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Around SBN: On Hazards And Hulks And Tigers, Oh My!

Oswalt’s a good bet to be a solid starter next year, but the Rangers already have six solid starters at the big league level. If, as rumored, they’d have to either move Harrison to the bullpen or make him available in trade, they should simply say thanks but no thanks. Oswalt makes sense for St. Louis, who have replaceable pitchers at the back-end of their rotation. Texas, though, simply doesn’t need him.

4 months ago Th_buckykatt_tiny Adam J. Morris 209 comments 0 recs  | 

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Too bad it has to Nolan as the one guy who doesn't see it! =/

"Look if you want a journalist hire a UT grad. If you want a doctor you pick a Baylor grad. If you need a vet you see an Aggie grad. And if you need a pizza you call a Tech grad." -BUBacker
Beware of Trolls: b.pate, jonthefon, K.S.B., Panorama, Robert L. Bishop, TideNTexas

by Mike E on Jan 30, 2012 5:21 PM CST reply actions  

Tampa

But the overall point remains.

OurDailyBears.com

by Prashanth Francis on Jan 30, 2012 6:05 PM CST up reply actions  

I was going to make a quick post saying the sake thing but I'm at work.

Probably still will but you and Adam beat me.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth - Christopher Fittz is better than porn!

by philkid3 on Jan 30, 2012 6:08 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Can't really say he's not an upgrade over Feliz

Since he’s never started a game in the majors. And before someone says neither has Yu, you know what I’m saying.

Football can go to hell. The Rangers aren't ready for football season and neither am I.

by WyoRanger on Jan 30, 2012 6:49 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

once again.. funny because of your user name

"God dammit TAG I swear to God if you keep this "It was a close play" shit up all night I will send you cookies made from my own shit" -River Fenix 8/26/2011

"this is a big reason I decided not to convert to Islam now if it was 72 skanks? Different story, my friend" Bob Loblaw 9/2/2011

by I am Neftali Feliz on Jan 30, 2012 5:51 PM CST up reply actions  

I didn't even read the post

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Jan 30, 2012 6:30 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

AM; dr

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Jan 30, 2012 7:09 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

assmaster; didn't read

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 8:00 PM CST up reply actions  

lol

"Look if you want a journalist hire a UT grad. If you want a doctor you pick a Baylor grad. If you need a vet you see an Aggie grad. And if you need a pizza you call a Tech grad." -BUBacker
Beware of Trolls: b.pate, jonthefon, K.S.B., Panorama, Robert L. Bishop, TideNTexas

by Mike E on Jan 30, 2012 9:45 PM CST up reply actions  

Harrison to the Twins?

According to LindsayGuentzel (Twins reporter)
Likely scenario: Oswalt signs with Rangers, Texas then trades for a young outfielder. Harrison could land with Twins, my source says.

She says there are talks ongoing but not an official trade in the works yet. She also claims that the Rangers would get exactly what they want in this deal. Who would the Rangers want from the Twins that’s an OF. Span? Morneau in years gone by but not in the present?

by das06h on Jan 30, 2012 7:45 PM CST reply actions  

how much of an upgrade in CF would he really be

Looking at his numbers last year, I’m not that impressed. Low BA, Low OPS. Is a Harrison for Span deal worth it?

by das06h on Jan 30, 2012 7:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Maybe if they didn't have Leonidas Martin?

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 7:51 PM CST up reply actions  

x

https://twitter.com/#!/LindsayGuentzel

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 7:52 PM CST up reply actions  

drat

https://twitter.com/#!/LindsayGuentzel

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 7:52 PM CST up reply actions  

She mentions AA or higher...

Joe Benson perhaps?

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 7:54 PM CST up reply actions  

It reads like she talked to someone who said

if the Rangers do sign Oswalt (doubtful, right?) then they would look to unload Harrison or another pitcher for an OF and Minn is really one of a few teams who need a 3-5 pitcher and have an outfielder they want to get rid of.

"I don't really like pitchers." - Nelson Cruz

by AceJC on Jan 30, 2012 7:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, I don't think it means too much...

But it’s something we’ve sort of speculated on as well. Plus, Matt Harrison was born to be a Minnesota Twin.

by ghostofErikThompson on Jan 30, 2012 7:58 PM CST up reply actions  

McCutchen obviously
LindsayGuentzel
According to my source: Rangers are looking for a young outfielder, top AA prospect or higher. No names yet.

by sprite on Jan 30, 2012 7:56 PM CST up reply actions  

I would

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 8:01 PM CST up reply actions  

Ich auch.

