2012 Community Projections Results: Mike Adams

Tim Heitman-US PRESSWIRE

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

For the past several years Mike Adams has been one of the very best relief pitchers in baseball. He consistently produced fantastic peripherals and an ERA to match. Given his fantastic recent success, expectations were very high for him to continue to be one of the better relievers in the league, with a small adjustment for age, park and coming to the AL.

Mike Adams didn't have a bad year, but given the lofty expectations he was a pretty big disappointment, always pitching pretty well, but rarely dominating and eventually having his season end due to thoracic outlet syndrome.

Congratulations to LiamP for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value

Results IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 SCORE
2012 Season 52.3 3.27 7.74 2.92 0.69
LSB Average 70.3 2.19 9.17 2.02 0.80 2.46
ZiPS 55.7 3.23 8.40 2.42 0.97 1.01
Marcel 69.0 2.74 8.09 2.48 0.65 1.41
2011 Season 73.7 1.47 9.04 1.71 0.61 3.06
Top Five Projections
1. LiamP 55.0 3.10 8.50 2.20 1.00 1.24
2. phikid3 60.0 2.95 8.50 2.50 1.00 1.37
3. Telegraph 68.3 3.10 8.10 2.10 0.70 1.37
4. Cav0 65.0 2.06 7.50 2.50 0.85 1.68
5. JDT217 61.0 2.79 8.20 2.40 1.30 1.81
Bottom Five Projections
122. CowboyHornedFrogs 82.0 1.62 9.40 1.90 0.50 3.50
123. ghostofErikThompson 78.0 1.99 10.80 1.90 0.60 3.51
124. Gdawg 75.0 2.20 9.10 0.70 1.00 3.60
125. Adam J. Morris 77.0 1.98 10.70 1.80 0.50 3.61
126. eglooney 77.0 2.01 9.10 0.90 0.30 3.77
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