2013 Community Projections Results: Derek Holland

It's hard to find a non-goofy picture of Holland - Ronald Martinez

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

The 2013 season was an excellent example of Derek Holland. Lots of good games and dominant at times while also mixing inconsistency that separates pitchers who are pretty good from those who are great. LSB was very close on the projections, except no one saw the terrible home run rate from 2012 being cut almost exactly in half.

All in all, it was a good season from Derek, posting a 4.8 fWAR and 3.3 bWAR with his actual value probably somewhere in between. That's a strong season and the kind you take every year from a guy like Derek Holland.

Congratulations to Baseball North for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value

Results IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 SCORE
2013 Season 213.0 3.42 7.99 2.70 0.85
LSB Average 190.9 4.03 7.71 2.77 1.31 1.34
ZiPS 170.7 4.53 7.43 2.90 1.42 2.31
Steamer 172.0 4.03 7.40 3.03 0.99 1.71
2012 Season 175.3 4.67 7.44 2.67 1.64 2.39
Top Five Projections
1. Baseball North 200.0 3.50 8.00 2.50 1.00 0.54
2. FelizCheez 216.0 3.54 8.10 2.80 1.20 0.58
3. Brad 206.0 3.64 8.00 2.50 1.10 0.62
4. Heebs 210.0 3.65 8.10 2.90 1.10 0.62
5. slc ranger 207.0 3.57 7.90 2.50 1.20 0.72
Bottom Five Projections
72. txcheeseranger 175.0 4.79 8.00 3.40 1.60 2.60
73. MrPryor 176.0 5.03 7.10 3.00 1.60 2.95
74. TheGritMaster 183.0 4.87 7.60 2.10 1.90 2.95
75. LiamP 180.0 4.87 6.50 3.00 1.90 3.42
76. adawk91 150.0 4.78 7.00 3.30 1.90 3.77
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