Jim Cowsert-US PRESSWIRE
Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.
Man did he strike out and walk a lot of people.
LSB as a community expected Darvish to come in and pitch like a front line starter right off the bat with lots of innings, a very good ERA for someone who pitches half their games in RBIA and strong peripherals.
Darvish's actual results were up and down (and then up again!) with dominant starts mixed in with absolutely terrible control problems but after changing his approach somewhat, ending the season with exceptional numbers and pitching as one of the best pitchers in baseball for the last six weeks of the season.
Congratulations to Gay For Feliz for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.
*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2012 value
| Results | IP | ERA | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | SCORE |
| 2012 Season | 191.3 | 3.90 | 10.40 | 4.19 | 0.66 | |
| LSB Average | 197.5 | 3.26 | 8.95 | 2.49 | 0.86 | 1.80 |
| ZiPS | 194.0 | 3.62 | 7.84 | 2.13 | 0.84 | 2.03 |
| Marcel | No Data | |||||
| 2011 Season | No Data | |||||
| Top Five Projections | ||||||
| 1. Gay For Feliz | 192.0 | 3.12 | 10.00 | 3.50 | 0.80 | 0.99 |
| 2. LSJ | 200.0 | 3.69 | 9.69 | 3.69 | 1.00 | 1.02 |
| 3. Conjunction | 200.0 | 3.40 | 9.30 | 3.50 | 0.70 | 1.06 |
| 4. hightowersmith | 180.0 | 3.30 | 9.30 | 3.70 | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| 5. philkid3 | 185.0 | 3.65 | 8.20 | 3.90 | 0.80 | 1.18 |
| Bottom Five Projections | ||||||
| 108. nickbahh | 210.0 | 2.95 | 8.90 | 2.30 | 1.20 | 2.59 |
| 109. Maximilian | 208.0 | 3.07 | 8.70 | 1.95 | 1.10 | 2.60 |
| 110. sprite | 193.0 | 3.36 | 8.90 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 2.63 |
| 111. RangerMad | 222.0 | 2.21 | 8.50 | 1.70 | 0.70 | 3.01 |
| 112. kinsler61 | 225.0 | 2.70 | 8.30 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 3.17 |


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