ogando as a starter.

Since they’re not — since we’re talking about a small sample size as a starter — they would tell me the danger of trying to use small sample sizes for a starter in predicting performance as a reliever, especially in platoon situations. Which is very much relevant to the current conversation.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:33 PM CST up reply actions  

heh

so you’re saying not to use the numbers because of the dangers of small samples. That’s fine, but not really relevant then.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:38 PM CST up reply actions  

It's absolutely relevant,

if people keep citing his numbers as evidence of his future performance against lefties as a reliever.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:40 PM CST up reply actions  

you are the only one that cited those numbers

and they don’t tell you anything about his future performance against lefties

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:43 PM CST up reply actions  

Ummmm.

I’m not the only one citing his numbers. In fact, the only reason I brought them up was because of the exchange you started.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Crap.

Bad link. Try here.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:53 PM CST up reply actions  

x

this is what you asked citing some of his numbers

Do you think that if his true contact rates against LHB are 24% LD, 36% GB, and 40% FB, that he’s going to be able to maintain the same stats?

I respond

how does a 24% LD, 36% GB, and 40% FB vs LHs and a 22% LD, 36% GB, and 41% FB vs RHs tell you anything

You respond

since we’re talking about a small sample size as a starter — they would tell me the danger of trying to use small sample sizes for a starter in predicting performance as a reliever, especially in platoon situations.

You cite numbers that aren’t relevant to Ogando’s platoon splits. After I refute them you then claim citing numbers in small samples is a dangerous game. That’s fine if that’s your argument as then you really can’t claim he can’t get lefties out as we don’t have enough of a sample.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 11, 2012 12:25 AM CST up reply actions  

You had some trouble

following the sub-thread. That’s ok.

My first question was (a) not to you, and (b) precisely aimed at showing the problem of drawing future predictions from small sample sizes.

Now, as it turns out, the guy who was responding to you using numbers — since you’d brought them up — was indicating the same thing. Namely: you can “go through the numbers” all you want, but the sort of numerical manipulation in the post that began this exchange is way off-base.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 11, 2012 10:30 AM CST up reply actions  

I followed just fine

the thread involved his platoon splits. you attempted to use numbers that aren’t valid for the discussion. congrats

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 11, 2012 10:41 AM CST up reply actions  

what is off base about my post

I think he can get lefties out. I don’t assume he is a LOOGY, but he’s not as bad as people want to make him sound. I used his HR numbers because that is where the big discrepancy was between LH and RH hitters vs Ogando

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 11, 2012 11:01 AM CST up reply actions  

Your use of the HR numbers

is exactly what I was being sarcastic about.

One season of HR numbers as a starter? Really? And then you start discounting those numbers because of park effects?

C’mon. I can’t believe you’re not following why people, including me, are questioning that.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 11, 2012 12:06 PM CST up reply actions  

Oh, good grief.

You’re the one who wrote this:

the only thing I see looking through his numbers

MonkeyEpoxy wrote this:

average HR/FB% for starters is like 10% right
Ogando has a 9.6 HR/FB% vs lefties

doesn’t seem too inflated

seems like the lack of a changeup lets them square fastballs

I responded sarcastically. Why can’t you get that?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 11, 2012 12:02 PM CST up reply actions  

And when I say "sarcastically,"

let me be clear:

I threw out the contact numbers not because I think they can be used to project Ogando’s future performance, but precisely because I think they can’t — just like the numbers you were trying to manipulate above.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 11, 2012 12:04 PM CST up reply actions  

I didn't manipulate any numbers

I merely stated the numbers, and nothing I stated was false.

do you understand sarcasm?

His BABIP against LHB in 2011 was .274 — do you think he’ll keep that up, over time?

Do you think that if his true contact rates against LHB are 24% LD, 36% GB, and 40% FB, that he’s going to be able to maintain the same stats?

didn’t think so. or you don’t convey it well.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 11, 2012 1:28 PM CST up reply actions  

I understand sarcasm perfectly well.

What’s sort of sad is that to question that, you left out the lead to those quotes, which provides all the context:

I think you’re talking very small sample sizes.

Now, maybe you just missed the subject header. But if not, I think your attempt to recast my questions speaks volumes about your motivations here — and they’re not constructive.

As for manipulation of numbers, there’s a reason AJM posted this:

You can’t just subtract out games that you feel don’t help your cause, and then say, ignore those and he looks great.

Since you seem hell-bent on convincing me that I asked my questions seriously, and thus unable to see the way your own posts came off, I think we’re done here.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 11, 2012 2:15 PM CST up reply actions  

And, actually, at one point

you seem to understand my point in asking the questions was

heh — so you’re saying not to use the numbers because of the dangers of small samples.

(Now, you also wrote that you don’t think that’s relevant. But you started this exchange talking about the number of home runs Ogando gave up over one season of starting, and splitting them up by park and handedness of batter. So…)

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 11, 2012 2:35 PM CST up reply actions  

there were plenty making assumptions

on the short samples that we have, that Ogando can’t get lefties out. I used what data we have, whether small or not to discuss that assumption is false.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 12, 2012 12:49 PM CST up reply actions  

22% LD rate is one of the worst in the league.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Small sample size.

And, to boot, the Colin Wyers Problem.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:23 PM CST up reply actions  

(To boot, to boot, to boot.)

