2012 Community Projections Results: David Murphy

Debby Wong-US PRESSWIRE

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

For the first five months of the 2011 season, David Murphy put up a .251 / .317 / .352 slash line for a .668 OPS in 338 PA. He rebounded in September of that year with a .923 OPS in 102 PA, but it still ended up as easily the worst season of his Major League career. The rough 2011 had the LSB Average projection as only a .765 OPS, lower than his career .786 OPS heading into the 2012 season.

Responding the lack of faith in his grittiness and clutchness, Murphy posted the best season of his Major League career with an .859 OPS in a career high 521 PA. Murphy outperformed his projections by more than any other Rangers position player.

Congratulations to Rob ONeal for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2012 Season 521 .304 .380 .479
LSB Average 432.5 .278 .335 .430 3.01
ZiPS 458 .269 .328 .422 3.38
Marcel 467 .270 .330 .415 3.35
2011 Season 440 .275 .328 .401 3.62
Top Five Projections
1. Rob ONeal 518 .288 .342 .473 1.41
2. BigGuns 502 .294 .357 .434 1.57
3. Rossome 411 .326 .374 .468 1.60
4. dangerranger 475 .290 .358 .449 1.61
5. grn_lantern 500 .290 .350 .445 1.69
Bottom Five Projections
137. Robert L. Bishop 349 .259 .321 .413 4.63
138. matthewbschultz83 410 .253 .317 .399 4.71
139. Trickman 350 .260 .310 .410 4.88
140. vfn 400 .255 .305 .385 5.19
141. bflood36 317 .262 .317 .388 5.19
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Lone Star Ball

You must be a member of Lone Star Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Lone Star Ball. You should read them.

Join Lone Star Ball

You must be a member of Lone Star Ball to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Lone Star Ball. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker