2013 Community Projections Results: Jason Frasor

Ronald Martinez

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

It was a rough start for Jason Frasor when he gave up two home runs in his second appearance of the year.  But he rebounded nicely and only gave up two home runs for the rest of the year.  His ERA post that appearance was 2.28 in 47.1 innings.  A very solid year for a middle reliever who managed his control issues fairly well and provided good value.

Congratulations to AjaxJones for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value

Results IP ERAG K/9 BB/9 HR/9 SCORE
2013 Season 49.0 2.57 8.82 3.67 0.73
LSB Average 53.8 3.87 9.13 3.81 1.26 1.37
ZiPS 49.7 4.16 9.05 3.98 1.09 1.34
Steamer 35.0 3.42 9.28 3.80 0.76 1.08
2012 Season 43.7 4.12 10.92 4.53 1.24 2.40
Top Five Projections
1. AjaxJones 49.0 3.68 8.60 3.80 1.00 0.91
2. Longhorn 47.0 3.91 9.01 3.99 0.73 0.97
3. Rossome 52.0 3.78 8.70 3.70 1.10 1.04
4. JDT217 38.0 3.23 9.40 3.70 1.00 1.05
5. ok.fester 36.0 3.42 9.00 3.70 1.00 1.09
Bottom Five Projections
68. CHS1 55.0 4.25 10.50 4.20 1.40 2.31
69. Akalhar 40.0 4.70 9.50 4.40 1.30 2.37
70. I'm with Busey 53.0 4.22 7.90 3.90 2.20 2.45
71. sprite 42.0 4.75 6.80 3.50 2.00 2.95
72. Ryin A 35.0 5.70 9.30 3.90 1.70 3.01
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