2012 Community Projections Results: Adrian Beltre

Rick Yeatts - Getty Images

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

The 2012 Texas Rangers feel like a massive disappointment given expectations and how they started. But they still won 93 games and were only 2 games off the best record in the AL. Adrian Beltre is a big reason why.

The 2012 Rangers MVP had his second highest career OPS at .921 and took an excellent 2011 season and improved on it. Adrian played through pain, injuries and was put up an OPS over .882 in every month but July. When the rest of the team seemed to be running out of gas, he won AL Player of the Month for September. Additionally, he continued to provide excellent defense making difficult plays look routine and impossible plays look amazing. Expectations for the 33 year old were fairly moderate with LSB expecting an .872 OPS and Beltre exceeded that by a healthy margin.

Congratulations to Gay For Feliz for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2012 Season 654 .321 .359 .561
LSB Average 594.5 .290 .334 .538 1.92
ZiPS 545 .289 .329 .488 2.86
Marcel 527 .287 .330 .488 2.98
2011 Season 525 .296 .331 .561 1.98
Top Five Projections
1. Gay For Feliz 631 .319 .368 .566 0.45
2. MikeEl 620 .317 .355 .575 0.53
3. dan2 630 .308 .350 .565 0.69
4. nickbahh 639 .306 .349 .554 0.75
5. Mark from OC 579 .315 .354 .568 0.75
Bottom Five Projections
176. Brooks 535 .272 .320 .500 3.39
177. ok.fester 420 .278 .320 .515 3.74
178. LiamP 500 .270 .315 .480 3.97
179. JJStuart 524 .269 .315 .468 3.99
180. Josh Lile 400 .250 .300 .520 4.93
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