2012 Community Projections Results: Ian Kinsler

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Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

In 2011, Ian Kinsler had arguably the best season of his career. He stayed healthy all year, his first year playing over 150 games, provided great offense with an .832 OPS and going 30 HR / 30 SB and strong defense by both UZR and DRS and even the more mundane fielding percentage.

2012 saw almost every aspect of Kinsler's game worsen from his 2011 season or his career numbers. Walks were down, strikeouts up, base running and defense plummeted, power numbers went down. In almost every way, Ian Kinsler's season was a disappointment with the exception that he was able to stay healthy for a second straight year.

Congratulations to disposablehero for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value

Results	PA	AVG	OBP	SLG	SCORE
2012 Season	731	.256	.326	.423
LSB Average	658.6	.276	.368	.476	2.76
ZiPS	619	.274	.360	.474	2.72
Marcel	608	.259	.345	.448	1.62
2011 Season	723	.255	.355	.477	1.71
Top Five Projections
1. disposablehero	654	.260	.334	.465	1.51
2. WhipSmart	714	.260	.350	.468	1.55
3. hornedfrogs45	680	.268	.354	.452	1.69
4. AceJC	708	.266	.342	.476	1.73
5. Longhorn	677	.262	.355	.461	1.77
Bottom Five Projections
176. FirebatM3	691	.293	.400	.500	4.08
177. NinetyFeet	610	.286	.388	.501	4.14
178. Spadedsnake	287	.252	.373	.478	4.57
179. hightowersmith	600	.310	.385	.500	4.68
180. dumdum000333	720	.330	.415	.500	5.08