Ever been in a boardroom, or a gang fight? Ever save a life? Ever won a court case against the odds? Ever held a dying buddy in your arms?.- jackanape on "perspective," 11/8/2010.

"do you a jet ski rental place would work here" - Mike E, 5/10/2011.

by Aqua on Jan 30, 2012 8:22 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I've said it before

And I’ll say it again. Take this with a massive grain of salt. I know Lindsay personally. She doesn’t have sources.

by Heebs on Jan 30, 2012 11:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Does not, correct?

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 30, 2012 11:40 PM CST up reply actions  

She does not have sources.

At least not anyone legitimate. She might have a friend who works for the Twins, maybe an assistant in the baseball operations department or something, who’s giving her an opinion. That is just a guess.

She’s really just trying to break into the biz and get on MLB Fan Cave.

by Heebs on Jan 30, 2012 11:43 PM CST up reply actions  

I wouldn't do the trade

Looking at the top 5 teams with the worst ERA. Balt finishes 1st and KC finishes 4th.

I would only do a deal along the lines of Harrison, Uehara, and a player for A. Jones or E. Hosmer.

I know I might over value Harrison but other young starters that were traded this offseason went for a nice premium. If we keep Harrison and he has another solid year. His value would skyrocket even more.

by Coolbean04 on Jan 31, 2012 4:34 AM CST up reply actions  

Until I see Feliz...

…working the strikezone with 2+ pitches, I’m convinced that a healthy Oswalt would be an upgrade. At least at first. I’m one of the few who thinks Feliz needs 50 or so innings at AAA first.

by Black Francis on Jan 30, 2012 8:44 PM CST reply actions  

Feliz isn't getting moved from the rotation

that seems pretty clear at this point.

last spring Feliz seemed ready to start

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 30, 2012 9:20 PM CST up reply actions  

First of all, Feliz at least has some track record of having more than two pitches in the past

Second, did you not see what Ogando and Pineda did last year?

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:22 PM CST up reply actions  

They were working the zone.

If you can hit your spots you can get away with two pitches.

by Black Francis on Jan 30, 2012 11:35 PM CST up reply actions  

But your original statement is wrong:
Until I see Feliz…working the strikezone with 2+ pitches, I’m convinced that a healthy Oswalt would be an upgrade

Feliz has a good enough fastball that he could probably be pretty decent if he lived off of it a great majority of the time, at least for a while.

Feliz has also shown in the past that he has other pitches; even if he only gets them up to ‘show’ status, it’s not like we’ve never seen them.

Furthermore, we don’t have any idea how healthy Oswalt is. Given his age and supposed cost, it seems unlikely to me that he is being thought of as much more than an average to somewhat above average pitcher.

I’m not saying it’s a lock, but you’re far too confident the other way.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 31, 2012 8:37 AM CST up reply actions  

Oswalt

He could easily twinge something in spring training and be out of commission for weeks or months. He’d be the worst health risk among the rotation.

I also can’t understand the assumption that Feliz will -and let there be no doubt about it - lack control. This doesn’t make sense to me. In 2009 and 2010 he had an excellent walk rate. In 2011 he struggled at times, particularly against righties. This seems fixable to me and I’m not going to throw out his minor league history and the first two MLB seasons in favor of 2011 when deciding how capable he is of throwing strikes, and quality strikes at that.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 31, 2012 9:48 AM CST up reply actions  

You guys aren't seeing this objectively

It’s not about walks. It’s about throwing the pitch and knowing where it’s going to end up. Coming out of the pen and facing three or four batters, he can get by with wildness because he throws so hard. For a whole year he didn’t have command of the zone. Until I see that it’s fixed, I cannot assume that it is, and the shit I saw all last year isn’t going to cut it as a starting pitcher. His career up until 2011 showed that he can get things under control, so I’m not writing him off for good or anything like that. He has extraordinary talent and I do believe he’ll be a very good starting pitcher someday. I’m just not convinced he’s there yet.

And I’ve said IF Oswalt is healthy he’s an upgrade. I’m not a fan of signing injured players. Oswalt doesn’t exactly thrill me, but there’s a reason that the Rangers are looking at him and I doubt they’re more concerned about Harrison than they are about Feliz.

