Jake Roth-US PRESSWIRE
Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.
Derek Holland finished the 2011 regular season in strong fashion, going 11-4 with a 2.77 ERA and 97.1 IP over his final 15 starts. His 2011 post season wasn't as strong, but it included a gem in the World Series against the Cardinals where Derek threw 8.1 shut out innings with only 2 hits and 2 walks allowed. He showed up to spring training in the best shape of his life after working out all winter, signed a relatively inexpensive long term extension and seemed poised to make "the leap" as a solid #2 pitcher.
Instead Derek Holland turned into 2011 Colby Lewis, but with an even higher HR/9 rate and without any post season success. Derek's velocity fell from his 2011 highs and his propensity to miss over the middle of the plate saw balls crushed with regularity. A mid-season illness caused him to lose weight and led to eventual shoulder fatigue and a DL trip and may have contributed to some of his struggles. Here's to next year and hopes of more stories about how he improved his command less stories about dune buggies.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value
|Top Five Projections|
|1. I am Neftali Feliz||195.0||4.05||8.00||2.50||1.50||1.32|
|2. Adam J. Morris||177.0||4.09||7.70||3.10||1.10||1.48|
|Bottom Five Projections|