2012 Community Projections Results: Ian Kinsler

Ronald Martinez - Getty Images

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

In 2011, Ian Kinsler had arguably the best season of his career. He stayed healthy all year, his first year playing over 150 games, provided great offense with an .832 OPS and going 30 HR / 30 SB and strong defense by both UZR and DRS and even the more mundane fielding percentage.

2012 saw almost every aspect of Kinsler's game worsen from his 2011 season or his career numbers. Walks were down, strikeouts up, base running and defense plummeted, power numbers went down. In almost every way, Ian Kinsler's season was a disappointment with the exception that he was able to stay healthy for a second straight year.

Congratulations to disposablehero for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2012 Season 731 .256 .326 .423
LSB Average 658.6 .276 .368 .476 2.76
ZiPS 619 .274 .360 .474 2.72
Marcel 608 .259 .345 .448 1.62
2011 Season 723 .255 .355 .477 1.71
Top Five Projections
1. disposablehero 654 .260 .334 .465 1.51
2. WhipSmart 714 .260 .350 .468 1.55
3. hornedfrogs45 680 .268 .354 .452 1.69
4. AceJC 708 .266 .342 .476 1.73
5. Longhorn 677 .262 .355 .461 1.77
Bottom Five Projections
176. FirebatM3 691 .293 .400 .500 4.08
177. NinetyFeet 610 .286 .388 .501 4.14
178. Spadedsnake 287 .252 .373 .478 4.57
179. hightowersmith 600 .310 .385 .500 4.68
180. dumdum000333 720 .330 .415 .500 5.08
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