In fact, Feldman may be a better option than either of them to start 2012. During the playoffs he came out throwing harder than I can remember him ever throwing and he had good movement, too. If they don’t want Ogando in the rotation, he’s probably the best option if they want Feliz in AAA to refine some things. Because what if Feliz is mowing guys down in RR? I don’t think you can leave him down there. You have to promote him but what are you going to do with Oswalt? By now Feldman has to be used to being a swing man.

by Black Francis on Jan 31, 2012 11:57 AM CST up reply actions  

so you want to put Feliz in AAA

Harrison in the bullpen, Oswalt and Feldman in the rotation. When Feliz is ready, he goes into the rotation. I don’t know that jerking around Harrison or Feliz or Feldman (even though he’s used to it) is a good idea at this point for the sake of Oswalt.

I don’t think anyone thinks Feliz is going to be an ace from the start, or even by the end of 2012, but he has the upside to warrant a spot in this rotation, and as compared to a normal #5, he will more than adequately hold his own. It seems as though, instead of a competition, the Rangers just said, “you are going to be a starter, and get yourself fit and in that frame of mind,” as that seemed to be the main issue last season as to why he didn’t become a starter. That, and Ron Washington loves a “proven” closer.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 31, 2012 12:13 PM CST up reply actions  

That's not what I said.

I think Harrison has earned his spot. I’d like it if Feliz would show he’s improved his command before he’s handed a spot. So Oswalt or Feldman in his place until he does, and since you can’t really do that to Oswalt, the best option may be to have Feldman at #5 until Feliz is ready to take it.

I don’t think starting Feliz in AAA would be jerking him around. You tell him he’s going down there to get ready to take a spot in the rotation.

by Black Francis on Jan 31, 2012 12:55 PM CST up reply actions  

I also feel that what you saw out of Feliz in his relief roles isn't exactly what you will see from him as a starter.

He came out of the pen with the mindset of throwing 100 and getting it close because they weren’t going to hit it and he needed only 3 outs.

Starting, I assume, he will be wanting to throw 95-96 and know much better about where he will be wanting to locate the ball. I’m assuming that’s what this whole offseason was about and what he will be working on. While I understand your desire to see him in AAA to work on this exact thing, I think he is polished enough now to work on control and accuracy at the big league level.

"I don't really like pitchers." - Nelson Cruz

by AceJC on Jan 31, 2012 1:26 PM CST up reply actions  

The problem with that is

If hes throwing 95-96 ML hitters can sit on that and hurt it. Especially if his secondary stuff is not good enough to both throw for strikes and get the hitter off sitting dead red

by bigsteve on Jan 31, 2012 6:09 PM CST up reply actions  

I disagree it's not objective

or, at least, it’s not any less objective than your opinion. I might be wrong, but I’m not being any less objective about it than you are.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 31, 2012 1:50 PM CST up reply actions  

I think you're being optimistic and that's great.

You did say yourself that he struggled with his command in 2011. I hope it was a season long aberration but I don’t think it was.

I guess we’ll know more in a few weeks.

by Black Francis on Jan 31, 2012 3:23 PM CST up reply actions  

I expect him to struggle some with it in 2012

but I don’t think that’s a reason to send him to AAA. I think his struggles will be annoying to us to watch at times, but no worse than the ups and downs of Holland last year.

Some see a glass half empty, some a glass half full. I see a glass that's twice as big as it needs to be. - George Carlin

by t ball on Jan 31, 2012 9:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Harrison for Anthony Gose +

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 8:46 PM CST reply actions  

Depends on the + of course

but no, not for me.

i tell the truth; i lie a lot

by jonthefon on Jan 30, 2012 8:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Replace Gose with Marisnick and add Wojo

wouldja

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:03 PM CST up reply actions  

Better...

but only because I like Marisnick.

Iffy on Asher though.

i tell the truth; i lie a lot

by jonthefon on Jan 30, 2012 9:05 PM CST up reply actions  

It's just hard for me to properly gauge Harrison's value

Last year was the first year he did anything useful and there’s not really anything in his plate approach profile that explains the massive BB% drop

>Same zone%
>Same contact%
>same swing%
>first strike% went up but a little

but it’s not like there’s a supermegahuge sample from before this to go upon

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:11 PM CST up reply actions  

You look at Harrison's monthly splits last year?

