2012 Community Projections Results: Mitch Moreland

Tim Heitman-US PRESSWIRE

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

Mitch Moreland is the last of our position player community projections. The LSB Average expected him to rebound a bit from his bad 2011 where he was plagued with a wrist injury. His actual OPS of .789 was only slightly higher than the projected .784 and much better than 2011's .734. Moreland's PA came in below most projections after missing several weeks with a hamstring injury.

Mitch Moreland isn't the type of first baseman you expect a playoff contender to have and watching Prince Fielder in the current playoffs evokes plenty of "What if?" questions. Of course watching Alex Rodriguez with four years left on his contract should evoke their own brand of "Oh yeah, that's why" responses.

So here's to Mitch Moreland being below average and cheap for one more year and praying the Rangers surprise us and get a first baseman who can actually put up better than a .789 OPS.

Congratulations to casew for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2012 Season 357 .275 .321 .468
LSB Average 488.9 .269 .339 .445 1.08
ZiPS 590 .264 .329 .424 1.58
Marcel 473 .261 .331 .445 1.26
2011 Season 512 .259 .320 .414 1.40
Top Five Projections
1. casew 400 .275 .340 .459 0.51
2. CrisLander 440 .270 .320 .450 0.58
3. WyoRanger 480 .275 .330 .465 0.60
4. JimCrankshaft 433 .269 .333 .466 0.61
5. Stephen Rushin 420 .270 .333 .451 0.66
Bottom Five Projections
139. Abasic Campfire 560 .285 .360 .485 1.68
140. rckclmbr 275 .253 .305 .379 1.78
141. Rob ONeal 388 .236 .298 .399 1.93
142. MikeEl 595 .285 .384 .473 2.06
143. Brooks 155 .220 .221 .184 5.81
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