2013 Community Projections Results: Alexi Ogando

Ronald Martinez

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

Should he be in the rotation? Should he be in the pen? Can he stay healthy? Why does he quit striking guys out when he starts? Is "Easter Island" a better nickname than "Brogando"?

All these questions and more remain after Alexi's 2013 season where he did pretty good at the run prevention thing, but got hurt twice and the peripherals were very sketchy. Who knows what 2014 will bring?

Congratulations to Aqua for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value

Results IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 SCORE
2013 Season 104.1 3.11 6.21 3.54 0.95
LSB Average 158.1 3.77 7.68 2.60 1.06 2.09
ZiPS 135.3 3.73 7.78 2.73 1.06 1.79
Steamer 121.0 3.79 7.83 2.95 1.12 1.64
2012 Season 66.0 3.27 9.00 2.32 1.23 2.09
Top Five Projections
1. Aqua 104.0 3.83 7.30 3.10 1.00 1.09
2. JDT217 128.0 3.62 7.30 2.90 1.10 1.44
3. sprite 155.0 4.12 7.00 3.30 1.00 1.52
4. JBImaknee 142.0 3.84 7.50 2.90 0.90 1.65
5. Brother_jd 153.0 3.84 6.90 2.90 1.10 1.66
Bottom Five Projections
75. Ryin A 170.0 3.88 7.90 2.25 1.20 2.70
76. Heebs 125.0 5.85 7.10 3.30 1.50 2.74
77. Bats and Balls 172.0 3.45 8.20 1.90 1.20 2.80
78. Dirk Diggler 180.0 3.75 8.50 2.50 1.30 2.91
79. rooster 185.0 3.93 8.10 1.80 1.40 3.43
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