I posted them in the morning thread, but it suggests that he could be trending in the right direction.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:24 PM CST up reply actions  

I'll go take a look

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:25 PM CST up reply actions  

so nobody else has to trudge through that thread

FIP | xFIP

Apr: 4.54 | 4.25
May: 4.51 | 4.95
Jun: 3.57 | 3.93
Jul: 2.91 | 3.12
Aug: 2.92 | 3.59
Sep: 2.73 | 3.41

That’s actually pretty awesome and unexpected. Dude was awesome his last ~100 innings.

Wonder what his season looks like if you take out that crap May

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:29 PM CST up reply actions  

I remember talking about that in the middle of the season.

He was phenomenal and consistent from start to start.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 9:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Weird seeing a Ranger pitcher having his xFIP higher than his FIP

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:30 PM CST up reply actions  

CJ was the same way.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 9:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Mmm hmmm...

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Is there a place to see plate discipline monthly splits?

Would that even be useful

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Heh, I'm not sure

Seems like it would be pretty noisy…I’m not sure when those ‘stabilize’

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:32 PM CST up reply actions  

i just want to see if there's a correlation

between the decreasing FIPS and a possible increasing Zone%

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Eh

There are different ways to have a great FIP…nibblers can just like worm burners can.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:35 PM CST up reply actions  

For pitchers or batters?

For batters it’s very low, something like 100 PAs for OoZ%

My mind just says throw ball throw hard and strike. - Marteen

by Keynes on Jan 30, 2012 9:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Pitchers

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Harrison for Dominic Brown

"If the Saints can reach the Superbowl, the Rangers can reach the World Series." - PhilKid
The Animated Ballpark in Arlington

by FirebatM3 on Jan 30, 2012 9:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Heh.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:24 PM CST up reply actions  

This is crazy

Harrison is good. really good. it would be crazy to move him to the pen or trade him when everyone knows we have to.

by Longhorn on Jan 30, 2012 9:04 PM CST reply actions  

we don't have to

and it would be stupid to trade him without getting a decent haul. Harrison has 3 years of control left. Signing Oswalt to a 1 year deal and trading Harrison for something lackluster would be a mistake. Especially since, if we trade Harrison, I’d still rather see Ogando start than Oswalt, but I suppose Ogando has some time to work in the rotation after this year.

A baseball game is simply a nervous breakdown divided into nine innings.

by NothinG on Jan 30, 2012 9:22 PM CST up reply actions  

The thing that confuses me is

What happens for 2013? Instead of having Perez and Ramirez competing to fill Colby Lewis’ spot, you need both? I guess there is always Feldman and Ogando, too, but…I’d rather trade Feldman or Ogando.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:27 PM CST up reply actions  

Feldman's option isn't going to get picked up.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 9:30 PM CST up reply actions  

Ah, k, forgot the contract details,

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:31 PM CST up reply actions  

Also... I don't think Ogando's future is the rotation.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 9:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Would be nice if some other team with a nice outfield prospect did

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:32 PM CST up reply actions  

(Or 1B)

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Prior to Detroit going full retard

and WAS extending Morse, I seriously thought WAS was going to sign Prince and we were going to trade for Morse

Like, I was comically confident

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:34 PM CST up reply actions  

Hahah.

Seems so obvious, no? I felt like there were a few of us around here talking about it for a while…

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:36 PM CST up reply actions  

There aren't many elite 1B prospects nowadays are there

I’m pretty high on Alonso, Rizzo ehhhhhhhh

Still like Belt too

Just don't piss her off, otherwise she'll get all Dien Bien Phu up in your Boxer Rebellion - caknuck

btho Iowa State

by MonkeyEpoxy on Jan 30, 2012 9:37 PM CST up reply actions  

Smoak!

My mind just says throw ball throw hard and strike. - Marteen

by Keynes on Jan 30, 2012 9:39 PM CST up reply actions  

Just want to make sure it gets mentioned.

Maybe some guy who projects to be defensively limited? I dunno.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:47 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm pretty sure there is at least one team out there

who is willing to take on a guy with slashes of 3.51 / 3.65 / 3.94 and 6.71 / 2.29 / 0.85 in his rookie season as a starter… with 5 years of cheap control remaining.

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 10:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Why are you pretty sure of that?

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 10:28 PM CST up reply actions  

That doesn't mean that the results he produced

With horrible LD rate and unsustainable BABIP would be repeated.

I think they’d probably trust their scouting more than his FanGraphs snapshot.

And we don’t know what those teams scouts think of Ogando as a long term starter.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 10:56 PM CST up reply actions  

So you are confident that scouts think that the #5's above

have a ceiling higher than what Ogando did last season?

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 10:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Give me a hypothetical deal to the Dbacks or Indians.

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 30, 2012 10:59 PM CST up reply actions  

No.

I think Pirates and Cubs are unlikely suitors because of timetable. Dbacks and Indians could make sense.

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 30, 2012 11:02 PM CST up reply actions  

I mean.

Can we do better than Denard fucking Span?

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 30, 2012 11:03 PM CST up reply actions  

We're not trading for Span.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 11:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Why so sure?

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 30, 2012 11:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Because we've spent a lot of money on Leonys

Span isn’t that great. He’s got 3 + an option left in his contract which isn’t bad… but isn’t great value either.

I’d be very surprised if we traded a starter for Span.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 11:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Agreed.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 11:19 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't feel like researching trade ideas

I’m just saying, even if you have major hesitations about Ogando as a starter, he’s shown a great ceiling, and you know you fall back on him as a dominant bullpen arm.

These teams started some very awful players last season, and Ogando would be an upgrade, and would not increase payroll.

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:05 PM CST up reply actions  

Sure...

But are they going to pay significantly to acquire Ogando as though he is a long term starter?

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 10:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Did I say they would pay significantly?

I said they’d be interested in him as a starter with solid upside and 5 years of cheap control.

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:02 PM CST up reply actions  

If they aren't willing to pay for what a starter like that is worth...

Why trade him?

Monkey’s point was for some team to think he’s got a long term future as a starter and pay accordingly.

Because if he IS a long term starter… the price for a guy with 5 years of team control and his fastball / slider combo is rather steep.

I suspect we couldn’t get enough value from a team to make it worth it though.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 11:04 PM CST up reply actions  

To us, he's worth what a high-end bullpen arm is worth

so why should we only trade him if we can only get in return the value of a can’t-miss, long-term SP?

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:06 PM CST up reply actions  

What is a high end bullpen arm worth?

Don’t answer… I’ve been working on a discussion thread on this for a bit. Planning on making it tomorrow.

But I think you may be shocked at how few high end bullpen arms even exist.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 11:07 PM CST up reply actions  

So is your claim that:

(a) we shouldn’t trade him, because high end bullpen arms aren’t valued appropriately on the market?

or

(b) we can’t afford to lose him as a high-end bullpen arm?

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:08 PM CST up reply actions  

Tomorrow.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 11:11 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm sure your analysis is better than mine

but I have his 2010 FIP as a reliever (3.05) placing 35th out of all MLB relievers…

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:13 PM CST up reply actions  

I look forward to the discussion in the discussion thread.

And it’s not specifically about Ogando… but inspired by it.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 11:23 PM CST up reply actions  

Part of this

is because they don’t often have the health to stay around long enough to establish a true value.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 11:20 PM CST up reply actions  

I am highly ambivalent

And it would be surprising if all 30 teams thought like youmdo.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 9:33 PM CST up reply actions  

GB, did you read but the extent of VMart's injuries?

Microfracture now & MCL/ACL rebuild in 2 months…woah.

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 30, 2012 11:04 PM CST up reply actions  

*about

sheesh

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 30, 2012 11:05 PM CST up reply actions  

I saw the headline.

Yeah, he’s not going to be heard from for a while, even as a DH.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 30, 2012 11:19 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, bad news for him

Great non-signing though, huh?

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 30, 2012 11:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Well,

I’m not going to thump my chest when a contract I didn’t think would work out doesn’t work out because a player gets a potentially career-ending injury. I would like to point out that he didn’t stick at Catcher near as long as the defenders of that contract predicted.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 31, 2012 8:38 AM CST up reply actions  

Agree 100%

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 31, 2012 9:18 AM CST up reply actions  

And it's worth noting that he justified his value in year one.

He just didn’t rack up the sort of surplus value you would’ve hoped to see given the contract, his age, and the history of catchers aging (even if he hasn’t played as much catcher as some of the stalwarts).

On the injury: given its nature, I’m assuming it has little to do with the wear and tear Martinez racked up behind the plate, but I’m not sure how safe an assumption that is.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 31, 2012 10:23 AM CST up reply actions  

I don't think that's a safe assumption.

