2013 Community Projections Results: Ian Kinsler

Tom Pennington

Reviewing the best and worst of the pre-season community projections.

.302 / .369 / .500

That's the line Ian Kinsler put up in the first 180 PA before he went on the DL in May. After coming back in June he put up a .266 / .333 / .376 line in 434 PA. Given that the nature of his injury was his ribs/trunk, the massive drop in power from his career numbers makes sense. Of course, given his age and injury history, Ian playing a full season without something physically bothering him seems like the exception rather than the norm.

Here's hoping that Ian has another year or two where he gets lucky with health and is able to put up strong offensive numbers again. As long as the elite bat speed is there, it can happen.

Congratulations to Atticus F for having the lowest score* with his projection. Here is a spreadsheet with how everyone did.

*Score is the average number of standard deviations away from the actual 2013 value

Results PA AVG OBP SLG SCORE
2013 Season 614 .277 .344 .413
LSB Average 675.9 .270 .353 .453 1.18
ZiPS 644 .266 .346 .443 0.82
Steamer 687 .264 .347 .444 1.16
2012 Season 731 .256 .326 .423 1.60
Top Five Projections
1. Atticus F 670 .268 .345 .407 0.63
2. ok.fester 625 .272 .344 .456 0.70
3. Conjunction 640 .270 .350 .440 0.74
4. JBImaknee 650 .270 .340 .440 0.77
5. Ryin A 603 .262 .348 .440 0.78
Bottom Five Projections
82. Gdawg 725 .285 .365 .485 2.10
83. giantbenmav 680 .295 .375 .500 2.39
84. MrPryor 718 .319 .338 .499 2.68
85. cashman 675 .295 .385 .520 2.77
86. Heebs 695 .307 .391 .508 3.11
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