2013 Community Projections Results: Elvis Andrus

He's a handsome man - Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

Sigh.

Typically LSB does an excellent job projecting Elvis Andrus. But 2013 was a big disappointment as Elvis struggled offensively for much of the year. He didn't hit as well and all the doubles vanished. Much of the community was expecting a step forward for Elvis in his age 24 season.

On a positive note, the defense and baserunning were both strong, as they always are, and his overall value wasn't bad as almost a 3 win player. But not at the level of the back-to-back 4 win seasons he had in 2011 and 2012. Additionally, Elvis hit .301 / .358 / .378 in the second half of the season, much closer to the .293 / .357 /. 391 projected by the community.

Congratulations to kjtrill for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2013 Season 698 .271 .328 .331
LSB Average 687.3 .293 .357 .391 2.32
ZiPS 702 .276 .346 .356 0.98
Steamer 698 .279 .349 .374 1.37
2012 Season 711 .286 .349 .378 1.73
Top Five Projections
1. kjtrill 670 .275 .338 .359 0.98
2. unlikelyfanatic 687 .280 .345 .370 1.33
3. AfterSchoolSpecial 715 .282 .351 .363 1.47
4. Longhorn 688 .281 .349 .372 1.47
5. Philar 645 .272 .347 .372 1.49
Bottom Five Projections
88. Adam J. Morris 700 .311 .372 .421 3.55
89. TheHuntforRedOctober 680 .305 .375 .420 3.55
90. JDT217 680 .314 .383 .396 3.65
91. Akalhar 699 .313 .376 .424 3.74
92. Yu-ichi 608 .310 .362 .451 4.36
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