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 31, 2012 10:25 AM CST up reply actions  

Well, in that case,

you could take some “credit” for being right about how well the contract is working out, since catching-related injury should’ve been a part of the Tigers’ calculations, no?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 31, 2012 10:27 AM CST up reply actions  

I thought about this...

…but he spent so very little time at catcher with them. I guess you could say that they should have anticipated that his previous wear and tear from being a catcher would catch up with him, but he wasn’t exactly an ironman at catcher throughout his career…

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 31, 2012 12:04 PM CST up reply actions  

Sure.

It may not be grounds for chest-thumping, but it is something to think about.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 31, 2012 12:44 PM CST up reply actions  

it's funny guys, "it's funny"
LindsayGuentzel Lindsay Guentzel
Direct quote from my source regarding Oswalt & Texas: “He wants to play for Nolan so bad, it’s funny.”

by Longhorn on Jan 30, 2012 10:36 PM CST reply actions  

Not amused.

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 30, 2012 10:58 PM CST up reply actions  

BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA...



"...Ron Washington is the Les Miles of MLB." - AJM

by e2drummer on Jan 30, 2012 11:06 PM CST up reply actions  

You know what'd be funny?

Oswalt agreeing to a 1-year, $1M, you’ll-pitch-in-the-bullpen-if-we-say-so deal.

That’d be funny.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:43 PM CST up reply actions  

That be incredible

I’d sign him to a 1-year, $8M deal, if he understands he might pitch in the bullpen

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:45 PM CST up reply actions  

It's not cheap, but

That removes all the problems of signing him, and keeps all of the benefits.

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:47 PM CST up reply actions  

The most likely need at the trade deadline

is going to be a SP to replace an injury, imo

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:53 PM CST up reply actions  

Meh.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Why don't they realize that now?

WHY?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:55 PM CST up reply actions  

They probably do.

They just weren’t going 9 years on nobody.

Ever been in a boardroom, or a gang fight? Ever save a life? Ever won a court case against the odds? Ever held a dying buddy in your arms?.- jackanape on "perspective," 11/8/2010.

"do you a jet ski rental place would work here" - Mike E, 5/10/2011.

by Aqua on Jan 30, 2012 11:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah.

The backup plan is likely a combination of Young and Napoli, just like last season. I just wish there were other options. (Well. There are — just not cheap.)

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:57 PM CST up reply actions  

There are worse places to be...

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 31, 2012 8:40 AM CST up reply actions  

New Mexico, for instance.

"I don't really like pitchers." - Nelson Cruz

by AceJC on Jan 31, 2012 10:06 AM CST up reply actions  

This

Also, our offense was top-3 in the league with Morebad, so I’d say that’s less of a concern than replacing a pitcher, if one goes down.

by Jobu. on Jan 30, 2012 11:56 PM CST up reply actions  

Morebad is ok...

But I’d go with Lessbat if we’re changing his name.

Ever been in a boardroom, or a gang fight? Ever save a life? Ever won a court case against the odds? Ever held a dying buddy in your arms?.- jackanape on "perspective," 11/8/2010.

"do you a jet ski rental place would work here" - Mike E, 5/10/2011.

by Aqua on Jan 30, 2012 11:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Oswalt is just as, if not more, likely to go down with an injury

than any of the Rangers’ current starting pitchers.

Especially if he gets switched from the ’pen to the rotation suddenly.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:58 PM CST up reply actions  

Or if he catches the AIDS.

That could really set him back.

Ever been in a boardroom, or a gang fight? Ever save a life? Ever won a court case against the odds? Ever held a dying buddy in your arms?.- jackanape on "perspective," 11/8/2010.

"do you a jet ski rental place would work here" - Mike E, 5/10/2011.

by Aqua on Jan 30, 2012 11:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Specifics aren't important, I don't think

I was just trying to make the point that it would be an ideal set-up

by Jobu. on Jan 31, 2012 12:38 AM CST up reply actions  

Sure it is.

That’s dirt cheap.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 31, 2012 10:23 AM CST up reply actions  

$500 would be ideal, then.

Free would be ideal, then.

C’mon…

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 31, 2012 2:53 PM CST up reply actions  

I was just responding in kind

My $8M figure was to emphasize the point that that would be an idea set-up.

I realize $1M is better than $8M

by Jobu. on Feb 1, 2012 12:08 AM CST up reply actions  

That's very cheap.

How is that not cheap?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Never mind.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:52 PM CST up reply actions  

Really?