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:23 PM CST up reply actions  

the 22%, 36% and 41% numbers are against RH batters

we might as well just give up on Ogando

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:24 PM CST up reply actions  

I expect his career is as a reliever.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:25 PM CST up reply actions  

that is a different argument altogether

and more based on mechanics are wearing down, and not ineffectiveness.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:27 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not saying to ignore it

but you seem to be ignoring the point. If you take the whole sample of the season, he was pretty good against lefties. Most of his HRs to lefties came in parks that really favor lefties. You can’t deny that about our park or Yankee stadium. He had 2 bad games last year. That happens as a starter, and he was still really good last season.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:03 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm not saying he should be a specialist

I’m saying it is ludicrous to say you don’t need a lefty in the bullpen because Ogando gets lefties out.

by Adam J. Morris on Jan 10, 2012 9:06 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't mind having one lefty in the 'pen

but I really don’t think it is a massive priority with guys like Adams and Uehara, and even Ogando who will pitch in high leverage situations. I do, however, think having a 2nd lefty is pretty useless with the way the bullpen is stacked.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 10, 2012 9:10 PM CST up reply actions  

I have no problem with them using either of those guys in the pen

It gives the Rangers an opportunity to give the young guys ML exposure in a controlled manner, but doesn’t prevent them from becoming starters in the future.

by MikeEl on Jan 10, 2012 7:57 PM CST up reply actions  

I'd be vehemently opposed to using Perez in that fashion for a full season

Burning a year of service time just to use him as a glorified LOOGY seems asinine. Especially considering the consensus is he still has plenty of refining to do as a starter in the minors.

Look, this is a bad time to buy cocaine anyway. With the market how it is, it is better to rent cocaine.

by LSJ on Jan 10, 2012 9:36 PM CST up reply actions  

FIFY.

I think JD was just humoring fucking with TRS…

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:51 PM CST up reply actions  

Hopefully.

But the org is kind of developing a track record for fasttracking top pitching prospects through the bullpen.

Look, this is a bad time to buy cocaine anyway. With the market how it is, it is better to rent cocaine.

by LSJ on Jan 10, 2012 9:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Rangers and Darvish getting closer to a deal?
MLBInsideNews Scott Swaim
Darvish has lowered his asking price to below 80M. #Rangers at about 55M, but they seem more optimistic then a few days ago.

by das06h on Jan 10, 2012 8:11 PM CST reply actions  

Of course it does.

Josh Hamilton: "I just show up, look at the lineup and play where I’m told. If they want me to catch, I’ll catch."
Jon Daniels on relationship with #Rangers Young: "I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." 2/19/11

by boomer1 on Jan 10, 2012 9:13 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't even know who he is.

Who is he? What is MLBInsideNews?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 8:47 PM CST up reply actions  

Just a guy.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 8:48 PM CST up reply actions  

Hey now

He’s got a Twitter handle. They don’t just give those to anybody.

Josey Wales: "And if you think intangibles really do exist, how in the F could you vote Ellsbury as the MVP?"

Adam J. Morris: "If it weren’t for my horse, I wouldn’t have spent that year in college."

by Gdawg on Jan 10, 2012 8:50 PM CST up reply actions  

Cross-post, but worth it.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 8:51 PM CST up reply actions  

CYEEEEEEEEEEEEEAGH

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 10, 2012 8:52 PM CST up reply actions  

achilles dat ho

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 10, 2012 8:58 PM CST up reply actions  

If Ross ends up being a successful reliever this year

Even a LOOGY, I’ll be shocked. And pleasantly surprised. And thrilled when it means he won’t be listed on the prospects list again.

by Akalhar on Jan 10, 2012 8:58 PM CST reply actions  

Phillies won't extend Hamels

bigsteve is going to be pissed.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 10, 2012 9:10 PM CST reply actions  

I laughed.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:10 PM CST up reply actions  

i want me some hamels

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 10, 2012 9:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Good.

He can take Colby’s spot.

Ever been in a boardroom, or a gang fight? Ever save a life? Ever won a court case against the odds? Ever held a dying buddy in your arms?.- jackanape on "perspective," 11/8/2010.

"do you a jet ski rental place would work here" - Mike E, 5/10/2011.

by Aqua on Jan 10, 2012 9:17 PM CST up reply actions  

Bad feeling. I don't know why. Just a bad, bad feeling.

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 10, 2012 10:48 PM CST up reply actions  

this post is awesome

NO This is why i dont come here so much anymore. it has become a destination for certain types which i am not. Love the rangers, not this -- Mark from OC on Arrested Development

Justin Verlander? I piss on Justin Verlander --AJM

by shock00 on Jan 11, 2012 8:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Heyman with a Boras scoop? Shocking.
JonHeymanCBS Jon Heyman
#reds, madson in agreement.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:55 PM CST reply actions  

'Twould be funny to see a follow-up tweet:

Agreement: Madson will not sign with Reds, Reds will not sign Madson. Both sides very happy.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 10, 2012 9:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Heh.

That is an agreement.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 10, 2012 9:58 PM CST up reply actions  

What are the Reds trying to do?

I thought they would be in rebuilding mode, but then they traded for Latos…

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Jan 11, 2012 7:36 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

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