2013 Community Projections Results: Yu Darvish

Ronald Martinez

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

There's already been a ton written about Yu Darvish's season.  I'm going to leave it at he was really good this year and I'm glad he's a member of the Texas Rangers.

Congratulations to nateaggie for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value

Results IP ERA K/9 BB/9 HR/9 SCORE
2013 Season 209.7 2.83 11.89 3.43 1.12
LSB Average 214.1 3.05 10.30 2.99 0.75 1.44
ZiPS 193.0 3.40 10.54 4.01 0.70 1.96
Steamer 199.0 3.36 9.46 3.15 0.81 1.89
2012 Season 191.3 3.90 10.40 4.19 0.66 2.48
Top Five Projections
1. nateaggie 205.0 3.15 10.80 3.30 1.10 0.75
2. Rossome 205.0 2.89 11.20 3.10 0.80 0.92
3. giantbenmav 217.0 2.66 11.20 3.50 0.80 0.93
4. CRUSHDAVIS 220.0 2.95 11.80 2.90 0.80 0.98
5. AjaxJones 212.0 2.89 10.80 3.10 0.80 1.01
Bottom Five Projections
82. Ryin A 235.0 2.95 10.10 2.70 0.70 2.09
83. Pocket Ninja 226.0 2.75 11.00 2.00 0.50 2.14
84. JBImaknee 213.0 2.91 9.20 2.10 0.70 2.17
85. bafusilier 225.0 2.73 10.20 1.90 0.60 2.32
86. AfterSchoolSpecial 231.0 2.08 10.80 2.80 0.50 2.36
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