Why?

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:49 PM CST up reply actions  

Yeah, I didn't read Jobu's post closely enough.

I wouldn’t be happy with an $8M deal.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:53 PM CST up reply actions  

I'd live with it. . .

. . . because it would be coming off the books, and if it happens I would assume it would be because the Rangers have a better handle on their finances than I do and are okay with spending it.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth - Christopher Fittz is better than porn!

by philkid3 on Jan 31, 2012 9:37 AM CST up reply actions  

Chester's Flamin' Hot Puff Corn is highly addictive

Just an FYI from your friend.

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 30, 2012 11:07 PM CST reply actions  

It's the Flamin' Hot asshole they make that bothers me.

"I became an optimist when I discovered that I wasn't going to win any more games by being anything else." by Earl Weaver

by Brad on Jan 30, 2012 11:08 PM CST up reply actions  

This is true...we shall overcome!

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 30, 2012 11:12 PM CST up reply actions  

That's the best part.

"...Ron Washington is the Les Miles of MLB." - AJM

by e2drummer on Jan 30, 2012 11:21 PM CST up reply actions  

Forget Oswalt.

Now I want Kershaw even more.

(Yeah, that’s right: it’s an article that combines baseball and Zambia.)

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 30, 2012 11:41 PM CST reply actions  

Very cool. Great people.

(and everyone wants to forget Roy :)

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 30, 2012 11:44 PM CST up reply actions  

Kidnapped and beheaded by African rebels operating in Zambia, eh?

That would certainly be… surprising.

Garoon: Banned on LSB. Available Only Via Supplement.

by Snark on Jan 31, 2012 2:21 AM CST up reply actions  

DON'T YOU KNOW IT'S A CONTINENT OF VIOLENT REBELS, TOPLESS TRIBESWOMEN AND MALNOURISHED CHILDREN???

"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." - Jon Daniels

by GhettoBear04 on Jan 31, 2012 8:39 AM CST up reply actions  

LOLERZ

We’re not about sending messages. We’re about winning ballgames.-Wash, 04/03/11
Hell to the fucking no. -Wash, 10/07/11

by Rodney on Jan 31, 2012 9:26 AM CST up reply actions  

Do you think a jet ski shop would do well there?

Defending Big D Check it out
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by Josh Lile on Jan 31, 2012 2:13 PM CST up reply actions  

HAHAHA

LSJ knows NOTHING about Zambian politics and culture. HA.

"I have thought a lot about why people get so hostile online, and I have come to believe it is primarily because we live in a society with a hypertrophied sense of justice and an atrophied sense of humility and charity, to put the matter in terms of the classic virtues." --Alan Jacobs

by JDT217 on Jan 31, 2012 9:48 AM CST up reply actions  

Clayton is a cool dude

I hate The Angels so much, it's actually cramping my style. (See RevHaloFans SBN profile page)

by Gay For Feliz on Jan 31, 2012 7:36 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

Uhhh?

“Oswalt’s a good bet to be a solid starter next year”

On what #s from last year are they basing this bet? His loss in velicity, the higher whip and BA, or the ever reliable “AGE 36” production increase?

Baseball's hard, guys. I mean, it really is. You can love it but, believe me, it don't always love you back. It's kind of like dating a German chick, you know?

by Buttermaker on Jan 31, 2012 1:02 AM CST reply actions  

Well lets see

- His velocity was up at the end of the year as he got healthier, hitting 95 in his final regular season start.
- Its technically his age 34 season.. still on the decline and a serious injury concern, but none the less its not 36.
- One year of a spiked babip/average after a low number the previous year isn’t particularly damning, especially if his velocity is back up. Even with the average, his WHIP was still certainly “solid starter” level.
- Hes one year removed from a 193:55 K:BB season and had a very strong 51:15 after the break last year.

Hoping for another 2010 would be a bad bet and obviously back issues are big, but “good bet to be a solid starter” doesn’t sound too off to me. Especially if it were in the NL Central with the cards…

by DShep on Jan 31, 2012 1:37 AM CST up reply actions  

I don't think Cameron is saying another 2010 is the bet.

That’s beyond solid. He was solid in 2011, despite fewer than 140 innings, and I think that’s what he’s saying the good bet is; another 2011.

SB Nation Dallas-Ft. Worth - Christopher Fittz is better than porn!

by philkid3 on Jan 31, 2012 9:39 AM CST up reply actions  

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